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0:00 - Introduction
0:23 - Cathie Wood 2024 Strategy
2:01 - Dan Greenhouse's Macro Perspective
4:30 - Gene Munster on 2024 Bull Market
5:21 - Dan Ives on Tech Stocks in 2024
7:37 - Overall Stock Market 2024 Outlook
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So Kathy wo just dropped a massive bombshell about the stock market and she's not the only one joining me now with an exclusive interview on The Exchange is Cathy Wood, CEO Chief investment officer of Arc Invest and in this video, I'm going to show you four different top-of-the-line experts Den Eyes, Kathy Wood Jean Monster and a few others and how they're looking at the market in 2024. Now let's start with Kathy Wood Interest rates and inflation seem to be under control. We think we do believe we're going to see deflation next year and that the FED will have to cut pretty aggressively. Um, but we do think we're on the other side of the horror show we went through.

now. we're diversifying more. Okay and and and we should, uh, we we expect the IPO window to open up again. There are a lot of companies out there starve for Capital So Kathy would just went on CNBC And she spoke about how Ark is preparing for 2024.

Now Obviously, she's not one to spoon feed you exactly telling you how much stocks will do in 2024, but based on her answer, we can learn a whole lot about what she thinks about 2024. Now you may agree or disagree with her, but when Kathy Wood says we're no longer Contracting into our high conviction stocks, instead, we're expanding and diversifying, that means that Ark is going on offense. Kathy Wood and Arc are known for the strategy and you may agree or disagree. but that's how they play.

They contract when times are bad, they expand and they diversify when times are good. So when Kathy Would tells you, hey, we're starting to diversify, we're starting to open up. That means they foresee a very positive 2024. Now she's talking about more IPOs Pay attention.

She's talking about a hunger for money. And it doesn't mean that we can't have bad weeks or even bad months. We may have rough times ahead. The market isn't going to move linearly.

but what she's saying that in overall, when we look back in this December next year, we're going to look at a very good year for stocks. Now that's her approach. You might agree. you may disagree.

But what she's saying is that look: the FED is moving into a more accommodating monetary policy because the FED will be more lenient. Businesses will have more Capital that more capital is going to be translated into expansion of revenues, expansions of profits. People will have more money, the pockets they'll spend more. A whole new cycle will drive both the economy and the stock market up.

That's hair approach. Now let's talk about Dan Greenhouse from Solos I Mean, obviously there's overbought conditions that need to be worked off. but um, to the extent that the market was I'll use the word insular, but that's probably not the right word. It's been very narrow.

Um, until lately. Yeah, so for the for the whole year, only three sectors have outperformed, But over the last month, over the last fourth quarter, six sectors have outperforming. so you've seen the rally broaden out. We all know this: I all else equal I Take that as a positive sign and for right now, the likely outcome is that the market continues to move higher, at least for the next couple of months.
I See no evidence in the short term here that that's going to Abate So Dan Greenhouse is looking at this from a little bit of a different perspective now. Dan Greenhouse says look 2022 was a horrible Year Yes, 2023 was much much better when you combine. Both of them were not in an overbought territory yet because the market only did 6 to 8% when you look at 24 months. The SLP of basically did what it lost in 2022 back in 2023, so nothing crazy has happened yet.

But he's also saying look, we haven't really landed yet The talk about the soft Landing being a thing is a little bit premature. The soft Landing will happen once the FED lowers the rates towards the 3% area, then if the economy doesn't crash, we've landed. But what he's saying here is very interesting. He's saying look, nothing in the next 6 months scares me from a macro perspective because what he's saying look, inflation is on its way down, energy is on its way down, housing will come down in the winter as it always does, and the job market is still doing fine.

So in the macro perspective that he's focusing on, there's nothing that's supposed to drive the stocks into a very dangerous territory in 2024. So his positivity is coming from macro like Kathy Woods that's coming from a more monetary policy from the FED But on top of it, we have Gene Monster. We believe that we're going to have a 3 to five year bull market when it comes to these tech companies. Not just the Mag 7, but I think a lot of the other sub hundred billion dollar companies I think uh, maybe said a different way I think we're in 1995 and there's a huge run that's going to come up over the next 3 to 5 years.

He says essentially this is the four years before the dot bubble peaked and then popped. And he actually also says this, yes, the AI bubble will eventually pop, but we are in the beginning stages of it and we're years ahead from that moment In those 3 to five years until it pops. there's going to be a lot of money being made by the companies who are in the AI industry and that's why he's seeing a lot of bullishness from AI spilling over to Tech spilling over to the rest of the market. And then of course we also have Den eyes when I look at Street numbers for 2024 across Tech Specifically, when I look at software even big Tech I think potentially underestimated by 5 7 10% So when you look over the next few years, even some of the Bears now they're coming out of their Caves at a hibernation mode, starting to maybe re-eval some of these names in terms of what the growth could look like and that's why I think magnificent 7 I believe it's up 30% over the next year.

But I think in terms of overall Tech we see the a year from now I think Tech's up another 25% because of this transformational. AI Revolution that's now here Dan IES talks about a specific thing. He says look, Enterprise Software is going to lead the charge in 2024. And then he also talks about a new bull market being led and he names a few companies pener included.
Again, he's also focusing both on AI but his specific is that he looks at expectations. He said look. In my opinion, expectations are underestimated understated by 5 to 10% So if expectations are not as high as they should be, that means a higher percentage of companies will beat earnings in 2024, leading to a very positive reaction from the stock market. And that's why he's saying look in 2024, the Magnificent 7 which is the apples, the Microsofts, the Google You know the Magnificent 7 right.

They'll do 30% but the entire Tech Market is not going to be far behind with about 25% And if you combine what these four experts are saying, they're giving you four angles into one picture. One is saying, look, expectations are too low. We're going to have a lot of positive surprises that's going to drive the market up. The other one is saying look, AI is going to be a huge bubble.

We're just beginning this three to five more years of this. So this is going to be the first big year for AI You haven't seen nothing yet. Another one is talking about macro and talking about the conditions are very, very solid for the market and the economy isn't going to do anything to stop this bull run. And then we have Kathy Wood talking about the Fed rate.

The FED policy basically starting to be more lenient. More Capital going into the markets driving stocks up as it happened during Covid. Now look, all of them might be wrong. All of them might be just rambling like madman.

They're just humans and when you're trying to predict the future inherently, you're probably wrong now. Lord knows I Had my share of bad calls in the past. everybody had. But what we know right now? the data that we have right now at the end of December of 2023, it seems that these guys are on point.

It doesn't mean we're not going to have bad times, bad spots, weeks, maybe even months. but at the end of the day unless something changes dramatically. and of course it can be. We're living in a very crazy world right now, but unless things change dramatically.

it seems like we primed for a good 2024. Which means you have to start looking for candidates for Capital deployment for the next year because at the end of the day, we're all capital allocators. Now if you want to get better at allocating Capital at finding good companies at analyzing potential investment opportunities, join our Academy Pon.com for Tom Nash You can try it out 30 days money bag guarantee to every single one who joins. We do a lot of work in the trenches, explaining to you how to analyze, how to do your own work, how to analyze for yourself.
We're not giving you stocks, we're teaching you how to fish. Join us, check it out for a week or two, see if it's for you. We would love to have you on there and of course we have a great Discord Community Again, we love to see you there as well. Thank you so much we'll see you in 2024.


By Stock Chat

where the coffee is hot and so is the chat

34 thoughts on “What is cathie wood doing in 2024? its not what you think”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @engteng123able says:

    What does she know

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @istvanpraha says:

    Valuations are so ridiculous so for many stocks that we can’t really look at percent drops or total returns since 2021, unfortunately

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @Wendy-nm9zw says:

    I know her , … the Gossip Lady

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @m0stafa says:

    Why is Cathy popular still? Didn't Arkk lose enough money already to stop listening to this cat lady?

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @jacobtan6381 says:

    Hi Tom, your fellow subscriber from Singapore here, what do you think about the high US debt ceiling? It seems like everyone has forgotten about it after papa powel catalyst?

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @SaadonAksah says:

    Nice. Up up and away 😂

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @kawasaki450fast says:

    Slowest year Ever at UPS quite shocking

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @johnbowman476 says:

    Yeah, and if the middle east mess expands and oil triples?

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @mukey says:

    The most interesting thing about the AI wave is that its mostly the old guard that is benefiting from this. Not many new AI related IPO coming yet

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @Andyzzzz501 says:

    I cannot remember Cathie Wood EVER not predicting DEFLATION, and every time she has been wrong.

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @mcnutterfudgn says:

    Earnings in quarter 4 were lackluster, NIKE even said in earnings that they expect that consumers are going to spend less globally next year. I expect to test to highs in the first quarter. Statistically presidential years are bullish BUT year 3 is usually best returns and then fourth year comes in second which this time is 2024.

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @dennisshulz3678 says:

    Let's not forget my boy a.k.a. the GOAT of market analysis Mr. Tom Lee, who believes Russel 2000 and XLF can both be looking at up to 50% upside next year ☝️

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @leogala1402 says:

    Dan Ives is my O.G.!!!💪

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @charnechristensen says:

    A fantastic overview. Here’s hoping for a good stock market in 2024🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @davidt3296 says:

    Very positive post.Thank you for the good news. 😊

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @mattiasjohansson7888 says:

    😂 she also said oil is dead in 2021 😅

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @ChadsHammer says:

    Well with deflation will be job loss .. perhaps AI is what will cause the job loss? We have an inverted yield curve as well? ..I feel a hard landing is on the way . The Fed doesn't pivot for good reasons 🤔

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @RobinApplewood says:

    The formula is simple. When experts are bearish, I am bullish. When the experts are bullish, I am bearish. Does it make sense? No. Has it worked for me? Yes

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @TeslaEVolution says:

    Sounds good, but, but, AMERICANS are tapped out financially, defaulting on car loans, credit cards & student loans at an alsrming rate, add insolvent banks and all that will = Catalysts for recession!!

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @TeslaEVolution says:

    3/12/2024…..Bank loan reset!!!! Maybe good til then, but 3/12!!!

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @TeslaEVolution says:

    Johnny Bravo & Steven Van Metre disagrees a lot! Global economy about to collapse!+

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @senthilkumar1205 says:

    What do you think about SENS in 2024?

  23. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @coldshoulder4056 says:

    She should be in prison!

  24. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @TheDavebala says:

    Commercial real estate is in major pain. We can individually look at what entities are doing, but we don't have to swollow the liquidating pill many lenders are needing right now.
    They are fearing their time to swollow. Not a good 2024.
    Institutional reallocation is the only reason why I'm hearing "over sold markets".. They need more access to liquidity in order to get out and diversify to better (risk-off) investments.

  25. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @ryanmiller9611 says:

    2024 is going to be the set up for Trump to make the economy blast off in the next four years. Watch.

  26. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @funnyguyinlondon says:

    Long $PLTR

  27. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @curtiswilliam8545 says:

    Isn't deflation really bad and the market will sell off….

  28. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @take5th says:

    She has been dropping bombs to my knowledge since 2018. Office work is done. Deflation is coming. I buy only disruptive stuff, not diversifying, Bitcoin to a million, etc.

  29. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @joec1545 says:

    To me, this is a repeat of history. I do believe that the market will be up this year but I also believe we are in for a mother of all recessions in 2025. The Fed and our Government will put a positive spin on everything to prop up this market and draw in new money that has been on the sidelines. But, there are too many indicators saying that we are headed for disaster. This is all by design by our Fed and our corrupt government to steal from us, just look at history.

  30. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @stickynuggz9496 says:

    Thank you for your work Tom… hope you guys had a Merry Christmas 🎅

  31. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @ragmanintx says:

    Housing has not come down in the winter post-covid. That's nonsense BS. It might move a bit slower. That said, 2024 will be interesting for housing given its lagging indicator status.

  32. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @skinnymoonbob says:

    Starlink IPO?

  33. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @user-mw2oe6xc7u says:

    Appreciate your time tom, thanks from the uk 🇬🇧

  34. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @BeachCory says:

    Is there a list of potential IPOs somewhere?

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