The U.S. dollar ticked down to a three-month low against peer currencies on Tuesday after slipping overnight on weaker-than-expected new home sales data, while traders hunkered down on bets that the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates in the first half of next year.
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So the Stock Market this week is set up for a pretty solid rally. If everything goes according to plans, let me go ahead and explain exactly what I'm talking about. So one of the Um I would say preferred metrics of measure for the Federal Reserve is Pce prices. Um, and this article does a pretty good job explaining what's kind of going on right now.

So the dollar hangs at a 3-month low as Traders I Pce data, we can scroll on down. One thing that they cover is that the dollar index, a measure of the green back against a basket of currencies, was last at 10311. It's the lowest that's ever been. Uh, lowest since August 31st.

The dollar was on track to lose more than 3% in November the worst performance in a year, right? And then we go a little bit more into it where it talks about anything that brings that Trend into question will change the Outlook. However, the bar for that to happen is high. He added saying that the dollar is likely has more room to fall. So again, what happens if the dollar continues to fall? well again.

Traders Are now eyeing the US Core Personal Consumption Index, which is also known as the Pce, right? What we just talked about: It's an economic report that is going to be released on Thursday 1 hour before the Market opens, right? And one thing that you will see here is it's the Fed's preferred measure of inflation this week. For more confirmation, the inflation of the world's largest economy is slowing, so pretty much this week will determine And and the crazy part is, it's not just that it's this week. If we look at the overall performance for the NASDAQ Market we were coming off of a really strong rally Market Still incredibly bullish, we're above the moving average. We're above the EMA line.

We're kind of slowing down. There's no question about that. we're not really showing signs of continuous progress at these overbought levels. But the Market's not pulling on back and you have to think about it.

Uh, my Lpp team knows I call it one thing and I call it headline momentum. It's anytime that the market or NASDAQ Market is on track to perform well for the week or for the month it rallies just off of those headlines. So this would be for the NASDAQ Market We're coming on to the very end of November and when I say perfect timing I mean it. Look at this.

If you look at the overall breakdown for Thursday November 30th. it's the last trading day of the month and what is going to be reported Pce prices. So if you think that the market can't go higher or finish strong, then again, think again, right? You guys know that I want the market to pull on back I Think that the Market's very overbought and I would love for it to correct itself, not just to be able to short it, but I would love to be able to buy some deals at lower prices. With that being said, I'm not blind to what can possibly happen right? and looking that there's 3 days left, three trading days left for the month that we have Pce prices going to be released on Thursday If this report comes in better than what was expected, which is again the preferred measure for inflation for the Federal Reserve.
So if it comes in better than what what is expected, you cannot be surprised that the market can rally. Now if this comes in worse than what is expected, maybe we'll finally break below the EMA line on this 4-Hour time frame. Since we have not gotten close at all ever since the initial rally right forming higher highs and higher lows, it's been about 3 weeks. We're going on to the fourth week.

Now we're pretty much trading sideways. We shall see. Based off of the long list of economic reports that are going to be released this week, on Tuesday on Wednesday we have GDP seconds estimate and then on Thursday the most important one that's the Federal Reserve's favorite uh, measure of metric for inflation. And that's Pce prices.

So just wanted to make sure that you were aware and I wanted to make sure that you weren't surprised. We call it headline Momentum. It's literally I mean I just I I made it up in the sense of where all these articles and news outlets use. The headline of hey, NASDAQ is on track for a strong performing end of the month and just because of that, the market will rally.

It's kind of like when a stock is close to its all-time highs. Maybe no significant news is shared, but it's just very close to that price point where a bunch of Articles or news outlets bring awareness to that previous all-time high and it just drives more demand to get it past that threshold. That is what we can see happen, especially with a significant economic report like Pce that is going to be released this. Thursday Why is that so significant? Well again, if the market trades like anything like it did today for the next two days, Probably days not worth trading and wasting your day trades and this is why I'm making this video I Want you to be aware of significant economic reports and what can happen even even if the Market doesn't rally.

Let's say the market significantly sells off then great at least. Direction is clear and you saved your day trades for a day. Actually worth trading? We can short the market if it sells off. We can go long with the market if it goes long, but all we want is direction to be clear and for the trade to be worth it.

Today was a very flat day and let's not over complicate it. Yes, it ended slightly in the red, but not really right. I did make a few thousand, Nothing too significant. I'm excited to trade live tomorrow, but we'll see how the overall Market opens as of right now.

NASDAQ Futures are slightly barely in the green and they're holding above 16,000 so we'll see. Will we break below and begin to show progress on the downside? or will we establish a support and continue this strong rally of November So I'll keep you guys up today I Hope to see you for tomorrow's live trading session and friendly reminder We're running our Cyber Monday sale and it ends tonight at midnight. It's 50% off and it's the biggest discount that we will ever offer for Lpp 2.0 It's a onetime payment lifetime access. You'll get to watch me trade live every single day.
And if you've been waiting to join, then again, it's the second link in the description down below. I Appreciate your time and like always, let's make sure that we end the year on a green note. Take care team.

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17 thoughts on “warning dollar is hanging at a 3 month low…”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @grltrader says:

    Hey Ricky. What are your thoughts on slippage in Webull. Are you a limit order trader mostly?

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @vedg2671 says:

    ๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @deadskullie says:

    Day trading is where the pulse of the market truly comes alive! Every moment presents a new opportunity, and for those with the passion and precision, the rewards can be monumental. It's not just about quick trades, but about harnessing the power of the market in real-time. Dive in, seize the moment, and let every trade be a step towards achieving your financial dreams,I've personally benefited from following Cassey Filmoreโ€™s trading tactics, amassing 23 bitcoins in a short seven weeks period of day trading , which speaks volumes about her expertise in the market.

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @christiankentgomez says:

    RBLX, ONON, U, TSLA, PLTR, AMZN, AI, MSFT, AMD, RKLB, QS, and META ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @yohi6130 says:

    You continuously switch between saying time to short then the market doesnโ€™t drop and the days later youโ€™re talking about rallies

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @BCreative12 says:

    Im seeing a lot of companies under "non compliance" category. ๐Ÿฆ–

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @mave4456 says:

    Sooner or later you'll get it right. Like they say no one knows what's going to happen

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @BCreative12 says:

    Plus BRICS additions of countries in new year. ๐Ÿง›๐Ÿผโ€โ™‚๏ธ

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @Jolie-xn1bd says:

    Thanks bud for keeping us financially Educated! Regardless of how bad it gets on the economy, I'm happy I made profits this month while trading independently after studying the market for a while.

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @Huckleberry500 says:

    Waiting for the pullback. VIX at 12.63, could get lower but it's out of my comfort range to swinging any positions.

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @anyonecangetit2293 says:

    Bye im broke anyway๐Ÿ˜‚

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @joewilliams3733 says:

    Ricky is him

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @2love2223 says:

    ๐Ÿ‘

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @Maroboyy2Ss says:

    ๐Ÿซก

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @mahmoudalalawneh says:

    ๐Ÿ‘‹๐Ÿ‘‹๐Ÿ‘‹

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @sunnyd9341 says:

    First

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @ivanrvzo1022 says:

    ๐ŸŽ‰๐ŸŽ‰๐ŸŽ‰๐ŸŽ‰๐ŸŽ‰

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