The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Indexes are available for the U.S. and various geographic areas. Average price data for select utility, automotive fuel, and food items are also available.
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Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, faces a challenging moment as inflation proves more durable than policymakers expected.
The Federal Reserve conducts the nation’s monetary policy to promote maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates in the U.S. economy; promotes the stability of the financial system and seeks to minimize and contain systemic risks through active monitoring and engagement in the U.S. and abroad; promotes the safety and soundness of individual financial institutions and monitors their impact on the financial system as a whole; fosters payment and settlement system safety and efficiency through services to the banking industry and the U.S. government that facilitate U.S.-dollar transactions and payments; and promotes consumer protection and community development through consumer-focused supervision and examination, research and analysis of emerging consumer issues and trends, community economic development activities, and the administration of consumer laws and regulations.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Indexes are available for the U.S. and various geographic areas. Average price data for select utility, automotive fuel, and food items are also available.
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Hey, what's going on Team? It's Ricky So just a quick reminder Tomorrow, we do have that CPI data report. It is going to be one hour before the Market opens and I quickly wanted to talk about Market Expectation. Um, just so you guys, Uh, for those that are unaware, Uh, the CPI report. It's an inflation report that's released every single month.

The great thing about this is that it tells us if inflation is going up or down current rate of inflation is 7.7 and the way that it works Again, it's not always perfect math. but I wanted to show you what the markets uh, consensus expectation is and that's point three percent. So again, there's actually an exact formula on how to calculate it. But I'm just giving you guys a rough number.

The way that it works is the report that's released tomorrow is going to be the report of November right? So it's always prorated. So this report was released in November but it was actually of October. So the way that it works and the way that it's calculated is that we pretty much are going to be taken away because um, we're going to be reporting for the month of November Tomorrow, we're going to be taking away uh, the previous month of November which currently is at point seven percent and then we're going to be adding Whatever Gets reported. I'm just using this as an example.

expectation is point three percent. So with that being the expectation, if we add point three percent, but then we take away Point Uh, seven percent, then obviously we have a difference of 0.4 that is actually taken away from that 7.7 that you see right on over here. So from 7.7 if the report comes in as expected, our inflation rate should be right around that seven point Three percent, meaning that inflation is still actually going down. Now again, the big concern for people is that if inflation is not coming down as quick as expected, and if this report comes in higher than the point three percent, then what does that mean for the market? Um, Market will most likely drop if inflation comes in higher.

But let me explain why. Again, the whole point right now is the Federal Reserve wants the economy to feel the pressure, They want the economy to slow down, and if they continue all of these interest rate hikes, but they see that inflation isn't consistently coming down. Then again, I mean if you look at the actual economic calendar, it's going to be the Fomc rate decision on Wednesday So tomorrow is the CPI data report and then on Wednesday There's the interest rate hike. So if they see that inflation is not coming down as quick than expected, then again, you have to understand the Market's been going up recently because they think that the Federal Reserve will justify a 0.5 interest rate hike instead of the 0.7 five percent.

But if they see that inflation is not coming in coming down slower than expected or quicker than expected, then they will justify be just as aggressive. with that point seven five percent and that within itself will also cause the market to sell off. So again, the way that I would kind of view the market right now is if you were the Federal Reserve Right now, bad news is good news and good news is bad news and all we're really looking for is inflation to actually come down. and therefore the Federal Reserve can justify being less aggressive.
with that interest rate hike, there's going to be Set uh, 2 p.m on Wednesday and again I'll keep you guys up to date on this. So I'll leave it up to you guys. Um, a lot of people have been asking if I'm going to be live streaming that CPI data report if you guys get this video to over 1500 likes uh by the morning I'd be more than happy to host that live stream so as you guys can hear I'm still a little under the weather but also I losing my voice and I can think uh, the karaoke bar in Nashville for that. but if you have any questions, you guys can feel free to reach out to me.

uh, it's going to be via Discord and that's that first link in the description and if you want to be able to watch that uh, live CPA data report live stream again. just make sure you drop a thumbs up, subscribe to the channel and turn on those post notifications. So YouTube alerts you when it is that. Go Live! You want to be able to watch me trade live every single day.

Then again, learn more about our Lpp team and that's that second link in the description. Appreciate your time. We'll see you tomorrow for that! CPI Data report. Um, and like always, let's make sure that we end the year on.

Agree! Now take a digital team.

By Stock Chat

where the coffee is hot and so is the chat

30 thoughts on “urgent new cpi data inflation report expectation…”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Roger Cervantes says:

    thanks very much ricky!

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Mike P says:

    take the day off ….take care of yourself first

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Dean Jewell says:

    Good stocks, but we need more than three stocks to thrive through this dip. Any suggestions on how to make huge returns even in this market dip?

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Brandon Alexander says:

    Oh you want 1500 likes so you’ll go live?? What happened last time when you said “ooooo get this to 1500 likes and I’ll go live I swear oooo” “oops I stayed out late singing Karaoke again so I’m sooo siiiiccckk” why would you say that the federal reserve will be less aggressive If inflation goes down I thought you said good news was bad news and bad news was good news so now it’s good news is good news and bad news is bad news.

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Kingcaesarlol says:

    1.4k likes soooo close XD

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars George Mark says:

    Great work 👍 I keep saying that trading and investing is very profitable and safe with the right help and guidance

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars ba sook says:

    CPI will goes down because USA will face recession/stagflation

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Keng Luck Tan says:

    I think the market will crash no matter what, market already pumped and priced in.

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Nirman Sonar says:

    Will the market go down??

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Cruze says:

    Amazing video and thank you for breaking it down!! Despite the economic downturn, I'm so happy 😊I have been earning $ 60,000 returns from my $7,000 investment every 12days.

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars BtcBoy86 says:

    Bro. not everything is urgent…

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Călin Brănescu says:

    How this will affect Forex markets, for example EURUSD. Will it drop if the % comes higher than expected?

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Mahesh Kokkula says:

    Thanks Ricky!! This is good info.

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Hola! ExauRockz says:

    So if cpi comes in good, the feds will do a .5?

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Juan Narez says:

    Ricky doesn’t reply to comments?

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Gavin Fontenot says:

    What if we get a fed pause right here😂

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Angel The Messenger says:

    I can see inflation going down every time i pump fuel at the pump

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Gavin Fontenot says:

    I think it comes in fairly low, rents declined for the second strait month along with gas. Rent and gas make up more than 50% of cpi and they are both rotating to the downwards tremendously. Mostly due to the fact that everyone is fearful of this looming recession.

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars N8DZN says:

    So these report are released 1hr before the market opens ?

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars EmoORnot278 says:

    Inflation comes in under 7%, market rally to 430? And fed reduce to .50 bps, market rally to 500 end of week? Lol. That seems to be what people think

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Moody8299 says:

    1500? Price is going up. Wasn't a thousand last month?

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Bo Jang says:

    Hey Ricky!! I didn't know you were in Nashville!! Welcome and take it easy!! If you have a chance drop a hello at Bodeli Sushi, 20 mins south of Nashville. 330 Mayfield Drive, D5, Franklin, TN!! I am your fan since few years back, you are my first mentor and wanted to say a shout out!!

  23. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars David Vincent 2nd says:

    What Ricky can sing ? Come on people everyone ask Ricky to lighten things up by putting up himself singing one song . He must of been really belting the notes out to stress his voice . I'm glad he had a good time . Oh almost forgot English please. As far as the report I'm ready to be hit with 1.0 and let's get it over with . Month after month with the anticipation of the report . Then two days later here goes the market back up . Powell needs to realize the market is laughing at what he wants and show em who's boss . Stop telling everyone what he's going to do so everyone seems to think he's got no balls . Anyone that listens to Ricky can make money when the market is up or down . So Come On People Listen To Ricky !

  24. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Investing for beginners Community-Johnny Encinias says:

    a ton of comments and they still dont know what the hell your talking about ricky.

  25. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Coolnetworks says:

    1500 likes is a big ask how about 100 and a tookpick?

  26. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jon C says:

    Thanks Ricky. Don't live stream tomorrow. Get well!

  27. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Hehee says:

    Buying Aecon Group, FedEx and Big Lots 💵🤑🚀

  28. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Francisco Ricardo Vidal Cárdenas says:

    Thanks Ricky!

  29. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Auto Barry says:

    Let’s go!

  30. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars RickyCal says:

    7.7%

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