Loan limits are now increasing to nearly $1 million dollars with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac - here are my thoughts, and what this means for the real estate market of 2022 - Enjoy! Add me on Instagram: GPStephan
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Because the real estate market has skyrocketed to brand new highs, caused by a record shortage of inventory, supply chain delays, and low interest rates…Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are expected to increase their baseline loan limits by 18%, or “to just under $1 million in high-cost markets,” in a way to reflect the current landscape of real estate.
As The WallStreetJournal reports: “The increase may make it easier and cheaper for some borrowers to buy a home, particularly in more expensive areas of the country, but the higher limits are also likely to elevate debate about how big of a mortgage is too big to be backed by the government.”
On the one hand, this gives buyers more room to purchase a home in these current conditions…and given how quickly prices have been rising, the new loan limits would simply “BUMP UP” to match where the market is selling. Not to mention, these higher limits would no longer punish buyers who happen to live in a market where “starter homes” fetch $1 million dollars because Facebook took over…so, in a way - it could be fairly justified.
But, on the other hand...”some housing experts say the expected jump in loan limits raises questions about the appropriate role of the government in housing… and whether taxpayers should effectively backstop sky-high housing prices, when Fannie and Freddie’s market share is already rising.”
PERSONALLY…I’m under the belief that, once the labor and supply chain shortages begin to stabilze..more inventory will come on the market and prices will begin to cool down. As far as WHEN that is going to happen - the Federal Reserve thinks about 18-24 months…but, it’s anyone’s guess…and, the real estate market could remain high for quite some time.
There’s also the talk about 18% of home sales being sold to investors…which, could be a sign that people are worried about rising inflation and want to hedge their position with low interest rate real estate…but, it could also just as easily be a sign that investors are buying properties for the sole purpose of fixing them up, and then immediately re-selling them back to an owner-user in a highly competitive market… so, who knows to what extent investors are really buying properties.
Either way…larger loans could be seen as a temporary solution, but - at some point - the real issue needs to be addressed, which is the fact that more homes need to be built to satisfy demand.
In terms of what YOU can do about it…honestly, the best course of action is to simply wait until you find the right deal, only buy with the intention of holding for at least 7-10 years, lock in fixed rate 30 year mortgage…and, no matter what…smash the like button.
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For business or one-on-one real estate investing/real estate agent consulting inquiries, you can reach me at GrahamStephanBusiness @gmail.com
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By Stock Chat

where the coffee is hot and so is the chat

24 thoughts on “The housing market is about to go insane”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Bob says:

    Just kicking the can down the road again. Trying to make the economy grow by pumping more artificial money into it via larger loans to more people. Who the hell is sleeping at the wheel.

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars hockeyhalod says:

    Much like College… Yay. Larger loans -> Higher tuition -> more administrators and less money for teachers. So fucked up.

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Alex Arnold says:

    Banks would love a 40 year loan and a higher mortgage. Becoming increasingly harder to buy a house cash

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars brasus says:

    Graham, geico commercials were my favorite… until you have started yours :)) good work, man! keep it up!

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Senior Housing Analyst says:

    As a noted economist stated so eloquently, "A house is a rapidly depreciating asset that empties your wallet every day it owns you." …. he's right.

    Redmond, WA Housing Prices Crater 19% YOY As Seattle Price Meltdown Accelerates

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars klevis bela says:

    isnt this how a crash happens? higher limits and people wont be able to afford it? or not a big enough to crash the market

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars rudy ls says:

    2008 CRIS REMAKE WITH MORE FX & CGI. THERE WILL BE BLOOD. AND VAMPIRES, BUGS & MOSQUITOS ARE GETTING READY.

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars zumbasusana says:

    Best video ever, i haven’t laughed this hard since before covid times 🤣🤣🤣🤣 I’m gonna tell my kids those dudes were Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac 🤣🤣🤣🤣 💀

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jason k. says:

    Wow, total disconnect from the real economics. In comparison the price/rate of non conforming loans are much higher rate and lower property evaluations. This is definitely not a capitalistic move by big government.

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Megan Wong says:

    Dangerous when US Biden Admin is corrupt, bankrupt, and steal from Paul(pauper) to pay Sam (uncle), and enslave US with a collapsing currency, during an unhealthy crisis , economic meltdown of useless, jobless, homeless, worthles$, inflationary recession and depression. (Zil low).

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Marc Spunt says:

    Pressing the like button costs me a monthly fee for YT premium, but so worth it, not how does that affect what you get from me when I watch a video from you? Great vid!

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Justhumbleme Clarke says:

    Isn't this the same guy that was just saying home prices are about to go down? Smh

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Susan Jones says:

    Great stuff. I started watching your videos last year as a beginner before giving stock market a trial. I was able to make $46,000 with a capital of $8,000. Please keep it up

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars kwai shiu says:

    And the maintenance fees for some coops and condos in some states can be upward of over $2,000/month on top of one's mortgage and other costs, so the cost of maintaining a home can be very expensive ……….

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars D F says:

    So you're saying that the government is encouraging risky home loans. This sounds familiar. I'm sure nothing bad will happen.

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Bartłomiej Jabłoński says:

    "Private companies probably will be more restricted in who they are loaning money too"
    Lol. But in the end you got private banks that are loaning money. Put restrictions on the banks for God sake. If you will privatise Fannie and Freddie I can bet that in few years they will issue instruments similar to CTO or CDO or something else and you will end with much bigger problem.
    Also tax the rich. They are making this market bad. I don't know how it looks in USA, but in Europe real estate funds and companies renting estates via Airbnb were responsible for the higher prices before 2021.

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars wilsonatore says:

    It's just like skyrocketing tuition prices fueled by government backed student loans. It's almost as if anytime the government gets involved everything becomes more expensive. Weird…

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Aaron Byrne says:

    So you can get a home equity loan even though you don't have much income. They get cash to keep the economy.going, but they will run out.

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars chhayank harjai says:

    Why the hell americans just build new houses like in other countries around the world?
    Hire some constructors to build the house or better get into construction business yourself and make a fortune.
    This is the very opportunity every constructor/builder looks for that people will pay for building their own house tahn renting or buying a shithole of a building.

    Someone enlighten me why people don't hire constructors in america and live better than buying properties?

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars John Merlino says:

    Have patience and hold off from buying homes. There are 98m Babyboomers (of our 325m pop) in the US, with 80% being home owners. That's 75m homes. I believe Babyboomers were born from 1949 – 1963 and as we age, homes will come available as these Americans age out. Plenty of home supply across ~5 to 25 years. We are in extreme asset bubbles that will pop soon as we enter a recession in early 2022. End the Fed, they are the criminals propping up the real estate/stock/bond market & inflation with huge monthly bond purchases. Remember Inflation = Taxation. The biggest wealth transfer in history at the peril of the poor and middleclass. Make everyone a renter in 2022!

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Tokyo Jon says:

    Graham, The Fed will raise interest rates soon, and yet you did not even mention its impact on the housing market. I heard that raising interest rates will soften the market. And, naturally, I heard the other side of this argument ……………………………………. I keep getting more and more confused.

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Alix Goldpoint says:

    If labour is what you seek ya need to get rid of ye countries m*th and de*th issues

  23. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Defund Hollywood says:

    investors buying property because you will own nothing and be happy. welcome to the new world order courtesy of klaus schwab

  24. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars nvncblife says:

    Great video Graham. I'd love to hear your thoughts on how this will affect rent prices. If more people can buy, does that mean less people wanting the same apartment? What about the potential 40 year loan? Since mortgage payments would drop, will rental prices follow suit?

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