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THE END OF MORTGAGE FORBEARANCE:
Even though over 4.2 million homeowners originally paused their mortgage payments…as of now, 18 months later….1 million of those remain, with a small portion of them STILL eligible for a final 6-month extension if they chose.
In terms of foreclosures - they found that 23% of those borrowers either sold their home or refinanced their mortgages to make them more affordable, 7% are in active loss mitigation with their lender, 3% are delinquent after their forbearance expired…and 38,000 are in active foreclosure, even WITH the real estate market surging to all time highs.
They theorize that this is partly due to an overly competitive and expensive real estate market that leaves homeowners with nowhere to go in the event they need to sell.
But, in terms of what you can do about this, and whether or not the market can actually crash this year…here’s what we know, FOR SURE:
One, the vast majority of tenants are still paying their rent.
The National Multifamily Housing Council found the 93-95% of tenants are paying their rent in full by the end of the month, and this is only 1-2% LESS than prior to the pandemic. That leads me to believe that, most likely, rents will continue trending higher throughout the next year.
Two, building materials are back up thanks to worsening supply chain shortages.
Apparently, so many people started buying the dip that the demand pushed prices BACK UP…so, it could be another year or two until things begin to normalize - and that will be reflected in housing values.
Three, in terms of seeing a wave of foreclosures… Ninety-eight percent of borrowers in active forbearance have at least 10% equity in their homes…compared to the Great Recession, where only 40% had that much equity.
….so, basically…we aren’t going to see many foreclosures, AT ALL..because, there’s nothing to foreclose on.
Fourth, Interest Rates are likely to increase.
Even though, recently…they’ve actually been going DOWN…the FED has made it clear that they intend to combat rising inflation by slowly raising rates throughout 2022…and, as I mentioned earlier…that has the potential to impact housing VALUES as the cost of a loan gets a little more expensive.
My ENTIRE Camera and Recording Equipment:
https://www.amazon.com/shop/grahamstephan?listId=2TNWZ7RP1P1EB
For business or one-on-one real estate investing/real estate agent consulting inquiries, you can reach me at GrahamStephanBusiness @gmail.com
Graham Stephan receives cash compensation from Wealthfront Advisers LLC (“Wealthfront Advisers”) for sponsoredadvertising materials. Graham Stephan is not a client and this is a paid endorsement. Graham Stephan andWealthfront Advisers are not associated with one another and have no formal relationship outside of thisarrangement. Nothing in this communication should be construed as a solicitation, offer, or recommendation, to buyor sell any security. Any links provided by Graham Stephan are not intended to imply that Wealthfront Advisers or itsaffiliates endorses, sponsors, promotes and/or is affiliated with the owners of or participants in those sites, orendorses any information contained on those sites, unless expressly stated otherwise. Investment management andadvisory services are provided by Wealthfront, an SEC registered investment adviser. All investing involves risk,including the possible loss of money you invest, and past performance does not guarantee future performance.
*Some of the links and other products that appear on this video are from companies which Graham Stephan will earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus. Graham Stephan is part of an affiliate network and receives compensation for sending traffic to partner sites. The content in this video is accurate as of the posting date. Some of the offers mentioned may no longer be available. This is not investment advice. Public Offer valid for U.S. residents 18+ and subject to account approval. There may be other fees associated with trading. See Public.com/disclosures/
GET YOUR FREE STOCK WORTH UP TO $1000 ON PUBLIC & SEE MY STOCK TRADES - USE CODE GRAHAM: http://www.public.com/graham
NEW BANKROLL COFFEE NOW FOR SALE: http://www.bankrollcoffee.com
DOWNLOAD MY NEW FINANCIAL APP: https://hungrybull.page.link/graham
THE NEW PODCAST: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCMSYZVlQmyG8_2MkIKzg0kw
The YouTube Creator Academy:
Learn EXACTLY how to get your first 1000 subscribers on YouTube, rank videos on the front page of searches, grow your following, and turn that into another income source: https://the-real-estate-agent-academy.teachable.com/p/the-youtube-creator-academy/?product_id=1010756&coupon_code=100OFF - $100 OFF WITH CODE 100OFF
THE END OF MORTGAGE FORBEARANCE:
Even though over 4.2 million homeowners originally paused their mortgage payments…as of now, 18 months later….1 million of those remain, with a small portion of them STILL eligible for a final 6-month extension if they chose.
In terms of foreclosures - they found that 23% of those borrowers either sold their home or refinanced their mortgages to make them more affordable, 7% are in active loss mitigation with their lender, 3% are delinquent after their forbearance expired…and 38,000 are in active foreclosure, even WITH the real estate market surging to all time highs.
They theorize that this is partly due to an overly competitive and expensive real estate market that leaves homeowners with nowhere to go in the event they need to sell.
But, in terms of what you can do about this, and whether or not the market can actually crash this year…here’s what we know, FOR SURE:
One, the vast majority of tenants are still paying their rent.
The National Multifamily Housing Council found the 93-95% of tenants are paying their rent in full by the end of the month, and this is only 1-2% LESS than prior to the pandemic. That leads me to believe that, most likely, rents will continue trending higher throughout the next year.
Two, building materials are back up thanks to worsening supply chain shortages.
Apparently, so many people started buying the dip that the demand pushed prices BACK UP…so, it could be another year or two until things begin to normalize - and that will be reflected in housing values.
Three, in terms of seeing a wave of foreclosures… Ninety-eight percent of borrowers in active forbearance have at least 10% equity in their homes…compared to the Great Recession, where only 40% had that much equity.
….so, basically…we aren’t going to see many foreclosures, AT ALL..because, there’s nothing to foreclose on.
Fourth, Interest Rates are likely to increase.
Even though, recently…they’ve actually been going DOWN…the FED has made it clear that they intend to combat rising inflation by slowly raising rates throughout 2022…and, as I mentioned earlier…that has the potential to impact housing VALUES as the cost of a loan gets a little more expensive.
My ENTIRE Camera and Recording Equipment:
https://www.amazon.com/shop/grahamstephan?listId=2TNWZ7RP1P1EB
For business or one-on-one real estate investing/real estate agent consulting inquiries, you can reach me at GrahamStephanBusiness @gmail.com
Graham Stephan receives cash compensation from Wealthfront Advisers LLC (“Wealthfront Advisers”) for sponsoredadvertising materials. Graham Stephan is not a client and this is a paid endorsement. Graham Stephan andWealthfront Advisers are not associated with one another and have no formal relationship outside of thisarrangement. Nothing in this communication should be construed as a solicitation, offer, or recommendation, to buyor sell any security. Any links provided by Graham Stephan are not intended to imply that Wealthfront Advisers or itsaffiliates endorses, sponsors, promotes and/or is affiliated with the owners of or participants in those sites, orendorses any information contained on those sites, unless expressly stated otherwise. Investment management andadvisory services are provided by Wealthfront, an SEC registered investment adviser. All investing involves risk,including the possible loss of money you invest, and past performance does not guarantee future performance.
*Some of the links and other products that appear on this video are from companies which Graham Stephan will earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus. Graham Stephan is part of an affiliate network and receives compensation for sending traffic to partner sites. The content in this video is accurate as of the posting date. Some of the offers mentioned may no longer be available. This is not investment advice. Public Offer valid for U.S. residents 18+ and subject to account approval. There may be other fees associated with trading. See Public.com/disclosures/
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Graham!! you have a tuxedo cat!!! well obviously everyone should subscribe because how can you not love a guy with a tuxedo kitty? 😉
Investing in stocks or real estates are very good ideas though real estate investment seems a bit more complex. Who else is in line with me?
<<I HAVE BEEN MAKING LOSSES TRADING MYSELF…I THOUGHT TRADING ON DEMO ACCOUNT IS JUST LIKE TRADING THE REAL MARKET… CAN ANYONE HELP ME OUT OR AT LEAST ADVICE ME ON WHAT TO DO?>>
I am looking forward to the real estate collapse. Maybe I can finally own a home
The end of mortgage forbearance… time for buyers to come in
Yup, so those of us who don't own real estate will get screwed yet again, not only by inflation, but by higher rents, and the moving target of buying moving further and further away.
do you ever offer advice for people just starting out? I am going to search your past videos, but I am trying to get things going and it's confusing and would be awesome to have a guide for how to start.
401k limits, roth, ira roth, ira, hsa, stocks etc. how to max things out first and where to spread the rest. any help would be great. Love your videos
Don't people have to make ALL those back payments after Mortgage forbearance is lifted? If they couldn't pay it before how the heck are they going to pay when it's lifted?
-80% cyber attack by Israel and the United States 🇺🇸 to collapse entire electronic banking system. February
you as well as many others have been talking about the forbearance ending for the last 1.5 years. End of 2020? Beginning of 2021? Oh it got extended again? End of 2021. 2022. it’s been quite a waiting game
Big business and brokers are grabbing up houses for profit. That's your shortage. They are jacking up prices at least 110G with out doing much. Offering cash at full asking price….so they get the house. Then renting or have a ton of airbnbs….or they are empty and are just equity for them. Zillow is the major buyer…I've been told.
Amazing video! But how come no one is talking about this mans gainz? 💪🏽
Do not buy in these bubbles and see how fast things will drop
Click bait. Banner says how market is going down 50 percent and what one needs to do and then say that nothing is going to change.
My speculation is their won’t be a major 2008 crash, the masses believe a once in a lifetime housing market crash will happen again and I believe that will not be the case. The opposite of what that masses think usually tends to happen.
Sold my house this Friday, right before the forbearance ended, made a nice penny also 😊
This is just so incredibly depressing, I'm going to leave America.
If you’re a cash flow investor a market dip doesn’t matter, if you do your research and only do good deals that is
The funny thing is that I am in Asia now and there isn’t major supply chain issues. We either buy too many foreign goods in the USA or it’s all a big hoax by retail to make up for dismal sales in 2020. Plenty of cars for sale in Asia at below msrp
Santa Rosa, CA Housing Prices Crater 16% YOY As Rampant Apraisal Fraud Blankets Sonoma County
I tired of this guy
Unsubscribed
Same crap
Look at milk, meat, eggs all prices gone up at least 15-20%, so I bet inflation will keep driving house prices up and ⬆️
I went to take a piss when he started to shill whatever it is he is shilling on this vidja.
Just sell your house, live in a shack for a few years, and you can buy back in when the housing markets at a stable value
You also said the stock market would crash
Yeah, but I paid Less than 40K for a condo and I no longer have to rent or pay mortgage… only HOA… if the condo is cheap enough all that other stuff goes out the window.
The advice is a little confusing… If your paying alot now and your going to pay more next year due to price increase and rate hikes, what's the advice to buy homes? Wait a few years?
I like Graham but the title “housing market about to go crazy” was the complete opposite of the video.
Don't the mortgage forbearances expire this month? Won't there be a lot of foreclosures pumping up the supply?
so… redfin thinks current homeowners are waiting for interest rates to RISE before they sell?
Goofs..
Bubble! This is inflation and not a good thing. Even for those in the market, yes you can sell hire but it also cost more to purchase a new property……
They didnt pause payments they only applied. Only a few people exercised forbearance… won't be a factor. The cost of materials is high due to supply issues and inflation. Home price increases will slow down but not decrease.
Graham take a look at demographics and the number of people of average home buying age. Very revealing to understand the recent rise of demand and how demand will really fall in next two years. A great book on the subject is ‘Boom, Bust and Echo’ by DavidFoot (actually a very good read).
If both homee prices and/or home renting are rising without same rate of increase in salaries, where new generations going to live?
Real estate is going UP! UP! UP! and the crash is not coming anytime soon! Credit is cheap and easy to get and will fuel the economy until credit is expensive and hard to get.