The stock market is about to go into full on bull run but there is a caveat. The next few months are going to extremely positive for growth stocks, but what's coming next is quite alarming.
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Okay, so something huge earth shattering happened yesterday, but it was disguised and completely camouflaged and almost nobody picked up on that and i think that's the beginning of a crazy development. You absolutely want to hear about this, isn't clickbait i mean it. I have something huge. So don't click, nothing, don't smash, nothing don't buy.

Nothing! Don't do anything. Just listen to me. Put everything to the side. I'm gon na tell you right now.

First of all, the bottom line is always first in my videos, so i see a huge change in the timeline that i had in my mind. As you remember from my previous videos, i told you that we still have more room to go down, because the fed still has to come out and say well we're raising interest rates. So this is not the bottom. I said it multiple times now, based on what happened yesterday, i'm completely changing my mind.

I think we're past the bottom point and we're about to see a huge run if you want to figure out how exactly and if you want to put my theory to the test, you got to listen to it. But if that's the only thing you needed, that's it so check this out. I'm going to give you my theory and then we can talk about it later. So, as you remember, for the past year and a half, we had pretty much la la land, zero percent interest 5.5 trillion dollars pumped into the market insane.

That obviously led to a huge money supply huge demand for goods and services. And if you add coverage shortages and supply chain, issues to that that created massive inflationary pressures, in fact, right now, based on the latest data, where the 40-year high with seven percent inflation, things are slowly spiraling out of control. Now, on november, we finally saw a change now, the fed, throughout this entire time, lagged behind inflation and to be fair to the fed. That's not really their fault.

The fed, by definition, is a reactionary organization. They play defense, so they got to react. It is what it is, but to the credit of the people who actually criticized the fed, they did lag more than they had to. In fact they played really bad defense.

I mean it was like james harden defense, not the best, but in november everything changed more hawkish fed comes out. Jerome powell basically retires the word transitory and the fed changes the way they talk, the way they think and what they communicate and that sent the stock market spiraling down growth stocks went 50, 60, 17 down from the highs, and now we got to this point where Everything completely changed because what happened yesterday was a massive massive game changer, because i always said that this is not the end, because the fed is still kind of. Oh we're, not sure what we're going to do. It's going to be minor rates, blah blah blah, but i told you with inflation, so high they're going to have to push out high rates, and i told you that i think it's going to happen within the next two to three months.

However, what happened yesterday - and this was not an accident completely changes - my mind - that the fed is going to kick the can down the road and we're about to see a good six months of an insane bull run in the market across the board, but mainly in Specific areas which i'm going to tell you about in a second so a few days ago, john powell gave his latest speech and he was famously kind of sluggish. He was tentative, he was passive, he basically said. Well, i don't know, we'll see what happens the market interpreted, it is uncertainty and then the stock market, especially the growth sector, went even deeper down. But what happened yesterday basically changed the entire interpretation of what jerome powell said and completely changes my mind as far as the schedule of how this thing is going to play out.
So yesterday we had a coordinated, orchestrated pr move by the fed three fed officials same day. That's not an accident, come out and say the same thing. We had esther george from kansas city. We had thomas barking from richard and mary daley from san francisco all come out and say the same thing with different words.

We probably don't need to raise as much interest rates as we initially thought now couple that the coordinated attack, basically to let people know hey things are not as bad as they seem carry on. Everything is fine. You couple that with what happened in the bond market in the last few months, i think that we're about to see a massive bull run, because the bond market for the past six months is up from 1.1 to 1.75 for the 10-year bond, a 60 increase in The interest rate for the 10-year bond now that, in essence, is kind of the bond market carrying the load for the fed. In fact, it seems like the more market is basically doing the fed job to an extent.

But you have to couple that with what the fed officials said yesterday and they all came out yesterday morning and said the same thing which basically caused people to realize. What's going on here, the fed is basically admitting that they're going to kick the can down the road, and that basically means that that interest rate spike that we actually are anticipating is not going to happen for the next six months now check this out this. On its own, isn't enough, you had to have a triggering event that was enough just to push it down the road a little bit, but what sparked the you know the gasoline. Well, yesterday, we had a lot of shorts starting to cover because over the past few weeks, because everything was so down, a lot of shorting activity was in the market and after the fed officials came out and said what they said that sent the stock market.

A little bit up, causing a lot of shorts to cover basically creating this snowball effect, sending that spark plug up and the stock market up. That's exactly what happened yesterday, of course, there's other contributing factors like bill ackman, putting a billion dollars into netflix, basically, betting on tech, there's, obviously a lot of stuff happening. That's not just one thing, but there were a lot of little catalysts that caused the beginning of this run. Now here's what's going to happen now.
The fed definitely chose the easy solution now, with the bond rates being so high. They could just sit back and relax for another six months. We don't have to do. We basically can relax.

Maybe the problem would solve itself. Obviously, we know that's not gon na happen, but for the next six months, we're about to see the s p 500 go ballistic. I think it's going to go way up than 4 500, probably by the end of the six months, we're going gon na see 5500 mark my words. Unfortunately, this bull run will have to come to an end because it's completely artificial.

At the end of this six months, we're still going to have the same problems, we're still going to have a high inflation. Probably about that point, eight eight and a half - maybe nine percent inflation in six months, with the pace that it's going right now. We're still gon na have the same supply chain shortages, the same problems and the fed will still have to come out and raise interest rates. They can't run from it forever.

Eventually, this is about to catch up and once it catches up with them in six months. It's gon na be much worse than doing it today, it's like going to the dentist, if you postpone it, it's gon na get worse. This is exactly what's gon na happen, so we're gon na have an easy six months, crazy run, but then the fed will basically have to say well we're looking at nine percent inflation, we have to raise interest rates and at that point the euphoria combustion is going To be insane, you remember when you were kid and your parents would go out of town and you throw this crazy party, invite everybody go ballistic, but then the parents come back early and they walk in and then the speed at which everybody flees, the house and You're there, all alone in front of your parents is probably 30 seconds, and that is the speed at which the stock market is going to combust. This euphoria is going to pop like a crazy bubble and unfortunately, that's going to result in a massive pullback in the s p.

500, probably 20 to 30. Maybe even more percentage point it's going to be pretty painful. Now it's not all bad news, because if we know this, we can actually play it to our advantage, but this is exactly how i'm going to play this and again. This is not financial advice.

I'm just sharing with you my opinion in my strategy, you got ta. Do your research, i'm not a financial advisor decide for yourself. This might be wrong. This might be ramblings of a madman.

Who knows this might be a bunch of google nonsense so check for yourself research for yourself, but this is how i'm gon na play the next six months. I know there's certain things that are absolute truths, so gross stocks, especially the kathy wood arc type of stocks, are insanely battered the most despicable corner in the stock market. Right now and obviously that's the case - those kind of stocks are going to pull up way faster than value stocks. Now, there's one thing i also know we still have massive inflationary pressures and devaluation of the dollar.
We also know that the inflationary pressures in that six month period isn't going to stop. In fact, it's going to intensify so gold and silver and bitcoin are going to go up as inflationary hedges same thing for real estate. So this is kind of the areas where you're going to see the most amount of upside in the six months. But if you don't want a headache, if you just want to enjoy it, you probably can put it in the s p 500 and write it out from 4 500 to 5500, maybe even higher and just cash out on time before the collapse.

Who knows it's? Your decision - it's not mine, i'm probably going to split it between all of these, in kind of a pro rather area just to have exposure to all of them. Now, there's one thing you need to understand: we're. Definitely due for crash the last time we had a massive crash is 2008.. If you go back in history, there's a cyclicality to the market and passed due even for a crash.

So right now the stars are aligning. However, the good part is that, unlike 2008, this is predictable and this is actually a money-making opportunity, in my opinion, but again i'm ready to hear other opinions. Let me know in the comments below, if you agree or disagree, if you want to join the patreon five bucks per month and you get to participate in our amazing zoom calls and just have fun with us and support the channel. Thank you for the members.

Thank you for patreons, we'll see you tomorrow.

By Stock Chat

where the coffee is hot and so is the chat

30 thoughts on “Massive stock market update this changes everything”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Just1Dude says:

    Open question to fellow subs, what about the 5 trillion that was printed? Wouldn't we see a substantial market increase due to liquidity influx? More than what we have seen so far?

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Mathew S says:

    He's just trying to create a bull run before midterm so Joe has a chance

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Zid says:

    Hate to point out the obvious, but if a stock market crash is obvious and predictable a stock market crash isn't going to occur.

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Richiro Productions says:

    basically my thinking- 6 mos and sell for inflationary prep after buying this week when they said "thing okay". Going to be a very interseting year.

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Christer BrΓ€nnstrΓΆm says:

    "This is not click bait".. ..goes ahead presenting it as clickbait.. ..turns out to be clickbait:)…

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Travis Martinson says:

    My portfolio is looking pretty good today. Bought some more precious metals etfs yesterday while the prices were down and the defense etf I bought several weeks ago is back in the green. I’m mostly betting on defense contractors and precious metals now. My Auro warrants are even coming up today and my Sirius call option looks like it’s going to be in the money soon. My TQQQ hit my floating stop loss at the end of last year and I haven’t bought back in yet. I’m waiting for Tech to hit the bottom and don’t want to try and catch a falling knife. I need to see more than just a couple of up days and passing previous swing high before I’m buying back in. Hope my insight will help someone.

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Mohamed Addani says:

    Tom, you are legend and we appreciate your insightful analysis. I always click and smash everything the moment i see your videos.

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Chris Alvarez says:

    This is probably to partially save Biden and the Democratic Party come this November !

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars AJ Taheri says:

    Good point to consider but remember this is an election year and you don't want any sort of planned crash right b4 Nov. !!!

    I think the can may be kicked a bit further !!!! πŸ˜†

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars rene topeka says:

    don't you think market will have another correction around march?

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars supersonic says:

    I wouldn't call his titles clickbait, sure it might grab more viewers, but all his videos have actual substance which makes the difference. And this was another informative video, if the titles get more views and give more people more knowledge what is the problem??

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Reel Hawks Studio says:

    Top dog Tom. So glad I have been listening to your non-sense presentations. Thanks!

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Eddy Kruissink says:

    Come on guys, Tom quit his job for this, he sells nothing he doesn’t want you to buy or click. Only click his video’s, it’s worth your while, even the clickbaity titles!

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jeff P says:

    I have come find that the only thing that controls the markets is when I buy or sell. When I buy, it goes down. As soon as I sell, it goes up. This seems to be right about 95% of the time.

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars ERPro ERPro says:

    1 – Inflation will normalize organically, rate hikes will be 3-4 times and that's it
    2 – Bull run, probably yes, there are not really too many problems with macro in general, just expectation of this rate rise
    3 – Shortage will over this year

    If you're investor – just invest

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars brakmaster says:

    Tom I'm not that smart to predict or time anything so I'll just continue to DCA into my portfolio. I'm playing the long game.

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Tae-keun Lee says:

    So you will sell everything when it is peak euphoria and the sp500 had its bullrun? So you will try to time the market like meetkevin? Btw we already had a massive stock market crash in 2020, when eventually the fed stepped in and helped the economy

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Raymond says:

    The inflation may very well solve itself without monetary policy changes. China is looking down the barrel of one of the largest fianancial disasters phathomable right now and you already see commodity prices plummeting. Within the next several months, commodity prices will continue to fall along with economic growth. As china attempts to pick up the pieces of their economy as a result of many issues they are currently facing, they will essentially be forced to increase exports of raw materials as they will have decreasinh local production as demand plummets. This will even further lower commodity prices as many commodities are major imports from china. This will cause deflationary pressure here in the us and prices of goods fall.

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Cameron Vincent says:

    Had money saved for a 100 shares of pltr at 10-11$ hopping it will dip at earnings in a couple weeks

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Aaron Pate says:

    This argument about the FED being more hawkish is nothing short of comical. The FED may have begun their paper but they are still pumping more liquidity into the markets. The correct statement would be that the FED has become less dovish

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Peter J-S says:

    Do you think the midterm elections have anything to do with the Feds "kicking the can"?

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Zach DeCarlo says:

    So far out of all the people on YouTube that voice their opinions on the market, Tom has been pretty spot on. His thought process is incredibly different than all the other guys.
    I respect the hustle of everyone, but for now Tom’s opinion definitely has the most weight for me.

  23. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Moonbeam Magic says:

    Wow, well, that’s good news in short term at least. Thanks for your assessment and opinion.

  24. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jon Moseley says:

    Ha, ha! Tom, just before watching your video I postponed my upcoming dental appointment. Spooky. I am always glad to hear anything that sounds like a growth stock bull market. Hope you are right again.

  25. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars LeJuan Williams says:

    You probably made this video before announcement of BOE raising interest rates back to back for first time since 2004. Does this change anything for the Fed Reserve?

  26. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars laxman87 says:

    So this is a 6 month bull run can kick before the correction that should be happening? Or am I off base with this synopsis.

  27. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars RJ says:

    How many times can one say β€œbut what happened yesterday” before a viewer gets impatient…I think I started skipping forward after the third time

  28. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Rick Rosales says:

    Energy prices went up in Jan. I think Febs CPI data release will make ppl hesitate and slow this rally. But we will see I guess. Yay for green days!

  29. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Johnson Jame says:

    We are not overdue for a crash a major crash happens about one time every 25-30years and since 2000 technically we have had 3 (tech bubble, 2008, covid)

  30. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Alex Mangani says:

    Tom,
    FYI, I am ignoring any YouTube videos entitled, β€œThis Changes Everything!” or β€œThis is Huge!” These are nothing more than clickbait. Unsubscribing you.

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