So this is everything that you need to know about today's interest rate. Like what's going on team it's working here with Techman Solutions I Hope that you guys are all having an amazing Wednesday Let's go ahead and get right into it. So again, today, December 14th, 2022 there is a rate hike from the Federal Reserve As you guys can see, uh, expectation was 4.25 to 4.5 percent and that is exactly what we reported. So if that's exactly what we reported, then why did the market sell off, right? So we we have this overall breakdown.

I'm actually going to in the comments section link this statement from the Federal Reserve So you guys have access to this yourself, right? I Don't just want you guys to rely on my Channel I Want you guys to do your own due diligence and feel free to read all through this again. there's going to be an FMC minutes meeting that's going to be in about two to three weeks and that will be recapping. Um, pretty much just. um.

why exactly they decided on the 0.5 interest rate hike instead of 0.75 or instead of 0.25 Uh, we even live streamed it on this channel. We live streamed the Market's reaction. Um, it did catch some of us by surprise. I Even think that if you shorted the market, it probably caught you by surprise because if being completely honest I mean I expected today to be a very significant day.

Either very aggressive in the green or very aggressive in the red and it was neither one of those right? I Think it's because we did report the 0.5 percent interest rate hike, but it's the number of interest rate hikes for 2023 that were more than expected. and that's why the market ended up selling off. So if you're asking that question, why is it that you know Market still ended up selling off. There's an expectation that the Federal Reserve was going to be less aggressive and not raise interest rates as much, especially after that.

CPI data report A lot of you guys know Uh, based off of the CPI data report that was released literally yesterday, this was November uh for the November 22, Um or 2022. uh CPI data report which is the inflation rate. inflation was expected to be anywhere from 7.3 to 7.4 and it actually came in at 7.1 Core inflation came in lower than expected at six percent and that was huge, right? I mean uh, the market speaks for itself. Where during that pre-market session, uh, QQQ took off and it gapped up 15 I Thought that was really, uh, setting the standard and setting the pace for today.

Uh, but obviously it just was not the case. I Think it's because we received good news and bad news. or it's not even that we received good use. It's a received, You know, the rate at what we expected at Um, that was good, but we just didn't expect that many into what what it is that was actually stated uh in that Fomc statement, right? Uh, They talked about uh, doing a total of um, a 0.75 interest rate hike uh for 2023 and one of questions, you guys don't have to re-watch it, but it's in one of the live streams from earlier today.

Uh, we live stream the entire thing on One of the journalists asked the question of you know for those point seven, five percent interest rate, are you gonna do them You know early on are you they're going to be you know, spread out in 0.25 and Jerome Powell obviously um, he just he doesn't know, right? A Lot of people get offended because he doesn't give direct answers of well, we're going to do one in January Then we're going to do a point five percent in March right? It's not that black and right, Uh, black and white. Uh, it's all based off of um, the overall understanding of, you know, and he said himself in the speech right? Um, in today's conversation where um, he openly said, if you know economic data begins to support that the economy is slowing down, then yes, they can be more soft with these interest rate hikes. But if economic debt is coming in hotter than expected meaning that it's not really slowing down, then remember the whole purpose of the Federal Reserve is for them to slow down the economy and to drop inflation And that's what they're going to continue to work on, right? Um, so I'm at least happy that it was a 0.5 interest rate hike. It is a positive takeaway.

We're still trading within that same range on that four hour time frame. Very easy to see the overall lows of 280 overall highs of 295. we broke above it for a little bit, right? Uh, that was, uh, that was yesterday. But we haven't been able to hold above it and make higher highs.

so we'll see. We'll see if the market continues to Rally if the market continues to make higher highs and higher lows. And one of the things that I did want to make sure that you guys were aware is there's a handful of reports economic reports that are set to be released tomorrow, and pretty much half of them are all one hour before the Market opens. There's the initial claims report, continuing Claims report.

If you're part of Lpp, you should know what that is. and then there's a retail sales and Retail Auto Sales which again, we've broken down many times before, but all of these reports will be released tomorrow and then on. Friday We have the prelim reports for the PMI so again, more reports to come. They do affect the market some more than others at the end of the day.

Um, I think today's takeaway. Uh, even after this rate hike, right? our CPI data report, we've gone through it. This rate hike markets aren't completely crashing and that's a good thing, right? 7.1 percent inflation rate is still definitely not where we want to be. It's still very high, but it's progress and that's why I Believe that the market should go up.

But just because something? that just because I think something's gonna happen, it doesn't mean that it will, right? So we're all here to wait for confirmation if we break above. I'll add more to my long-term plays if we break below. I'll reduce my position size. you know there's no reason to be hopeful about something and then enter crediting it later down the road.

Watch that position size manage that risk and at the end of the day, if you're you know if you view it to be too risky to take the trade. one of the best things that you can do is maybe even stay cash and just you know, wait for direction to be more clear, right? So if you have any questions I Hope that you guys know that you guys can always reach out to me and that's going to be. uh, if it's a trading related question, send me a direct message via Discord and that's that first link in the description. or send me a direct message via Instagram If it's about anything else and that's that, they're linked down below.

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