Tim bowen is cancelled. Here's why what's going on guys, my name is bryce toohey and i am your host of the tui talk, show: listen, i'm not canceling tim bowen, tim bowen, canceled on me. Can you believe it don't get wrong he's a busy guy. I get it he's got some stuff going on he's going to be my guest next week.

We're going to be recording, don't worry. Tim bone is not actually canceled. Tim bowen's, like literally one of my favorite people on the planet by the way um. However, that being said, it's actually going to be just me today, so you have, you know a good amount of time with just bryce toohey who doesn't like some price tooie time.

Am i right. I know i love me. I hope you guys do too well without further uh adieu. Is that it further ado? Well yeah yeah, i think that's right.

Let's get right into the talk, show already talking about a few things today, obviously guys the russia, ukraine thing. Still it's just getting crazier. By the day i mean every single day. You think putin couldn't do something crazier.

He does we're just gon na keep the fingers crossed that it doesn't escalate anything too wild um and today i actually want to kind of talk about the wild, not necessarily just the small cap market we went through, but really what is a bubble? What defines a bubble um and how you can kind of spot that and it sounds self-explanatory. But it really is a cycle that you need to know how to see, for you know for the future, because it's very similar time and time again and that's going to beg the question: are we still in a bubble uh and what you know what bubbles are? We still in what have kind of popped and what the future might hold for the market as a whole. Now the small cap market today guys was absolutely wild. If you guys uh were trading it and i'm sure you did indo was up.

Oh, i want to say a hundred plus percent. I think it was up. It hit a high of 49, so it was well up or up well over 100 today, opening the day at 23 or 24 a share, but that was a gap up from 15. crazy.

So that would have put it up over 200 percent in highs today um - and am i right about that? Actually, maybe it was 300, i'm not a mathematician. I did drop out of college um and you know oh before we get too far into this, though miller light regardless, i actually picked miller light bone if you're watching this, i picked it specifically specifically because i know you like miller, light even the whole crew. We all have a miller light today, um, but i'm gon na be drinking this one all by myself. Today, little little spillage here, bubbles in the bubbles in the bottle bubbles in the bottle there we go um.

So if you guys are watching be sure to pick yourself up a miller light or any beer of choice, it's the weekend, if you guys don't drink, get a water, nothing wrong with staying hydrated. In fact, i probably should be hydrating a little more right now. Um all right, so the first thing i think i want to start off with today is really that russia, ukraine topic one really hot, really important to know what's going on, because it does affect the market. In fact, it has a very very drastic impact on the market and right now in the overall in the spy, the dow jones uh, the nasdaq.

It actually didn't impact it as much in terms of overall uh market action throughout the week, as i would have thought it would now intraday we had a lot of big spikes. Big drops big pops uh, as well as after hours. I mean almost every single morning. We'd, wake up to the spy down two percent and then it would recover by the end of the day.

Why is that and what kind of patterns develop you know have developed previously? That kind of impact this well? Interestingly enough, i was actually looking through some charts and i was very curious. How did world war ii impact the stock market? As we know 1929, we had the great depression. You know the largest depression of uh, the u.s economy. Now we've had other uh other depressions throughout the course of history, before even there was really a publicly traded index uh.

If i wan na, i can't remember the exact name of it was it the was it roses? Um, it was a type of flower and essentially there was a bubble in that exact market where there were a lot of farmers. A lot of uh people buying these for almost no reason think back to the beanie baby beanie baby bubble. That's a tough one to say three times fast. That happened back in the early 2000s, very similar.

Of course they had no true value, but people perceive them as very rare and man i'm struggling. This is killing me. Actually. I guess i've got my computer right here.

Uh rose bubble, economy uh, it was the tulip it was, the tulip bubble, that's correct, um and essentially there were in theory, people thought there was a very uh low supply of these tulips and for whatever reason they were perceived valuable you could they they were used. I'm sure you know a lot of a lot of plants are used to to dye products. Uh homemade. You know whether that's really anything blankets i mean you can you can crush that up and essentially turn it into a die.

But there were not these there's not like a massive right practical use for these, however, when perceived value is extremely high. Well there, that is essentially what leads to a bubble, and a very similar thing happened with the tech stocks again just like it happened in the late 90s uh. With this, you know, 2020 2021 madness, because of all the stimulus we already know all this right. We we know what essentially the money that caused this bubble, but with public perception of these uh markets being so high.

That did inevitably lead to crazy valuations. But, aside from that, there was there's there's more behind it than just crazy valuations. In fact, i want to say: uh: oh, was it paypal? There were a couple ceos that came out of these large tech companies that more or less came out and said: yeah. We oh peloton.

That was the other one uh, the peloton owner, the ceo of peloton sold, shares off the top, and he he flat out said yeah like why. Why wouldn't i sell right like we are not a multi-multi-billion dollar company by by numbers by revenue we're not, and this stock might? And now he didn't say this verbatim: i'm not i'm making i'm you know, i'm uh, exaggerating to say this, like i'll, have to try to find the the interview where he came out and said that, but when you're not valued fundamentally, there are so many things that Make up the fundamental valuation of a company right, uh earnings reports, uh revenue costs, uh, i mean you look through balance sheets and you'll you'll, essentially see why a company you know a company that burns a lot of cash and is negative, probably shouldn't be a wildly Highly valued stock, however growth investors like to look for, i guess, long-term potential. The same reason tesla is valued so high right i mean i don't know. In fact, we've got the information right here.

Uh tesla market share right, okay, so tesla was larger than i believe it was volkswagen or chevy and ford. I know that for a fact combined, but i do believe their overall valuation in terms of market cap. I want to say at one point in their in their move up over a thousand dollars was value larger than the entire automobile industry, combined or at least multiple multiple automobile manufacturers, while their market share, as of 2021, was two and a half percent. In terms of all the automobiles out there, now, of course they do have some great technology with uh batteries and electric vehicles and yeah sure all this, and that, but fundamentally speaking, they make up 2.59 of the automobile market.

Yet we're valued larger than volkswagen, then chevy then ford, who clearly i mean you, go out and drive sure i've seen a lot more tesla's. Recently now i do live in austin. We do have a very uh large tesla presence. Here.

We've got uh manufacturing plants. We have, i mean even right next to my gym, there's a tesla shop right, but you go and drive and i guarantee you you're going to see more fords, more chevy's, more nissans, hyundais honda, honda, not honda hondas out there, and it's that that exact mindset where People value companies based on future projections that leads to a bubble um, and so how can you spot this? Well, first of all, obviously, when stocks uh are extremely overhyped, you see it all. You see in the news and you go fundamentally look at them and they are not creating that much revenue. In fact tesla, i think, didn't turn a profit of 2019 until 2019 or 2020.

Yet, even since you know 2016 really their stock just kept grinding up kept grinding up and that that was different, that wasn't a parabolic move. What we saw was a true parabolic move and i can't remember the name of the chart. It's essentially, you know: sykes has tweeted this out, it's a very popular chart where you basically get that short trap, and then you get this massive run up and that's a big part of it right. That's a big reason that these large companies do become overvalued is because traditional investors um, even even you know, traditional investors generally do not short sell.

Let's, let's start off with that traditionally they're buying stocks that have fundamental value that likely will continue to grow in the future. However, funds, big big funds do short stocks that are overvalued. I mean that was essentially what led to such a large squeeze on gamestop right. We know that's a bubble, we know gamestop, like has not been a thing.

Uh in terms of you know, a large scale retailer since the early 2000s. Ever since we got those kinds of online video games, um you know steam and activision and blizzard, and all that stuff gamestop has not been nearly as large of a presence in the gaming industry. Yet because of these large funds that did a short open interest. Well, not open interest, i'm sorry um naked short on puts so they they.

Essentially. I won't go too far into this because that's a whole other complex topic, but essentially what led to the amc gamestop squeezes were these gamma squeezes now gamma squeeze became a very overused term because then, all of a sudden everyone and their mother was like. Oh, this is the next gamma squeeze. This is the next game of squeeze.

Well, the gamma squeeze really comes from large money, essentially being forced to cover naked, puts in a naked, put the same way that you could short a micro float or a low-flow stocking completely squeezed out. Well, you can actually short the options um without we got a thumbs up from the audience outside of the office, get a little thumbs up talking about gamestop and amc um, you can essentially short a put, and what does that do or short a call? I'm sorry. You could short it, but it's essentially the inverse if you uh, buy a call right, you're bullish on it. If you short a call, you are bearish on it.

The reason being 90 of options actually expire worthless. So if you calculate the correct strike price um, you can essentially use that as a long-term system that will give you a 90 edge over the long term. Now the way that you do this in terms of making - because you know obviously right even though you've got a 90 quote - unquote win percentage well, if you're, just shorting, every call one of those will blow you up - 20 000 percent and then sometimes over, because options Are so volatile? So let's say you short a call of x stock at three dollars per contract. Well, as we've seen in the options world, it is very uh.

It's not uncommon. I should say for one of those three dollar calls to all of a sudden turn into a fifteen dollar call 20 call, because options are not only betting on the price of the stock getting to a certain level, but within a certain time frame, and that makes It extremely volatile anyways back to what i was just saying there that that way, you know like shorting a put or shorting a call. It has that inverse effect, and so essentially, what happened with the gamestop and amc is big. Money was short, calls um on these stocks that were starting to gain some attraction, but knew they were very overvalued at the time.

Even when gamestop was at you know, 20 30. A share that was still widely overvalued from a fundamental standpoint. Well, it didn't help the perspective of the bubble when this big money was forced to cover their positions for a large loss. The way you do this quote unquote, smartly i'll say, is by hedging your position.

When you short a call, you might also um buy a call right. It's that's called a did. I do that right. Is it buying a call, i'm not an options trader, but it's a way that you essentially had your position with a maximum loss and a maximum uh return? Generally speaking, your maximum loss is actually going to be bigger than your maximum reward, but you know that generally you're going to have a high win percentage, so that makes sense.

It comes down to digging through data to find which way uh or you know, the percentage of which those moves need to happen to benefit you as the investor as the trader, and what ends up happening is same thing happen. Very similar things happen with tesla, with all these large caps that create these massive squeezes because, as we know right, these are true large cap companies, regardless of whether or not they're overvalued. Fundamentally speaking, they still move like large caps for the most part until we get those gamma squeezes those option, uh driven squeezes, because when you buy one options, contract guarantee it gives you the right to buy 100 shares at a set strike price, and so, when you're Forced to cover you're, essentially covering 100 shares worth of that stock, and there were there were days right and there are still days to this day, even without uh, even on like these smaller or less volatile names. On that you'll see billions of dollars worth of shares, traded on the options chain that, if they're wrong will essentially lead to you know quote-unquote billions of dollars worth of price movement in either direction, whether that's long or short um.

That can create these drastic price movements. In large caps, so that's essentially a long story short how these big squeezes in large cap names work, and that is also a big driver of these bubbles, because a lot of retail traders do not know that right if you're, if you're joe schmo buying tesla, because It's going up, you don't really know why it's going up other than the reason that everyone is everyone's buying it. It's got to be the next hottest thing. Well, there's actually a much bigger picture.

Um, retail trading does not make up the majority of the volume in the market. However, it does make up the majority of the hype and combined when you get that hype combined with these massive funds needing to essentially either one cover their position or two, maybe they're. Just buying a lot of the stock themselves um, this can lead to these massive movements, and that is what this last bubble was more or less created by was a lot of retail hype um and to be fair, i would argue that this past 2020 to 2021 Bubble was very driven by retail right. There were a lot more retail traders.

I want to say if you look at the amount of accounts opened up on robinhood td, e-trade over throughout 2020 into 2021. There were a lot more real retail traders in the game than ever before, um so that in conjunction with big money, one not being used to so many retail traders in the market, so much volume in the market and the market shifting very drastically very fastly fastly. That's probably not a correct english, then college drop out here. English was not always my strong suit um, but in combination with that, big money was forced to essentially have to relearn how that market worked, and there were a lot, and i mean a lot of uh hedge funds that actually blew up as we.

We all know. The story of you know the citadel robin hood thing right. We all. We all know that one and uh i'm not gon na get into that entire tangent, but these hedge funds took billions of dollars worth of losses and they don't have not all of them.

I should say have billions of dollars worth of cash: they are leveraged right, they're using big money because they have a strict uh, a statistically winning system, long term. That allows them to use margin. I mean even even i use margin right now, i'm more on the day trading side. So generally i haven't had the issue yet where i've come close to blowing up and i plan not to because i have risk management um.

But that being said, you know these. These big companies that are big funds that are so statistically uh correct for even 10 years at a time right well, when the market shifts so drastically, they are forced to change their uh, their strategies and those who there were a lot of those funds who didn't Make it so, i know that's a really long story about how this last bubble happened, but that really more or less is what we need to be looking out for next time is when retail hype gets so big that it changes essentially for even if it's just In the short term, the fundamental uh workings of the market of big money that now has to adjust their system and if they don't adjust, it leads these crazy squeezes. In addition to all of the covet funding that we got, this coven stimulus checks that allowed so many new retail traders to get into the market. Um and obviously i mean now, you know we look at the spy.

We look at the the dow. We look at the nasdaq, they are down. You know considerable amount from their highs. You know 10 15, 20 uh from even just a few months ago.

But if you look at the real stocks, you know like not the fang stocks, not the facebooks, the well even facebook, though facebook's down quite a large percent, the amazons uh, the googles, all all those big names, those are essentially what make up. Most of you know the big markets right. They are the largest market cap stocks in the market. So fundamentally they are matt.

Monaco's texting me um. Fundamentally, they are the ones that really drive the markets. However, there are a lot of other stocks that are part of the s p 500, a lot of other stocks that are part of the nasdaq that while they have a much well sense, they have such a smaller market share. They don't necessarily impact the overall movement of the spy of the nasdaq as much yet they're down like 90, so some argue that the bubble is kind of already popped.

Right like we are sure the spy could keep dipping if google goes lower if amazon goes lower. If these really big names, all of a sudden tank yeah, the spy is going to tank with it, but so i mean even peloton uh paypal, i want to say ebay too. I haven't checked ebay's, chart they're already down like 50 60 70 percent off of highs, and these are stocks that are part of the s. P 500 part some of these part of the nasdaq, and now the nasdaq has been getting hit worse.

Because a lot of these tech companies that were part of that main 2020 bubble have already kind of popped, quite a bit um and there will be ones that prevail. You know we even talked about last week on tui talk, show we talked about nfts and crypto and that's arguably a bubble in itself right, the uh, the creator or founder whatever of ethereum, said the same thing that the owner peloton said he's like you know. I do believe in the long-term value of ethereum, but we are overvalued right now. There is a lot of hype around it and that's not to say that ethereum and bitcoin will you know not necessarily it's not that they're going to just die off.

I, as i mentioned, i actually do have a relatively bullish long-term look on these. However, at some point, if it is going to be a real currency, like i mentioned last week, it's going to have to stabilize and for a while it could just stabilize on ethereum. In these mid to high 2000 levels before it inevitably, in my opinion, does go up in value, but it should probably be a slower slower move up, treat it almost like a real company right where the majority of googles and amazons and those big names do not Have these parabolic moves because their their market caps are too large. They are too practical to squeeze when something squeezes so high.

As we've seen with these bubbles, they are forced to come down and always remember that, my i'm, you know i'm not gon na mention that i'm not gon na pick on a fan pick on a family member for uh for buying an overvalued hype stock because their Friend told them to, but but um you know those big companies, even regardless of how big their market cap is, can fall. Uh. So always remember that, and i i would argue personally that likely we are kind of at the lower end of that. You know i think the bubble has already popped.

I personally do there's a massive chart of all these stocks that are widely beaten down, and i think i hope i hope fingers crossed the overall markets can stabilize for a while, however, that that doesn't necessarily need to happen because of all this global conflict going on And, as i mentioned earlier, you know the overall market has been more or less sideways this week, which has been a big week for this russia, ukraine conflict. I think the s p 500 fell a total of 1.2 percent this week, which, relatively speaking, isn't that bad for such a large global conflict and i'm going to bring this back full circle again about what i was talking about, where i was kind of digging through What happened during world war ii and surprisingly, since that big crash had already happened, world war ii actually didn't impact the overall market that much there were a couple steep drops, but nothing like the great depression right like nothing like that. Overall market crash um that came before the world, the second world war and generally, what happens is when the world or when a country goes to war, especially the us is what is proven historically, is that we actually put a lot more spending into government-funded. You know military-backed companies, we actually do spend a lot more it.

It's not a surprise that war actually stimulates our economy and after having stimulated it uh with you, know, essentially fake, coveted money, this another war. Now, hopefully, i fingers crossed once again that we don't go into war, but it likely would re-stimulate our economy with probably real money. This time you know what i mean. Hopefully we aren't just printing a bunch more.

It would require the government to start spending more money towards military to start spending more money towards really anything related to a war like that and right now. What we're seeing uh, like i mentioned earlier, as well with like indo being an energy name, a lot of energy stocks are running right now because - and this is the latest - it actually just happened about an hour ago prior to filming uh news came out that russian Russian troops have moved in and uh seized the the ukrainian power plant, which i believe is the largest in europe and yesterday i want to say, a fire broke out there after being struck by russian military troops kind of scary because they say that would be if, If that exploded, it would actually be 10 times more detrimental than the chernobyl explosion. That happened back in the 1960s. I want to say which killed hundreds of thousands of people due to the radiation, and it affected many many more uh.

That would be awful news for europe as a whole. Now again, with with so much um pressure being put on global energy right, we're putting so many sanctions into russia right now. Russia is europe's largest by far oil producer and distributor well with so much uncertainty there. Other energy companies uh, you know primarily throughout the rest of the world, now have a lot of opportunity to expand into europe into the european markets.

If europe and the united states further sanction russia from buying their oil, that's in my opinion - and you know everyone's got a different opinion on this. I think the majority of people uh watching this would agree that russia is not doing a good thing right now right. We we do not like russia, we do not like putin at the moment um, but it baffles. It blows my mind that we're still buying oil from russia right now like shouldn't that be the ultimate sanction right like that, would crush now.

Maybe that's why we're not doing it it's because it would crush them so bad that it actually might we know putin is uh very unstable right now. It seems like every time he is cornered. He doubles down every time. He's corny doubles down and we're saying again.

Why would you attack europe's largest power plant right? I mean unless you felt that trapped and clearly putin's invasion of russia has not gone nearly as easily as i think he thought it would um, and so maybe that sanction would actually be too much to push him towards a more global conflict. We'll kind of have to see, as this all develops um but anyways back to back to that uh talk. We were having about that nuclear power plant this in theory and again it's a speculation. We most sector momentum, most bubbles do come out of sec speculation and there i guess you could argue that a lot of the sector momentum that we see in small caps actually are driven by a mini bubble in themselves because of speculation.

We're speculating! I remember back when uh 20 was late, 2020, the ev bubble. Oh my gosh, and that's actually what i wanted to talk about today with bowen. I think we'll probably end up talking about that next week was very eevee based electric vehicle. You know tesla that massive run that tesla had, i believe when they got added to.

I can't remember if it was the nasdaq or the s p 500, but when they got added to that major um exchange that led to so many small cap ev stocks running. I want to say: fev was running one of them. Solo was one of them, um man, i can't even remember - i can't even remember all the other names, but there were so many stocks, they're running from like a dollar to 15 because of the speculation that was driven by a larger uh, larger scale, move in the Market - and that is essentially what we're seeing right now, so i would argue that almost all sector momentum in the small cap world comes from big uh speculation in the bigger the broader markets right. So as of now, i still am thinking that the longer this russia, ukraine, uh conflict, drags on the more we're going to see potential moves.

Pardon me, i'm gon na have another slip, real quick hold on very refreshing. I don't. I don't drink a whole lot. So, like it's miller, light is my favorite beer.

It's just. I don't know it's just nice and refreshing when you have a good, simple one that carbonation really my crew is drinking with me. We're all having a sip of the good old miller, lattes uh anyways. The longer this conflict drags on, in my opinion, the more one, the more we're gon na see these energy stocks continue to move, because that does seem to be the very, very clear trend with uh with russia as they're targeting targeting energy, and you know the united States and the uh eu and the rest of nato is putting a lot of uh sanctions regarding oil and energy production, distribution from russia um, and so that will likely be a very long-term trend.

The longer this conflict drags out. However, another big one, in my opinion, is cyber security that is kind of our biggest concern as of right. Now, hopefully, we don't get to the whole nuclear thing, but right now the biggest upfront issue before any of that could happen would be a cyber security attack on the united states. And again, it's it's not that these small cap, cyber security stocks, are going to save the world from you know these cyber security attacks, but the speculation that cyber security is going to be a much more important thing in the next coming weeks.

Coming months, that's going to drive speculation in the market. That's going to lead to overvalued. Um prices overvalued market caps of these current small caps. Well again, it doesn't i'm not necessarily saying it needs to be uh cyber security, but that's just an example, and that's kind of one thing that i personally when it comes to trading small caps, try to take into consideration when we talk about spectrum momentum is when We have these big uh macro news events, macro economy, events.

What could potentially uh start moving? You know what could potentially start getting uh overvalued over hyped. What is the next potential sector? And that's not me saying i'm gon na start buying into them early, but it is me making a watch list because those do lead to predictable repeatable patterns that we see in the small cap market right um. Even even with like imp. You know that's a petroleum stock, an energy stock that has been a crazy mover indo and there were very clear patterns that actually happened before these big runs a lot of consolidation.

Um that you know hindsight is 20 20. But if you played that as a traditional pattern, you would have banked now again we're not we're. Not none of us are fortune tellers. None of us are genies.

We can't we can't go back and i can't wish to just go back in time and do that. All over again, but i can use that information to essentially find what i think will be the next speculative next sector momentum piece and right now. I think cyber security is one of those hot ones. We have seen some signs of life but, as we haven't gotten a cyber security attack, yet yet we have had attacks on energy.

That's why we've seen these energy movers uh be a lot hotter than the cyber security ones uh, and you know, god forbid. I hope we don't have a cyber security attack, because that could be detrimental right to the uh to the u.s economy. There are a lot of now to be fair. I was actually reading an article last night, jp morgan actually itself.

Well, the article said dj p. Morgans of the us, so that probably implies any large financial uh financial company, but they actually spend more on cyber security than the us government does, because it's so important to them. Right i mean. Can you imagine like if russia conducted a cyber security attack on the us economy, or you know financial system and all of a sudden? You go into your bank and one day your money's gone because it was just stolen like that.

Those are that's just one of the potential things that could happen. There are so many others. I mean they could quite literally crash wall street if they wanted to um if they were able to get in. So that is why, in my opinion, cyber security is probably a pretty decent watch in the coming months, as hopefully, this doesn't escalate.

But if it does, i'm going to take advantage of the volatility for the time being and that's just one area. So that is essentially what again, i'm going to keep going back to bubbles bubbles bubbles, because it's so important. That is what makes us as day traders profitable. It is having those uh mini bubbles that sector momentum that we can spot that we can find the same patterns that we like to play on, even if it's just a day, one gap or a biotech right, but the follow-through is so so much stronger.

And generally, we will see uh strength in the broader markets before that happens: whoo, okay, wow. That was a whole lot of talk there uh. How far into this are we like 30 minutes? 20? 30 minutes, man um? I think that was like really all i had to talk about. It's tough.

I wish bowen. I cannot wait to have our talk next week, um because it's fun getting chat about this with other people, but in the same breath it's also fun kind of getting to share my opinions, my uh, my thoughts on everything and how i see the markets, because we All see it differently, even you know matt and i i'm matt was sitting out there somewhere um and you know we talk every single day and we have different opinions on the market, not only small caps but the overall market as a whole, and it's good to Have other opinions because it does kind of one challenges your own. It challenges your own belief right, um, but, second of all it it. It makes you kind of reconsider right and i guess you could argue that's one of the same with challenging your belief, but there are a lot of people who are stubborn and don't like their beliefs challenge.

But if you can be open-minded, it helps. You see a bigger picture and helps you kind of get ready for different scenarios right and that's that can be a good good or bad, which is why, when i am big in a trade right, if i'm, if i'm scaled into a trade, i actually don't like To be on twitter, seeing what other people have to say about it, because then i start thinking: okay, well, maybe they're right and i'm wrong. Maybe i should uh drop my risk. Maybe i should piece out some and once you kind of once, you're in a trade i like to be able to stick my plan, but before that, when we're talking about more macro things more macro trends, i kind of like to have different ideas.

So i can see all the different potential outcomes and there are some outcomes that you'd never see coming because, let's be real there, there were even just going back to the russia ukraine thing right. There were signs before this that russia was preparing their military for an invasion, but it wasn't that drastic up until the end of february, which is pretty crazy and that almost marked a two-year anniversary on the dot of covert right. Just when we thought we were getting back to normal, but for now we can use these as uh future potential plays. All i'm hoping is that we don't go into some kind of you know nuclear nuclear scenario.

Fortunately, i'd like to think the world powers right will de-escalate it in time. I hope they're, not all so hard-headed that they have to be right, that it leads to some more attention, but, what's actually funny is about a year ago. Actually, i was reading an article two that russia and the us were at its highest tensions um since the cold war, which i was like. Why? Like? What? What reason is there and it's it's funny, though, that almost was a i'm gon na call a prediction, but an indication that a larger scale conflict could happen, and i completely forgot about it until i saw all this, and this was probably a big reason for it.

Right, like you got ta, remember big events right now. Have it's not just completely out of nowhere? It's not. There are previous indications now they're, not nearly as popularized in the news right like i'm sorry, but when nothing is going on and all we're worried about in the world is covid right. The russia, you, russia, u.s tensions, are not going to make headlines they're not going to sell as well.

So why push it and that's that's one thing that just drives me crazy and i'm sure it drives most of you. Crazy, too, is like it almost feels like with with media right. We don't get the full picture, because we only really get what sells, and so we're not going to get these other important headlines. You kind of have to do a lot of data digging on your own to find other uh other conflicts, other stories that can have precedent later on.

However, it's like the more you dig, the more you're like man. What like there are so many there are. So many different things that are happening right now that you'll never hear about in the mainstream news until quote: unquote, it's too late and that's why a lot of it's almost like human psychology, we bring it back to small cap traders right. You know a lot of retail chases, they buy top sell, bottoms, they buy tops because they don't see these movers until it's too late and they buy it.

They buy into the story. So it's a it's a weird like psychological pattern that we as a whole people as a whole, generally, don't see uh the predecessor to the big event until it's already happened, um, so just a interesting food for thought there. I guess which i don't know about you, but i like interesting things. I always like my brain to be challenged.

Um and i think that's about all i have for today. Andrew alex, do you guys have any other like interesting things right now that i should uh? Should talk about today, any anything that really sparks your miller light yeah, i'm uh, i'm long miller just kidding, i don't know just what's miller light a part of what uh they're, not they're, not anheuser-busch. I know that, but i want to say they're part of there's another another brewing company. Let me know down in the comments, if you guys know that um anything else, man, i'm trying to think give me just a second.

We might cut this out. I don't know the longer i think here using the good old noggin um. Oh, this kills me. I feel like there's one other thing.

I had to talk about okay, whoo, it's been a long day, folks, um, also guys, if you can see behind me, we have so many. These are all stock trade rooms and the cat's a little cut off. We can't get everything in uh in frame, unfortunately, but with the market getting so hot and with there being so much volatility lately, there are so many opportunities in the small cap world and me matt, monaco and john papa are in uh small cap rockets every single Day calling out what we see ahead of time, um and now generally, we all do - have different styles of trading, which is great matt. Monaco is a lot more focused on only trading.

You know the strongest strongest moves today and like basically power hours. Sometimes in the morning um, but when the market gets hotter, the more likely we are to trade in the morning. That's a little more predictable patterns as even indio. Today.

Now, it's not something i would have taken this morning right out of the gates, because i didn't have an entry spot. I need. I need a very clear and defined entry spot with a very clear and defined risk on the intraday. If i'm going to be day trading, it um, but there were oh, my gosh, i mean so many opportunities and we generally do wait for the market to get hotter.

This is something you know during the the past week. Up until today, i talked to small cap a lot right where it wasn't my style of market. It just wasn't and that's: okay, that's something that there there were movers. There were a lot, i'm gon na call them slower than i'm used to.

They were multi-day movers, in fact roland wolfe, who is uh just out yonder right now crushed it this week and the end of last week, because this was very much his style market. These slower multi-day movers, where he's able to take relatively small size on these dips on sector momentum, names um, but when it becomes our style and today was very much so my style. Unfortunately, i actually. This is a good little lesson too.

I know this uh almost is like transitioning to small cap recap here i actually ended the day red uh, mainly because i came in a little bit unprepared. I came in after my workout and saw everything that was happening. I actually foamed a little bit uh. Fortunately, i didn't end the day very bad.

It was like down 800. However uh it's it's good to show you that, like if you're not mentally there, even in a hot market, you can mess up um. But that being said, we, oh my gosh. I mean uh alerted mxc.

Now it already had moved um. I i bought in at 20, 20 and 20 cents right around there. It went to 28 after hours. We were talking about b cell today, uh b cell down at two dollars and fifty cents after hours.

It hit seven, let's see. Actually i've got it up right here, hit 761, and that was all that was all within an hour within an hour, if you guys and again we're not we're not alerting these trades for you guys to follow us. We're not alerting these. For you guys to just be like: oh, they said it we're going to buy it, we're learning them to put them on your radar right.

We're talking about these, so that you can create your own plan. We we do teach our strategies and our patterns. We have gosh, we've got a lot of good webinars that teach exactly how we trade and you can use that to your own benefit. The beauty is, and this is the beauty of trading.

I know i'm kind of just going a little tangent here, but this is very important. I think for everyone to hear is that regardless, you know, that's why we have three mentors in our group myself: matt, monaco, john papa breaking uh, breakouts and breakdowns has three mentors: mari jack, uh, uh, jack kelly and kyle williams, every one of us trades slightly differently And you know matt and i do have very similar patterns we like to play, but what's interesting, is we actually play them differently? The same patterns we play differently. Matt is more focused on buying dips. On the strong stock stores i like to buy the momentum uh with very clear entries, a little bit of a higher win rate and still very favorable risk reward where matt is going to have much better risk award than i do because he's buying on those dips.

Um but anyways, the point of that being is you can take what we teach and apply it to the way you like to trade. Now, that's that can be tough if you're a short seller right and i'm a i'm a long, biased trader, but even still being able to see my eyes uh the development of something again going back to challenging the beliefs or at least making you think about different Scenarios - oh my god, it's invaluable! It's how i learned to get to where i'm at today, um was by taking the information of so many great traders out there and creating it forming it into now. How i trade today and that's kind of our goal in small cap rockets? So if you guys want to learn from us, if you want to at least see these potential plays ahead of time - or at least you know earlier than earlier than the top, we like to say be sure to come check out small cap rockets, we'll have a Link down in the description um i i am a firm believer of getting educated, it's something i wish i did earlier in my trading journey. I i was very stubborn for a long time in that i was like i'm gon na teach myself.

This i'm gon na learn it all all on my own, and i wish i wish i had done it earlier - was getting mentored um and i think small cap rockets is a fantastic place to start, but if not, we have a bunch of other fantastic rooms, as I said breakouts and breakdowns uh, breaking news, which that's a fantastic service in itself. We talked about that in a wednesday small cap recap and then also the steady trade teamwork, you're learning directly from myself, bowen and huddy as well. I hop on there once a week, so if, if small cap rockets isn't your style, we have plenty of other ones, you guys should check out we'll have links for all those other ones down in the description as well with that being said, this concludes. This week's episode of the tui talk show um.

Obviously we have bone coming on next week, bow and you're, not actually canceled. You just canceled on me my heart's a little broken r.i.p um. That being said, we're going to have a bunch of other really exciting guests. On in the future - but i want to know down in the comments who you want to see on the tui talk - show things you want to be talked about.

Obviously, when we talk about things that are hot, i mean i'm sure russia, ukraine will probably come up. Every single week in some effect, because that is going to continue to change the broader markets and how they function um. But i don't know what you guys want to hear about. So let me know down in the comments below, if you guys like these episodes.

Please be sure to, let me know if you don't like them also, let me know, because i want to know why you don't like me right. I don't want to be heartbroken every day um, but it always does help me to know what you guys want to see, because i want to make sure that i'm not only talking about what you guys want to talk about, but hopefully teaching you something that you Want to be taught about as well, so i will see you guys back here, probably on monday, for small cap recap, but i'll see you back here on friday for the next episode of tui talk show with tim bowen. I think we'll be talking about some eevee stuff, because i know bone is still very bullish on that, but if you guys want to hear us talk about anything else, like i said, let me know thank you guys make sure you subscribe make sure you hit that, Like button and make sure you have your post notifications on so you know when these come out until then have a fantastic weekend, have a great sip of miller, light or any beer or drink of your choice. Not gon na lie it's getting a little warm, but um have a great weekend i'll see you guys back here next week, bryce tui out.

We hope you guys enjoyed that last video thanks so much for watching and being a part of the stocks trade community. We wouldn't be here without you guys, be sure to hit that like button and subscribe to the channel. If you haven't already, our goals did a hundred thousand subscribers by the end of the year, but we can't do it without your help. So if you enjoy what we're putting out and want to hear more, be sure to hit that subscribe, button i'll see you guys in the next video.