See FREE Valuation Models And Articles here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/5/d/1UaLN428ym45IEdMuSVE64xlBE9bkUJTlkACpsbGjt0U/edit?usp=sharing
Interested in seeing my full portfolio with explanations along with buy and sell alerts?
Join our Patreon community here: https://www.patreon.com/casgains
In this video, I cover why Cathie Wood just sold out of all
Casgains's Recommended Investing/Business Books: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1DI8ca5GLEfQXU34uplO3E3w6YHXbvMbK1JR-GxXBeUc/edit?usp=sharing
My Second Channel:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCPkDot_lMk7HB_c68HubbUg
Twitter: https://twitter.com/casgains
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/casgainsacademy/
Contact for business inquiries only: casgainsacademy @gmail.com
Over the past few weeks, Cathie Wood, the CEO, and CIO of Ark invest has exited out of almost all of her Chinese holdings. She recently sold over $300 million of JD, $40 million of Kanzhun, $110 million of Pinduoduo, $48 million of BYD Auto, $165 million of Baidu, and over $650 million of Tencent (Show the graphs of each one as I say it use the moving back and forth animation.
This move essentially reversed Ark’s decision to purchase Chinese stocks earlier this year in February. On the contrary, many value investors are taking advantage of the buying opportunity. Warren Buffett’s right-hand man, Charlie Munger, Ray Dalio, the CIO of the largest hedge fund, and Mohnish Pabrai, all believe that Chinese stocks are at a major discount right now.
Ultimately, this leaves one question for us investors, “Which side should we be on?”
This video will go in-depth on both sides of the debate and come to a conclusion on the heated clash in Chinese stocks. Welcome to Casgains Academy. If you’re new to the channel, please consider subscribing for more content like this, and let’s get right into it.
In Ark Invest’s July market webinar, Cathie Wood explained how we’ve already seen a valuation reset in Chinese stocks due to a few reasons. The essence of capitalism is that through a desire to generate wealth, productivity and innovation are created. With China’s new regulations on successful companies like DiDi, Ant, and Tencent, Cathie believes that the incentive for success has diminished in China. And because of this, Cathie thinks that less innovation and advancement will occur over the long term.
In addition to lowered incentives, many believed that Biden would be more lenient on China than Trump, but we’ve seen Biden Administration continue to be harsh on China. In fact, most recently, a Chinese state-run media outlet accused Biden of threatening war. The result of the rising tensions between the US and China is the possibility for strict business restrictions for foreign companies. For example, Alibaba is rapidly expanding its AliExpress marketplace into Europe. However, if there are some security concerns, then this expansion may not occur as expected. Cathie sees this possibility as a major detriment to future growth.
The last reason for Ark selling out of China is because of short-term valuation concerns. Cathie Wood often focuses on long-term movements, but she also looks at short-term trends and actively trades them. In terms of Chinese stocks, Cathie believes that valuations will remain low for a while because there are no short-term regulatory catalysts. Therefore, it is possible that we see Cathie Wood and Ark Invest buy back into Chinese stocks in the future.
Cathie Wood is currently betting on a short-term trend that stay-at-home services will remain stronger than expected. As a result, it is possible that she would rather allocate capital to this bet instead of investing in Chinese assets that will likely remain low for the short term. On the other side of the debate, many value investors believe that the Chinese capital markets are currently very attractive. Most investors regard Warren Buffett as the greatest investor of all time, and rightfully so, as he has an incredible long-term track record. However, behind Berkshire Hathaway, there are many investors that helped Berkshire become what it is today. Two of those people are Li Lu, the Buffett of China, and Charlie Munger, the right-hand man of Buffett. Both of these successful investors believe that Chinese assets are incredibly undervalued right now. Li Lu is a successful fund manager who according to several sources, has averaged a return of 20% per year since 1998. That is absolutely impressive, and one of the primary ways he has done this is by investing in international investment opportunities, with China in particular. In fact, Li Lu was the one who convinced Munger and Buffett to purchase BYD Auto, a stock that has grown by 59 times in value since Berkshire’s initial investment in 2008.

Over the past few weeks, kathy wood, the ceo and cio of arkhanvest has exited out of almost all of her chinese holdings. She recently sold over 300 million dollars of jd 40 million dollars of kanjun 110 million dollars of pin duo, duo 48 million dollars of byd. Auto 165 million dollars of baidu and over 650 million dollars of tencent. This move essentially reversed ark's decision to purchase chinese stocks earlier this year in february.

On the contrary, many valley investors are taking advantage of the buying opportunity. Warren buffett's, right-hand man, charlie munger, ray dalio. The cio of the largest hedge fund in the world and manish pabrai all believe that chinese stocks are at a major discount right now. This leaves one question for us: investors, which side should we be on in this video? We will go in depth on both sides of the debate and come to a conclusion on the heated clash in chinese stocks.

Welcome to cash gains academy, if you're new to the channel, please consider subscribing for more content like this and let's get right into it in arc, invest july. Market webinar kathy would explain how we've already seen a valuation reset in chinese stocks due to a few reasons. The core essence of capitalism is that, through a desire to generate wealth, productivity and innovation are created with china's new regulations on successful companies like deity and and tencent. Kathy believes that the incentive for success has diminished in china and because of this kathy thinks that less innovation and advancement will occur over the long term.

You know, one thing that i think is happening is a revaluation because it does seem with ant. As the first example that many i i would imagine, don't don't know anyone personally, but just looking at the situation that the incentives to uh become you know. Incredibly, successful in in china are diminishing somewhat now that uh the government is expressing concern, in addition to lowered incentives, many believe that biden would be more lenient on china than trump, but so far we've seen the biden administration continue to be harsh on china. In fact, most recently, a chinese state-run media outlet accused biden of threatening war.

The result of the rising tensions between the u.s and china is the possibility for strict business restrictions for foreign companies, for example, alibaba is rapidly expanding its aliexpress marketplace into europe. However, if there are some security concerns, then this expansion may not occur as expected. Kathy sees this possibility as a major detriment to future growth. So again, there is in terms of these very large mega cap companies being able to scale to other parts of the world.

I have a feeling there are some national security considerations that might either slow them down or stop them. The last reason for ark selling out of china is because of short-term valuation concerns. Kathy wood often focuses on long-term movements, but she also looks at short-term trends and actively trades them in terms of chinese stocks. Katy believes that valuations will remain low for a while, because there are no short-term regulatory catalysts.
Therefore, it is possible that we see kathy wood and arkhan vest buy back in the chinese stocks in the future. I would say from a valuation point of view, these stocks have come down and again from a valuation point of view, probably will remain down. Kathy wood is currently betting on the short-term trends that stay at home services will remain stronger than expected. As a result, it is possible that she would rather allocate capital to this bet instead of investing in chinese assets that will likely remain low for the short term.

On the other side of the debate, many value investors believe that the chinese capital markets are currently very attractive. Most investors regard warren buffett as the greatest investor of all time and rightfully so, as he has an incredible long-term track record. However, behind berkshire hathaway there are many investors that helped berkshire become what it is today. Two of those people are lee liu, the buffett of china and charlie munger, the right-hand man of buffett.

Both of these successful investors believe that chinese assets are incredibly undervalued right now. Lee liu is a successful fund manager who, according to several sources, has averaged a return of 20 per year since 1998. That is incredibly impressive and one of the primary ways he has done. This is by investing in international investment opportunities with china in particular.

In fact, lilu was the one who convinced berkshire hathaway to purchase byd, auto a stock that has grown by 59 times in value since brochure's initial investment in 2008., charlie munger allocated 19 of the daily journals portfolio to alibaba. This was a very rare occurrence, as manga. Previously only held four stocks with alibaba being his fifth position now and because of how close they are rumors are that lilu convinced, charlie monger to purchase alibaba's stock. Ultimately, monger's investment thesis in alibaba comes down to the fundamentals of alibaba and the ccp's incentives.

The chinese communist party has no incentive to slow down the growth of alibaba in china's big tech. As a result, chinese policies surrounding china's big tech will likely not hurt big tech's fundamentals. Much monger is not always like buffy, as he doesn't care as much about what other people say about him. In this case, he sees alibaba as a growing e-commerce and cloud giant that will likely continue to dominate.

He doesn't care about whether people will call him a sellout for investing in alibaba. However, his alibaba investment definitely has risks. Munger has spoken up against the variable interest entity structure or the vie structure, which is the structure that chinese stocks used to go public on the u.s stock exchange in order to attract foreign investors. However, it appears that his fears have died down because there is no incentive for china to go against the vie structure and any opposition against the vae structure would either scare away all foreign investors and send china into a deep recession or literally start world war iii.
There was never anything like the history of the world, so my hat is off to the chinese and i think they will continue to allow people to make money. They've learned it works the chinese. I love what the guy said in the first place, i don't care whether the cat is black and white as long as it catches mice. That's my kind of talk in that list of the 20 most valuable companies.

Three are chinese. Now, if you, if you're looking out 30 years, you know mama, do you think it'll be chinese? My guess is more but uh, but i don't think i don't think it'll top the united states uh, but who knows similar to monger another well-known value. Investor monish prabrai is also extremely bullish on alibaba and has allocated over fourteen percent of his fund to the company. Manis provide reportedly compounded a return of 25.7 per year over 18 years.

He did this by not looking for stocks that were just slightly undervalued, but by looking for stocks that had a large margin of safety while still having the potential to 5x in value. In a recent interview, he argued that alibaba and tencent are both fundamentally solid capitalistic businesses that will continue growing at a fast pace and especially if you look at some businesses like let's say, if you look at a business like tencent or if you look at business Like alibaba, these two companies, specifically very early in their journey, had western investors or non-chinese investors, and both these companies right from the beginning, i think of them more as being happened to be based in china and because it's such a large market happen to have most Of their operations in china, but they're really uh in many ways, multinational in their views and how they look at things. They've had a lot of, i would say, non-chinese infusion into their dna and thinking very early, and many of those elements are a bit positive for them on both sides of the debate. We have some interesting arguments.

Kathy wood could be making a short-term plan valuations on chinese stocks remaining low for the time being. On the other hand, she could also be selling out of china because the risks are not worth it and that future innovation will be lower than expected. In my opinion, if we are simply looking from a fundamental perspective, china's assets are definitely undervalued, especially since most of china's businesses have remained fundamentally unchanged. In a recent meeting with u.s bank executives, the vice chairman of china's securities regulatory commission feng shinghai reassured that china will continue to allow chinese companies to go public in the u.s as long as listing requirements are met.
Additionally, he also went on to explain how china's regulatory commission didn't expect the market to react so negatively to china's new regulations in the future. He stated that china will take market reactions into account for new policies and will avoid sharp volatility. As you may know, already, china declared that the entire education business will become a non-profit sector in the meeting fang addressed this move to ban for-profit education companies and called it a one-off situation. Despite all of the seemingly good news, there are still some serious risks to investing in china's stocks.

For all we know there could be further regulations made on china's largest companies, not only that but world war iii or the next cold war might just happen in front of our eyes. If you are comfortable with the risks and any ethical concerns, then investing in chinese stocks could be a lucrative investment play at the current valuations. China's big tech could increase by 2-5 x in value over the next five years. With that being said, i have some very exciting news for you.

I am officially opening up a free preview of my stock market research platform down below. My research platform includes my portfolio watch list research reports and much more with only 99 limited spots for the month of august. If you're interested or just curious check out my patreon in the first link down below what do you think about the current chinese news, and will you be investing in chinese stocks? If you enjoyed this video, please hit the like button and don't forget to subscribe and i'll see you in the next one.

By Stock Chat

where the coffee is hot and so is the chat

33 thoughts on “Cathie wood: here’s why i had to sell out of china”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars jeremiah liang says:

    Information and decentralised data is essential for taking smart risks. When the policymakers try to monopolise that ingredient, the risks are not worth taking. Well connected businessmen "drink my wine, ploughmen dig my earth." I d rather go somewhere else where risk and returns are more visible than put my trust in Big Brother.

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars CB says:

    God damn, she was spot on. Wish I saw this earlier. Look at Evergrande now.

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars BOON CHOOI YEAP says:

    Many stock recommended by CASGAINS had dropped more than -60%. BEWARE OF THIS PUMP AND DUMP YOUTUBER!!!!! I lost because of CASGAINS recommendation. DON'T LISTEN TO CASCAIN.

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Super Nova says:

    I wonder if Warren Buffett is okay with Chinese slave labor. What color cat is that?

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Shawn Jan says:

    Won’t touch Chinese stocks unless Xi is out of the top CCP position sometime.

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Sam Heine says:

    I like the stocks long term, I'm just waiting for a scary moment when folks are really afraid of the CCP.

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Emma Aiden says:

    📈Hello 🌈<I admire the efforts u put in your videos mate. Bitcoin's price action has been fluctuation throughout the past few days and weeks, with bulls and bears both reaching a clear impasse, the aggregated cryptocurrency market has been following in Bitcoin's lead and is
    struggling to garner any decisive
    momentum. One analyst is now noting that BTC has been holding above a key macro level throughout the past few months. He believes that the recent consolidation above this level bodes well for its near-term outlook and could indicate that significantly further upside is imminent in the weeks and months
    ahead. Tips like this it's advisable for investors and newbies to trade with the help of pro traders like
    Mrs Lisa . She's always onestep ahead of other traders, she fully monitored all my trades to avoid me making mistakes and losing my money. My earnings have increased drastically from 1BTC to 9.2BTC in just 3weeks using her strategy. You can easily reach Mrs Lisa >([[[[[[+ ①⑤ ②⓪ ③⑧ ⓪⑤ ⑦⑤ ⑥🇱🇷🇱🇷🇱🇷}}}}}

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Frank Velik says:

    Republicans need to Impeach biden now. And stop sending love letters to china.

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars K Tulipan says:

    Just stop reporting about Cathy — the shill of the decade. She Sichte next Bernie Sanders. All this overhype about already overhyped stuff.

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Helen Jane says:

    🌈This is a Nice video…. So inspiring but do anyone knows about expert Mrs Lisa. Mrs Lisa is legit and her method works like magic I keep on earning every single week with her new strategy🤑🤑🤑🤑

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Marshall Franklin says:

    Building a good investment portfolio is more complex so I would recommend you seek professional support. This way you can get strategies designed to address your unique long-term goals and financial dreams.

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Xpeng Fangirl says:

    the west will pay, selling our stock? think we are spying with tech? china is ready to counter, Xpeng will take down Tesla

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars shelly white says:

    I'M NEW TO INVESTING AND TRADING AND I HAVE BEEN MAKING HUGE LOSES TRADING ON MY OWN BUT RECENTLY I SEE A LOT OF PEOPLE EARNING FROM IT. CAN SOMEONE PLEASE GIVE ME A NEW STRATEGY OR AT LEAST TELL ME WHAT I'M DOING WRONG?

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars alex androutsos says:

    China operates under the assumption of "the nail that stands out gets hammered down".
    Wall Street must realize eventually that they will never be given significant opportunities to gain power long term. Its only a matter of time before they demand use of the digital yuan for all significant transactions

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars SiSiSiUSA says:

    Im doing what everyone is not doing… Most people are broke… If most people are selling Chinese stocks I buy… I have earned a lot of money that way. I used to buy when things were expensive and overpriced and I lost a lot of money for buying overpriced stocks. Then I started to buy when everyone is selling. I made millions that way.

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Skyler James says:

    I don't know, China is looking oversold to me. YINN, a 3x leveraged played on their FTSE Top 50 is looking like a strong near to mid-term buy.

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Pavelr says:

    For me it's a sign to buy BABA.
    Simply cloning Munger, Pabrai, Dalio, Town an Spier.

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Connecting The Dots says:

    There's also another important risk – when investing in Chinese companies, you do NOT own their stocks – you own shares of a company that holds shares of a company, that holds shares of a company, that holds shares of a company that holds shares of that Chinese company that you wanted. This would add A LOT OF RISK even if all these intermediates were US companies. Now add to that that they are usually in Cayman Islands or some other tax haven, and in case of problems you're pretty much screwed.

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jimm Maximilia says:

    Americans investing in their enemy economy . 🤣🤣 wait for your karma people.

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Lee Rory says:

    Cathie always buys at the top and sells at the bottom. Then maybe in the next few year, she will buys back china stocks at the top again….. What a great investor she is, a LEGEND!
    I would rather trust the Super Investors like Munger, Pabrai and Ray Dalio over that lady over there. Cathie only got it right in year 2020. She has yet to prove herself in the long term.
    Be very careful buying her ARK etf. So speculative and overvalued play. She is famous for burning her shareholders equity.. She always buy high and sell low.

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars bronzedisease says:

    Never really bought into the hype. But she is very shrewd. It's not a bad decision to sell. Forget about some commie fear bs ppl try to play up. It's a lot simpler than that. If some business models have managed to piss off both regulators and the general public. It's unlikely to last except in a oligarchic country.

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Steve Jones says:

    So many Youtubers…….”Cathie Wood bought this stocks…..she did this….that….” as if she is their god……..despite of the fact that all of her funds are doing horrible, people lost & losing money.

  23. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Sky123 says:

    Deng died and rise of Maoism continues with Xi. Thank you Deng for Tienaman tragedy.

  24. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars boeingseven says:

    I own stock in Nio, i don't think ARK held any shares, not that I know of. Nio has been bouncy since early June due to Chinese gov't crap, but there next earnings report comes in next week. It's predicted to be a good performer, but we'll see

  25. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Valden Corr says:

    This points to the Biden admin boycotting the Beijin games (I'll believe it when I see it), which will result in the confiscation of all American investment in China by the CCP, including stocks.

  26. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Simon's Food Therapy says:

    Almost every Wallstreet guy and congress said to not buy Chinese a long time ago. Now people wake up

  27. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Michelle S says:

    I agree that many Chinese stocks are undervalued. US markets have become like big casino now, more of speculative than value investments.

  28. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Liang Ding says:

    Every government uses regulations. Every company is afraid of regulations. It is check and balance.

  29. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Kaname Fujiwara says:

    I'm not buying Chinese stocks and the reason is because of the CCP. It made an already risky market even riskier. Investing is about what you know and don't know. You can not make accurate decisions if the data is unreliable. A lot of Chinese data are not.

  30. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Gustav Vasa says:

    If you invest in China you is going to help the facist regim in China CCP to concour USA, and your Children is going to suffer.

  31. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Buster Boyd says:

    Would never touch a chinese stock. There is no way for US investors to know if they are honestly reporting their quarterly numbers. Luckin Coffee!

  32. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars The Casual Front says:

    Yeah China doesn’t need western investors. You’d be a fool to bet against China.

  33. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Sanj Z says:

    We don't own anything by owning Chinese stocks. They are basically a Ponzi scheme. Chinese share are basically worthless since no one outside of china actually can own Chinese company. Besides US War with China will eventually decrease all potential opportunities and Chinese govt will ask all outside investors to move out of market.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.