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Why some of your stocks are falling while the market is reaching new highs.
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Why does it feel like so many stocks are red, so many of the stocks in our community are red, yet markets continue to go to all time highs what's happening. Why is this happening, and what can this teach us about investing? Well, that's what we're going to talk about in this video keep in mind this video is brought to you by privateinternetaccess.com meet kevin, but more on them. In just a moment, there will be a link down below for them right next to that cyber monday coupon code. For the programs on building your wealth, which is very good, not quite as good as that black friday, one but still very, very good and pricing will continue to go up.

Take a look at that and get lifetime access linked down below. Okay, folks, here's the thing why here we got to break some of this down, and this is really good background info to consider. Ask yourself this: what do these companies have in common tdoc, palleteer square pinterest, peloton bunch of different specs and corsair? What do all those companies have in common and then ask yourself this? What do these companies have in common enface, etsy, adobe, autodesk, nvidia, microsoft, apple and qualcomm and google? What do those companies have in common with each other and that the other companies don't have in common with each other? Think about that for a moment, if you're, a regular investor, you should already have a pretty good hint as to what the answer is, but just in case you don't know i'll, tell you in just a second, but first we have to consider this so far this Year, the dow jones industrial average has 24 out of 30 of its companies in the positive territory. That's 80 percent of dow companies are positive in the s p 500.

We have only 90 companies with negative returns. That means 81 of companies in the s p. 500. Are positive for 2021., in fact, we're expecting returns of around 25.8 percent for the year in the s p 500, unless we get some kind of crazy december sell-off.

That's incredible! In fact, i have a basket that i put together at met. Kevin.Com basket: it's a full basket and it basically gives you an allocation in the s p, the dao, the russell uh and the nasdaq, and that's actually underperforming the s. P 500. By about one percent, pretty dang close, it's still up like 24, certainly beats what we've got going on at arc.

Arc k is down 14.25 percent for the year arc. F. The fintech fund is down 3.23 arcg. The genomics fund is down 20.

I'm sorry, 31.6 percent. For the year arc x, the space fund - in case you don't know about it - you can type into youtube: meet kevin arc x, space and you'll see a full breakdown of arc x. That's down 3.99 for the year arc q. That's the autonomous and robotics etf that one's actually up eight percent and overall you've got a lot of institutions and hedge funds totally underperforming the s p.

500. So, what's the big difference between those stocks that i just mentioned and well the two different baskets of stocks that i mentioned: what's the difference between them and what can we learn about investing when we consider comparing these two i'm going to answer that right after a Message from our sponsor, thank you to private internet access for sponsoring. Today's video vpns are an important tool to protecting your privacy. Online vpns mask your identity on the internet, so you can browse anonymously and avoid targeted ads.
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Some streaming platforms like netflix have different shows available in different countries. So try toying with the country setting and see if you get different, shows that you might be interested in watching well folks, tdock, palantir square pinterest, peloton, spax and companies like corsair are not. In the s p, 500 companies like enface etsy, adobe, autodesk, nvidia, microsoft, apple, google qualcomm, are in the s p. 500.

Now i don't want to sound overly basic here, but take a look at this folks. This is a list of inflows and outflows into the top or out of the top etfs of 2021.. You can see over here, redemptions or outflows. You have you've got almost 10 billion dollars coming out of the spyder gold.

Trust. You've got money coming out of corporate bond funds. Money coming out of here. We've got other corporate bond funds, treasury bond funds uh the russell 1000 growth fund, oil funds, consumer staples funds - these are all losing money.

Now, let's go over here. You got vo with 48 billion in inflows so far, that is matching the s. P 500. By the way, the vo just tracks, the s, p 500 or tries to vti, takes that s p 500 and adds another like 3 500 companies to it.

They have virtually the same return, there's about a two percent difference in their return, and that's because vti has like 3 500 more companies, but it does encompass the s. P. 500 companies, so 38 billion dollars going into vti, is basically still like putting your money into the s. P.

500. Uh then you've got the. I shares s, p 500. Then you got bond and value.

Then you have qqq which, if you look at the top 10 holdings for the qqq they're, almost freaking, identical to guess what the s p. 500 holdings - apple, google, microsoft, adobe! You see where we're going. This then you've got a short-term bond fund here. Some other funds, developing markets fund and again the s p 500.
When we add up how many of these funds right here or all of these net flows, which works out to about 206 billion dollars. When we add all of that up and basically divide by the number that are going into s p, related stocks you're seeing 66 out of every 100 going into these top funds are basically going into s p 500 style stocks. So what is in the s? P? 500, well, it should be no freaking. Surprise.

Look at this folks, microsoft with a six percent weight. Microsoft has been killing it and i mean like i, i i'm not a microsoft bull by any means. I'm not a microsoft bear either like i'm totally neutral on microsoft, but microsoft's performance has been unbelievable this year and it's the top stock in the s p 500, with a 6.35 waiting, followed by apple at 6.31, amazon at 3.9, big gap, tesla 2.25, google at 2.2. Ish nvidia at 2 facebook 2.03.

Then you got like jp morgan home depot. You know. Visas in here netflix has absolutely been crushing it there in here uh. No, not all companies in here have done excellently.

I mean look at like visa and paypal right. We've had a little bit of a sell down in fintechs, but folks we got to make some conclusions here. So the first thing that i like to do when i look at something like this, and this was eye-opening to me when i was doing this sort of research here. Is i like to think of myself as where do i like investing well, i, like investing in companies that i think have a lot of value.

Well, i've always thought that pal look and and want to be crystal clear here i like palantir, i think palantir, is highly misunderstood. I don't profess to be a palanteer expert. I think volunteer is a great company, so i think the same about teledog, but i don't invest in them. I also don't invest in companies like corsair, even though i think you know they're going to grow a little bit slower.

They've got good value, they're, not selling. For that expense of a price, but why potentially do they not have something that the other companies do, which first and foremost, is performance? Well, potentially, it's because they don't have wind at their backs. Let me explain the concept of investing in something that has wind at your back using options as an example. So take a look at this jump on over here to the app pad the good old ipad.

All right, when you s, when you buy leaps, long equity option contracts when you buy leaps, there are two things that hurt you number one is volatility crush and the second thing that hurts you is theta decay. If you do not know what these two things are, you should not be investing in long call options, because these things will bury you. Usually you just get people who buy calls and they're like well. I think the stock's going to be worth more in the future, but you put no value on your vol crush or your theta decay, you're, probably going to get screwed unless you're buying stuff deep in the money.
And if you don't know what any of the money is, you shouldn't even be worried about options at frick at all, but anyway, these two things, let's understand what's happening in today's environment. Well, first things. First, we have declining volatility. All you have to do is look at the vix.

To fact check me on this, so you go to weeble or whatever it is you type in vicks. Then you go out to the day chart. Then you zoom out, honestly, you could probably zoom out even a little bit more. I go with the day chart there.

We go all right, go with the day chart. This is your 2020 crash kind of volatility, but what have you had since then? Folks? Let's just draw the trend: okay, very simple, draw a little trend line here. What's the trend been, has it been up or has it been down? It's obvious volatility has been declining. That is not a surprise.

When volatility goes down, your options premium goes down, and every day that goes by, as volatility goes down, your price of the value of your options goes down and you get theta to ke eat now away, basically because you're paying to rent that contract. Basically, every single day, so your value is going down. So in other words, when you're buying leaps in this market, you actually have what i call two headwinds. You have two things going against you pushing against you now.

You could do the opposite of this and then you would have two tailwinds two tailwinds would be uh. Well, if you sell options, because if you sell options, you win when volatility goes down, so vol down, helps when you sell options and theta decay goes to the owners of options who sold the options. So if you sell calls and sell puts you have two tailwinds. If you're buying long calls, you have two headwinds, so what does that have to do with the s p? 500, and certainly is not kimble musk's documents right there.

Well, what it is very simple, the s p, 500 and people passively investing pi passively invested are your biggest tailwinds. That's a good thing that pushes you, so you have to ask yourself: would you rather invest in stocks that look really good on paper, but don't have the tailwind of the s p, 500? Or would you rather pick really good stocks out of the s p 500 and have the tailwinds, and this is by the way, just the kind of psychology that we talk about in the stocks and psychology money course remember. You could use that cyber monday code. It's a great deal and the pricing does go up over time, so you may as well lock in lifetime access.

Just in case you missed that prior sale on black friday, black friday was a little bit of a better sale. But hey you've got another bite at the apple here and the pricing will be going up after cyber monday uh. You know the cyber monday sales are over, but anyway uh you've got some serious tailwinds when you're investing in s p, 500 related stocks, and i believe that's why companies like shift technology, teledoc, palantir and some of the others are lagging behind now. Don't get me wrong! It doesn't mean if you invest in every s: p: 500 stock.
It's going to do perfectly. I mean i guess. If you invest in the entire index, it's done great. It's been 81 positive, but look disney and paypal have been getting smashed and they're in the s.

P. 500 right. So it's not a guarantee, but i would say it's easier for paypal or disney to get out of this trap that they're in this hole that they're in because of all this money going into the s p. So i actually think that's bullish.

I also think it's bullish for companies like and face etsy adobe, autodesk, nvidia, tesla, microsoft, apple and so on and so forth, they're all in the s p. 500.. Now i do think that they're at extended valuations right now, but i do think there's an opportunity to buy these by selling puts just on a weekly basis, sell, put, sell, put, sell, put sub puts and if you get assigned big deal then then you finally own The stock and if you don't you're, yield farming uh now don't get me wrong. I do invest in companies that are outside of the s.

P 500, like i've, got a huge position in matterport or a firm. These are excellent companies. Matterport killed it today. It was up 20 percent.

This is another stock. We've talked a lot about in the course stocks and psychology of money group, but anyway consider this. When you're investing look for stocks with wind at their back, you don't want headwinds headwinds hurt. Hopefully this perspective was very helpful and insightful to you.

I wish you the best in investing and folks check out that partnership link down below or go to privateinternetaccess.com me kevin thanks. So much goodbye.

By Stock Chat

where the coffee is hot and so is the chat

25 thoughts on “Avoid these stocks watch *this*”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Million Hype says:

    when this trend reverse and passive investor start selling and panicking, it will be the inverse

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars daniel lieberman says:

    Informative! Just take comfort in knowing that the stock market has only trended upwards in the long run.

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Metro Realty says:

    Every morning, my hubs and I listen to you via Discord and YouTube. In 6 months, we are up over 46% using your strategies and some of your stock recommendations. We have purchased and are at the tail end of your Stocks and the Psychology of Money that goes hand in hand with these videos. You are an excellent Professor of Finance. Thank you so much.

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Yatori says:

    Kevin is amazing. People can't even comprehend. And all this is free for us to learn.

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Darren The Silver Back says:

    AMC could invent cancer and the price would stay the same. AMC has a NFT and started a new profitable business in October 2021 and the price went down. Join our AMC army to fight market manipulation.

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Rodolfo Vesga says:

    Meet Kevin why the red hair because all the stocks are red too lol funny hair Kevin

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Cristian says:

    So you are setting up a short squeez after influencing people to short stocks. Thank you soldier!

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Vincent Alamilla says:

    So, when are you going to talk about SFT. I mean you did push it when it was up, and know is like you just not want to talk about it.

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Brent R says:

    I pay for premium and I still have to watch a 60 second commercial from Kevin.

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Agnoletto says:

    Oh crap, I just saw you have 1.75mln subs. I remember subscribing after your first video about Graham Stephan. Like at 10k subs.
    Kevin, you never disappointed me during all these years. Keep going

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Bon Bonjovi says:

    Netflix caught on to people using VPN to watch shows from different country btw so that trick doesn't work anymore.

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Thomas Darena says:

    What's your take on Pinterest for 2022 and beyond? Been awhile since i heard you talk about them.

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars dragon slayer says:

    Kevin's red hair reminds me of Ronald McDonald which tells me its a sign to buy Mcdonalds stock xD

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars JonJonFilms says:

    bro adjust your mic. straight up ASMR with your swallowing haha

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Frank says:

    Who actually “likes” his videos? Get a life losers. This clown doesn’t know more than we do, he just got VERY lucky with Tesla. Sheep

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Didactic Oz says:

    You literally look like Ronald McDonald the clown. I can no longer take you seriously

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Mo Money 21 says:

    Moral of the story, just invest in the S&P 500 and don't waste time trying to beat it

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars christian apresto says:

    Next will be super saiyan blue, then ultra instinct white

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Mehmetcan Sinir says:

    Good point. This video explains very well why Jeremy has been doing so bad. He loves his corsair and his small caps that no one has heard about and are getting smashed day after day.

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars HimmelsAtelier says:

    I want some glitter in that hair. And m a y b e some jingle bells. I mean you know.

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Piya Win says:

    Ok note to self check if the stock is in s&p 500 before buying lol 😂

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Haris Sivic says:

    When I look at the valuations of those companies with tailwinds, I'm not enthusiastic to buy shares of those companies. I'd rather buy shares of companies that have temporary headwinds which cause them to be undervalued compared to companies that are extremely overvalued and due for a correction.

  23. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Filip says:

    Now you can file your green hair as a business expense.

  24. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars B T says:

    So much power for the fund managers, they pick the winners you the average person just too lazy to do research and invest into companies with purpose. Just yeet money at fund managers to make their choice for them and then call it diversification because they invest in $&P500

  25. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars B T says:

    The difference, it your investing for a purpose or investing just to follow the crowd.

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