All having a good start to your day, so one of the questions that i'm sure a lot of you guys are wondering, especially if you're new to swing trading is how long will it take for the market to recover. I thought that this would be a pretty useful video just looking at previous patterns, to having a better understanding of how long based off of history it takes for the market to recover, and i thought that i would use ttq as an example, which is a nasdaq Etf and i'm going to go back a total of two years right where, as i'm sure, a lot of you guys have been waiting for the market to recover, a lot of us are setting up for our swing trades. So please, if this video gets you one step closer to your overall goal. I hope that you consider dropping a thumbs up and, of course, subscribing uh, so going back.

This was during the very beginning of the pandemic. This was on february of 2020.. We could see that we began to pull on back around february 20th of 2020 and i'm gon na uh identify when it breaks below the ema as that's when it's selling off and then, when it breaks above the ema on this day, chart that's when it begins To recover so we can see that from the 20th. The date is down here.

Just so you can see it's from the 20th of february and then it begins to recover during april 8th. So this one took a little bit over if i'm not mistaken. Over 40 days, right so from february to april - that's how long you know definitely a little bit over a month almost a month and a half for this thing to begin to recover it peaked. It began to pull back below the ema line right around september 4th september 3rd, and then we broke back above the ema right around september 29th.

So almost a month, but not quite a month. We peaked right on over. Here we broke below the ema line. This was again year over year right around february 22nd, and then we broke back above right around the end of march, so this one took a little bit over a month, a month and 10 days as well.

We broke below the ema right on over here. This was what is that march april uh, and then we pulled on back above the ema line towards the 20th, the 24th, so from the break below to the break above. That was a total of about 20 days. Uh peaking right on over here breaking below the ema line that was on september 20th, and then we broke above the ema line the following month on the 13th a little bit under a month.

So you can see that on average, i would say even at its absolute worst right, taking the pandemic as an example as the absolute worst. The moving average is what tends to act as a support, which is this green line right here, at least for the past two years, which is why, again, i love buying the dip on. You know tech stocks on tqq when the market pulls on back, but it's very easy to buy the dip, but it's so much more difficult with asking the question. Well, how long do i have to hold before we begin to recover and just looking at the history for the past two years, even at the absolute worst during pandemic conditions, it took a little bit over a month and from where we're at right.

Now i'm going to take when it broke below the ema line, which is right around the 3rd or 4th of january, once the market opens tomorrow, we're going to be on the 18th, so that is going to put us a little bit over two weeks of the Market pulling on back and again, i viewed when it broke above the ema line as confirmation, so that means that we have about a week and a week and a half uh before the market. You know based off previous patterns. Uh begins to trade above the ema line. We've seen, you know some recovery, even quicker in just 20 days, which would mean that you know by next week.

We should be seeing an overall reversal at the absolute soonest, but at the absolute latest uh. This would probably mean that around the first week of february uh, if things go according to plan and based off of previous patterns, that we should be expecting a recovery based off of how long in the past it's taken for the market to recover. I thought this would be useful for some people that are just getting started to take the past into consideration to set more of a realistic timeline right. Some people think that the market recovers in just a couple of days in just a couple of weeks, but, as you can see, sometimes on average it takes about a month.

The great thing about this is that when it gets going and when it's bullish on average right so now talking about from the break above the ema, we could see that it broke above around the 11th uh or the third right of november. And then we broke below the ema line around february, so we're bullish for about what is that two to three months, and then we break below right we're bullish for about two to three months and then we break below for about one month we're bullish for about You know two months and then we break below so taking that into consideration. You know all the uh pros and cons of swing trading. You can see that we're definitely more bullish than we are bearish, but when we're bearish we're bearish for about a month and again, i thought this would be something useful for our beginner traders to understand.

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