Well well, well ladies and gentlemen, it looks as if we actually have a YouTube stream possibly working for the first time in maybe a decade. What you look at that would you look at that? This stupid work. Okay, there we go. Well, Well well ladies and gentlemen, hope everything's working.

Can everyone hear me? Okay, this is the first time I've tried to. well, first time I've really hooked up a stream in a long time and I kind of just did like a quick jump start on it just to see if it would work. So just working off one laptop, one little microphone, no camera, didn't really check any settings, just went Full Tilt right into it, hoping it worked. So yeah, let me know if everything sounds good if you can see my computer.

Pretty good and let me know if things start glitching. but uh, so far it looks like our connection is excellent, which it used to just do excellent and then get destroyed. So um, let's just keep our fingers crossed that uh, our streams continue to work ongoing because uh, that would be nice. I'll be back online as I've been wanting to be for three years but I just couldn't so that's cool.

Uh, attempted to like, did not work interesting. Well Anyways, yeah, welcome back guys guys. it's been a long time. Uh Happy Thanksgiving to you guys coming up and I figured I would come on to test a stream.

Looks like it's working well I have suspicions but uh, let's just fingers cross and let's keep rocking and rolling with it. So I figured while we're on here I mean might as well do a slight analysis for you I uh I'm actually getting ready to leave. Got to go do some tile work at one of my rental properties. Got some uh, people coming by to look at it uh today.

So I'm finishing up a couple things. uh, but yeah, basically. um yeah, we'll just uh, we'll run through that I should actually probably bring up well I don't have to. But anyways, so let's bring up where we this guy anchored View apps Okay, so yeah, pretty much I guess I'll just kind of talk to you a little bit about this morning in the market and so on so forth right now I'm using Trading View on this this thing.

but uh, anyways, pretty much today's expected. Target Out of the gates for the Spy was 456 we uh, we ended up getting that. I'm going to take this off here real quick. Uh, one second I guess I didn't really need to remove all of that, but sometimes it does some scammy like I just want my volume profile off, not everything.

Thank you. Okay, so pretty much this is how this is going to work. So you guys can clearly see on this chart. and actually I'll I'll I'll make this chart a little bigger one second.

All right. Gosh, a little rusty. I Guess you could say all right. So here we are.

pretty much this is today, right? This was yesterday. Gap down. Go. today's Gap up.

Go All right. So I'm pretty much going to run you guys through this. So ready. yesterday's a gap down Okay So we're going to just do a little little little fiber mouer.

McGee All right. so you see how I pulls this Fib and then there's 161 Target So that would be a gap. An impulsive move. Downside: 161 Destination yesterday was 45251.

All right. move into today, we have a gap up. Okay, so the general rule of thumb is if Market is going to move in the direction of the Gap then the market will most likely try to Target the 161 extension of such, uh, impulsive move overnight. Therefore, today's 161 Target would be uh way I did that wrong because that's a red candle.

So this needs to go up here. So today's Gap 61 Target uh was a price of 456. So essentially you can see right there. Okay, we run the FIB system.

Your target for the 161 is going to be 456 this morning. If we go, look at like, say like a F minute chart, this is what it's going to look like. Market opens up, runs with 161 dumps B dumps back down. Uh, now you can see the market has retraced where to pretty much the Golden Pocket 61850, 38.2 etc etc etc.

Um, also the low of day here at 45393 which was, uh, pretty much 4554. So pretty much 454 bottom would also be our uh, overnight extended hours systems volume weighted average support price, location which this one looks yeah it's about right look a little different on my uh my phone when I was doing this earlier but uh this this is a will be a little bit much to explain but pretty much put it this way. we have a Vwap right there that then runs up and ends up being right there which is today's bottom so that's a 30 minute uh, volume weighted average price tactic that I currently use and now use. uh been very helpful for me.

um but yeah I mean as far as far as that goes, that's that. Also going to pop on to the old SPX mou mou I'll right Pretty much same thing here you can see on the uh shoot SPX We have also hit our uh upside 161 Target for the day and we just retrace Golden Pocket back to 161. So this is also a very common pattern that you will see with impulsive Gap moves is you have uh, you have the open and Market goes straight to 161 tops, then pulls back to golden pocket, pushes back to 161 so you've effectively done the out of the gates move to 161. you've effectively done the pull back to the Golden pocket the day of such Gap and you've effectively bounced the Golden Pocket back to 161.

Um yeah so all of that, which pretty much means the long target has been hit for the day. The long Target was hit for the day within the first. looks like first five 5 10 minutes on the day. Well actually the first long Target was hit in the first 5 minutes of the day on SPX and then spy the long Target for the day was hit within the first 10 minutes to 15.

Um, you will also damn dude I hate when the highlighter thing I hate that they don't remove the highlighter thing. That's just stupid and also like you know you can even see here. Right when we ran into the 161 on the day, you can even see you got uh, this candle right here. So you see that candle that is a gravestone, dogee candle at the top of a move in to a 161 so that also be a bearish Candlestick pattern that you're seeing into a desired long Target Could have been another signal for you to close long, whatever.

whatever. Uh, but yeah. anyway, so that's pretty much your day so far. Um, so yeah, you really shouldn't be long because you've already hit the long Target It's always possible markets go further, but as far as like you know what's logical The Logical Upside move was hit within the first 5 10 minutes of the day.

and if you're trying to go long there, you're just an idiot. Uh, so so yeah, that that's pretty much it that that was your day. Um now what we should do is we should take a look at uh, some other stuff. So let me pop this back out.

I'm going to move this to a different chart cuz uh yeah. Anyways, so let's go here to the let's see which one do I want here we're going to go to. maybe this one I think I don't have anything set up on this one. This will be good.

oh that's my ex and O boy yeah that'll work. That's good. So we'll go with the Xnl. We'll delete this, remove drawings all right before I get going.

I'm going to take a look at the comments, see if anything attempted to like did not work. good to see you Happy Thanksgiving It was blurry for a sec, but now it's clear that's good. That's good. Sometimes you have to update your settings on the stream to like 1080P or something like that.

How many viewers do we have these days? Probably not a whole lot. Don't expect we're ever going to really get the numbers juicing again. 38 m Let's go baby. Yeah, any whoer.

uh yeah, let's get back into the chart I was talking about. all right. So now what I want to do is just take you through uh, some simple SMA Trend stuff. So I'm going to have to hurry up and add some uh, some smas here.

So give me a second. moving average. Simple moving average simple dink dink Bing Bang Boom Just like a did. Just like a did.

All right, there's that. Okay pop into here we go Fit Boom boom bang bang. Okay folks, so pretty much the way this works is. uh, this highlighted yellow right there.

That was your last. Well, not your last one. sorry. that was uh, the low of October in the bounce.

Okay, and then we had one false sell signal back to a Buy Signal. So the reality is, since the date of October 30th, OCT October 31st, there has been 1, 2, three actionable Trend signals. Okay, so basically there's all sorts of Trades that can happen throughout a day and in, you know, in a week. But as far as the trend signaling goes, there's been three signals since the date of October 30th, it's 11:22 So it's been 22 days is.

So over the past 22 days, there's only been three instances of trend change signaling. What that looks like is from the date of October 30th 31st, you had a signal to go long Bu long Bias you were long bias Trend Direction long Trend Then on November 9th you had a signal to go to cash. Which means don't be long bias. Just just move your account to cash, empty your stocks If that's active trading, that is.

So it's like if you're actively trading and blah blah blah blah blah, you go to cash Or if you're aggressively trading, you'd go short. okay and then the following day on November 10th I Believe it is unless it was a weekend. Yep, so on November So again, no, uh October 31st you're signaled long November 9th you're signal to go cash or you can trade aggressively and be short by November 10th you were signal to no longer be short uh and then go back long. Okay, and so our last long signal was uh November 10th.

And now we're all the way up here at 456. So the Buy Signal was 436. We're now 456. so you've had a 20 point increase from the last Buy Signal into the market.

Um, now we're all the way at 456. So we know that a lot of people are trying to short this top and a lot of people shorted yesterday. and there's actually some good selling on the top of today. But the reality is, the Market's not downtrending.

That's why you're seeing every single one of these tops that get sold to get bought back up and keep pushing. And that's because we're not below the 50 SMA So we haven't triggered a sell signal Trend directional move yet. So therefore, you're not getting the participation of some of the smartest money in the market. Um, and when I say the smartest money That is true Um algorithms, Banks, hedge funds, etc etc etc.

They went long back in the morning or back in the market Monday October 30th. We then went back to cash on November 9th. We then went back long November 10th and we stayed long pretty much the whole way while doing some intraday short tops blah blah blah blah blah. All right.

So we will look to be more bearish. The S&P 500, NASDAQ Dow Jones all Equity pretty much all that inverse ETFs on the spy. Uh, when the market gets back below $452 Uh, when we say back below, that means closing. Uh, so some things you could look for confirmation closing is like a 30-minute candle minimum 50-minute candle you could look at Price interval confirmation via point figures either or so.

Pretty much as long as you're not below and closing below $452 you're not going to get that rolling breakdown snap short move that everyone's looking like looking for, right? So if you're looking for a short, it's just not going to play out and you're not going to get the double leg down until you get below the 50. SMA A double leg down is like you go down and then you roll and then you break down again. right? See like this is just just a down move, right? See how it just goes one second. that's not what I want.

All right. So you see how this move just goes down and then it goes up. but it doesn't go down roll down. So the only way way to go down, roll down.

which would look like this down roll down is you have to break the 50. SMA All right or otherwise, it's just what it's just roll, damn it. Connor A little rusty ass. So uh, so again, if you're trying to roll a market down or whatever right? And if it's not below the 50 or if it doesn't break the 50, then the 50, we just ride it back up right and then you try to roll it again again, but you're not below the 50.

so we just push it back up and then you roll it again and it's not below the 50. push it back up, then eventually it takes the 50 out and then you go snap. All right. So I'll take you back to an example of that.

All right. So let's go back in time a little bit and then I'll check the comments here in just a bit to see if anyone's got any questions or anyone's saying anything or blah blah blah blah blah yada yada yada shaba shaba shaba shiby shiby shiby. All right. So let's take a look at this example here.

All right. So you basically have a Buy Signal Market goes up and then people short. but you're not below the 50, push them out, then people short gets below the 50. You get a little fakin' here, gets back over the 50 and then get under.

and then there you go. All right. So you can have instances of confusion and chop which should always be expected within the stock market. If you come to me and go, oh, it doesn't work is it's overun the 50 and Sh stop it.

Just stop it. All right, The market isn't perfect. It never will be and that's supposed to be your job to uh, understand that and and maneuver it. So anyways, uh going back to another example would be like this: move up here on the top so let's take you back to here.

Okay so this is like this is I mean it's not, it's a good example, just kind of kind of choppy to a degree. but uh, you know that the general idea is there and again that would look look like there's a Buy Signal pump you short, not below 50, pushed out, you short, not below 50, pushed out, you short, back to the 50 little over. then it gets choppy. the Market's doing the old scam daddies and then you break the 50 and there's your downtrend.

so you know you got to practice. You got to get used to it. But that's the first thing is understanding Trend Direction in the market. If you don't understand the trend, then well, you're pretty much just screwed anyway, so all shy, let's take a look at some comments.

I know First time I got a live stream going and this is literally the F Well I mean I did stream when I was in uh Florida but this is the first live stream that I've had actively on YouTube without getting shut down in 3 years. I Really hope I was just an idiot and I was blaming the tube and blaming the Matrix for it all. and when reality it had nothing. I that's what I pray I pray that this whole time I'm just a complete dumbass and I just made up a bunch of statements that were untrue because if that's the case and I then I'll be able to stream for forever again and that would be great, right? That would be cool, that's I love doing that, but we'll see.

um I Also wonder if it had to do with me running two I used to run two streams I'd run a stream and then I would also do like another stream. So I'm like wondering if like somehow internet provider companies thought I was like trying to host servers and stuff via their internet and like do something shyy. so they just kind of like just screwed me in that way. but who knows.

Anyways, back to the good stuff. Uh, Tradecaster? Uh no. I don't want to add my live stream to tradecaster and that because that further benefits Shawn dear. And so my objective is not to help grow somebody else's business.

so I would rather rather not be on tradecaster and I've commented on his Twitter page multiple times and he never responds to me. so kind of butt hurt so no but nothing against the guy I love the guy I mean at the end of the day I mean great Traer whatever. whatever. but yeah, I don't want anything to do with trade Caster that just further promotes his business and objectively, that's what he wants.

You know he wants people to come to his business, put their live stream on there, then I bring over all of my viewers and then it grows his thing. So it's basically the same thing that YouTube does. YouTube gives you a space. you come do all the work, put in all the content.

we'll make a ton of money, become a big Corporation we'll give you a little cut. yeah no, I'm not that dumb. okay um, actually they did approve my uh, they did approve my uh, my plaque. so I was really happy about that.

So hey, maybe I'm just been an idiot the whole time. You never know. Yes, this is kind of yeah. All right.

So uh, enough of that. I can always get a little crazy on stream I got to tone it down, you know? Um, so yeah. I mean that's I Don't really have a whole lot more to say other than the fact that Market's still in a Buy Signal Um, yeah, I mean Market's in a Buy Signal and there's no short signal. So what's going to end up happening is again.

the market can just keep going up and up and up and up and up for as long as it really wants until we get a sell signal. So what you're going to see is you're going to see a lot of complacency in the market. You probably already are. Um, if you go, look at a lot of like Twitter pages.

a lot of the go look at like a lot of mainstream popular Twitter pages YouTubes Um, and you're probably going to start seeing their narrative basically shift to like, might as well just buy everything cuz it just keeps going up. It's just going to go up forever. So not that they're wrong to a degree. I Mean yes, that is true, right? Things can just just keep going up for forever.

But that's the start of a psychological complacency Theory which is also saleny, uh, bias which is basically things have been going the way they've been going for so long and haven't deterred theirself from that path that psychologically they start to kind of push aside. The Narrative of things, uh, can go the opposite way. So we've been on this really nice stretch for about 22 days, so after 22 days of nearly going straight up, people are starting to believe that things can just go up for forever and that they're never going to correct or that you know the trend will remain. And to a degree that is true.

Um, but the longer that that goes on for the more saleny bias Uh, kicks in and complacency bias kicks in. and then that's where. uh, investors and Traders will will get caught off guard. So uh, do be mindful of that that you don't want to find yourself victim to saleny bias here just because things have been going up for so long.

Uh, so the best thing that you can do is keep a a cool head to say you're still in an uptrend, but the moment we get signal that we can potentially enter a downtrend, don't be a dumbass and think that it's not legit, right? So you got to be conservative. You got to go to Cash. Uh, you know, if you get below 452, close below 452 for that matter? Yeah, I mean I've done a bunch of those videos on Anchor View apps I Mean they're all out there. All you got to really do is just go back through my videos and watch them.

Uh, but yeah, they're definitely definitely all there your human is showing. Sure. So yeah, well, that's that's pretty much it, guys. Again, there's not not a whole lot more to discuss today just because.

Also, I got to run. But um, but yeah, I mean as far as the market goes, Market already went up to the intraday 161 Target So as far as the directional Gap Target for the day that's been achieved, uh, the pullback to support's been achieved. So as far as being long for a gap Target you miss that as far as being long for a dip by you pretty much Miss that as far as doing a top tick short on the day, you miss that um so kind of in a tougher scenario. Now it kind of might be one of those times you just kind of sit on your hands for the rest of the day, wait for tomorrow, see if you get a sell signal.

uh, see if you open up with The Gap get more direction for another Gap cap trade and so on. so forth. Yeah, um yeah, yes. aan totally agree.

Totally agree my Humanness I Do love a good stream I Do love a good stream. Yeah, so someone asked me a question here. In your opinion, what is the best time frame to use Inay or standav. So basically standard deviation always is going to be better when you use it on a long-term time frame.

That's just it. So just yearly I mean you can go 5 years, 10 years, 20 years. but pretty much like for me, like the lowest that I really like to look at nowadays is um, like a 30-day 30 minute, 6 month, then year, and then anything later. Not that the shorter time frames don't help, but again, it's just the fact that any sort of, uh gosh, how is the best way of phrasing this? Um, when it comes to regression Channel standard deviation channels.

it doesn't take a lot to repaint a standard deviation channel on a smaller time frame from an Abrupt move, whereas when you're using a 20-y year or a oneyear trend or a six-month trend for that matter, you need need, even an Abrupt move In the market with high implied volatility is not going to dramatically change the channels. Trend So that's why it's generally anything. Regression, Standard deviation, Statistical bias Trend Analysis: You're you're going to want to look back six months. and Beyond The only reason not the only reason, but one of the main reasons I Like the 30-day 30 minute is, is more or less because the options Market is an implied volatility of the third.

It's implying the 30-day volatility of the S&P 500. That's what options are, guys. The options Mark or the volatility Market My apologies The volatility Market is the implied volatility for the S&P 500. Okay, so they do that on a 30-day basis, right? So the implied volatility a lot of it comes down to a 30-day basis of the S&P 500.

So if I'm going to run a statistical probability Channel I also like to run a statistical probability channel of the 30day trend since the implied volatility is based off of a 30-day S&P 500 calculation, you understand how you connect those dots. So that's why I Like a 30-day 30 minute 30 minute just time frame looks a little cleaner. Uh, but yeah. 30-day 30 minute? um? Time Frame Standard deviation Standard error statistics.

Part of the logic of using that is because again, the options Market imply volatility. Volatility is based off a 30-day rolling period on the options market, so it's good to track that there's more to it than that. Don't get me started, please don't. We could go into square roots of years and months and one day probabilities of a percent, but we're just not.

We're just not going to go there. It's kind of pointless I don't even think you need to know it. Um, and then uh yeah. So if you're going to use statistics, just look back a little little ways.

That'll be good. Um yeah, that. um, whatever. What other question we on here? What time frame you looking at now? Uh, these time frames are both 30 minute charts.

the the most common time frame I use nowadays. as far as like I mean I mean I use them all. but I mean I do a lot of analysis on a 30 minute now I mean I still look at one minutes 5 minutes I mean to be honest I look at every single time frame pretty much I mean sometimes I'm even looking at 30 second charts, but that's very rare that I ever look that low. That's usually when I'm doing like some back testing stuff I'll look at 30 minutes uh or sorry, 30 seconds to 15 second charts, but don't even worry about that.

But again, I look at all time frames. So again, that's the other thing too. There's a very common question in the stock market world that that really needs to be changed. and uh, I think I think a lot of websites, courses, books, pretty much 98% of the stuff out there as far as this question goes, is slightly wrong answers given incorrectly and that's okay.

Um, that that's entirely okay. I mean and again, maybe I'm wrong. But as far as my opinion goes, in research and studying in 10 years and CMT exams and blah blah blah blah on certification processes, it would suggest that the best way of asking the question is not what's the best time frame to watch because the reality is not that there isn't. It's how do you incorporate all time frames to understand fractal nature of markets? which is how to understand the fractal resonating pattern of the market.

A bull flag will happen on a weekly chart. A bull flag will happen on a daily. A bull flag will happen on a 6mon and a 5 minute and a 15sec and a 1 second. Okay, it's how you combine multi-time time frame analysis to understand the market you cannot successfully understand Trend understand Market if you don't actively analyze and understand multi-time frame analysis which is 1 minutes, 5 minutes, 10 minutes, 20 minutes, 30 minutes hours days 4 Hour daily weekly yearly quarterly Etc That sounds like a lot of work.

It is hence why there is no one best time frame to watch which makes that question and the answers to those questions in my opinion. Incorrect and a wrong way of teaching an investor or a Trader who is looking to seek out knowledge. So I do believe, uh, that that question will forever remain what is the best time frame? I Don't think it will ever be corrected to the proper uh questioning of how do I connect all time frames to accurately understand multi-timeframe analysis. So aside from that, I would say the time frame to start with is the 30 minute you start there, work your way higher and work your way lower.

So I believe that the happy medium of where it makes most sense to start is the 30 minute. Then from there work yourself into like a 15 minute, then a five, then a one from a 30 go to an hour, go to four, go to day, go to week and as you start in the middle at the 30 minute and go down to a 15minute, you'll see that the pattern doesn't change that much. It actually looks relatively the same with slight different differences. And then when you go from the 15 minute to like the to like a 10 or a five, the 15, the five and the 10.

they'll look similar. But the but the But the 10 minute and the 5 minute are going to start to look different from the 30 minute because now you've jumped a couple time frames. So it's when you start from like a 30 and then you go to a 15, you'll start to see the multi- time frame analysis, the fractal nature of the market. which means markets aren't really all that different from one time frame to the next.

but they're quite different from one time frame to four down the line. Okay, and that's where the disconnect starts to happen for Traders is they don't understand which time frames to look at because they'll look at a daily, They'll look at a weekly and they go. Oh, this thing looks way different than this one and and I but once you have a happy medium and where to start and you start to work yourself out from there, the patterns in the trend Direction all that looks relatively same from one time frame to the next. Okay, and as you do that, you'll start to go.

Oh it, oh the 1 hour. Just it's all kind of. It's all just the same. It's really the same thing just repeating itself across all time frames and they just look a little different because of frequencies.

Um, so started at 30 minute, work yourself from there up down. Uh, and I think that's a that's a great start Point Yes, it also depends on your trading style, right? and that's another thing Thing is everyone goes. it depends on your trading. Style it does.

But I think that regardless of your trading style, if you don't know multi-timeframe analysis and you don't look at every single time frame, then your degree of being successful even is far less right because you could be a scalper. But if a scalper doesn't know that we're on a weekly level, then how does he know it's going to be a good big scalp, right? If a scalper doesn't know that we're at Major weekly resistance and now he's scalping a high, he's more likely to still lose on a scalp or gets swept in a really nasty red candle. That nasty red candle moves 10 points away in his opposite direction. Now he's negative 10 points and his average scalp is only one to two points.

So now he's going to have to hit 10 onepoint scalp trades to get back that one loss because he didn't understand he was scalping long on a weekly resistance that banged him two points in a candle, right? Whereas me and I'm coming up to a weekly resistance level, the last thing I'm going to do is go long, right? I'm not going to do it I don't care if it drops 20, you know I don't care if it drops hard or not right? I'm just not going to do it. It can do whatever it wants I'm just not going to be the one to risk it whereas some scalper out there goes. It doesn't even know it exists and he's scalping right in the high and he gets whacked, right? So regardless of what Trader you think you are or how you want or think you're going to participate in the market, don't let that deter you from thinking you don't need to know all of the time frames. Understand the time frames and all of that because it is a game and it is a competition mainly against algorithms Traders hedge funds.

all that good stuff. It's a game of competition. So if you don't understand your competitor's Playbook how you ever going to beat them right, That's what the football game's all about, right? That's what. Michigan Right now, the Michigan Wolverines right? And the head coach and they got the whole scandal going on because they're stealing call signs from football games, right? That's literally just one team going out seeking out information on its competitor to better understand them simultaneously cheating at the same time.

But with that being said, they're going out. they're doing the work they're researching even though it's cheating in this example. But if you're going out and you're looking at the weekly time frame, the daily time frame even though you're a scalper, you're better understanding your long-term players. Now now you can get in in the Direction with some long-term guys.

They got big monies right? So I Do think it's very important regardless of who you think you are as a Trader that you have have to dig deeper. Keep doing your research uh and never think that you know enough because you don't Okay, so that would be my answer to that. Um, yes, so yeah. um.

Also, let me pull up Twitter real quick. I'm G to have to I'm God I Don't want to go though. this is just way more fun. Twitter I'm probably going to have to log in please.

No, please be logged in. Oh A All right one second going to I don't even know how to do this. it's been so long I'm going to stop screen share for like a half a second while I Log into this so you shouldn't be able to see anything right now. and if you guys get my Twitter login then whatever.

you guys can go bombard it and hack my and just make sure you f just post funny memes. uh is this account I think so bro I Don't thank you. Okay, all right, bringing you back, bringing you back y all righty. Do you have rules when watching Roc's besides zero line? Pretty much no.

Also Divergence awesome stuff. Bring on 2024. Okay, so just going to going to pull this one up here. my Twitter page is full of stuff also I mean no never mind not I'm going to say anything doesn't matter.

Is this the one nah we at damn I post way too much I have 11,300 posts on the on Twitter it's funny and some kid with like two two 200 posts have like a million followers I Love this game. that's not it I was trying to show oh there we go. Boom. All right.

So here's another cool one from the other day. Basically you know this big pump day so let's pull up Trading view it was this day. So on this last big day you guys seen here ah right here and actually what I should do is I should pull up my cycle cycle charts one second. This one should be.

come on be the one. What what happened? Is that not the one. Something's seeming, something's oh I think I know why? probably not. Let's see that.

yeah, that's what I thought sucker. All right. so let's pop this puppy into overdrive. Get her juicing? eh? ah, where is my where? What am I doing? What am I doing All right? So I'm not going to go crazy into this right now, but this is cycle analysis stuff but pretty much see like there.

Like like you said, if you're a scalper like you know, like yeah, you could be a scalper, you know not I'm just saying like like here's another thing like this is cycle analysis right? So pretty much these are all Cycles mapped off on the chart and ideally anytime around these red lines, it's it's. there's a higher degree that you're going to have a big move or a big Trend change, right? So pretty much around these red vertical lines I and are it doesn't matter, we're just looking for bigger moves right? So like for example, let's see. Um, remember that huge pump day we just had Friday right? Look what? Look what? Look where we were. Not only that, look at like coming into it right? So um, so you have this huge pump day right just on.

Friday Which comes what? Directly after our cycle day, we're expecting big Move. Now did we know that this would go up, go down I Mean that's all irrelevant, right? The cycle is not necessarily to tell you up, down, up, down, right that that's all different, right? Well there there is some some cycle analysis that would tell you highs of Peaks lows of troughs, all that stuff. but this isn't that right. This ain't that.

This is using mathematics to understand when there's a higher probability of having bigger moves in the market. All right. So for example, we have this cycle here which suggests big move in the market probably around that day coming up to it, close to it and I mean you can pretty much see as we were nearing it. Huge gap up then a boomer day I mean it's and even here.

look at our last cycle day, look at this one ready cycle bottom and then Huge Rally right? So right here. Cycle bottom. Huge rally. Uh.

cycle. Then we top. Huge Move down. Cycle bottom.

Huge Rally right. Cycle top. Smack. Cycle rally right and they're not going to always be perfect.

Um, Cycle top. Boom down. Granted, if you throw enough vertical lines in your chart, eventually it's going to look like it hits something important. Just remember that as well.

So if you really don't understand it, then it's not going to really help because you could throw tons of lines in your chart. You're like, oh, look it. Big move, Big move. It's going to happen that way Anyway, so does take a little understanding all right.

But the concept here that I'm getting at is we have this big, uh, this big cycle day, right? So if we're expecting that, the market could have, uh, larger than normal returns within the next couple days, or next couple weeks, or whatever, whatever, then this is a time where I might start actively seeking out calls or puts that are further out of the money, right? Because again, if the Cycle Theory suggests bigger moves to come in the market closer to this date, and if that is true, then it is far more likely you would see the options Market implying further than expected moves, right? So put this together. let's say I Told you hey. Here's a timeline. When you get to this date, it's more likely you're going to have a big move in the market.

Okay, if we're going to have a big move in the market and that is correct, the options Market should be implying it. if they are, there should be pretty active call or put buying on option contracts that are further out of the money. Not one or two, or maybe even three, but maybe four five. Etc Okay, so on this day, is it this day? So that's 44? Yeah.

So on this day we open up at like 4545 and we go up to 44510. That's like a $4 move, right? So to go three four. almost $5 out of the money from the start of the open. That's big.

Okay, so what I'm going to do is I'm I'm going to pull up this picture here. Okay, so this picture was from that day. Whatever. Friday whatever day that was that was from that day.

Um, which you don't actually see the Ah I must have. Maybe that wasn't it. Um, maybe it was I Don't wait. Hold on.

it's got to be down here a little bit. Hold on cuz I want to show you the volume Spike on this cuz I couldn't Is this the one? or is those the 454s? Those look like the 455s. They got it. That mean that's those the 454s.

Hold on guys. I'm getting there. sorry Silia said I post so goddamn much I can almost hardly even find my own. Isn't it 455s Or there 454s? Where the 455 or maybe it's a I'm Aha, there we go.

Okay, so look at this chart. Okay, so these are the 455 calls in relationship. Those were zero DTE also in relationship to this day. So let me map the day off.

So this is what we're referring to right here this day. right there that this move okay highlighted in the Box Okay, Market opens 45050 goes 445 or 455. Okay, ready. Uh, go back to here.

Okay, so look at the 455s. These are the the zero DTS for that day. look at the look at the volume and look at the chart. So the chart is barcoding.

It means there's no activity there. No one is thinking 455 Is that true though? because all of a sudden you get a huge Spike 2,000 volume here when the Market's barcoding. So who the is buying 2,000 calls right at 4555? That's a red candle. So realistically, someone sold those is a way you could interpret that as well.

But if someone sold 2,000 of these calls, someone had to be on the other end. So whether that was someone ditching the calls and a market maker picked them up. Unsure. All right within this particular perspective.

I Could maybe do some Digger deeping and figure it out, but it's irrelevant. didn't Whatever. Okay, but again, right here you see this and ready. you see that volume Spike There 2,000 contracts on a barcoding? uh, chart zero DT Why Why would that? Why would someone be buying all of these calls? Loading up 4555 at 2 cents, 6 cents, 8 cents a contract when the market is freaking down here at 450 now I Got to double check the timing on that I might be wrong, but I could actually I can't pull it up because they've expired.

but wait I have it saved on Twitter So okay, so ready. Let's get the let's get the next one here. Uh, it was this guy right here. Where'd you go? Where you? Where you at? Here We go.

All right. So those calls, uh, and even earlier in the day. That's another thing. Earlier in the day, they were even getting hit on volume when they're barcoding.

which kind of pequ my interest, right? But ideally from me mentioning those calls and that unusual volume that we were picking up on those calls on that day, they end up going like, 1600% from there, right? So I basically told people hey, we have the potential of going 455 the options Market here is implying it now. Is it guaranteed No. But the fact that you're getting a barcoding options contract in the two cents range getting slammed on multiple two 3 4K Volume spikes. Clearly, there's unusual volume there, right? simultaneously that is lining up with what that is lining up with our I don't have it on here anymore Or yeah, I do simultaneously? What's happening? This is lining up with like one one day outside of our cycle day where we assume bigger moves can happen.

So a we have a cycle where we think bigger moves can happen. Then the following day we're getting unusual call volume for the 55s which is almost $5 out of the money. So the cycle theory of big moves is aligning with what we're seeing in the options. Market As far as implied volatility goes, do you understand how that all comes together into one cute little picture? Yes, someone who is trying to scalp a move is not thinking like that and that's completely fine.

Um, cheers. So uh, basically what I'm getting at is I don't really know I'm just sharing cool stuff with you and stuff that I know because I really enjoy the stuff. So uh, there you go. That's how we picked up those calls before they went, 1600% on Friday and yes, I I can almost guarantee you there was no other Twitter page that picked that up or YouTube uh for that matter.

and if they did, point me in that direction because that's the dude I want to hang out with or talk to? Okay, so don't want to talk all the smack like nobody else does it if they do I just haven't found them or see them and if you guys know of them, let me know cuz that's great person to uh, communicate with and bounce ideas off of. um yeah, so that was the last cool thing. uh then yesterday. So like let's run through yesterday and then I'm going to go I'm going to head out.

but I'll run through yesterday with you guys real quick. so I'm going to run you guys through yesterday. Twitter cool and let me check my phone. Maybe you guys ask some questions or something I don't know what is this x-ray I don't even know what that is I don't know.

maybe it was the up down lines I'm not really sure. um okay, oh what was this? oh yeah that was. Oh guys, remember uh remember just a second ago when we were talking about how the 4555 calls were getting hit and then um, you see towards the end of the day on Friday you see that big red candle right? So you're seeing that. um that's the same time that pretty much I said this small hits on 455 piece.

look at that 257 p.m. So let's go to 257 p.m. Small hits on the 455 puts all right. So let's go back to that day.

257 Pizzle A PM Am GM whatever. All right, so where's 257? Let's go to a one minute 250 Mizzy 7 Where are you at 257 One two 87 somewhere in here somewhere in this top I Just anyways cuz this would be about 300 p.m. So close. Go back somewhere up here anyways.

I Hate looking at military time. it always trips me up I know I'm an idiot. Uh, but anyways, going back to that chart all right. So small hits on the 4555 piece, an hour before the close on Friday and yeah, so an hour before the close on Friday We say the 455 puts are getting hit all right.

You can see what happens and the market just gets absolutely smacked into the close. Okay, go back to the Twitter and here you go. Uh, wherever. This is all right.

So there you go at that time when I drew those lines. When I drew those lines, That's when I said the four five five puts are getting hit into the close 327 per. Again, that's all just looking at some volume stuff. Um, but yeah, so that was another cool one.

Uh, as of late. so I hope that we'll be able to stream to YouTube and show a little more of this. and uh, my hopes would be that you know we could attract about as many people as a Trader TV live or like any of those really really big YouTube streams. we would like to be able to attract that cuz then we know that we could help a really, really big uh population group of Traders dramatically.

Uh, but the likelihood of that happening is just just way. Slimmer Cuz again, um, the YouTube and and the Matrix would, uh, they would not be all that happy if we were giving people 327 plays in the market and 6 100% plays in the market for free on YouTube Uh, that would dramatically destroy a lot of the stock market industry. Um, again, if if you could get all that for free on YouTube you would never pay for another subscription again. You understand how that works.

Uh, if I could tell you on YouTube for free, how to find a 327 per put play or a 1600% call playay, you'd stop buying unusual whales. you wouldn't buy cheddar. Flow you. You just stop buying all that.

So um, in order to keep that industry uh, mechanism well oiled and churning profits for as long as possible, they would prevent, uh, prevent me from having a extremely large audience to show that to. That's generally how those things work. Okay, so cheers guys gonna going to Rock and Roll! Great stream. Um see you on the next one.

Like I said I I might try to actively be on to YouTube a little more like I said, we run a we still run a little bit of a private chat room um and co-manage with my partner Brandon And so it's like you know the best time to be on live Live with People is right around when Market opens. Um so I don't know I really would love to stream like all day and just kind of just kind of be like a little news broadcast for people. but I got to try to figure out how to co-manage both of them and and what that might look like. but if I can do it, I'll pretty much just run a stream like all day in the background uh while I'm in the office until I'm not and but you know what that looks like or how that stream would be managed while working working on a private side.

I don't really know, but objectively I would rather I would rather just stream for free all day every day on YouTube Um, but that uh, may be a little challenging. All right guys, take care, have a great day, Love you all! Cheers and uh have a great Thanksgiving I'll see you and hear from you or talk to you till then. All right guys! Bye-bye.