Welcome back to the channel everyone today i want to talk about amc, a hundred thousand dollars per share and whether i think that's possible probable or whether there's no chance at all so stay tuned and let's make some money over the last few days. I've seen a few different perspectives from trey's trades from ranch capital and from a few others. So i wanted to give my input and talk about whether i think it's possible. So i wanted to start by briefly talking about probability or likelihood.

Obviously, everybody has various different brackets at various different price points. Typically, most people's brackets start at a fairly low price and increase to a very high price. Now. Obviously, that means that lower prices are more possible and are more probable because, obviously, to get to a high price, you have to first go past that low price to draw this up visually.

I've got obviously four different prices here with four different scenarios. Let's say with scenario: a the price of amc hits a hundred thousand dollars or even two hundred thousand dollars per share. That means amc first runs over two hundred dollars. It then runs over a thousand dollars.

It runs over ten thousand dollars and it runs over a hundred thousand dollars. Let's say with scenario b, the price of amc only reaches fifty thousand dollars per share. Obviously, to get to that price, it has to run over two hundred over a thousand and over ten thousand, let's say with scenario c: the price of amc only reaches eight thousand dollars per share because the sec steps in and gets involved to prevent too much damage. Obviously, in scenario c, the price still runs over two hundred dollars and over a thousand dollars, but doesn't quite reach that ten thousand dollar mark and again with scenario d.

Let's say the price only reaches ninety dollars per share because the sec gets involved. Super super early and basically ruins everything. Obviously, for scenario d: that means not a single price point was hit, but in terms of probability or in terms of likelihood of all these different scenarios happening, we can see some various different outcomes in scenario: a b and c. Both the 200 price point and the thousand dollar price point were hit at each individual occasion with the ten thousand and one hundred thousand dollar price points.

They're only hit on a couple or a single different scenario. That means that, based on these different scenarios, these lower price points are obviously more likely, as they're practically guaranteed to be here, while these higher price points aren't quite as likely, because they'll only be here in certain scenarios. Now that doesn't mean those certain scenarios are impossible or even improbable they could actually still be very probable. So let's talk about what different scenarios we have to see to see ten thousand or a hundred thousand dollars per share.

Now i think these different scenarios really do depend on how many synthetic shares actually exist or if any synthetic shares actually exist at all. Now. Obviously, my viewpoint is that synthetic shares for amc absolutely do 100 exist. I don't know how many synthetics there actually are, but i absolutely do believe in synthetics.

I personally believe there's around 2 billion synthetic shares for amc. Maybe it's higher, maybe it's lower. I don't know. I don't have 100 proof because i haven't asked ken griffin himself how many synthetics he's actually created.

I think, if my viewpoint is correct and synthetic shares absolutely do exist in massive numbers, then we're definitely very likely to see ten thousand or a hundred thousand dollars per share and we're very likely to see scenario a or scenario b. But, for example, maybe trey has a different viewpoint. Maybe he has a different perspective. Maybe he doesn't believe in synthetic shares whatsoever.

He doesn't think there's even a singular synthetic share and in which point we could potentially be more likely to see scenario c or even scenario. D, if you don't believe that synthetic shares exist, you don't believe that there is any amc price manipulation whatsoever, and you do believe that technical analysis works 100 of the time and is applicable to amc. I can understand why you would have a lower price target. I personally believe there is a massive amount of amc, price manipulation and an unknown massive amount of synthetic shares, and therefore i believe that technical analysis, like fibonacci levels or going solely based off market cap, won't work in this scenario due to the manipulation.

I do believe that market cap and the volkswagen squeeze can give us some guidance, but at the same time i do think the volkswagen squeeze is going to be very different to that amt. Squeeze and i'll explain those reasons after guys, if you haven't already be sure to sign up to moomoo, using the link in the description below to get five free shares worth up to two thousand five hundred dollars. Each that's up to twelve thousand five hundred dollars in three shares movement. Food have also officially announced that moomoo does not accept payment for order flow.

On top of that, mumu used their own clearing broker futu instead of clearing through apex brokers, which is the clearinghouse used by robin hood weeble and many other sketchy brokers. Moon was also recently awarded the best trading platform, because it's very easy to use it's incredibly customizable and it's also entirely commission free and therefore i think moomoo is brilliant for buying those amc shares. I think this post from hang loose explains it really really well. He said volkswagen had four billion shares outstanding back when it scrolls giving it roughly a four trillion dollar market capitalization in euros.

He said the exchange rate to usd was 1.47 back in 2008-2009, making their market cap 5.88 trillion us dollars. He said being that this actually happened makes it 100 plausible that gamestop and amc can also reach the same size and potentially even beyond due to the current manipulation. If amc had a market cap of six trillion dollars, then the amc price would be eleven thousand dollars per share, nearly twelve thousand dollars per share. Obviously, i do think there's a number of differences between the vw squeeze and the coming amc squeeze, but obviously, when you include things like geometric mean actually, this price kind of makes sense, anglo said, keep in mind.

Porsche had actually settled with the government and sold a friendly agreed-upon price, which did not allow the full squeeze potential to play out because it was literally dependent on whatever price porsche wanted to ask for. As i said, i do think the volkswagen squeeze is going to be very different to the coming amc squeeze and i think, there's a number of different reasons why amc could run higher, but why amc may also be stopped lower, obviously, with the volkswagen squeeze. The majority of the shares were only being held by one individual entity, which was porsche and therefore there was nobody there to paper hand any shares with large figures in our community making videos expecting the price of amc to only run to 200 to 300 per share. It could encourage a large number of people to paper hand their shares and sell early now.

Obviously, i hope when people see amc, squeezing they don't get scared and paper hand. I hope they get overjoyed and want to hold on longer, because, obviously, if people get overjoyed, they want to hold on longer, they're less likely to paper hand, and then the squeeze won't be halted in its tracks. But at the same time, the sec seems very heavily involved in the meme stock craze now and seems to be siding with the hedge funds and therefore the sec and the government could potentially get involved before they did with the volkswagen squeeze. The fcc and the government.

May not let amc run to a six trillion dollar valuation or even higher they may step in beforehand. Obviously, i'm going to make another video later down the line. That explains whether i think the sec will actually get involved or whether they'll be forced to stay out and stay on the sidelines. But i think the reason why the amc could run much higher than the volkswagen squeeze is due to this side of the equation.

There's a lot more manipulation in amc than there was in volkswagen, with the vw squeeze there weren't any synthetic shares that we're aware of there wasn't any vw price manipulation that we're aware of. It was just simply porsche buying up lots of shares day after day after day with amc, we see price manipulation, we see short volume, manipulation, we see short exempt of short exempt short volume, manipulation and much much more due to all this manipulation and the creation of Synthetic shares and just how over leveraged these shorts actually are just shows that actually amc could squeeze much much higher and therefore actually 12 000 per share for amc could be on the minimum end of the spectrum. If there's zero synthetic shares whatsoever and actually if synthetic shares do exist in large numbers, then we could see a hundred thousand dollars per share for amc, if not even higher, as i've explained with the geometric mean before. Just because amc has a market cap of six trillion dollars, or maybe it's even higher like 10 trillion dollars, doesn't mean that every single one of those 500 million shares is being sold at that tippy top price.

Just because a company has a market cap of six trillion dollars for a brief, second doesn't mean that every single share in circulation is traded in that very brief. Second, at that tippy top price. If amc has a market cap of six trillion dollars. Yes, that does mean that a few shares were sold for twelve thousand dollars per share, but actually the majority of the shares are gon na be sold for a price much lower than twelve thousand dollars per share.

If amc ran to the tippy top price of twelve thousand dollars, many people would sell at ten thousand dollars. Many people would sell a thousand dollars or five thousand dollars and obviously you're gon na have lots of paper hands selling at that two to three hundred dollar range and therefore, actually, it seems very, very plausible and very very possible that amc could peak at twelve thousand Dollars per share or much much higher at the very tippy top of the squeeze, because most of the shares will be sold before the tippy top or after the tippy top. If you simulate the geometric mean using a very tippy top price of a million dollars per share, that means the average share is only sold for eleven thousand dollars per share and if you lower, that geometric mean tippy top to only ten thousand dollars per share. That means the average share is only sold for around a hundred dollars and therefore you could see that actually, a very tippy top price of 10 000 per share is actually very reasonable, very plausible and actually very possible or even probable, because the average share is only Gon na be sold for a hundred dollars, even if paper hands sell for higher than a hundred dollars.

The paper and sell at three hundred dollars per share. Amc could still squeeze at the very tippy top to over thirty thousand dollars per share and therefore, if you combine amc having a six trillion dollar market cap, which is very plausible, because volkswagen has experienced that beforehand and combine that with the geometric mean you can see That actually having a price of twelve thousand dollars per share or even much higher, seems very, very possible indeed, and especially when you factor in all of the manipulation manufacturing all of the synthetic shares out there right now. I definitely don't think it's improbable to see a hundred thousand dollars per share or even significantly higher, and especially because, as amc would only be hitting this tippy top market capitalization price. For a very brief.

Second, there's. No reason why i couldn't run 10 trillion or even 15 trillion dollars for a brief. Second, if amc had a market cap of 10 to 15 trillion dollars for a brief. Second, it have a price per share of around 30 000 and don't forget, as it's only staying there for a brief second we're not going to see 500 million shares traded at that market cap price.

We're likely to only see a few hundred or a few thousand shares traded at that price during the squeeze. Amc isn't going to hold a 10 trillion dollar market capitalization for six months to a year. It's gon na hold that price, for maybe a few seconds at the very tippy top of the squeeze in overall weather amc can run to a hundred thousand dollars per share really depends on whether you believe in synthetic shares or not. If you don't believe in synthetic shares, we're probably more likely to see amc run to a thousand dollars or below, but if you do believe that synthetics exist really, the is the limit.

It really all depends on just how many synthetic shares are actually out there, which i guess is a difficult thing to tell, because nobody really knows the true number of synthetics out there so guys be sure to. Let me know what you think down in the comments below and ding that notification bell, because that way you'll be alerted. When i upload a new video cheers.