In today’s episode, you’ll discover why you should not focus on your profits. Instead, you should pay attention to this one thing…
So go watch it right now...
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Hey hey: what's up my friends, so in today's episode right i want to talk about why you shouldn't focus on the profits right, but instead you should do this right, because here's the thing right when many people get involved with trading the only thing that they look At is their profits. You know how much money did i make, but here's the thing right. By focusing on your profits, it doesn't make you a better trader and let me explain why in trading right, we are dealing with probabilities and what this means is that, in the short run, your results are random. I know that might sound weird what what rainer in the short run, my results are random.
So let me prove this to you. Imagine that you have a coin in your hand, a 50 cents coin, and you can agree right there. The coin. There is a 50 probability of it coming up, hits or 50 chance coming up tills.
If you toss the coin, let's say six times: what do you think will happen? Will you get three heads and three tails not quite right? Sometimes you might get four hit and two tails. Sometimes you might get five hits and one tail or even six hits and you know zero tails. Now at this point, are you going to claim that the coin is flawed? It's a gimmick right now, you know, isn't the coin supposed to be a 50 chance of coming up heads 50 chance coming up tails what's happening? Well, it's simple! It's something called the law of large number! It's because you only toss the coin six times. It's a small sample size.
That's why you won't get near. You know 50 hits or 50 tails, but if you were to toss the coin, a thousand times now, you're gon na get much closer to 50 hits and 50 tails, and this is the same as trading because you're dealing with probabilities. So what this means is that, in the short run, a small sample size of trades, your results will be random, and this has huge implication on your trading, especially if you're just focusing on your profits, because what this means is that you can actually make money on Poor trading decisions, like you know, averaging into your losers, widening widening your stop-loss. Yes, you might get away with it a few times and actually make a profit on those trades.
But eventually, when the law of large number catch up with you right, you will suffer losses and you might you know even blow up your trading account. So that's a huge implication and at the same time you might even make the right decisions but lose money making the right decisions because remember in the short run, your results are random. So bear this in mind. So this is why i don't want you to focus on your profits because, in the short run, it's random.
So if you want to get better at trading, you should focus on this instead and focus right on the process. Focus right on executing the right traits over and over again focus on traits that actually make you money and avoid the ones that you know cause you to lose money. Now you might be wondering so right now how how do i find you know, find out what works and what don't for me - and this is where your trading journal comes into play. So let me just briefly right: give you the big picture overview of how your trading journal will help you with your trading. So first thing: first, when you have your trading journal, you want to record down a few things. Number one. Is your trading setup? Are you trading a trend trading setup, a breakout setup, a pullback setup come to trend et cetera, write it down, then state down your entry, your targets and your stop loss. These are just you know, uh basic matrix that you will have whenever you put on a trade and finally, the key thing to also put down is your r, multiple on the trade.
Let me repeat: right: you are multiple on the trade, so your r simply means right that if you risk one dollar and you make five dollars, that is a profit of five r. You made five times your initial rate, so you put down five hour if the trade hits your stop loss, there's a loss of one hour assuming no slippage, so you just put negative one hour so journal down your trades right. You know uh, you know when you take your 50 trades, 100 trades 200 trades. Then what you want to do is to review those trades and find out which setups are the ones that actually make you money.
Okay, so remember in the short run, your trading results are random, so don't review your trades just based on four trades, five trades, six trades or seven trades. It's the sample size is too small to come up with anything conclusive. My suggestion is to have a sample size of at least 100 trades. This way your sample size is much larger and you know possibly there could be something behind it if there's a results to show for it.
Okay, so sample size of at least 100 trades find out, which setups are the ones that are actually making you money and focus on those setups. Those are the ones that are clearly working for you and then also look at your losers right and find out which setups are the ones that are, you know, causing you to lose money. Might it be those come to trend rates all right find out which setups are those and then avoid taking those trades right? This way, your trading right will gradually improve step by step. There is work involved, definitely right, but if you want to be serious about trading right, this is the steps involved right to get better results.
Okay, so let's do a quick recap: number one in the short run, your trading results are random, so don't focus on the profits, because it's misleading doesn't really mean a thing number two. What you want to do instead is to you know, journal down your trades. Have a sample size of trades at least 100 and focus on those setups that actually make you money and avoid those setups that are actually costing you money sounds good. So with that said, i wish you good luck and good trading.
I will talk to you soon. You.
Your videos are so educative. Thank you. Much love from Nigeria
Learn technical analysis and the basics before trading
You are the Asian Master every beginning trader needs
This is literally what's happening to a beginner like me right now. Now I am having a losing streak after the 1st week of profits.
Hi Rayner. Subscribed a few day ago since I want to enter the world of day trading. With great interest I hear you talking about risk-reward. I can totally follow it. But what is actually a healthy risk-reward ratio? Also I see a relationship to my trading budget in terms of risk management. I prefer to keep it at 1 percent for a trading budget of 1000 usd. Which I think means that the difference between buy and stop-loss cannot exceed 10usd. Or do you see that differently? It is all interconnected. KR Ed.
your, channel is realy a good source of knowelge…i love it…mushtaq from pakistan
You only have to flip a coin 100 times. You’ll get 52-48. Works in poker “coin flips” too. Ace-King vs 77, over 100 hands , will yield the same results. I was bored. That’s why bankroll management skills are so important. Good vid, friend.
This analogy is very similar to the book I read today “trading in the zone”
After losing lot of money 💰 now i understood that trading is a profession & not a part time money making machine
I think the mindset is to avoid losing.
Trading is 90% mindset and 10% skills and also being patience
I don't do most of those things. I look for patterns. Plus patterns and entries. I deconstruct big moves. Just started using Andrews Pitchfork. One of the most underrated trading tools I had never used. Now I don't trade without it. Opens your eyes to where the trade is likely going, and when the short term trend is over. Do you use it?
Hey hey what's up my friends 😂😂
That's exactly what happened with me, 1st few days profit then consecutive 3weeks loss, and l lost my all capital
You are my online mentor. Thank you so much for all the videos that you shared. Ive been doing trade for 3 months and still need aa lots of improvement. Hey hey whats up my friend. 😊👌
Shout out my friend here in the Philippines.
How is Singapore bro. Learning alot. Live here in Tokyo. I will DM you sometime.
I like it whenever rayner acts as if he is the other person reacting 😆
All facts in this video!! Thank u 🙏
As usual, always Great advise from the Great Rayner! 🙂
but sometimes when you take a trade is looks everything good and you know what the similar trade worked before is not means that this trade will work exactly as accordingly like last one so you will win and lose that's how it works in trading and that's okay just make sure you have more winners than losers
Best mentor ever I've been struggling for a few years with my trading but have found a proven system and am exucting it with discipline and getting results. Thanks for all you've taught me boss.
Awesome Insights Thank you! I believe this will be super helpful!
Thanks for always insisting on the journal. I am recording it all. Since I sometimes rush into trading I have made a excel checklist which also gives a score for that setup so I have an idea how good it can work out and size my position based on the score. 2 days and have made equal P&l better than mostly a loss before.
tradersync – simply the best journal out there!!!
Thank you Rayner for the advice. Hats off buddy…
Much love from Nigeria 🌅 thank you best advice of the day
I'm still wondering up to now if I made a good decision a while ago purchasing a stock just because tomorrow is it's ex-date. Lol. Thank you for this my friend!!
Hey hey what's up my friends 😂😂
hey hey my friend. have a good day!
Hi can you please make a vid about pre market , how to scan, what scanners do you find most useful, how do you analyze pre market. Bless you sir
Rayner!!! Great video once again! Can you please leave a link or make a video describing how to keep a trading journal. My journal entries are always disorganized and inconsistent, I need a system. Thanks again for all the great knowledge!!!!
Very good and motivating. Thank you!