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WHY YOU SHOULDN'T BUY A HOME IN 2022:
1. IF YOU'RE IN A RUSH TO BUY SOMETHING AS SOON AS POSSIBLE
It was reported that buyers who RUSHED to buy a home were SIGNIFICANTLY more likely to face 4 MAJOR issues: 40% were overwhelmed by the amount of maintenance the property required, 32% say that the home turned out to be TOO SMALL, or LACKED important features, 28% said that their mortgage payment was too high…and 24% worried that their home was a bad investment…and was too expensive.
2. IF YOU HAVEN'T ANALYZED THE OPPORTUNITY COST
I would go on a limb and say that almost everyone who REGRETS their home purchase, which is roughly 2/3rd of adults - didn’t do the math, AHEAD OF TIME, to make sure buying a home was really in their best interest.
3. IF YOU'VE ONLY BUDGETED FOR YOUR MORTGAGE PAYMENT
Even though you might have a $1500 per month mortgage payment…when you add everything up…you could VERY WELL be approaching a $2500 per month when you take into account property taxes, insurance, repairs, and maintenance…and that’s something that HAS to be taken into account, and properly budgeted for.
4. IF YOU HAVEN'T CONSIDERED THE TRANSACTION COSTS OF BUYING AND SELLING
When everything is said and done, selling a home can easily cost you another 4-6% of the homes value from start to finish…meaning, just to BREAK EVEN on the purchase…you need to sell your home about 7% HIGHER, otherwise - you’ll start to pay out pocket for these transactions costs. 
5. IF YOU'RE PLANNING TO KEEP THE HOME LESS THAN 5 YEARS
That’s because, the shorter you plan to keep your home for - the riskier it is that you’ll make money owning it. Things like transaction costs, property taxes, insurance, maintenance, and repairs are all non-recoupable costs that you will NOT make back…so, you’ll need to expect that property values would continue to rise to offset that expense to make buying “worth it.” 
6. IF YOU DON'T KEEP 3-6 MONTHS OF HOME EXPENSES IN CASH AT ALL TIMES
Just like “FINANCIAL EXPERTS” always recommend you keep a 3-6 month emergency fund for anything that might come up…I VERY MUCH recommend a “HOME EMERGENCY FUND” that covers 3-6 months of your homes bills, repairs, maintenance, and payments - JUST IN CASE something inevitably breaks, or there’s an unexpected bill beyond your control.
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What's up, graham, it's guys here and do welp it's official. We are setting records, but unfortunately, it's probably not for the best of reasons. It was just reported that housing affordability is nearing the worst it's ever been in history and, as a result, sellers are beginning to lower their asking prices. Wait! No! That can't be right.

I read that right. Well, yeah, it's true! A new list just revealed the 15 cities, seeing the biggest price cuts right, as mortgage demand begins to slip and interest rates reached the highest point since 2009.. So that of course begs the important question: am i wearing pants to which the answer is? No, i'm wearing shorts, all right, joke's, a sign given the disaster of the stock market, the impending recession and the uncertainty of a rising interest rate environment. We'll attempt to answer the question that everyone wants to hear: should you, or should you not buy a home in 2022.

today i'll confidently, take the stance that no, you should probably not buy a home unless you're prepared to handle these six situations that i'm about to Outline because you definitely don't want to be one of the two-thirds of homeowners who now regret their purchase. On top of that, i say all of this as someone who's worked full-time in real estate since 2008 and as someone who currently owns nine properties throughout los angeles, las vegas and recently mississippi. So everything that i say is from experience and witnessing the pitfalls from other people who have done it before and made mistakes like the mistake of not smashing the like button and subscribing. If you haven't done that already, because, according to a recent survey, 99.9 percent of viewers say that smashing a like button was the most fun they've had since the catalina wine mixer and also big.

Thank you to notion for sponsoring today's video, but more on that later. Alright, so first you should not buy a home if you're in a rush to buy something as soon as possible, now sure, even though owning a home could be incredibly rewarding and it's so nice to be able to put a 300 gallon saltwater aquarium in the entryway. While you plumb a chiller through the drywall, without worrying, about losing your security deposit being in a hurry to buy something as soon as possible, because mortgage rates are going up is probably going to be a massive mistake on the surface, it was reported that buyers who Rushed in to make a purchase were significantly more likely to face four major issues. First, 40 were overwhelmed by the amount of maintenance, the property required.

When it comes to this, it's really important to realize that with real estate, your payment doesn't just stop with your mortgage. You're also going to be responsible for property taxes, insurance repairs, maintenance and the strong likelihood that something is going to break the moment you buy it. Second, 32 said that the home turned out to be too small or lacked important features, of course, in a highly competitive market, they're going to be compromises, but when 39 said that the location increased their commute time and 25 bought in a bad area, it becomes apparent That these could have been avoided ahead of time with a little bit more planning and patience. The third 28 said that their mortgage payment was too high.
But to me this seems like a mistake of not shopping around and not doing enough research to ensure that the rate you're being quoted is actually the most competitive rate. This is why it's always crucially important to get multiple quotes or work with a mortgage broker. Who knows how to best bring down your rate, especially in a time like this, when mortgage prices are rising? Finally, fourth: 24 worried that their home was a bad investment and was too expensive. The issue that i see is that most people buy a home at the top of their price point, while maxing out the amount that they could qualify for without fully realizing the true cost of owning a home.

This leads people to buying a home that might cost more than it appreciates and therefore leads it to be a bad investment, not to mention. That brings me to my second point of real estate. Two. You should not buy a home if you haven't analyzed the opportunity cost of your down payment or in simpler terms.

How much is your down payment worth to you if you invested it somewhere else, instead, like, for example, buying cryptocurrency using ftxus down below in the description with the code, graham because you could get all the way up to a hundred dollars with the free crypto? Just for signing up and making a deposit basically would you rather lose eight percent to inflation or eight percent of the stock market? That was a joke. If there's one thing that i've learned when it comes to buying a home, it's that having your money tied up in a primary residence isn't always the most profitable decision. Even if it means you don't have to waste money on rent. No sure home equity is considered very safe and the likelihood of you losing money over the next 30 years is pretty much non-existent.

As long as you make your mortgage payment on time, but if you're buying a property solely is a good investment, you need to ask yourself: how long will you be living there for have you taken into account transaction costs like commissions, transfer fees and escrow charges? What is your total monthly cost when you account for property taxes, repairs and insurance? How much would it cost to rent a comparable home? How much money are you tying up as a down payment, and what could you make on that money? Had you invested it somewhere else, i would go on a limb to say that almost everybody who regrets their home purchase, which turns out to be roughly two-thirds of adults, didn't do the math ahead of time to make sure that buying a home was really in their Best interest, and even though there's a lot of situations where buying a home makes complete sense, it doesn't automatically mean that buying a home is the right decision for everybody. So, that's why i recommend that everyone consider the true opportunity cost of their money, recognize the true cost of owning a home versus renting and make sure you're prepared to comfortably cover the cost of the payments. If the numbers make sense, then absolutely go for it, but otherwise it's probably best to hold off third, you should not buy a home if you've only budgeted for your mortgage payment and that's it. This is one of the biggest mistakes that i see people making when they decide whether or not they should buy a home, and it usually begins with comparing the cost of rent to the cost of owning a home, while projecting that home values will continue to increase.
At the recent pace of 10 to 20 percent a year, this kind of math just makes it seem like renting, is throwing money away every single month, and maybe it is, but as any homeowner will tell you, your total payment begins to add up extremely quickly and Here's how much you're looking at one obviously is your mortgage payment, and this one is easy to calculate. Go to any mortgage calculator type in the cost of the home, plug in your down payment type in the interest rate and instantly it'll come up with the monthly payment. If you want to take it a step further, you could break down how much of that payment goes towards interest and how much of it goes towards equity. To get your true, out-of-pocket cost the second.

You got property taxes. Now this varies throughout the united states, but it usually ranges anywhere from point four percent. All the way up to two percent of the home's assessed value every single year. That means in a 400 000 home assuming a 1 property tax rate, you're spending 4 000.

Every single year that you're not getting back and those taxes will continue going up over time. The third you've also got to pay insurance. Now again, this depends on where your home is located and how much it would cost to replace in the event of a disaster. But generally it's going to range anywhere from 100 to 250 a month for basic coverage and potentially more if you're, located in a high-risk area for fire, flood or earthquakes.

The fourth you've also got maintenance costs. This might be the cost of regular lawn care, general maintenance or any other month-to-month cost just to keep your home up and running, and fifth, we've got the dreaded repair costs. I can't tell you just how often things begin to break as soon as you close in your home, and all of these are things that you would never think about until you're, actually in it like, for example, the faucet that just gets loose for no reason or The random light that stops turning on, because it's got nothing better to do all of these things add up that you don't really consider until you buy a home and realize how often you're driving to home depot and gas is five dollars a gallon. That means, even though you might see a fifteen hundred dollar a month mortgage payment.
When you add everything up, you could very quickly be approaching twenty five hundred dollars when you account for property taxes, insurance repairs and everything else. That's why this is something that has to be taken into account in properly budgeted force, so you're not caught off guard when things inevitably cost more than what you would expect not to mention with real estate. Admittedly, there's a lot to keep track of, and it's easy to lose sight of your priorities. But thankfully our sponsor notion helps keep us organized and ensures that i have enough time left over to answer all of your comments down below.

Without exaggeration, we've been using them for over a year to coordinate, work and scheduling on the podcast theist coffee hour, and i also use them on a daily basis to share video scripts. That later turn into my brand new weekly email newsletter, which i'll link down below. In the description just so, you could see how integral notion has been to making that a reality. For example, it's been so easy to share my work instantaneously by creating a new document pasting my work, and now my entire team has access to send back their notes.

Admittedly, i have always been the last person to ever adopt productivity software since for years it was just a notepad, but i have to say it's been a game changer and now that we're all able to coordinate the exact same information, we're able to stay more organized, Save a lot more time and get a lot more done. Plus notion is incredibly customizable, so you could tailor it to fit exactly what you need and you have the freedom to create your own templates to share with friends, co-workers and teammates. It's not just a boring habit tracker, it matches your aesthetic and it's versatile. So if you're interested - and you want to learn more - feel free to use the link down below in the description to sign up for free for notion today and now, of course with that said, let's get back to the video alright.

So next, fourth, you should not buy a property if you have not factored in the transaction cost of buying and selling a house throughout the last two years. It just seems like there's this mindset of buying a home getting to live there and then being able to sell it for a massive profit since prices keep going up. But unfortunately this is the part of real estate that so many people don't think about until they're. In the middle of a deal see as a renter, it's so easy to fill out an application, usually for free and you're done, but when you're buying and selling, this could often be a very expensive process that could cost you anywhere between four to seven percent of The home's value right off the bat like when you're buying a home, you're gon na, have to pay for inspections, escrow charges, loan origination fees and transaction costs, not to mention a whole bunch of other miscellaneous charges that come up throughout the transaction.
Like transfer taxes, notary fees, filing fees, coordination fees, transfer, tax document fees, file, certification fees, it's just too many fees for me to talk about here without losing track of what i was talking about between all of this. You could easily expect to pay anywhere from one to two and a half percent of the home's purchase price just for the opportunity of being able to buy so if you're purchasing something for three hundred thousand dollars expect to pay an extra three thousand to seventy. Five hundred dollars up front just for the privilege of getting to call at home. In addition to that, the transaction cost of selling is often significantly higher.

When everything is said and done, selling a home could easily cost you another four to six percent of the home's value. From start to finish, that means just to break even on the purchase. You're gon na have to sell your home seven percent higher than what you paid for it. Otherwise you'll have to pay out of pocket for those transaction costs.

Now, of course, if you bought your home throughout the last few years, then most likely. This is not going to be a problem and you're probably sitting on a lot of profit. Congratulations, but the future of home appreciation is not guaranteed and even though things look good with low inventory and strong demand, there is a chance that the market could soften. That's.

Why i don't recommend buying a home unless you have a good idea, how long you're going to be living there for and have taken into account the transaction cost of buying and selling and fifth? Because of that, you shouldn't be buying a home unless you plan to keep it at least five to seven years. That's because the shorter you plan to keep your home for the riskier it becomes that you'll make money by owning it. Things like transaction costs, insurance, repairs and maintenance are non-recoupable costs that you will not get back so you'll need to expect the property values will continue to rise to offset that expense to make buying worth it like. On a 400 000 home over three years.

You could very well expect to pay a four thousand dollar closing cost when buying 7 800 a year in property, taxes, insurance and repairs, and a 20 000 expense when selling that's 47 400 worth of overhead, and that doesn't even include your mortgage interest, which could push That number even further. That's why, generally the break-even point for most homeowners is probably going to be somewhere between five and seven years and in almost all situations the longer you keep your home for the more likely you are to end up making money. It's also important to mention that these last two years have been a complete anomaly when it comes to the housing market, and it would be impossible for prices to keep rising at the same trajectory. It's just not going to happen, so my recommendation is, if you're looking to buy a home, that you're only planning on keeping for a few years.
It's probably not a good idea unless you're, specifically going in with the intention of renovating it and flipping it for a quick profit, renting it out in the future, or you can handle the risk that maybe, in the short term, you're not gon na break even right Away and six, you should not buy a home if you don't have at least three to six months of your home's expenses saved up in cash at all times. Just like financial experts recommend you keep a three to six month emergency fund. I recommend a home emergency fund that covers three to six months of your mortgage payments, property taxes, maintenance and anything else, just in case something inevitably breaks or there's an unexpected bill outside of your control, it's really important to recognize that everything in a property has a Life span, where eventually it'll need to be repaired or replaced, for example, roofs, usually last 15 to 25 years, water heaters last 10 to 15 years, ac units last 10 to 15 years, garbage disposals last a few days and so on, and once you begin to average. All of this costs throughout the course of your home ownership you'll begin to realize it adds up very very quickly.

On top of that, most people are not fully aware that the cost of materials labor and wait times have increased substantially throughout the last two years. So it could be quite a shock when you see what a 2022 repair bill looks like when you've compared that with what it used to look like back in the olden days. Anyway, it's an easy way to make sure that you're covered one. A home inspection will uncover a lot of these issues before you actually go ahead with the purchase just knowing what equipment is near.

The end of its lifespan and what repairs you'll likely need to do over the next few years is going to leave you much better prepared for when those items eventually do break and need to be fixed. No seriously. I've seen people complain and spend more time focusing on the color of the kitchen walls that could be changed for five hundred dollars than they do on the circuit, breaker or foundation of the house. That could sometimes cost tens of thousands of dollars to fix.

It makes no sense and two expect that the maintenance is probably going to average out to a few hundred dollars a month at minimum, just for all the random things that break over time. That's why? Anticipating this ahead of time and building it into your budget is going to dramatically cut down on the likelihood of you running out of money because you'll go into it. Knowing exactly what to expect, however, on a positive note, i will say this: if you're patient now could finally be the time where you could negotiate and look out for new opportunities that haven't existed since covet for the first time in a long time, buyers could begin To get the upper hand, and that could present some great deals if you know where to look. For example, i just recently partnered with ryan pineda to buy a group of residential and commercial lofts in st louis, along with a project in phoenix arizona that i believe long term should see some fairly consistent and stable growth.
I know this one isn't so much about buying a home to live in, since those were purchased, primarily as an investment. But if you're an accredited investor - and you want to join us on these or even future - deals i'll link to the information down below. In the description for me, real estate has easily been the best investment that i have ever made, but it's also been the most challenging and most time intensive. So, yes, it can be worth it, but you really have to look at the entire picture to determine whether or not it's worth it for you and your situation and whether or not you should subscribe, if you haven't done that already so with that said, you guys Thank you so much for watching and also make sure to get your free stock down below in the description when you sign up for public.com using the codegram, because that could be worth all the way up to a thousand dollars.

You may as well. Do it it's pretty much like free money and i'm posting my thoughts on the market there every single week? So if you want to be a part of it, everything is down below. Let me know what stock you get. Thank you so much for watching and until next time,.


By Stock Chat

where the coffee is hot and so is the chat

26 thoughts on “Why you should not buy a home in 2022”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars KingBear says:

    Graham, you stepped in there with a meme fueled drop bear from California. THEN you proceeded to get right back to work. Respect.

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Created By KJ says:

    Glad to see you are still alive and the nose doesn't look broke!

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Carpe Diem says:

    Did he just say "What's up Graham, its guys here?"

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jason Haymond says:

    Took a bite of my Nutella toast and a sip of milk at the wrong time. Almost sprayed it all over my desk, "Garbage disposals, a few days." 🤣

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Tess Bakker says:

    This is a great video, 😊I learn a lot watching your videos and it has been helpful to me. Trading is quite difficult for newbies. Thanks to Ava Rowena. for improving my portfolio,

    keep up with the good videos

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Chad says:

    Your face looks less beat up now! 😀

    Good try in the fight! Reeves trained harder and longer, but good showmanship on your part. Need to keep those gloves up and throw some crosses. Good fight!

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars SeanD says:

    I REFUSED TO BUY OVERPRICED HOUSES AND DONATE MY SAVINGS TO NEEDY GREEDY SELLERS!
    I love to wait and love this waiting game!!!
    I may be paying rent a bit but my savings are increasing so is my peace of mind!
    Soon, my purchasing power will be so strong that I won't give a damn what the interest rate is. I can pay cash if I want too when these prices come back to normal or get slashed in halves!
    People were not buying houses, they were playing racing games in the last couple of years. I would prefer to buy a house, not gamble, not bid in an auction, not fist fight with other sellers, not cut lines…. Just buy a house that is reasonably priced and I can sleep well at night without any remorse!
    THE END 😂

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars James P says:

    we bought in November – new build – new developed area in Nashville. we feel pretty luck in the timing.

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars WinterSoldier37 says:

    You killed me with that Garbage Disposal lasting a few days comment!! 🤣🤣

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Rami Haddadin says:

    Great Job on the creator clash fight. I was shocked to see you there and was invested. Michael is a beast and you put up a good fight.

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars M. Hawk says:

    Catalina Wine Mixer joke earned a like and a subscription. Well played.

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars morgan5885 says:

    How are there "good deals" when housing is up 30%+ everywhere from a couple years ago AND now the cost to borrow is twice as high … That's not really possible.

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Shayla P says:

    Me-In the process of buying a home clicking on this video 😳
    Actually watches the video and it's not so bad and I feel pretty good about my investment 😮‍💨

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars TheRealSnowah says:

    Why do I even go to business school?…. I learn more from watching these 20 min videos than from my 4 + years of schooling. Thank you Graham!

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Lunar Thief says:

    I keep trying to talk my friends out of buying a house. FOMO is stronger then logic

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars santomkd says:

    RESPECT for doing that for charity man, I've seen a few of your videos but after showing how good of a person you actually are, I'm a subscriber and a fan <3

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Mark Arnold's Finance says:

    I feel like you recycle your content often and just deliver it in different ways

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Caleb Allemond says:

    I personally think that it is best to go for newly constructed home by a builder with a good reputation. Just as long as the numbers work.

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars alex rayment says:

    interesting video, but it felt a bit like: ''do as I say, not do as I do''! 🤔
    … don't buy a property, but I've just bought an investment property 🤔😂

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars KevinBaconator_ says:

    I've looked at a few houses this year, and if it wasn't for my experience in civil engineering…would have absolutely been duped on some ticking time bombs if we rushed.

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars itsGlyst says:

    If you’re complaining about having a high payment and a small home in a bad location, it’s more than likely not because you chose incorrectly but you chose what you can afford in an expensive market and we’re on the verge of getting priced out of the market.

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Dan F says:

    another interesting point- 2-4 per cent per year for maint and repairs on a 400K home is 8-16K per year! so you stay there 10 years and that is up to 160K – now imagine that had been put into an etf over a ten year period…

  23. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars evandroknows says:

    Just wondering why he says 2/3 regrets buying. Isn't 75% actually 3/4…. =/

  24. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars TylerLikesCrypto says:

    Graham is forgetting half us have “slum lords” who refuse to fix anything… so we can easily take that out of the equation since we already live by those means.

    We already know how to quick fix our problems to save money 😎

  25. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Drew Brubaker says:

    What's your thoughts on buying land, and currently waiting out the inflation on materials to just build?

  26. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Osahin Martinez says:

    No ones property tax is evaluated at the price the home was bought the state always estimates the value of the property to be WAY lower and charge you property tax based on their own evaluation not what you paid for, this guy just want to make more renters for his property portfolio

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