Welcome back to the channel everyone today, i want to discuss, lose price brackets and give my opinions. I also want to talk about what i think realistic price estimates for the amc. Moas really are so stay tuned and let's make some money, and now i want to dive straight in with the key information. So i want to start by giving a quick disclaimer, and that is this - isn't a hit video against lou? I actually think lou is a brilliant guy.

I just want to say there's so many variables in terms of amc. For example, synthetic shares is there 20 billion, synthetics, 10 billion synthetics, only 2 billion synthetics or even 0 synthetic shares and with lose price brackets. How many synthetics is he estimating there to really be? Maybe the reason why lou's price brackets are fairly low is because lose brackets are based on an estimation of zero synthetic shares or the massive opposite end of a spectrum of 50 billion synthetic shares and therefore they need to make sure there's enough money in the financial System to go around and that leads me on to another variable - will the sec step in and at what point? Where are they going to get the money from to pay for the amc moas? Are they just going to use the dtcc 60 to 67 trillion dollars, or are they going to print more money? Are they going to use their 8 trillion? That's currently sat on the fed's balance sheet. Are they going to get other countries to get involved and perform other overseas bailouts to pay for the overseas shares as well, or maybe the sec won't step in at all and they'll just force the short hedge funds to buy back the amc shares until they go Bankrupt and then just cancel all the synthetics, so let's go through lose price brackets and then i'll give my opinion.

This is obviously on lou's website. You will never mistreat me again. Dot com, lou says amc. This play is done.

He said the sec has changed. The rules on transparency and this will kill the naked shorting synthetic shares drama by my number retail has a range of the following numbers on this play: 500 to 800 per share and we're likely to experience major attacks between 150 to three hundred dollars per share. Lou does think that amc will experience spikes in prices and those spikes could range from one thousand dollars per share to two thousand five hundred dollars per share for a few lucky individual apes. Basically, what this is saying is there may be say, a total of 50 to 100 shares sold in these price spikes, but the majority of shares will be sold between 500 to 800 per share.

Lu also says this is a managed event. So please remember the following: there are major halts possible. There will be broker liquidation issues, there will also be broker apps, not processing, orders appropriately and also institutions. Dumping shares early on.

So i wanted to first talk about lose price brackets and give my opinion now. I think there's two major scenarios in terms of the amc squeeze and that is the dtcc uses their 60 to 67 trillion dollars to pay out the apes or they potentially bail out the economy and print additional money. And there may be a total of a hundred trillion dollars or even more back in 2008, the fed printed around 30 trillion dollars to bail out the economy in various different forms. Therefore, if we expect that kind of similar bailout, we may have a total of around 100 trillion dollars so looking over at the left-hand side, 60-67 trillion dollars divided by the 513 million amc, shares an issue and therefore expecting zero.

Synthetic shares gives an average share price for amc of 116 000 at the peak of the squeeze. Now, obviously, we know there is probably some synthetic shares. Therefore, if we assume that there's around 2 billion synthetics on top of the original 513 million shares that give us 2.5 billion shares, total 60 trillion dollars divided by the 2.5 billion shares means an average amc share price at the peak of 24, 000 per share and Again, some people are assuming substantially more synthetics than only two brilliant synthetics and some are assuming potentially 20 billion. Synthetics 20 billion synthetics plus the original 513 million shares is 20.5 billion.

Shares 60 trillion dollars divided by the 20.5 billion shares. Potentially, an issue would give an average amc peak price of around 2 900 per share. Now, obviously, there may be some shares sold above these price ranges, and maybe also some shares sold below these price ranges, and obviously many shares sold kind of at these price ranges. As well and therefore comparing to lose price brackets, i think lose assuming there's around 20 billion synthetic shares, an issue and therefore he thinks that amc could only spike to around two thousand five hundred to two thousand nine hundred dollars per share.

Now again, i can't tell you if there is twenty billion synthetics an issue or if there's less than twenty billion synthetic shares, an issue. I personally believe there's less than 20 billion synthetic shares in issue and therefore i personally believe that this scenario is potentially more likely. I don't think that there's zero synthetic shares out there, but i don't quite think there's 20 billion synthetics, i think there's around 2 billion synthetics and therefore i think a price target for amc during the squeeze of around 24 000 is fairly realistic. Based on a mandatory two billion synthetic shares, obviously i can't tell you how many synthetic shares there actually are and that's why this is a massive massive variable.

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Last time i spoke about this, i did also see some comments trying to explain the dtcc isn't necessarily insured for 60 to 67 trillion dollars. That is absolutely true. 60 to 67 trillion dollars is the total value of assets held by all of the members that partake in the dtcc membership. Therefore, basically, if you total, all of the assets are all of those major banks and institutions and hedge funds, you get to around 60 to 67 trillion dollars.

Therefore, the dtcc isn't necessarily insured for 60 to 67 trillion dollars. That's just the total value of assets or the total value of money that all of those participants actually have. For example, if there's no synthetic shares, we could see an amc peak price of a hundred and ninety four thousand dollars per share with two billion synthetics and therefore 2.5 billion total shares. We could see a peak price of 40 000 per share with 20 billion synthetics or 20.5 billion shares total.

We could see a peak price of around 4 900 per share. Therefore, i think lou is assuming the fed, don't bail out the economy and print additional money and he's also expecting there to be around 20 billion synthetic shares. Now again, i'm not saying that's wrong whatsoever, that's obviously just lou's opinion. My opinion is slightly different and i hope that your opinion is also different, as well, obviously, everybody's entitled to their own opinion and everybody's entitled to sell their mc shares at whatever price they feel is reasonable.

Obviously i nor lou can tell you what price to sell at, because neither of us can really give any financial advice. Now there may be some of you out there that say tom, i think, there's around 20 billion synthetic shares and i think that amc can go to a million dollars per share. As i said, everybody's entitled to their own opinion. I just personally think that target is slightly unrealistic.

If you do the math on that 20 billion synthetic shares times, a million dollars per share is around 20 quadrillion dollars. The us only has around 30 trillion dollars of debt and issue and recently increased the debt ceiling from its previous level to pay for a full quadrillion dollar amc squeeze the us would need to issue around 3.97 quadrillion dollars worth of, dare obviously, if the us prints 3.97 quadrillion dollars in order to pay for the amc squeeze inflation would be off the charts. We wouldn't see inflation of eight percent annually or in nine percent annually we'd see inflation rates of fifteen thousand percent on an annual basis. A car of eggs wouldn't be costing two dollars a dozen.

A carton of eggs would be costing two billion dollars a dozen or two trillion dollars a dozen. If you were given trillions and trillions and trillions of dollars for your amc, squeeze it'd be fairly pointless, because you'd have to pay a trillion dollars for a carton of eggs and all us dollar money would be worthless. Obviously, the dollar inflating at that rate would end up destroying all worldwide currencies, including the british pound, the euro and every other currency in the world, as all of these currencies use the dollar as their base. To summarize, obviously, everybody's entitled to their own opinion.

I just wanted to basically lay out how realistic a million dollars per share with 20 billion synthetics actually is or isn't for that matter. I also think i agree with lou here when he says that it's a managed event and there's going to be major halts possible. The sec on their twitter page have been posting, so many tweets about how the sec can get involved with their non-regulatory halts and halt stocks for a period of up to 10 business days. I also think that, when amc squeezes, all of these hedge funds are going to be scrambling around trying to find the money to buy back their shares and therefore, i think, there's going to be massive broker liquidity issues now.

Obviously, if brokers have liquidity issues and can't meet their dtcc margin requirements, brokers could also end up getting liquidated during the squeeze. Now, don't forget these brokers aren't going to be going bankrupt and losing your amc shares, because these brokers are actually holding their amc shares. They just need to find the hedge fund that wants to buy them from them. Even if these brokers do end up getting liquidated, your accounts with your amc shares, will transfer to a different broker and that separate broker will process your sale at the price.

You want and return that money to you, but obviously, due to all the scrambling from hedge funds and the scrambling from brokers, it's likely that there could be many app glitches, like we've seen over the last few months in the amc price glitches. These brokers may not end up processing our orders fast enough or may not end up processing our orders at all if they end up experiencing some of these glitches, and this is why i told you a little while back to obviously take screenshots of not only your Broker accounts and your broker portfolios, but also your sale orders as well to make sure you've got actual proof of you, placing the sell order when you placed it and at what price you placed it at lee also says that we're likely to experience major attacks between 150 to 300 per share. I think this is the area where we will experience those attacks, because i think this is the area where the amc squeeze really starts. By that i mean, i think this is the area where most of these short hedge funds will end up getting liquidated and where they'll be forced to buy back all of their amc shortage shares.

Now, obviously, these brokers won't be buying back their amc shorts for 150 to 300 per share. This is just the point they'll be liquidated at and they'll have to place a market buy order to cover all of those shorts when they place that market. By order it will buy all of the shares available in the market at whatever price the sellers are willing to sell at. Obviously, the sellers are people like you and i, but also these institutions as well lou thinks that the institutions are likely to dump shares fairly early, which i think is very very possible.

But obviously these short hedge funds need to cover all of their shorts, including all of their synthetic shorts and therefore, by just buying back the institutional shares. There won't be enough shares there for the hedge funds to cover all of their shorts. We know the institutions only hold around 100 to 150 million amc shares, but we also know there's potentially 2 billion to 20 billion synthetics and therefore the short hedge funds need our shares, not just the institutional shares. Therefore, once the short hedge funds are finished, buying up all these institutional shares, they'll also have to buy our shares at whatever price, we're willing to sell them for guys be sure to.

Let me know down in the comments below what you think about lose price brackets and also what your personal price brackets really are, and as always guys, if you enjoyed this video, be sure to check out some of my others. Alternatively, subscribe to the channel and in that notification bell, because that way, you'll be alerted when i upload a new video cheers:.