The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month.
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#inflationreport #unemployment #stockmarketcrash
The Federal Reserve conducts the nationโs monetary policy to promote maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates in the U.S. economy; promotes the stability of the financial system and seeks to minimize and contain systemic risks through active monitoring and engagement in the U.S. and abroad; promotes the safety and soundness of individual financial institutions and monitors their impact on the financial system as a whole; fosters payment and settlement system safety and efficiency through services to the banking industry and the U.S. government that facilitate U.S.-dollar transactions and payments; and promotes consumer protection and community development through consumer-focused supervision and examination, research and analysis of emerging consumer issues and trends, community economic development activities, and the administration of consumer laws and regulations.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Indexes are available for the U.S. and various geographic areas. Average price data for select utility, automotive fuel, and food items are also available.
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The Federal Reserve conducts the nationโs monetary policy to promote maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates in the U.S. economy; promotes the stability of the financial system and seeks to minimize and contain systemic risks through active monitoring and engagement in the U.S. and abroad; promotes the safety and soundness of individual financial institutions and monitors their impact on the financial system as a whole; fosters payment and settlement system safety and efficiency through services to the banking industry and the U.S. government that facilitate U.S.-dollar transactions and payments; and promotes consumer protection and community development through consumer-focused supervision and examination, research and analysis of emerging consumer issues and trends, community economic development activities, and the administration of consumer laws and regulations.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Indexes are available for the U.S. and various geographic areas. Average price data for select utility, automotive fuel, and food items are also available.
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What's going on guys? So a super quick market update. Just wanted to make sure that you guys were aware of what exactly was reported today and what it means for the overall market. So I Really hope that you learned something new and if you do, please consider dropping a thumbs up and subscribing if you feel like we earned him. So let me go ahead and start sharing my screen again.
Obviously, the stock market is close and observance to Good Friday and Easter Sunday Uh, this? Sunday Uh, but NASDAQ Future still caught most of the move of what happened shortly after these economic reports were released so we could see that I'm in Arizona right? It's about 6 30. Um is when the Market opens. So one hour before Market opens it's 5 30 as you can see right on over here. We aggressively sold off tested support right around 13 130 and then we found a support here and we are now testing the same highs that we were testing.
Um, yes on yesterday's close. So it looks like the market is reacting in a positive way because of these economic reports that were released. So for those that are unaware, uh, the main one that was being released today is the unemployment rate. This is something that again has a big focus on being able to track if the labor market is going up or if the labor market is actually coming down.
And as you guys can see here, the unemployment rate had an expectation of 3.6 percent. We are previously sitting at 3.6 percent and today we came in at 3.5 This means that unemployment is actually lower than expected. Now the market is reacting in a positive way. This normally would not have happened if this was just a couple of weeks ago, right? Because this is not supporting the case that the economy is actually slowing down, but because it's already to be expected that the Federal Reserve is set to Pivot.
Although it hasn't been announced, it's why the market has been on this little bull run ever since the banks have been filling. It's because if the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates with its fight against inflation, then it can put other Banks larger banks in potential hot water. So as of right now, although the unemployment rate actually dropped which is normally good, right? Because we want less people to be unemployed I Don't know if that's necessarily what the Federal Reserve wants the market right now all I'm here to share with you is the market is reacting in a positive way. Uh, the Futures Market has already closed.
But from the time that the Futures Market was opened and these reports were released, the market was reacting in a positive way. As you can see, Nasdaq futures not only pulled on back, but then aggressively began to retest that same resistance at Thirteen Thousand Two Hundred. So very excited to follow up. Just wanted to make sure that you guys were aware of what these reports came in at and how the market is reacting differently than what it then how it's been reacted in the past before. Right? Because anytime unemployment actually came in lower than expected, the market would sell off right? because. And that would support the case that the Federal Reserve can create more rate hikes. But I guess we'll just have to wait and see right? For those that are asking, the next interest rate hike is next week, right? I'm sorry not interest rate hike. The next inflation report is next week.
For those that are unaware, it's the CPI data report that gets released anywhere from like the 10th to the 14th of every single month. and this one's going to be April 12th so it should be next week. It should be if I'm not mistaken when, um, Wednesday of next week and I will be live streaming it for free on my YouTube channel. all you literally have to do is subscribe.
This is probably one of the most important reports that gets released every single month, other than of course the Fomc meeting where they announce the interest rate hike, there's the interest rate hike, and there's of course the CPI data report. and they use the data from the CPI data report to determine if they're going to create rate hikes depending if inflation is actually coming down, but just wanted to make sure that you guys were prepared for that, especially because you know. Well again, it should be a very interesting week. Uh, as the overall Market is expecting the Federal Reserve to Pivot so I'll leave it at that.
I Really do appreciate you guys time. Just wanted to make sure that you got a quick little update on how and why. um what was reported today. Uh, if you have any questions Beyond this feel free to direct message me via Discord we have a free Discord chat.
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It is anticipated that 2023 will be a significant year for the cryptocurrency market, with the potential for a bull run. Factors that may contribute to the growth of the leading cryptocurrencies include the global economy, stock prices, inflation, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policies. Additionally, a rise in inflation and a decrease in trust in traditional financial systems may also play a role. To stay up-to-date and potentially take advantage of market trends, it is important to follow the insights and analysis of experts such as Andrew Martins ..
2007 to 2008 bear market rally almost 8 months before crash…….
Thanks for the info
I work with PapayaHUB. In just 5 months, I made a profit of +150%.
I've only seen the best interest rates from investments in the webcam industry, like PapayaHub, for example.
Another insightful video. Typically low unemployment means the Fed will keep on hiking more and more. But the market "knows" the fed can't keep raising rates much more. With that in mind the low unemployment number means the economy isn't in shambles yet. In summary it indicates the economy still fairly strong at the same time as the Fed is finishing rate hikes. That is good for the markets temporarily. BUT, the current Fed terminal rate held for a sustained period will continue to rock the economy further and further and unemployment WILL start rising. That will be bad for the market in the midterm time-frame. Additionally, the Fed intends one more .25 percent rate hike at the next meeting to achieve the 5% rate that they have been promising for months. They also intend to hold that 5% rate for as long as possible. By the time they actually start cutting rates (pivoting), the economy will have been declining and the market will have been declining for some time and it will take much time for recovery. It would be a very reasonable conclusion to expect that in the second half of 2023 the economy starts degrading and unemployment starts rising resulting in rate cuts in 2024 at the point of being too late to stop the decline. We could be looking at a 2024 election year economic mess in the United States considering the Fed's track record combined with their current minset regarding their decision making. It's a distinct possibility or even probability that we're looking at a real bad year or two in both the economic and financial markets.
Thank you from Concord!
Stocks are falling and bond yields are rising, but markets still donโt seem convinced the Federal Reserve will pursue plans to keep increasing interest rates until inflation is under control. I'm still at a crossroad deciding if to liquidate my $138k stock portfolio. Whatโs the best way to take advantage of this bear market?
AI and automation will solve employment shortage.
The media is bearish bias and you are too. Be ware of bear trap.
Correct me if I'm wrong but I think the reason why the market reacted in a positive way is that the nonfarm payrolls went from 311K to 236K. The lowest since Jan 2022. Bad for the economy, good for the market.
Already in SQQQ as a 3 day trade that almost stopped me out but stayed above previous days lows. Happy Easter don't give too many chocolate bunnies to Remi.
Bears have gotten squeezed by cash-pumped sector rotation by institutions who are trying to keep the price at exactly 400 Apr 21-Jun 16, while the blood-smelling bears as well as the scalping bulls who made it this far bottom-feeding on institutions, want it as far away from 400 as possible in each direction during the anticipated battle
brings 0.5 on the table
The "unemployment rate" is just a flat out LIE the government tells us to make it seem as though the vast majority of people work. Truth is that almost half of the adult US population doesn't work because it doesn't want to work. That's a fact. And that's the truth of the matter. No wonder we're in debt to our ears as a nation.
I don't know if they will blame it on the inflationreport, on the unemployed report or market correction.. I don't know. I just know one thing: There is no bull run without an outrageous capitulation (Stop hunt).
this insanity on pampin for cheaper loans to buy stonks (yes that's what the interest rate is really about) is really grinding my gears.
It will drop rapidly when you give up the short position….hihi
How is this good news for a pivot when 25bps is now priced in again.
What goes up must come down.
Always room and gloom..The markets rip higher. You missed the whole run up and will lose more being short .
I don't trust the labor Dept ( politically) sorry
Why are you causing fear within your titles and videos? Market been in a sucker rally mode for April & will still grind till end of the month.
Stagflation
So on Monday, will the market ends in red or green?