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There are 10 banks that are risky just like Silicon Valley Bank. A lot of folks want us to believe that what happened at Silicon Valley Bank is unlikely to happen at other Banks. The reason for that is they're under the impression that nobody else has this similar kind of exposure that they do to startups or Venture Capital Money freezing up. But the sad reality is there is a Formula that we can use and this is not a foolproof formula.
It's not a guarantee that these banks are going to have trouble, but it is a Formula That gives us an idea of how do other Banks compare to the Silicon Valley Bank and the way the formula works. And I'm going to very much simplify this because it's very, very complicated is we're going to take something known as the A O C I. So let's draw. Uh, let's hold on a second.
Let's go. Uh, where's my little pencil here? Um, grab my pattern. There we go. All right, we're going to take the A O C I.
This stands for accumulated other comprehensive income income. So if the income is negative, potentially a problem, right we're going to take that number and we are going to divide it by the total Capital So the total sack of cash these companies have minus that loss and we're going to come up with a ratio Important, we want to know what that ratio is because whoever has the highest ratio would imply greater Financial Risk right? So let me make this a little bit more clear because I Understand when you see this formula init at first it looks complicated. Okay, so the way it works again is aoci over uh, total capital minus aoci. So in other words, if my losses are ten dollars and I have a hundred and ten dollars and my aoci is 10, Well, then the ratio here is 10 over 100.
10, right? Positive or negative doesn't really matter. In this case, we'll just call it negative because Aoci in this case, is a loss. so it's negative. Okay, that is simple.
I don't want you to get lost there at all. It's basically just a ratio and the bottom line is, the bigger that number the worse. Okay, very very simple. Now in English what does this mean what this means is, what kind of losses do we have? Uh, and when we take those losses, uh, how does that compare to the cash bag left after we consider those losses? So in other words, once we realize those losses, how much money we got left? Man, that's all I Want to know losses divided by how much money left and then the bigger the percentage of losses compared to how much money is left.
The riskier right? So bigger percentage Bad. That's simple. That's what we're trying to do. And so Bloomberg put together this phenomenal list of banks that, uh, that have, uh, they put together 10 Banks And in this list of 10 Banks they show us which banks are potentially, uh, you know, looking at the worst sort of ratios and I'm going to show you exactly those.
So these are the worst ten according to Bloomberg These were their numbers, not mine. so don't sue me bro. The number 10th worst bank was Prosperity Bank share out of Houston Texas Uh, they had a ratio of negative point one percent actually seems pretty nominal. The bank has somewhere around 37 million dollars in assets. Okay, well that's not that bad. So you kind of get get the picture there on one side you're gonna see hey, how many assets do they have, right? In that case, it was like 37 million or whatever. Uh and and then how does it compare? How do their losses compare to that, right? That's all we're doing here. We're trying to make it very, very simple.
Okay, now let's look at the next one and keep in mind we're going to find Silicon Valley Bank on this list. But what do I want you to pay attention to is where on the list is Silicon Valley Bank and which bank is actually worse than Silicon Valley Bank and I Hate to say it, it's a pretty damn popular one. All right. Ready for this.
All right. Number two: First Foundation Negative One percent. You can see that right here. Negative One percent First Republic Bank Negative One point Nine percent that is a San Francisco Bank in California First Foundation was the Dallas Texas Branch Now I do have sort of a trick by the way.
and and I don't know if this is like like mean or evil, but if you're trying to get your money out of a bank, I think one of the best things you could do is if you go queue up at the bank is say you need to make a deposit. Uh, maybe that's evil, but uh, it's what I would be thinking about doing. It's like hey, I need to make a deposit uh and then like go deposit like twenty dollars into one account and go withdraw a ton of money out of another account. You see what I'm saying I don't know I think you might be able to to skip the line a little bit next New York Community Bank Corp Negative 6.6 assets.
Uh, we're at 90, uh, 90 mil over here. What do we got over here? Dime Community dime Community Sitting at 7.5 what's the next one? Sandy Spring Bank Corp eight point two percent next one Pacific Premier Bank Corp from Irvine California Negative 8.7 percent customers Bank Corp Negative 10.4 percent Silicon Valley Bank Negative 10.5 percent See where it's sitting like that's pretty close to some of these other ones. Again, doesn't necessarily mean the other ones are going to hit a bank run, right? but 10.5 percent? Okay, you ready for this next one in a worse position than Silicon Valley Bank Columbia Financial 10.5 percent To the negative. And here it is.
you're ready. You ready for this. This is a good one. You ready for this one.
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Oh no, it's actually Ally Financial Ally Financial sits at negative 24 Ally Folks Ally Yikes. Like everyone pitches Ally online. Ally a Detroit Michigan Bank shows an aoci per Bloomberg a 4.5 4.05 Bill total Equity of 12.8 a total assets of 191.8 but you're sitting at uh, uh, this this uh, this this negative 24 ratio. the way they've calculated this at Bloomberg I think that's that's crazy. Uh, so so absolutely wild. Uh, but it's something to pay attention to. And I Want to be clear when I talked about total Capital to talk about Bank Equity That gets a little bit more complicated. We don't have to go into this.
These numbers are straight from Bloomberg I Didn't make up these numbers I didn't calculate the numbers I just copied them over. Okay, I want to explain them And this is not to say that definitely Ally is at greater risk then Silicon Valley Bank It's to say that wow, There is risk in the banking system and that risk could be where you are and so you want to be careful. There's a reason I keep saying on this channel if you're at a smaller Bank get out and I know people are are you know hating on me saying things like oh my gosh, you're just creating fun But look, we've played this game many times before. I put my money where my mouth is I took my money out of the small Banks Over a month ago I had money and exposure to small Banks Over a month ago before any of this disaster because I'm like rates are getting to the level where we could potentially start risking bank failures I do not want to be a victim.
So a month ago I moved my money. Proof is in the pudding. Uh and look I know some people are like oh, but you know that's the kind of fear that creates a bank I Don't care like ultimately you have to do what's best for yourself and that's protecting your own assets. It's not our problem.
If a bank fails, it's their problem. It's not your problem. It's like playing with your livelihood is not what you should do. otherwise you end up on the streets and bankrupt.
So keep that in mind. These are 10, uh, a potential coming bank bailouts listed by uh by Bloomberg uh or or potentially other banks at risk Just per this aoci, the actual measure is aoci divided by total Equity Capital minus aoci. That's the the fair value measure that they use. Remember, this does not mean these banks are going to have to be forced to liquidate.
it, just basically means they they have a high level of paper losses. You can actually look up this money yourself at the Federal Financial Institution examination. Council National Information Center good Lord That's a mouthful. Apparently this evidence is taken from the Consolidated financial statements for holding companies Fiscal year Y-9c filed with the FED Oh yeah, that's real easy to look up.
but anyway, good luck.
Does anyone have the source of this list? I couldn't fact check this one.
It's irresponsible to tell people to pull money out of small banks unless they have more than $250,000.
There's no risk to funds under $250,000 in any FDIC bank or NCUA credit union.
There are no lines at banks, people pulling their $4,000 out of the bank are ridiculously dumb..
My MCB puts PRINTING
They are all risky. They proved that in 2008 and this action by the FED has just emboldened the banking casino. They have basically just given banks licence to be as risky as they want.
😂 why you hit that coupon code at the right time?
I'm very concerned that Bitcoin has no value
Not risky fed will print more money🤯
Dont worry inflation is transitory.
Hoppium nation stupid.
AOC’s eye over the capital?
Whats the possibility of having Mother of All Crashes this year?
Draw your cash from any small us bank
USAA all day everyday
Any insight on Navy Federal Credit Union? A lot of us vets use this bank
Guys I heard insiders telling that Kevin soon will be imprisoned for creating a panic bank run.
This wont ever happen again…..and another bank comes out with the same issue.
And they exist in California and NY…..go figure.
FUD
Sure hope Ally makes it!!
Mcb up next
These banks getting ratiod
Commercial during the ally reveal 😢😅
Well, I am panicking… I am trying to calculate the ratio for “regions bank”….. and man… they try to make the balance sheet so hard to read…. Can you help me out?.
Where is the Bloomberg article i cant find it
THE FED OWNS YOU. YEAH, YOU.
Going to be an interesting week, even if they find a solution. It's sentiment now that's the problem, and people are certainly not feeling good about this
Great info-The FDIC receives no Congressional appropriations – it is funded by premiums that banks and savings associations pay for deposit insurance coverage. The FDIC insures trillions of dollars of deposits in U.S. banks and thrifts – deposits in virtually every bank and savings association in the country.
Are CD's safe at smaller banks? Or don't go into these either?
I'll sum it up for all of you in just a few short points: 1. Keep your deposits within FDIC-insured or NCUA-insured limits: Make sure that the amount of money you have deposited in any single bank or credit union does not exceed the FDIC or NCUA insurance limits of $250,000 per depositor, per account ownership category. This will ensure that your deposits are fully insured in the event of bank or credit union failure.
Diversify your deposits: Consider spreading your deposits across multiple banks or credit unions to further reduce your risk of loss. This can also help ensure that you have access to funds in the event that one bank or credit union experiences operational challenges or restrictions.
Monitor your accounts regularly: Keep track of your account balances and transactions regularly to ensure that your funds are safe and secure. Report any unauthorized transactions or suspicious activity to your bank or credit union immediately.
Consider maintaining a cash reserve: It may be a good idea to maintain a small cash reserve at home to cover immediate expenses in the event of a bank run or other financial crisis.
Stay informed: Stay up-to-date on financial news and events that may impact the safety of your deposits. You can also check the FDIC or NCUA website for updates on the safety and soundness of your bank or credit union.
By taking these steps, you can help ensure that your money is safe and secure, even in the event of a bank run or other financial crisis.Let me know if y'all want more?
Someone list the 10 banks in the comments
Signature Bank is now closed!
Kevin what if were in smaller brokerages? like Sofi.