The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Indexes are available for the U.S. and various geographic areas. Average price data for select utility, automotive fuel, and food items are also available.
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The Federal Reserve conducts the nation’s monetary policy to promote maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates in the U.S. economy; promotes the stability of the financial system and seeks to minimize and contain systemic risks through active monitoring and engagement in the U.S. and abroad; promotes the safety and soundness of individual financial institutions and monitors their impact on the financial system as a whole; fosters payment and settlement system safety and efficiency through services to the banking industry and the U.S. government that facilitate U.S.-dollar transactions and payments; and promotes consumer protection and community development through consumer-focused supervision and examination, research and analysis of emerging consumer issues and trends, community economic development activities, and the administration of consumer laws and regulations.
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The Federal Reserve conducts the nation’s monetary policy to promote maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates in the U.S. economy; promotes the stability of the financial system and seeks to minimize and contain systemic risks through active monitoring and engagement in the U.S. and abroad; promotes the safety and soundness of individual financial institutions and monitors their impact on the financial system as a whole; fosters payment and settlement system safety and efficiency through services to the banking industry and the U.S. government that facilitate U.S.-dollar transactions and payments; and promotes consumer protection and community development through consumer-focused supervision and examination, research and analysis of emerging consumer issues and trends, community economic development activities, and the administration of consumer laws and regulations.
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Cpi data report was released today. Let's go ahead and break it down: I Really hope that you guys learned something new and if you do, please consider dropping a thumbs up and subscribing. If you feel like we earned it, excuse me. Let me go ahead and start sharing my screen.
Overall: NASDAQ Market Began to sell off. We did live stream the CPI data report. so if you missed that, feel free to watch it and it's under my live streams right now. But over on NASDAQ Market began to sell off.
Um, and it's because the actual report was not better than what was expected. Excuse me. We had an expectation of 3.6% We were previously at 3.7% and we came in at 3.7 So this means that inflation came in 0.1% higher than what was expected. Now, where exactly is this report released? Bls.gov CPI I Broke this down during the live stream.
You can click right here under PDF and you can see that all items came in 4% higher. We took away 4% for the previous month. So again, our overall inflation rate came in at 3.7% Core inflation came in at 4.1 1% So we are seeing that core inflation is actually dropping, which is essentially pretty good based off of the Federal Reserve. but uh, core CPI I mean I'm sorry.
Overall, CPI came in a little bit higher than what was expected and pretty much the same time. uh, or at the same level as last month. When looking at the overall line items for the CPI data report, which again, CPI data is the inflation report pretty much just tracks on a monthly basis. Based off of these line items is inflation going month or uh, up or down month over month.
And the biggest jump that we saw with our inflation rate which isn't much of a surprise uh is fuel oil if I'm not mistaken. Came in at 8.5% the biggest drop that we saw was a negative 2.5% drop and I believe that was Uh based off of uh used cars and trucks. So if you want to again, look a little bit more into it, feel free to go to Bls.gov Click on the PDF and you can read this all yourself. But I wanted to share my thoughts with you very very quickly.
When looking at this on the 5 minute time frame, we're testing this critical support range that we've been testing for the past 4 days. Market has found any reason to be more bullish than bearish. Even after you know, a nice rally, we pull on back. The next day we run right back up, we sell off and before Market Clos we run right back up.
Market's been more bullish than it has been bearish. It has been finding any reason to do so. With that being said, if it does begin to show signs of progress, yes we do, obviously just like anything, run the chance of this thing potentially selling off. But I'm just reminding you that the true Direction based off of recent patterns has been more bullish than bearish.
This report isn't much worse than what was expected. It came in at 3.7 expectation was 3.6 Again, it's a 0.1% off. Is this going to justify for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates on the next Fed meeting? Again, that's up to you to decide. But based off of how the Market's adjusting I would say that it's pretty much just going to be giving back what it gained yesterday. Uh, because this might have been an overreaction. Expecting that inflation was going to come in a little bit lower than what was expected As of right now on the 5 minute time frame, the market is still bullish. Do not get faked out on the one minute time frame thinking that something has happened. which happens to me all of the time.
When looking at larger time frames again, you allow yourself to really slow down and look more and and you're able to see a different perspective of more of the true direction of how the market is trading. So again, when in doubt, don't be afraid to stay cash. That's one of the things that we continue to talk about within our Lpp uh team is making sure that during uncertain times during choppy markets during unclear direction that you give the market the time that it needs to paint its picture for the day. If not, then just don't take a trade, right? Very, very simple.
So I Hope that ear your thumbs up. Please consider subscribing again. I'd love to keep you guys more up to date. If you have any questions, shoot me a direct message via Discord But I Want to remind you we're running our biggest sale right now for Lpp, which is again my daily live trading session.
If you want to watch me trade live as soon as tomorrow, it's the second link in the description down below and I'll see you tomorrow at Market Open for our live session. We'll see you then Take Care team.
I doubt the fed raises rates because of this because the fed uses core CPI as an indicator. Normal CPI is always too volatile. Oil especially is not a good indicator of CPI because one random day the Saudi’s decide they don’t want to produce more to make the US made and it sky rockets. Then Iran acts up and they bribe us with oil to help them and oil drops down again.
Does anybody know if SOXS and SQQQ are identical in terms of wash sale?
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Thanks Ricky for the update but i found a new way navigating the market for a while now
Market dropped due to the lack of participants in the bonds, not CPI data
Had a call for sqqq even with the nasdaq being up was down 50 when it full on reversed and made 50
He made some money today?
every time the market has a significant drop. the plunge protection team jumps in. look at the charts, they are milkin this market for every penny they can, leavin the retail investor holdin rhe bag !
I just buy puts because they are cheaper than calls. See 369 P/C to qqq
i'm still believe fed will hold rates but "higher for longer" would make some sectors in trouble and lower rating and their earnings also.
Short term bullish long term bearish.
we are headed to 439 on the spy
Bullshlt propped market!