WHAT IS THE CPI DATA REPORT? The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Indexes are available for the U.S. and various geographic areas. Average price data for select utility, automotive fuel, and food items are also available.
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The Federal Reserve conducts the nation’s monetary policy to promote maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates in the U.S. economy; promotes the stability of the financial system and seeks to minimize and contain systemic risks through active monitoring and engagement in the U.S. and abroad; promotes the safety and soundness of individual financial institutions and monitors their impact on the financial system as a whole; fosters payment and settlement system safety and efficiency through services to the banking industry and the U.S. government that facilitate U.S.-dollar transactions and payments; and promotes consumer protection and community development through consumer-focused supervision and examination, research and analysis of emerging consumer issues and trends, community economic development activities, and the administration of consumer laws and regulations.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Indexes are available for the U.S. and various geographic areas. Average price data for select utility, automotive fuel, and food items are also available.
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So I made a video based off of previous CPI data reports before the new one was released and a lot of people appreciated being able to look back to every other CPI data report and how the market reacted in preparation for the new one to come. I'm going to be doing the exact same thing I'm going to be looking back at every previous episode fomc rate hike that that that we have seen in 2022 and seen how the market reacted so we can better prepare for tomorrow. For those that are unaware of my name is: Ricky I have this free YouTube channel here and my main focus is making you aware of these economic reports that are being released on a weekly basis. I Hope that you learned something new and if you do, let's try to get this video to over 2 000 likes and I would love to host the live stream tomorrow for free on this YouTube channel for the Federal Reserve Fomc rate hike at 2 pm eastern time.

I'll leave it up to you guys hope that you guys can destroy that like button but without further Ado Let me go ahead and get into today's video. One of the first things that I want to talk about is quickly recapping my trade just like I said I was going to lock in profits on Tqq I left myself with my one lucky share. 6171.89 is what I made. This was following up with my day yesterday in Sqq yesterday I recapped my Sqq trade feel free to watch yesterday's video I made a little bit over 24 500 shorting the NASDAQ Market by being able to go into Skeq and again I only have one lucky share and I didn't trade out of QQQ today.

So overall just six thousand dollars on the day preparing for tomorrow. That's all I've been talking about with my learn Time Profit team. So without further Ado Let's go ahead and go back to every previous interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve I Found this uh, these dates um, through Forbes and the first one that's most recent is on December 14th, uh 2022 and it was a half a basis point. so it's very easy to actually be able to go back so that's going to be December 14th.

Let me go ahead and go back very quickly so we can go here and then we're gonna be able to zoom in back here so we have the 14th here. One of the things that you have to understand is that every interest rate hike is normally at 2 pm Eastern time. So normally the stock market is still open during these trading hours, right? So when these when these rate hikes are released, the stock market is open and the market does react. which is why it makes it so fun to host those live streams again.

I Am planning and hosting those live streams. So one of the things that we initially saw when uh this was happening is the market actually went up. This is uh, 2 P.m Eastern time. You can see that it says 14 right? So 14 being again Eastern time, that means that it's you know, two hours past 12..

So that puts us at 2 P.m We initially went up and then we actually reacted in a negative way, sold off and then followed off with a sell-off Again, about 290 is relatively at a resistance range for the NASDAQ market. So if you take a step back on the day chart, you can see overall lows and overall highs right? Lows of two 250, 260, highs of 290 and 300 right? So just understand and that range of support and resistance that we've experienced for the past couple of months. Going back to that 30 minute time frame, the next great hike is going to be on November 2nd. Now this is where it gets pretty interesting.
So let me go ahead and go back to November 2nd, let me just double check down November 2nd. So we're going to go here and as you guys can see, so this is November 2nd, we can see that at 14, Yep, 14 Market reacted originally in a positive way. So again, we're seeing a positive reaction. This is after a point, three quarters of a basis points of an interest rate hike and then guess what happened Again, what normally happens is the interest rate hike happens at 2 Pm Eastern time and then at 2 30 PM Eastern Time Jerome Powell The head of the Federal Reserve begins to speak.

He begins to give some guidance on how they came up with that rate hike and then he also begins to answer some questions. So what we've seen in two interest rate hikes in a Row the market reacts in a positive way and then it ends up selling off. Good to know, right? So again, just just the mental note September 21st Let's go ahead and head on over to September Um, I'm just gonna go back, so let me just make sure. Yep, September 21st.

So it's going to be right here. and at 2 p.m Eastern time, just making sure, right? So Market originally reacted negative way pops up and then ends up selling off. So we do see a positive reaction. It's short-lived and then it actually ends up selling off right? So again, twice we have seen the market react first in a positive way and then in a negative way and ultimately ends up lower than where it actually opened at.

So now this is three times that we're actually seeing this. Now going into July 27th. Let's go ahead and go back to the month of July Here we go. So there's August So this is going to be July 27th.

So here we go 2 P.m Eastern Time Assistant I Think we have August there. so we have July 27th if it's going to be right here. So uh yeah, it's two hours off the market open. This one actually reacted in a positive way.

so we actually saw a nice Gap up and it continued to Rally It did pull back a little bit but still reacted in a positive way even after Jerome Powell continued to speak. So that's going to be July 27th. Let's go to June 16th. so June 16th.

let's go ahead and go back to that date. Here we go. So we got July and then let's do June 16th. So here we go.

So June 16th looks like we originally reacted in a negative way and then it tried to recover aftermarket hours. But again, one thing to take into consideration is we're already at lows of 267 so we're a little bit more on the oversold side so it looks like again Market reacted in a negative way initially and then it tried to recover shortly after. and this is a point. Three quarters of a business points for an interest rate hike, so something to take into consideration.
All right. And then one of the last ones that I want to talk about is just going to be May right? So we got May. Let's go ahead and check this real quick. we got May 5th here we go.

so it looks like the day before there was um that has to be a CPI data report and then at 14 Market reacted and negative way ended up selling off so more often than not based off of the previous interest rate hikes, we can see that even if it does rally, it's a short-lived Catalyst There's only been once right and that was in the month of June that it acted actually reacted in a positive way and ended in a positive way. So I think that's something to take into consideration. So now with this up and coming interest rate hike, you know what's Market expectation Market expects uh, the Federal Reserve to only raise interest rates by a quarter of a basis points which is going to be half of what they've done last time and one-third of what they did two months prior at the full Uh 0.3 0.75 percent of an interest rate hike. So again, at the end of the day, one of the things that we always talk about is our job is not to prepare.

I Mean our job is not to predict the future. our job is simply to prepare for it. If you're trying to predict and hope for the market to go one specific way, just know that you'll most likely end up. you know, know, you have a 50 50 chance of being right or wrong right.

If you wait for the market to actually react, then at least you can trade accordingly, right? I Think that's one of the most important things is that you put yourself in a position in which you can tolerate again. We're going to be making sure that we capture all of this in the live session tomorrow for that Fomc interest rate hike and again that's going to be at 2 P.m Eastern time and I would be more than happy to host that live stream. All I literally ask you to do is to make sure you smash that like button. Get this video to over 2000 likes.

I Just want to make sure enough people show up, make sure you subscribe to the channel, turn on your post notifications and I will take care of the rush. I'll most likely go live, you know, 15-20 minutes before the live actually begins and we'll go from there. Okay, looks like one of my alarms are going up so I'm Gonna Leave It Up Um, leave it there If you guys have any questions, you guys know exactly how to reach out to me. Feel free to send me a direct message uh, via Discord or via Instagram And that's the first or third link down below.

If you guys want to be able to watch me try it live every day, that's that second link in the description and we're running our biggest sell which is 150 off. Appreciate your time like always. let's make sure that we're in the year on our green now. Take it easy team.
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By Stock Chat

where the coffee is hot and so is the chat

31 thoughts on “urgent analyzing 6 past fomc rate hikes…”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars 💰 Make $750 Per Day says:

    "It is better to fail in originality than to succeed in imitation." –Herman Melvi

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Doug Hensley says:

    Thanks Ricky!

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Darius' Garage says:

    Yeees 2k likes, can’t wait to join in the livestream!!

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars momo massa says:

    Hopefully it is a false alarm.

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars UncagedPine9 says:

    Get 2k likkes guys come on!

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Brandon Senauit says:

    Thanks Again Ricky, You Consistantly show a wise Trading plan beyond your years!

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Nico's Gaming channel says:

    Hit that like button everybody!

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars T Baldo says:

    0.25% is already priced in, so we will see a good old "buy the rumour, sell the news" type of situation, and if for some reaon we get 0.50%-0.75% then the markets will nuke down due to the shock and uncertainty.

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars 88 Mph Music says:

    Hey Ricky, Trying to subscribe to your daily trading program. As I am traveling in Portugal, your platform won't take my Credit Card? PayPal doesn't work over here. Any other options I can use to pay you??

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Keng Luck Tan says:

    US Thieves.

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars 777dingo says:

    I hope you guys are not ganging up together and naked shorting stocks, it's illegal.

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Spiritual Warrior92x says:

    Ricky…. 🎉🎉🎉

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Swae P says:

    << < Small Cap EV Stocks Leading Sector in Jan..$$.. * FFIE.. Up 186 % Month…Faraday Future… * ZEV.. Up 111 % Month… * CENN… Up 92 % Month… * XOS Trucks Up 62 % Month… * RIDE .Up 16 % Month… * IQSTEL. Profitable. Thumbs Up Video/ Thanks.>>>

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars CJ89paratroop says:

    That Alarm though… hopefully everyone is okay

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Coolkicker99 says:

    .50% increase tomorrow guaranteed, then .25% in March, then pause til 2014. Stocks/Housing still hot, core inflation still 3x normal, consumer too strong, unemployment too low.

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Lauren Eldridge says:

    Smash the like so he will live trade

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Donny Kinnaman says:

    Thanks Ricky

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Magnificent says:

    See you tomorrow at 2pm

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Live N The Moment says:

    Main focus is making us aware of what's going on with these damn reports. And making use 💵💴💰,. Thanks for all this crucial information!!

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Medik2525 says:

    .25 is already priced in therefore the market will rally. If rate hike is .50 then market will sell off.

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars T says:

    remember our job is to predict the future not prepare for it! 🎉😆

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Huey Jr says:

    Straddle option call 📞 put good bad idea?

  23. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Matt Crust says:

    I think it’s already priced in 25 bips anything more probably a sell off

  24. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars bamareb1968 says:

    Outstanding, as usual. Thanks

  25. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Miguel Rodriguez says:

    Thanks for the insight Ricky. Not saying it is going to drop tomorrow but based off previous patterns there is a good chance it will.

  26. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars randy johnson says:

    .25 interest rate hike but fed will say they will pause to see what effect they see.

  27. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Christian Edu says:

    Tomorrow is the day to call puts after 2 pm in a smart way!!

  28. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Samy92 says:

    I grabbed a put on spy and a call on spxs a few days ago

  29. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars damian trujillo says:

    Thank you Ricky🙌🏻

  30. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Christopher Chandler says:

    Very insightful. Thanks Ricky!

  31. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars DUNK TIMETM says:

    IM SO EXCITED😆😆 Lets see which way daddy Powell takes the market

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