Folks, you won't believe it. The world is now on. Watch as Venezuelan leader Maduro holds a referendum on whether to invade its oil. Rich Neighbor Guyana I'm going to discuss how this could spark yet another Global crisis and the impact this could have on oil markets.

Number two: markets are going full. Euphoria The Dow just notched its longest winning streak since 2021 as big money continues to pump up markets and mutual funds play catchup. Once's really driving this behind the scenes and what does the historical data suggest is coming next? In fact, there's many reasons to believe that de number is going to be wildly green. Number three: you were seeing squeeze after squeeze in everyday companies like Foot Locker which you're breaking out again and again.

We'll go over plays and upcoming Catalyst to know about as we head into the last couple of weeks of this year. And folks, there's going to be a lot of opportunities. And before we get into today's video, I Want to announce the grand Opening of our ZIP Trader Options program. For those of you who want to learn rather violently how to trade options from the ground up, well, this is the program for you.

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So let's talk. Venezuela So Venezuela obviously has had a lot of economic issues for many, many decades, but believe it or not, in the 1950s, they were the fourth wealthiest country due to their massive, massive amount of oil riches and after Decades of government mismanagement of their resources, endless spending on unaffordable social programs and near sole Reliance on oil as a revenue generator will now some 75% of the population live in extreme poverty and because of endless money printing to fund their massive social programs, their inflation rate is now at 359 per. which is actually an improvement from the 2355 per inflation rate in 2020 when oil prices dropped to Big lows. So obviously Venezuela is now in a spot where they need money and they need it bad.

And they need big money Folks Big money. And so they're trying to come up with creative and new innovative ways to get that money to get that. Moola What's the latest idea? Well, you see, there's this country next to Venezuela called Guyana It's an English-speaking former British colony which is pro-western proest and is the fastest growing economy in the world thanks to its massive offshore oil deposits. Now conveniently, the Venezuelan government has long believed that 2third of this region belong to them.

It's also true that Venezuelan children growing up had been taught to draw a map of their country with this region incl included as well. So it's inbred in the minds of the Venezuelan people. and the reason again that this is relevant now is because Venezuela is completely broke and looking for money and this region is super super resourcer and ripe for pillaging. They just need to do a little.

Invasion Annex the land and boom they got all of that extra Mulan all those extra resources which are coming at a good time because a lot of countries are easing sanctions on them saying they're easing sanctions because Venezuela is becoming a more fair election place, but really easing the restrictions because of the different climate pledges that Western countries have made where they can't make up for shortfalls in oil with their own oil because it's going to pollute so they have to buy it from other countries that don't care about pollution. That's how you protect the Earth Because of course these countries are all on different planets. but Venezuela is looking at this area as a big fat piggy bank to fund their government. and as we speak, Venezuelans are voting on a referendum to decide whether the country should essentially go in and again Annex The region for Venezuela And of course, Venezuela being a dictatorship.

Well, it's not too hard for this vote to go in the way that Maduro and company wants it to go. And even more so, a rigged referendum is a fun way for the government to say once they invade. Oh, this is what the people wanted I'm just doing what the people wanted. Now if you look at Latin American countries with the biggest Personnel Well, Venezuela sits at number four with 137,00 Personnel whereas the Guyana Defense Force sits at 4600 with 3,000 in reserve.

So outside of international intervention, there's really nothing stopping Venezuela from taking Guyana here. So why exactly are they thinking that now is the time to invade? Well, again. Obviously, they need the money they need the Moola. But another reason is that the International Community is becoming more and more reliant on them.

Recent months have seen major countries including this one, soften their sanctions on the country in hopes of getting more and more of their oil again. If you read into it, they're saying oh, we're doing this because Venezuela is promising to have more election Integrity Maduro is promising that the elections are going to be more trustworthy. They'll be about as trustworthy as it takes for him to hold on to power. As long as you trust that Maduro is going to win all future elections, then sure, they're trustworthy.

But anyways, Maduro and the government over in Venezuela believes that now is the time to hit Guyana Number one, they need to hit Guyana because they need some form of Revenue to be able to fund their government. And the other thing is, countries right now are rushing more and more to appease them. So it's a really, really, really good time. now.

That being said, if Venezuela does hit Guyana, it's certainly going to be hit with new sanction and the oil trade is going to become very, very complicated. But you might see some exceptions. As you've seen with other countries that continued to trade oil like for example, Russia, Iran and so on and so forth. Well, often times, sanctions hit everything except for oil sanctions.

hit everything except for the major commodity that's being traded. So Venezuela's like Hm. Okay, well, if they sanction everything in our economy like they've already been doing for a long time, but they allow us to trade oil, well, guess what, then it doesn't even matter. We can just invade whoever we want and there's not really much of an army there to resist, so who cares? Let's go to war.

That's exactly what they're saying right now, and that's why we have a whole other Global crisis on our hands here. What do you think? Is this going to spiral or is this a non-starter Are they going to take this referendum and just do nothing? Well, you can let us know down below. Okay, let's talk market. So the Dow as you know, has has just notched its longest winning streak since 2021, and media is pegging this on Jerome Powpow, signaling that officials are likely done raising rates by saying that the Central bank's policy is already well into restrictive territory.

Now, we've been long talking about the thesis that markets are rallying right now, not because of Any underlying fundamentals in the economy. In fact, nearly every data set suggests that the Econom is getting weaker and weaker month over month, year-over-year not stronger. The market right now is rallying because big funds and computer Algos are making the calculus that the current TR towards your end and into the beginning of Q1 is easier to accelerate than it is to go against. At the same time you're seeing major Bank after major Bank upgrade the overall Market Adding Euphoria to the fire and they're going to be popping and pping and pping this Market all the way until they can't make any more money doing that.

Then they're going to do a massive rug pull and you're going to see stocks get obliterated, pop like a big balloon Banks And media aren't even trying to hide it anymore. you look at Deutsche Bank y y Deutsche Maybe this is a coincidence. Maybe it's not the DOA bank right now is being celebrated across media for making a super high S&P 5 100 forecast and saying even that might be too conservative. Yet at the same time they're coming out and bluntly saying that they see a mild recession coming in the middle of next year.

So why would they predict that markets are going to Rally much much higher? And that's even conservative when at the same time they think that there's going to be a mild recession in a couple quarters? Because again, the game is not in predicting what's happening on. Main Street The game is predicting on what's happening in the market. Those are two different things. This is nothing but Trend riding and false momentum being created here again.

Deutsche B May or may not be trying to do this intentionally, but it's pretty clear that the media is hyping everywhere and Wall Street is hyping everywhere. Hyping and hyping and hyping people to buy in at all-time highs. Right now, you see folks: big money Banks Institutional players know that money is made in the market, not in caring about what's happening to Main Street but rather by accelerating Trends and amplifying people's emotions. It's much easier to emotionally trick people into buying a market and riding a trend than it is to actually have an economy that's worth buying into.

And Banks know this so they're like okay, let's Rite that beautiful momentum and then we'll take some profit. For example, Bank of America's Heart Net calls this Market emotionally bullish, but intellectually bearish. That means that many, especially the sheeper buying based on emotions fear of missing out, but few are analyzing the economy or even the companies that they are buying and saying oh, these are really, really solid deals. No, they don't care if it's a good deal or not, they're buying because they think other people are buying and the smart people in this which I hope each and every single one of you are.

Well, the smart people are looking at this and they're either saying okay, I'm going to sit out of this because I don't want to play a short-term Trend or they're saying I want to make a lot of money off the short-term Trend The smart people are looking at this and they've been buying the last couple of weeks predicting that this pump is going to continue, but they're going to be out at the first lines of trouble. The first 3, four 5% drop in the S&P 5o they're going to be gone with their profits and will spend the winter partying in tax-free domiciles like the Bahamas. And of course the big Alos are going to be making out like Bandits on this trend. It's going to be beautiful now.

of course there's a lot of people I know that say the way to make money in the market is by buy and holding undervalued companies. The problem though with that strategy is that often times undervalued companies will go up and down for years and basically net you a break even during periods of high rates like we're in now. So so you have to be able to trade the moves themselves, not just randomly sit in stocks that you think are of good value because they went up in low rate environments. Buy and holding good companies is a great strategy if you have many, many, many years and rates go back down.

But if you're somebody that's like I want to buy undervalued stocks and ride Trends Well, the way to do that is by simply playing the trend but not falling for it, remembering that the trend is your friend until the trend bends and guess what? that Trend ain't no longer your friend now. what's going to happen next? Well probabilities are that the Dow Jones will continue to rise in December and year since 1896, the Dow Rose about 70% of the time in years when the market through November's up. Which is what happened this November well around 75 to 80% of the time. the Dow continues up in periods where the PE ratio on November 30th is above the historical median which it was about 70% of the time.

the Dow Rises and when the cape ratio on November 30th is above the historical median about 70% of the time. the Dow Rises Cape ratio is also known as the Schiller PE by the way, if you didn't recognize that. But in fact, even in bad years like 2000 where the internet bubble burst in December, the Dow still Rose 3.6% So that means folks that it's way way more likely than not that the Dow continues rallying. Now let's talk about what's happening as a result of this overall Market rally.

While shorts are getting completely destroyed on stock after stock, you look at Foot Locker stock as an example, trading like a hypy hypy parabolic AI stock. but they just sell shoes in smelly stores. they're not doing anything with AI yet the stock is up 50% in the last 3 months prediction. Well, you're going to see a lot more of these mid to small Siiz companies squeeze as short sellers flip their bets into the overall Market uptrend small caps.

Had record bad performance last year and really underperformed broader markets this year and I believe that Trend will change very very soon. Meanwhile, you got a lot of markets and really big money market makers making a ton of money Selling puts to people that think markets are going to drop further yet they continue not to drop you. Look at the year-to DAT returns reported by Namura. The daily at the Money put sellers are up some 13% year to date.

but the important part is the last 20 days which saw some 3.8% returns. Now that might not sound like a lot, but this is on SPX and S&P 5 Hundo Tracker. Imagine how much potential there is in individual stocks that are running massively week after week. Imagine how much potential there will be on the way back down as bearish bets start flipping to being the profitable ones.

Do you want to learn how to trade options? How to sell options? How to buy options? Well, I'll go ahead and put that link to that new options course down below. Really excited we haven't launched a new course since Zip Trader U first came out in 2019 and now we got Zip Trader options. Now it's time for you to get out your notepad and write down these upcoming data releases that are coming this week. The key events to know: We've got the Jolts job data coming on: Tuesday Alongside the non-manufacturing PMI you got the ADP non-farm employment data coming on Wednesday the initial jobless claims data Thursday Consumer sentiment data Friday November Jobs report on Friday We also are one week out from the December Fed meeting which will be on December 12th through the 13th.

Anyways, that caps off today's video and again, if you'd like to learn how to use options to play current trends I'll put the link to our brand New Options program down below coupon code launch 50 will get you 50% off for our grand opening. Anyways, that caps off today's video. Make sure to hit that RIT like button and subscribe and we'll see you in the next one.