'MODEL Y WILL BE THE BEST SELLING CAR IN THE WORLD!' according to Elon Musk during Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) 2021 annual shareholder meeting. In this video I will review the highlights of the meeting and provide my analysis.
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Hey this is tom and i don't want to do another boring annual shareholding highlights video there's been many of them circulating over the internet. I want to do it a little bit more fun. I say we play a little game now. I've listened to the whole meeting.

I didn't stream it because there were plenty of other people who did. I don't know what people is the actual world world words. What's going on tom speak mother lover, now i'm gon na keep it in just for fun, so i was watching it and for the most part it was a yawn fest until elon got on stage. At that point it got a little bit interesting and in this video i'm going to save you, the entire spiel and just give you the main headlines, but we're going to do it in a fun fashion, because i'm guessing, if you're here you're here for my critical Thought so i'm gon na actually take some shots at elon.

I'm gon na give him credit where deserves, but this isn't gon na be a video where i just basically kiss ass, because another tesla fanboy. I do still think this is a fifteen hundred dollar stock, but i will be critical when elon up. So basically, the game is going to be grandpa heads, i'm gon na take every single important thing ellen said, and i'm gon na tell you. What do i think about it? Four grandpa heads means it's fact: it's putin, three grandpa heads means it is very likely, but still speculative two grandpa heads means it's not so likely very speculative one grandpa head means it is total.

Bs nonsense. Goes you elon, fart mania. Now, let's get started so the first statement that i want to go over is the 71 statement, but before we do, as you know, in every one of my videos, please don't click, nothing, don't smash, nothing don't buy nothing. I got no courses, i have no expiring discounts.

I don't want to sell you jack. I just want you to listen now. The first statement of ela that we absolutely have to talk about here is the annual growth and, of course, we're not talking about ebitda, not revenues, not profits. He was talking about deliveries and he pulled up a very interesting chart.

Basically, he showed us that over the past four years, tesla grew by an average of 71 per year in vehicle deliveries, and the most interesting thing that he said here is that i can keep doing it for the foreseeable future. I can give you 50 to 70 per year growth in deliveries as long as we have enough chips now, here's the question: does he actually mean it? Does he believe it? I think? Surely he does. I give it four grandpa heads. This is fact the only thing that can stop tesla is either governmental intervention, some sort of regulatory monkey wrenching.

Whatever we're trying to ignore right now happening in certain countries, we don't even mention the tesla name in sort of eevee initiatives. You know what i'm talking about right, so governments can actually hurt tesla. I think chip shortages can definitely hurt tesla, but if they have no issues with governments, if they have no issues with ships, i think their capacity is insane shanghai, berlin, texas fremont. They got the capacity they're about to hit 900 to 1 million cars this year more closer to 900.
It seems like at this point. I definitely think he means it and i think it's factually correct, so i give it four grandpa heads put in facts now. Let's talk about the next statement now. The next statement is the q4.

Now he's talking about model 3 becoming the most best-selling premium vehicle in the world for q4. Now, what does that exactly mean not really sure, but basically the chart they pulled up basically showed that tesla in q4 sold more than mercedes c-class, mercedes, e-class, bmw, 3. The audi a4, a5 and q5 and q6 - i think i don't remember the models but basically vehicles that are not really competing with tesla. In my opinion, i mean the q5.

It's an suv from audi. I don't really understand how it's supposed to compete with the tesla model. 3. Plus, i'm not really sure that the model 3 is the premium vehicle.

I think they compete with kind of standard family, four seaters like a sedan, so the question is: does this comparison actually make sense, both from a definition perspective and the way they presented it? Now he could have said: hey we sold out more than the mercedes c-class e-class, the bmw 3-series and the a4 a6 and the q5. That would have been a factually true statement and i would have had no issues with it but because it said it's the most premium selling car in q4 in the world i got ta, give it three grandpa heads i'm taking one head off for bullshitting. That's not really a logical comparison, it looks nice on tv, it looks nice on these presentations, but the tesla model 3 is not really a premium sedan. It's a really nice sedan, but it doesn't compete with the bmw q3 or whatever they're called.

I don't give a. We don't drive german cars in russia golada now. The next statement he made was about the model y and i actually am a huge believer in model y being the best selling car of tesla. This is, in fact, the perfect vehicle.

It's electric. It has the suv kind of characteristics, it's cheap to maintain it's pretty much an all-around go-getter. It's like this coded people in the vehicles. It's going to be extremely successful for tesla.

He actually went and said that the model y by 2023 - i think he met by the end of 2023 - will be the most best-selling vehicle of any category in the entire globe in the world, basically making a very bold statement because just think about it, ford just Sold 800 000 series f trucks in the us in 2020 alone and tesla just delivered 900 000 cars in general globally. So not really sure about the accuracy of the statement. I really like the model why? I think it would be a successful car they're gon na make just a lot of money and they're gon na be a growth engine. Do they become the most best-selling car of any kind in any category in the world within the next year and a half? I have to give it one grab ahead.
I think it's total. I don't think he gets that. I'm sorry can't see that happening, but i think it slipped out. You know.

Elon has been on to exaggerate a little bit but wait what other ceos? Don't every single ceo exaggerate and tell stupid just to hype, people up it's the nature of being a ceo of a public company. Now the tesla haters will take shots at this business, say well, elon just said it and one more statement that he's. If you go by a statement, statement of every single ceo, you're gon na find a lot of it's like you know. Warren buffett once said like, if you're driving in your car and for 24 hours, seven days a week, a cop is driving behind you he's gon na catch, you doing some nasty.

You shouldn't have the same thing. If just scrutinize, every little thing elon said you're gon na find a lot of like this one. The model why i don't think becomes the best selling car in the world in the next year and a half, maybe in the future, but can't see that happening by 2023 next now. The next statement is very interesting.

Alan said that tesla will be open to license out its software for autonomy to other oems in the auto industry, which i think deserves four grandpa heads put in fact now. The reason is because it's a no-brainer tesla will increase its revenue stream and it will create a negative incentive, decentralize other oems, from developing their own systems, because it's so darn, expensive tesla has already the most amount of data and they have a product. You can lease out for cheap. Why would you ever build one? The same thing with the superchargers remember what they said: they'll open it up same strategy now, tesla is already tyson fury mobile eye out of the picture.

They're pretty much the only game in town and them allowing people to get it for free by licensing will create an income for tesla again taking lunch from other oems is kind of the mo here, but also we'll decentralize them from putting actual capex when rd expenses Into developing their own system, which can take five to ten years to develop in the first place, no brainer four grandpa heads now. The next statement he made was really interesting. He said that tesla is not a car company. Surprise, mother lover we've been saying this for years.

Gordon still doesn't believe it, but basically he said our strength is not only in engineering. It's on the software side as well. Tesla software is the best look at the autonomy we just talked about a second ago. I mean that's why i think that their strength is in their development in the engineering and the software it's going to be very hard to catch tesla.

I think the ones that will survive in this industry are the ones who will join tesla instead of trying to fight it. But let's see what happens now. Ellen was also asked about dividends. When will tesla pay dividends and he basically gave the obvious answer, which is why would we pay dividends? Paying dividends is an admission that you have nothing to do with this money beyond giving it back to shareholders.
I think tesla is in a huge growth stage. They definitely can use the money, so he basically said well, never, or at least he said not in the foreseeable future. 100 agree. If i ever see tesla give out dividends.

Let's rest in peace tesla i mean that's the gg it's gone, so don't expect any dividends out of tesla but tom. How will we ever make money? What about the dividends? This is not a value play tom. Well, that's why you relevant. Nobody gives a about what you got to say because you clearly don't have a clue what you're talking about next now, what surprised me the most about this conference is that elon actually talked about tesla insurance, which was speculated for a long time.

He talked about them. Launching it next week in texas and potentially in soon, i don't know when in california, because they said in california, they're getting blocked by the regulators made a few shots. But the question here for me is how well are they prepared and how much they want that insurance business, because if you have any idea about the insurance business, it's freaking tough, it's a tough business. That requires a lot of headache, a lot of maintenance, a lot of repetitive dry work, not the sort of thing that elon really loves to do.

The insurance business can really take a toll on you. I mean it's tough, i don't know if they're gon na do it just because i don't know if ellen is fully committed to this, i think they can. They have the capital to do it. They definitely have the capacity, the brain power.

I don't know if he's truly committed to it once he already started doing it. He already saw what happened in california. The regulator is going to make it tough for him. I don't know: if he's going to do it or not, i'm going to give it three grandpa heads plausible and likely, but not certain.

Now he did also talk about solar roofs and the power wall. Basically saying that in the future, solar roofs and power walls will be kind of an industry standard. Whenever you're gon na build a house, it's gon na be standard. I got ta give it two grandpa heads with the way standardization and construction works.

I really find it difficult to believe that this is gon na become a global standard or even a regional standard. It's gon na be very tough to enforce. However, it's a no-brainer, imagine a powerwall. You buy this box, the box costs you a certain amount of money and then you pretty much make that money immediately by buying power with a cheap at night charging this battery and using it in the daytime, basically paying cheaper for electricity.

So the box pays for itself. I mean it's kind of a no-brainer. That's why they couldn't met the demand. I mean the demand for the powerwall was so insane.
They pretty much stopped selling it unless you buy a solar roof right. So i do think there's a lot of future in this. However, i got ta, give it two grandpa heads as far as an industry standard - i don't know, but then again, what do i know? I'm just a youtuber. This is just my opinion, might be inaccurate.

Might be wrong might be the ramblings of amendment. I don't know you got ta, do it in research. Let me know what you thought about the meeting. Let me tell what you thought about my analysis.

Let me know if you like this game of the grandpa heads, we might do it again i'll see you tomorrow.

By Stock Chat

where the coffee is hot and so is the chat

36 thoughts on “Tesla just ended the legacy automakers.”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Justin Mallaiz says:

    Model Y: I think you underestimate how cheap Tesla intends to sell the model Y. I bet they'll scale to 2.5 million per year to start. They'll continue to reduce cost drastically , and pull the price level down as needed to balance demand. (A Cost effective robotaxi to threaten public transportation). Remember Elons claimed advantage ? He intends to school China on how to mass produce cheaply -using innovation.

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Noah Murphy says:

    Tesla will sell over 1.5 million Model Ys globally in 2023 you’ll see you know why Tesla is starting production on two 2 gigafactory’s in Q4 that will be producing Model Ys in 2021 and the model Y will have the 2 casting and a structural battery pack with the 4680s and the Model Y is also being produced in Shanghai at giga 3 and it has been only 8 months of production and they already at a run rate per day of 1,600 units and that’s just the one casting I think and Fremont is producing model Y too so it is possible

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Daniel says:

    Tom I'm not hating here, honest question

    If a company never pays any dividends ever then does it have any value. Without access to the profits of the underlying business then isn't a stock basically just an NFT saying that you own a portion of the company?

    Thanks

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars koruki says:

    The model 3 is priced the same as the 3 series, A4 and C Class. A lot of people forget that European interior quality isn’t great when you’re buying those cars. You need to go to RS4, M3 or C63 to get super premium interiors at which case it’s 30% more expensive than the top Model 3. I’m speaking as a former buyer of those German cars

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars D.A. Raykhman says:

    By the end of 2023, Tesla will have capacity to produce at least 1.5 m Model Ys. I think they will be able to see everyone on these cars. So the statement that Model Y will be the best selling car in the world is possible. It’s not a fact but it is very possible.

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars AWildBard says:

    Maybe Tesla isn't a luxury car like the German automakers, but I do think BMW customers and others who would buy a German sedan rated as a luxury are definitely buying Teslas. So whether or not it is a luxury vehicle, the cost is similar, and many of the buyers were buying in the luxury vehicle category, because they could. And now that Tesla is available, many people are choosing Tesla. Some have buyers remorse, but others are lifelong dedicated converts to the Tesla brand or else to EVs generally.

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars SmileysRevenge100 says:

    Tesla absolutely needs to have their own insurance if they want a full autonomy future. Legacy insurance probably wont insure a driverless car, and if they do, it'll be crazy expensive. Plus, Tesla already has the beta insurance calculator currently in use.

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Joseph Allen says:

    You're wrong about Model Y and will eat your words. It gets 4 grandpa heads. Y capacity from Berlin and Austin alone will be about 1million by EOY 2022, not to mention Shanghai and Freemont.

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Francis Fukuyama says:

    Comparing Tesla EVs to Legacy ICE is apples and oranges. I think Model Y genuinely has a good chance of being the best selling car in the world. Not overnight, but very possible. Exponential growth.

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Zoltán Szeles says:

    In 2023 just Berlin and Austin should make 1 million Model Y, add Freemont and Shanghai and it has a good chance being top selling car in 2023.

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Adam A says:

    Hey Tom… About Tesla solar, here in Wyoming electricity is ~$.13/kWH. We don't have a night differential. We do have met metering. But… What if a lot of people, say 50% did indeed get Powerwall, and Solar systems.. That could take a lot of load off power generation.. But that underlying problem is a antiquated electric grid.

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars william woo says:

    Tesla insurance is non competitive now. If Tesla has a real working FSD that reduce accidents, then I can see the insurance rates be cheaper than the current legacy auto insurance. The cost of insurance will be directly proportional to the reduction of accident. I can’t wait for that day. Tesla will offer a 50% or more reduction on car insurance if you purchase FSD. And later Tesla can rewrite the insurance should 99.99999999 of all accidents are reduced using FSD.

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars william woo says:

    Like your thinking Tom, Legacy method are old and inefficient,. Tesla is so innovative that it make changes on the assembly line and make latest greatest features daily. How you going to compete against that. This is a model T factory that has changed many folds above that. Tell me what other factories are that innovative. I rest my case

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Nick Poolsaad says:

    Hundred of Car makers they wanted to make a lot of $$$$$$$$$$$$ also,i'm looking for cheap but GOOD!

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Karen Wallace says:

    According to Forbes magazine, the best selling car in 2020 was the Toyota Corolla which sold 1,134,262 units globally. With the new factories coming into play by the end of this year, I think what Elon said about Model Y becoming the best selling car by 2023 is very doable.

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Antonio Bruno says:

    tom is that a Phanteks case for your pc in the back right of you? great video by the way.

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Vinum Copia says:

    I think the claim of Model Y being the best selling vehicle in 2023 is a matter of production growth. If you believe Tesla will grow production at 70% per year, you can expect them to produce 2.6 million vehicles in 2023 (based on 900k in 2021). Now if you agree that Model Y will sell as much as all other models combined, then they will sell 1.3 million Model Y; which puts it well ahead of the Ford F series of 900k.

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Daniel Young says:

    I think the model y becoming the best selling car is obvious, just a matter of production ramping and parts. That is, the demand is certainly there. Once Berlin comes online with 4680 and hopefully
    Many more paint colours it will mushroom.

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Peter Shull says:

    "Elon has been know to exaggerate a little bit…" is that a little or a lot. Exaggeration is the feeding ground for the big short sellers. OBTW, what are your thoughts on NIKOLA…lol. Tom, love you like a fat kid loves cake, but NIKOLA is one you will eat.

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Alex McKenna says:

    Model Y is gaining ground. If Tesla sells 1.5 million next yearm at least half of these will be model Y. That's 750k, which means over a million Model Ys in 2023 i quite likely

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars John Boen says:

    Best selling car is currently Ford F-Series: 534,831 units sold so far. Shanghai currently makes 1600 per day, and @350 days of production, that is 560,000 units. I assume Fremont, Texas, and Berlin will also produce them. This grandpa gives it 3 MEs.

    Solar/batteries for all new houses… much cheaper to do at the time the house is built. It's going to happen – just like water and electricity. 5 years…

    Panasonic stopped building solar panels – I think this is why solar city stopped offering them.

    Keep up the game!

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Hoover E Londono says:

    Model Y production will grow exponentially with Texas and Berlin . Prices will drop
    And production. Will explode along with demand d

  23. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Hoover E Londono says:

    Tesla model 3 is better that all premium luxury cars cause of tech !!!!! tech Tech brah

  24. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Terence says:

    100% agree on your dividend opinion. If people want dividend go invest in some legacy mofos 🤣

  25. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Matthias Rossen says:

    I just want to add that I will be buying a model Y in the next 12-24 months. Not significant but it is one more. 👍🏻

  26. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars FuZZbaLLbee says:

    With the grandpa heads, I thinks of grandpa shaking his head. Of course grandpa is sceptical of everything, so more heads should mean less likely. One head is still sceptical 😋

  27. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars eric bondurant says:

    So what do I get from my 700 million in tax dollars that started Tesla? Seems Elon likes sociaslism…. Then wants to rob his workers

    ENjoy investing in socialism

  28. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Standard Vici says:

    Tesla can't end companies like Audi, Volvo, Porsche etc. because these makers actually know how to make molding that fits and paint that lasts. Teslas are poorly made cars.

  29. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars I P says:

    Why is the availability of semiconductors an precondition for Teslas products volume. I though they are making there own chips. So in my opinion it depends just on Tesla.

  30. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Hola! Nathan Bradforth says:

    Regarding model why. Think about it they are outselling model y and he has 2 next gen model y giga casting factories on line late this year. You are underestimating the output of all 4 model y factories by 2023

  31. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Hola! Nathan Bradforth says:

    Tom could it be Elon saying about model 3 was more saying is its out selling all premium sedans as in the model 3 being as good selling not because of the quality it's for both electric and is the best quality at its price point despite being electric. He's emphasing they did it with an electric car

  32. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Rashad Arbab says:

    Nah opening up autopilot to other oems is a retarded decision. The second they do that they are going to be painted as a monopoly and they are going to get broken up. They have to pretend they are in tough competition with Cruze and waymo and Lyft and Uber. That’s the only way to not get broken up.

  33. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars tirthb says:

    I like grandpa heads, i would like to see some bobble head emojis popping on the screen

  34. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars En Gage says:

    One of my first cars was my dad's Lada niva. Rolled it down a hill and it was fine. It could basically go anywhere. Thanks to your grandpa for making it🤣🍻

  35. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Joe Kim says:

    Tom, Elon has said this before that model Y in pure numbers will be the best selling vehicle in the world bar none by end of 2023, by revenue in 2022. So Tesla does not break down model 3/Y sales but if in 2021, tesla sells 900K and about 870K is model 3/Y. Even if model 3/Y break down is even 50/50 which is super conservative then 435K model Y produced in 2021. If supply shortages abate, then in 2022 tesla may sell in total 1.5-1.7m vehicles. with nearly all of that growth in model Y production at austin/Berlin/shanghai and even growth in Fremont. it's not crazy think that 600-800K growth in 2022 is nearly all model Y. so not crazy to hit 1M sales of model Y in 2022! and equally not crazy to hit 1.5 M sales of model Y in 2023 when austin/berlin ramp up is complete. Love the show but I think you are missing the numbers on this one.

  36. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Kyle T. Garrett says:

    I bought a Model 3 earlier this year in March, I didn't think it was necessarily premium until I had one. Now I would argue it's definitely in the premium sedan category.

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