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The Housing Market By Zillow And Redfin:
https://www.tiktok.com/ @seangotcher/video/7007855978309848325?is_from_webapp=1&sender_device=pc&web_id6915117897958524421
Websites like Zillow, RedFin, and OpenDoor have recently launched an “iBuyer” program that allows homeowners to get instant cash offers if they want to sell their home. But in this case, since Zillow and other websites have detailed information on where buyers are searching, where price trends are increasing, and how much every property sells for…they could, theoretically, target the most up-and-coming neighborhoods…buy up the inventory at discount…and then, when they own enough, they effectively “control” the market and set their own prices at a profit.
Redfin responded by saying this was not true, they would rather broker the deal than own it…they never intentionally under or overpay for a home…and only 5% of homeowners prefer convenience to a traditional listing.
But, as far as the TRUTH behind these claims…here are the facts:
First, the TikTok videos claim that iBuyers are lowballing homeowners for convenience…but, the real data says otherwise: Zillow claims that the homeowners who turn DOWN their iBuyer offer receive an average of only 0.09% MORE on their home sale by going the traditional route...and, more recently… it was found that iBuyers actually pay an average of 4% MORE than the homes market value…while dropping their fees alongside with it…meaning, in a way…they’re actually paying more than the home is worth just for the sake of getting to buy it….so, right there…his first argument is completely false.
Second, he mentions that, IF a company like this was able to buy up all the homes in the area…they could pay $30,000 more for that last home and THAT would lift up the value of every other house alongside with it…except…that is NOT how the real estate market operates.
The average homeowner stays 8 years before moving. For a company like Zillow to accumulate enough real estate to create a monopoly, this would be a decades-long phase of accumulating and holding houses…without any guarantee of actually buying enough to make a difference on the market. But, even if they WERE able to buy up all the homes…they would also need to buy all the homes at a discount, which - as we can see…isn’t happening…and, they’d still need to raise the market value of that last home…which, is impossible.
Instead, these programs only seem to be interested in buying homes for two reasons: one is growing marketshare, and two is gathering data. Since they do generate a SIGNIFICANT amount of their revenue from advertising…they can SELL active seller information to third parties for as much as $1875 each….meaning, even if Zillow or Redfin doesn’t make profit iBuying homes…they’re gaining marketshare, they’re gathering a more targeted set of data …and, long term…they’ll probably make a lot of money….but, not by raising the cost of houses in your area.
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What's up guys, it's graham here so listen! There are very few topics out there that get me upset and most of the time i'm just able to brush it off and move on with my day. But when i see flat out blatant misinformation being spread throughout the interwebs for the sake of garnering millions of views, i need to put my foot down and explain what's going on because there's a lot of it. First zillow is accused of manipulating housing prices. The government is continually inching closer to a complete shutdown.

New data now shows that most americans believe the stock market is rigged and, what's even crazier, is that they're also right, oh, and also the fact that the south park creators just recently signed a deal to buy casa bonita for 3.1 million dollars. But we'll go over that shortly anyway, let's debunk, all of the false financial information floating around the internet, the real impact of a government shutdown throughout the economy. Why some investors are saying that now is the time to be conservative and then, finally, what you could do with this information to make more money? All of that and more on this episode of the stock market still makes absolutely no sense, and congress cannot agree on anything, although, if there's one thing that we can agree on, it's that it helps me out tremendously. If you destroy the like button for the youtube algorithm, so thank you guys so much and also big.

Thank you to true bill for sponsoring this video, but more on that later, all right! So since there's a lot going on, we should first talk about one of the biggest stories of the week that deals with blatant manipulation, price fixing, corruption and deception. As seen on tick tock about zillow, allegedly it all started when a las vegas real estate agent posted this video to tick, tock and instantly. It went viral now. Usually, when i see a video like this, i prefer to summarize it to my own words, but i have to say this: video describes it perfectly and i'll admit it really gets you thinking that maybe something suspicious is going on just watch for yourself.

What if there was a company that everybody used everybody knew of to look for houses. Let's say that billion dollar company uses that information to go into that zip code and start purchasing houses. So this company scooping up houses less than what they actually could cost and let's say that that company buys 30 homes within a two mile radius. And let's say the price is 300 000..

So they buy all of these homes for 300 000 and then on the 31st home. They buy it for 340.. Well, what that just did is create a new comp so when they go to sell these other 30 homes that extra 40 000 - you can say this: one sold for 340 just made them 1.2 million now in theory here, so that would work websites like zillow redfin And opendoor have launched, what's called an ibuyer program that allows homeowners to get instant cash offers if they want to sell their house. It's very similar to carmax, so we'll make an offer on pretty much anything you bring to them, but in this case, since zillow on other websites have very detailed information in terms of where buyers are searching, where price trends are increasing and how much each property sells.
For they could, in theory, target the up-and-coming neighborhoods buy properties at a discount and then, when they own enough, they could effectively control the market and set their own prices to make a massive profit. It would be no different than amazon analyzing the data to see which products are selling the best, and then they can make their own product to push everyone else out of business, except today we're talking about houses, and it's actively happening right now. In fact, zillow is about to lock in 450 million dollars worth of funding to buy even more homes rocket homes just started their own eye. Buyer program redfin is racing to become the first major eye, buyer to hit the chicago market, and let's call it for what it is.

It's a real estate free for all during a time where the housing market has never been this expensive. So could it actually be true in theory that they would be able to go and buy up entire neighborhoods, create a real estate monopoly and then go and charge whatever they want? Well, redfin responded by saying absolutely not they would rather broker the deal than own it. They never intentionally under or overpay for a home, and only five percent of homeowners prefer convenience to a traditional listing. But this is twitter, where the mere fact that they responded caused another person to say you're, trying the hard.

The mere fact that you tried to defend yourself so much points out that you felt redfin is one of his companies. Okay. So by that logic, if you're indirectly accused to something - and you provide a response that may as well be the same thing as admitting guilt got it, the zillow also admitted guilt. I mean responded to these accusations, saying that the video is an example of misinformation and falsehoods, and that sales history is public information for anyone to see, but as far as the truth behind these claims here are the facts.

Coming from someone, who's been full time in the real estate industry for more than a decade. First, this tick tock says that ibuyers could be low, balling properties for the sake of buying them at a cheap price, but the data says otherwise. Zillow claims that homeowners who turn down their ibuyer offers receive an average of only 0.09 percent more on their home sale. By going the traditional route and more recently, it was found that i buyers are actually paying four percent more than the home's market value, while dropping their fees, alongside with it, meaning in a way they're, actually paying more than what the home is worth just for the Sake of being able to buy it, the second, he has the idea that if a company like this is able to buy up all of the homes in the area, they could pay thirty thousand dollars more for the last home, and that would lift the market value Of everything else, alongside with it, except that's, not how the real estate market works at all.
Let's think about this. Logically, the average homeowner stays in their house eight years before moving for a company like zillow to accumulate enough inventory to create a monopoly. That would be a multi-decades-long process of buying and holding houses without any guarantee by the way of ever buying enough to make any meaningful difference in the market, but even if they were able to buy up all of the homes, they would also need to do that At a discount, which right now like i mentioned, does not happen, and they would still need to raise the market value of the last home, which is completely impossible, see in real estate. Even though one neighborhood comp is helpful.

That does not set the market value of everything else. Instead, you analyze a radius of sometimes several miles. You take into account the home's age, condition, upgrades replacement, cost market conditions, and that is going to vary from house to house year to year. Now, if you do wind up having one comp at a significantly higher price, you usually just take the average of all the homes together.

So that way, you never have one outlier making that big of an impact on the market now, what's concerning to me, is not so much zillow or redfin, but it's a licensed real estate agent of 11 years, who even believes that this could be a possibility. Despite being feasibly impossible and costing more money than zillow would ever be able to raise. Instead, these companies only seem to be interested in buying homes. For two reasons, number one would be to gain market share and number two would be to gather data.

For instance, they would be able to sell active seller information for as much as eighteen hundred and seventy five dollars a lead, meaning even if they don't make any money buying and flipping homes like this. They could still gather data. They still gain market share in long term, they're going to do quite well, but rest assured they're not going to be doing that through raising the cost of houses in your neighborhood. But speaking of raising costs, you know what that's what congress wants to do and if they don't pass a new spending bill very soon, the entire government can effectively run out of money and shut down.

Even though the government has the ability to print an endless amount of sweet, sweet money, you - and i can't unfortunately, but thankfully our video sponsored today truebill - is here to help they're an all-in-one finance app. That's like having your very own personal finance, enthusiast living in your phone, constantly finding new ways to save you. Money like we all know how easy it could be to accumulate random subscriptions that drain money from your account every single month, but truebill is able to safely and securely identify those recurring charges and you're able to cancel unwanted subscriptions with just a tap another feature. I love is that they're able to help you lower your bills simply by uploading a photo and tapping a button.
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So if you're interested in learning, more checking them out and most importantly, saving more money feel free to use the link down below in the description or go and visit truebill.comgram. So thank you guys so much now with that said, let's get back to the video alright. So we need to talk about the term government shutdown. We've seen this headline throughout almost every major news outlet.

The stock market is performing like a roller coaster, while it prices in the possibility of the us not being able to pay its debt. But how bad is it really and what's actually going on? Well, here's how it works in the united states, we have something called the debt ceiling. This is the max amount of money the us government can borrow and add to the ever-growing national debt. This prevents the government from just saying: oh yeah, i'll just buy a little bit of that that throw trillion over there and uh yolo this, and instead all spending increases must be agreed on between parties.

But that's not happening as of today. We're quickly approaching the debt ceiling limit, the congress previously agrees to, and once we hit that amount, that's it. The government can't borrow more money, they can't operate as intended. Essential services shut down, social security stops and certain government workers are furloughed.

If that continues, there's always a chance. The us defaults on its debt, the value of the dollar plummets into the abyss, gasoline costs, skyrocket and we're all forced to watch meet kevin to figure out which stocks to buy now. In terms of how severe this is, it's really important to mention that a government shutdown is not exactly anything new and the debt ceiling has already been raised, 98 times in the past or on average, almost once every single year, but that doesn't mean a government shutdown. Won't have an impact throughout the market and historically we could see that overall, on average, the stock market remains completely mixed.
The worst government shutdown occurred in the 1970s when stocks were down almost 4 percent, but in late 2018, while the government was shut down for over a month, the markets rallied over 10 percent, of which, by the way, you could track all of these stocks. Using my hungry bull app down below in the description, alright, but even though the debt ceiling is certainly a consideration, the u.s so far has never once defaulted on any of its debt, and the only thing preventing the debt ceiling from being raised in the future is Just an agreement between congress in terms of how much money is going to be spent now, on top of that, if you wonder why the stock market is about to go absolutely bonkers over the next month, we have a lot happening first, part of that has to Do with the ever unfolding drama of ever grand the real estate company, who recently defaulted on more than 200 billion dollars worth of debt, while leaving the entirety of china picking up the pieces after it was discovered that they would not be able to repay their debts. China issued a statement to prepare for its demise and the possible storm to come and as it appears so far, that might be right on wednesday. Evergrant failed to make a 47 million dollar interest payment, and insiders say that evergrand has not communicated with them about any indication of a payment in the future.

Now, obviously, that was enough to spook the markets and, as of right now, they're said to be selling off a portion of their assets for one and a half billion dollars to settle a liability with one of their banks. China also issued a statement asking firms to buy up even more of their assets, to prevent them from defaulting and, of course, all of that uncertainty is causing the stock market to flip more than congress trying to negotiate the next debt ceiling. The second, we also have a reason behind the recent text sell-off and that would be inflation, which was found to be 5.3 in august. I mean it's really no surprise that the price of everything is going up way faster than expected, but according to the federal reserve, it's also lasting longer than they expected.

It was even noted that factory shutdowns and shipping problems were holding back supply weighing on the economy and pushing inflation above the fed's goal of two percent on average. Even now, natural gas is said to have increased a whopping, 180 percent rents are rising more than 10 across the country. Bacon is the most expensive it's ever been and according to jerome powell, supply chain issues are getting worse and are said to hold up prices into the next year. Between that the rising national debt and evergrant potentially collapsing the chinese economy.

High inflation could cause interest rates to go up way faster than we expect, and that in turn puts downward pressure on the stock market, which benefits from low interest rates. Now, since the stock market makes absolutely no sense, it's also no surprise that more than half of all retail investors say the stock market is rigged against them and apparently they're right. A new report from bloomberg highlights that there are more than 82 000 insiders who are defined as executives board members or shareholders who own more than a 10 stake in the company and by law, they're required to file a report with the sec anytime. They make a trade well, despite that, many insiders seem to consistently beat the market by buying stocks.
Before the information is publicly available. It was even said that purchases made by u.s executives outperformed the s p 500 over the ensuing 12 months by an average of five points between 2015 and 20.. Much of this is never investigated and when it is charges, rarely ever stick given how difficult it is to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that insider trading was the cause. As a result, the vast majority of retail investors do not fully trust the market during a time where financial literacy is more important than ever.

Investors also feel like now is the time to begin taking risk off the table with more than 75 of them, saying that now is the time to be more conservative with their investments in the market by and large, there is a lot of uncertainty in the market Right now, but i will say this: the good news is that everything right now is temporary and any dip in the market is a good opportunity to buy in at a lower price. After all, if you're making an investment, all things being equal, it's better to buy that investment at a lower price right. Well, that exact psychology applies here, so don't fear the red, but instead buy it. And lastly, the story you all came for the creators of south park, matt stone and trey parker have recently signed a deal to buy casa benita for 3.1 million dollars in a move.

They call the most crowning achievement of my life. For those who don't know, this all started with an episode where cartman scored a birthday invitation to the restaurant, but was later pulled away when it was revealed that he tricked his friends well as it turns out the real life. Restaurant was not doing so well, financially. So as they filed bankruptcy, the creators of the show stepped in to turn things around.

They also promised to improve the quality of their food, and now all they need is primus to make things complete. So with that said, you guys thank you so much for watching. I really appreciate it as always make sure to destroy the like button. Subscribe button and notification bell also feel free to add me on instagram, i post it pretty much daily.

So if you want to be a part of it, there feel free to add me there. As my second channel, the gram stefan show i post there every single day - i'm not posting here. So if you want to see a brand new video from me every single day, make sure to add yourself to that. And lastly, if you want to completely free stock now worth all the way up to a thousand dollars, use the link down below in the description and sign up for public and plus, i'm posting all of my own stock trades on there.
So if you want to be a part of it, the link is down below in the description. Thank you guys so much for watching and until next time.

By Stock Chat

where the coffee is hot and so is the chat

31 thoughts on “Stop buying homes”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Renato Cardoso says:

    Hi Graham…Thanks for the video. There are still people reading disclaimers.

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jp Jp says:

    Interesting that Red Fin started out as a Web host company.

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Bobby Pinkston says:

    This advice should be specific to Bible cities. My city is still affordable too but compared to renting and interest rates are still low. We are a year or two from approaching unaffordable at this rate, but there’s still a window.

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jes A says:

    The YouTube algorithms made it so I haven’t seen your videos in ages. I had to look for you. Thanks for the video ⭐️

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars gerbs96 says:

    Lol, the government is accusing Zillow of manipulating housing prices. The institution with the power to print currency, currency that is directly responsible for inflating asset prices…is accusing Zillow of manipulation. Pot meet kettle, you’re black.

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Achilleon says:

    How can you say the system isn't rigged when they stepped in earlier this year after stopped allowing trades when the hedge funds were losing their asses?

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Justin McDonald says:

    As a person living in Colorado the Casa Bonita reference got me hooked within the first minute. Very informative as always.

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars T says:

    Graham is full of crap. One thing my father always taught me never trust a car sales man, a realtor or a YouTube he’s both.

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars deborah lozano says:

    I guess a home is only worth what someone is willing to pay. I know how much I want to spend. Nothing wrong with putting in offers. So a homeowner gets offended. Yeah.

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars A B says:

    The result of treating housing as a commodity and not a social good.

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars SDWKITTIE says:

    A company named rent progress owns probably 25% of my neighborhood. I don’t think I’ve ever lived anywhere with so many of the families being renters versus owners.

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Kashkoi says:

    Millionaire telling me to do not buy a house , that way he can buy it himself at cheaper price, no thanks, dislike.

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jess Stimpert says:

    Money is an issue that everyone has for a better and luxurious life. Life was hard for me until I started making profits on my investment with Paula David

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Brandon says:

    Gram, you forget. Government doesn't print money. The FED does. If you're friends with the FED who also probably owns many politicians, you have access to money printer.

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars jim morrison says:

    Nancy Pelosi is the queen of insider trading. She's worth over 200 million dollars on $150,000 salary

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars jim morrison says:

    What do you expect you got a guy with dementia as the President of the United States. We went from the greatest jobs creator to a Chinese implant

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars johnny martinez says:

    Landlords are insidious… Everyone deserves to afford a home…plenty of ways to get rich. Than being a. Landlords insidious ego

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Cassy P says:

    Thanks for saying this. I work in housing in a large city. I’ve seen how crazy the prices have increased since January of 2021. It’s been a crazy year for housing. As soon as a home became available, it was snatched up within hours. I would like to see more people who are headstrong against the rise in housing prices. We will not be buying a home in our current, beloved city on principle. We will be leaving in about 2-3 years to purchase a home.

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Joseph Martinez says:

    What are yield farms?? There was just an ad for it on your video and I figured you’d know. Love your videos by the way.

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Chris says:

    Graham, you are the perfect package. Smart, successful, good looking, AND you listen to Primus??

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Hola! Corey Norris says:

    Appreciated the "My Name is Mud" snippet lol

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Valnla says:

    I'm confused. A few weeks ago you uploaded a video discussing how Zillow manipulates the market. Now, you are saying they don't. We like you, we support you. More importantly we rely on your videos and data to make financial decisions. Please don't flip-flop.

  23. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars MARILU ORNELAS says:

    Ppl make a lot of money in real state and they end up with dementia in a nursing home, with tons of money in the bank or stok marketing, you name it. End up with out nice cloths in expensive nursing homes, in a mini apartment no visits, and old cloths becouse family don't care enymore… thats karma… realstate monopoly put familys children living at walmart parking spaces, succesfull ppl are smart good at realstate monopoly, until they get old and the farmasist monopoly say they have dementia, take away money, driver liscence, and a social worker decide if you can buy a pair oflf stocks for u feets with out pedicura, cold feet… YEP ITS A MONOPOLY.. work so hard take the chances to buy a home low income families, and end up living like a low income family in a small bedroom with a small bathroom in a senior home… KARMA

  24. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars 𝔖𝔢𝔱𝔥𝔞𝔷𝔞𝔷𝔞𝔢𝔩 says:

    The price of real estate and rent rates are so inflated that I don’t even know how the hell anyone’s going to be able to afford it anymore. Seriously a 4 four bedroom that rented out for $1600 last year now goes for over $2200 a month. Who the hell would be dumb enough to rent for $2200 a month when you can buy at $1200-$1400 a month????

  25. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars 2 Balls Deep says:

    For a company like Zillow to accumulate enough property to corner the market would be called Black Rock.

  26. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Miguel F. Lancha says:

    Wait, that Primus wink to Les Claypool was the last thing I would’ve expected from you, Graham! Loved it 🤘

  27. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Master Aviator says:

    Your insistance it doesn't happen makes think it really does.

  28. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars XYZ 123 says:

    our economy is corrupt and rotten to the core. people are buying 1000s of different silly cryptocurrencies. real estate is manipulated and super high. the stock market is manipulated and has no relation to the real economy anymore. the federal government is bankrupt. americans have staggering amounts of debt. the pandemic is still going. many supply chains are broken. inflation and stagflation are kicking in hard. the ccp chinese economy may collapse. wow, the future looks so bright, which encourages me to invest in some stuff.

  29. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars The Laughing Gamer says:

    Ignore the clickbait title, buying your own home will be the best thing you ever do.

  30. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars TheDWZemke says:

    Correction.. the stock market is believing that the government will raise the ceiling.

  31. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Ben Informato says:

    @Graham Stephan : There are companies buying up neighborhoods of single family homes. The NBC Nightly News just did a segment about it the other day. Companies like Blackrock will buy full blocks of new construction before they're done, then rent them out. Zillow isn't the problem, they're small fish. It's the deep pocket investment firms that are buying up homes to rent them out. This is the problem that's occurring in real estate market right now and part of the reason inventory is low.

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