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Welcome back to another market, open live stream. Today we have a mixed open. Excuse me wow. That was very bad timing.
I just start joking as soon as i start, the live stream. Oh well so here's our mixed, open, uh, dao futures are expected to open up about 0.11 s, p futures, basically flat at 0.05 percent nasdaq futures down 0.16. That might be the first down we have here on the nasdaq in quite a bit probably went over a week now at this point now, brent uh is still sitting right below 85, really strong resistance there at 85 and in terms of bonds still sitting at i Mean look at this. We fell even more here on the 10-year treasury only at 1.559.
Right now it does seem like the uh. The the market is uh really pulling in uh these expectations that inflation will be relaxing and uh. We're seeing the bond market start pricing that in let's go ahead and uh take a look at how some things are starting off here, uh, to start the day, we'll look first at the uh tesla chart, we did go down to a low of 11.25 here in The pre-market about four hours ago, uh, sitting right now at about uh 11.65 down about 3.6 percent zooming out to some other gainers and losers, lucid dropping about 5.8 percent. This is coming off of the saturday delivery event uh, where it looks like there were some around 50 vehicles delivered.
That is the start of the first batch of uh, really uh 520 lucid dream vehicles that are being delivered and then uh the air vehicles are getting delivered next to get about a thousand vehicles on the road this year down about 5.8 percent, though uh in the Pre-Market - and this is likely a result of a lot of traders coming into lucid stock uh in anticipation of the launch event, and then this is just your classic: buy the rumor sell. The news, lucid uh is uh in the news substantially. As the launch and launch day happens where launch day comes up and then launch day happens and then once it happens, the news is over and so traders move on to another stock uh to trade. This is very, very typical.
This is uh to almost be entirely expected, uh with the stock. So especially, you know when you run from like 22 dollars to to 40 dollars to see it pull back to wherever we sit now. What is it 36 dollars here? Not a horrible surprise, seeing woozy down about 5.3 percent here after a big gain yesterday of about 32 percent on this idealistic hope that voozi might be something we could use as a uh as a tool for the metaverse. I am nowhere as bullish on on voozi.
Sorry uh so anyway, that one's down uh 5.3, today d-wack uh donald trump's, back uh down 2.73 draftkings down a little bit again, draftkings just having trouble getting over 50 and staying over 50.. It just can't keep it up and look at that. We're breaking that up trend that we had just breaking back to the downside here on uh on draftkings, once again, unfortunately, uh all right. So then we have oh, that one can't catch a break in suretech.
We got root down one point: two percent matterport down point: nine: seven percent zillow down another .75 after zillow, got burned yesterday for six point: two: five percent lemonade and hippo down about point six percent after moving nicely yesterday about six percent yesterday very nice - and that Was to the upside looking at uh other stocks that are doing well right now we got f, sell fuel cell up uh six 6.4, that's after it was up at 19.27 percent. Yesterday, a lot of fuel cell hopes, uh or hydrogen hopes for a company, like f cell personally, not extremely optimistic that we're going to see any kind of hydrogen future until really like 2030. I think uh hydrogen infrastructure is just non-existent and that's going to make it extremely difficult to actually get hydrogen vehicles out. There are other folks that believe hydrogen vehicles will will never uh. You know end up having sort of uh. What should i say, passenger vehicles with hydrogen in them? Uh, let's see here, okay interesting already have uh. Oh, this is an interesting update. There's a little update here that just came through the bloomberg terminal at hertz.
Uh just said that uh they're already receiving teslas so um, you know the the no contract yet thing, obviously raising some eyebrows, but i did just make a video on that. So if you're curious about my thoughts on what's going on with tesla and the hertz announcement check out my video on that uh on the channel, it's elon, musk, elon, musk, twitter or sorry, elon, musk, tesla and hertz are all all in the title. So you shouldn't have trouble finding it. Uh assignment property group did very well on earnings up 4.11.
I have to say i'm i'm not that optimistic about uh, simon property kind of like not at these prices. I mean not. I don't know i went to the mall yesterday, uh just to explore a little bit and well not just explore. I also like to talk to vendors and see how their business is, so you go into like nordstroms macy's or you talk to the guy or girl at peloton.
The sales people - and you know you get a little feeling as to what's actually happening out there. It's easy to just sit and read the news, actually, no, that's hard for a lot of people, but anyway it's easy to just say home. I think it's a better way to put it uh and so getting out there, and actually talking to people is good too, but anyway that was yesterday, they did come out with the new uh apple uh. What are those things called the homepods or whatever the little audio things in different colors? Now? Oh, they look so good.
I bought an orange one. It's great. This is the problem with going outside. You buy crap that you don't need, but now we're going to have stereo, where i have my other ones cool, because i really needed that uh, but anyway, so uh backed holdings coming up two percent here after shaving 14 yesterday amc up 1.36 percent of the pre-market Noise uh where's the firm you know. Yesterday we gave up a good five percent on a firm, a firm's, pretty flat right now sitting at about 1.52 and we've got sheep i think, is pretty stable. Around 0.69 yes, 698 somewhere around here, did fall to about six. Eight uh here recently, let's go ahead and zoom out a little bit here: yeah we're really consolidating between uh. This path.
Right here looks like we're. We're almost sitting on the shelf of it's almost a perfect shelf here, the shelf of 0.68. That's interesting! Yeah! You've almost got three touches there on the hour chart, so somebody's somebody's really wanted to bounce off 68 there, anyway uh, okay, good, so uh looking at tesla again here, it's actually slightly recovering since we started streaming here but sitting at 3.28 to the downside here. Matterport is down about 2.2 at the moment: yeah dq energy.
I do wonder why dq has kind of been the last couple days. It's been selling off a little bit, oh, but it's had a nice little recovery, so maybe not that big of a deal okay. So, let's uh, let's see what we got here, pre-market yeah, it's possible. We might have read across the entire board today on the indices.
So uh it's going to be very interesting to pay attention to this, and - and i expect this really to be because uh you're going to be in a situation where individuals are going to want to pay off their margin. I think, and i think that's the smart thing to do some. Somebody left me a comment. Yesterday, they're like oh, you pay off your margin, that's so stupid.
I invest my margin and grow my margin so that way, i'm making money with borrowed money, i'm like yeah. That's the point of leverage, but it's also what bankrupts you when the market falls so uh. You know somebody hasn't been through a a an ouchie wow she in the market. Yet i don't think talk like that uh.
But that's all right everybody's got ta learn themselves. I suppose, although you know it's smart, if you could learn from somebody else's mistakes, don't you don't want to be in margin when the market starts falling? The last thing then you're going to do is is buy stock you're going to be too afraid of a margin. Call that's bad anyway. Okay, so, let's see what we got here.
What is the ceo of blackrock say: uh, oh to speak? Okay, nobody cares! So what do we have here? How's the plot, how the supply chain crisis risk, taking the global economy down with it? Okay, yeah, that's just what we need is a uh, a nice strong piece of fud from bloomberg. To start the day. You know what cheers to coffee and bloomberg fud! Oh yeah, that's good! I think there's still some uh dish soap on that straw. It's not that's! Not very tasty, anyway, supply chain crisis risks taking the global economy down with it.
Last year the global economy came juttering to a halt. This year it got moving again only to become stuck in one of the biggest traffic jams of history. New indicators developed by bloomberg economics underscore the extremity extremity of the problem, extremity or extremity, whatever uh the world's failure to find a quick fix, and in some regions the big crunch of 2021 is still getting worse. So what is this? A composite measure of u.s supply shows shortages just off a two-decade high okay. So this is a a shortage indicator. That's kind of fascinating sort of fast lights around here, but i, like the inflection point, look at this. We've basically been straight up since the pandemic. In terms of uh supply becoming tighter and tighter and tighter we're finally inflecting down starting june, this is what we've seen.
I actually think if this updates in september, we might actually see this kind of notch up a little bit again and then notch back down in terms of supply chain constraints. But i think this will come back down to zero very nicely next year. But anyway, the research quantifies what's apparent to the naked eye across much of the planet in supermarkets, with empty shells, blah blah blah. Okay, great.
We know the chip shortage all right. Let's get to the point here: central banks already retreating from their view that inflation is transitory, may be forced to counter rising prices with earlier than expected rate hikes. Is this like old news here, like we already know all this crap like? Can we get to the where the future talk is here? Uh, let's see here all right, it's not just the problem of moving stuff around the world is still struggling to make enough too producers have been caught off guard uh. Europe has shifted rapidly from excess to supplies, to significant shortage.
Uh nike had to scale back. We know the factories got shut down, especially in august as covet went up. Okay, so we've got the supply chain concern. We know this: let's, okay, we're in deficit.
In a lot of things, gotcha uh, okay, yeah here this is 2021. everything's in deficit, okay, good uh! I want to see a little bit of forecasting here. Okay, here we go. What comes next is unchatted uncharted territory because of the sheer number of bottlenecks, along with the route from assembly lines to shopping baskets as one supplier waits for another to deliver.
The delays are feeding on each other. Logistics systems usually ride the ups and downs of the economy in a predictable pattern. Okay, but the pandemic has thrown the cycle out of whack the ship stuck off the coast to la longer term, fixed means getting coveted under control, dude covid's already declining. This is like a a dated fear-mongering article, but it's somehow front page of bloomberg like coven's declining the supply chain.
Uh crises are starting to ease. Container prices are falling like. Why did the author, i feel, like the author, has been working on this piece for like four months and they just finally got it together and now they're missing all the facts like hey things are already getting better uh all right, so supply chain issues happen. Ah, less supply means higher prices, really it doesn't mean blah blah blah. Okay doesn't mean it's going to be 70 style inflation. Again, no lifting off could force the fed to raise rates sooner. Man come on anna wong get with it come on anna. How? How could you do anna wong? I really want to know okay uh and then i expect a response here, because i'm sure you care about what a youtuber is saying about you, but anna wong or or these people bjorn brendan and tom and anna.
I don't know why you were down there, who cares? I want to know why you would write a fud article about supply chain crisis, taking down the global economy without mentioning that in the last month, things have finally started getting better. I don't i don't. I don't understand that it feels like a disconnect. It feels broken.
So i i don't know, i don't know how i feel about that one uh, okay, so the opening bell is in 18 seconds here. Uh cnbc says it's in a minute, though look no, they just got rid of the clock. That was funny no there. It is again look 47 seconds and it should be in five seconds wow.
They have a delayed broadcast today, all right. Well, whatever i'm just gon na do my own: oh here we go there, it is. Their bell was way off get to see vaccines in children. So we continue to get people who say you know what uh this is dangerous and then the stats just don't prove it out of speed dangerous at all all righty, let's see how things are opening up.
Specifically, we will start with taking a look at how tesla's opening up oh tesla's, all over the place here, uh right into the open uh. So it does look like tesla is rotating down a wee bit here, a little wee bit to the downside, eh uh. Let's see here, uh yeah tesla down about four percent right now and uh. Let's take a look at how the spy is reacting.
Okay, let's see here, okay, uh oopsies there we go spies, actually going up so spy's recovering, so not so bad. Here, let's see, then we've got simon property group 5.37, simon property group, climbing nicely right now. That's good, backed holdings coming back up. People don't want to let this one die.
Folks, that's kind of funny you can you can't get can't shake this one: let's yeah! Okay! Okay, then we have owlette 1.61 to the upside. Here, hasn't even really updated. Intraday here yet uh mq down a little bit coin, wait wait! Where'd coin base, go here's coinbase, coinbase rotating to the downside. Google google's actually coming up point nine four percent here in video! Well hold on this is microsoft.
Microsoft pumping up these are going to push the indice up all the indices, actually, yeah. Look at that apple, moving up about a third of a percent lemonade's moving up a third of a percent. This should be good for the indices. Let's see: okay, let's go to the change percentage here: lucid's down 7 tesla's down 4.3 right now, um! Let's see, okay, give me one second! Here there we go quick trade; okay! Sorry i had to get that out: okay, uh! Then we've got uh. Let's see here back holdings back holdings really running here, six point: seven: seven percent right now: wow back's gon na move and we've got corsair gaming. Oh corsair gaming is actually up about four percent. Today, that's incredible! Then you have simon property group, six percent to the upside bitcoin's up at 63.2, ethereum's up above three percent at forty four six, seven, i think that's all-time high again. Let me see here: uh 44.85 was the all-time high, which yep that's a new all-time high.
This was uh, oh yeah, that was april yeah. That's today, that's incredible. We just hit a new all-time high on ethereum congrats ethereum, backed uh, seven property group, corsair hive. Okay - let's see here it does look like indices are going up, though, rather than being mixed like they were this morning now see rotating the s p doesn't know which direction it wants to go.
How are the other ones doing it's an interesting, open, uh, yeah nasdaq's. Still down point one: three: dow dao is up 0.09 s ps up 0.07, but look at that s p drop. We just got right there yeah it's interesting, uh, lucid uh, lucid now down seven point: eight percent tesla down four point: three percent end phase ooh end phase just dropped a little bit and phased down at 2.69 percent. Dave buster's is uh down.
Uh 2.3 percent game. Stop down 1.79 lemonade, one lemonade down 1.42 percent - it was just it literally was green just at the open and it's rotating down now uh robin hood down uh one point: three: two percent tattoo chefs down a percent neo's down a chunk over here, uh about point. Seven: two percent pinterest down a half percent that should be like that almost redundant holy smokes folks. Look at chegg chegg is down 39 folks holy crap wow uh, that's a lot 39.
The indices are falling folks, uh, the s p's and the dow we're going to be going full red here in just a moment yeah. This is uh tesla recovering a little bit a little bit of a recovery there on tesla trying to bounce off the bottom. Here. Okay, let's see how the spy's behaving.
Ah, the s p's rotating down s p is now red. There we go okay, so s p went red micro strategy well up a little bit with the price of bitcoin. That makes sense voozi's down almost a full nine percent. Zillow down another another one, another four point: eight: seven percent: oh, my goodness, how's redfin doing redfin redfin redfern down 2.3 that one's been like.
Well, i mean the whole. Oh wow, look at that matterport down seven percent on matterport, oh, and it took a little bit. Attendees yesterday, um wow yeah, but seven percent on what mttr probably just gains a little consolidation is what it is. I will look at news, though uh matapor, no news, literally no news, uh, okay, yeah, open door down as well with zillow here, open door, actually falling a little bit more 4.8 uh charge point falling here, tesla still down about 3.6. It's really trying to push up, though uh good job tesla here for for fighting. Look at that. Look at that tesla's pushing it's pushing! Look at that! It's trying to come back! You can't keep tesla down as the by the dippers come in uh s. P s p back up.
Look at that whoa. This is just i mean talk about a mixed market today. This is the definition of of roller coaster here, just as the s p is moving tesla's moving or it could be the one or the other, it could be tesla's moving and that's driving the s p. Honestly, at this point, we've got facebook basically flat very similar curve.
There is tesla same thing with amazon very, very similar curve. Uh, it does look like etsy is recovering a bit as well a firm down about a little more than a third of a percent. Also recovering up here, everything right now appears to be recovering, lucid still down about six point: two two percent tesla sitting at about 3.3 percent uh, now, 3 percent. Okay, now recovering i just saw it - go to 2.9 percent to the downside for a moment.
Okay and matterport 7.7 to the downside, zillow 4.19. So far, given up about 3.9 right now, what a bizarro market, okay, spy, spy's moving again we're back up! This is good. So i like that trend. Let's go see what other headlines we have here: okay, yeah federal reserve tomorrow by the way uh we'll have the uh fed meeting tomorrow.
Uh starts today. It's a two-day meeting half today half tomorrow and then the fed will have uh a statement for us by about 11 30 eastern time there's a 10 30 that might be 10 30. uh. It might be 10 actually yeah.
10 10 for the statement. 10. 30. For the press conference usually what they do uh, but anyway, that was that's tomorrow.
Okay, what else do we have here so tesla slumps after musk tweets about hertz? We did a video on this so check that out, shiba inu passes dogecoin as the number 10 cryptocurrency. Okay stocks close at all-time highs. That was yesterday no massive head game headlines here. Squid games is a meme coin.
Squid game is meme coin warning with wipeout after 230, 000 gain yeah. I did a video on that one as well, that was crazy, fed to taper. In november, i'm in inflation concerns, say economist: one trader calls all shots at the treasury bond market; okay, not much that bloomberg wants to report today. Let's go back to the sticks and just see how things are behaving here: s p now moving again uh, that's good! Wow resilient market folks tesla's only down about 2.5 right now, tesla really recovering nicely here: uh matterport up uh rotating back up was down about seven percent now sitting at about six percent to the upside lucid six point: one nine percent chart won't load on that. One end phase two point: five, seven and yeah zillow's sitting at about six percent, so is matterport to the downside. It doesn't seem like things are going to be as horrible today as it looked like, the s. P was sort of trending towards there for a second, the spy for just a quick moment was looking like. We were gon na, be uh rotating negative, very, very brief moment uh and now it it's uh.
The s p 500 are uh a nasdaq or at intraday highs yeah that is intraday all-time highs, nice u-turn. Let's look at google here. Look at google we're covering the madness of uh of the sell-off. Yesterday, 1.47, lots of by the dip happening apple up 0.8 microsoft..
A firm just went positive. No way. Look at that. Where is the darn thing? Affirm is positive.
Uh, hud, 8, 3.95 neo just went green, look at neo's run as well here, wow, look at these recoveries uh same thing with tesla, too uh just solid, solid recoveries. Here nice chag down 40, that's the only one that does not have like a solid recovery, i'm by the way uh. I want to say i'm almost completely out of margin. Now, let's see okay, one sec, okay, yeah! I want to say this: this tiny tiny little bit left but uh.
That's my goal. Always is trade out a margin, don't want to be in margin. Canoe, 3.46 to the downside. Sheep .69 end phase yeah these guys all kind of staying stable.
Here. We've seen this back and forth on dave and buster's for a while look at the dave buster's chart. This is one that i've really been watching for to see if there'll ever be an opportunity to get down to 30 again uh. That's that's what i'm looking for right here! We were there in august.
We were there in august 30.92, but a nice nice trend to the upside here. So oh well, lucid uh, lucid 5.19 to the downside. Also recovering, though matapor had a little bit of that recovery. He's turning slightly red again here charge point well that 4.29 percent on charge points seems like a lot a little correction back to the downside, expi 3.9 to the downside, virgin galactic sitting at 19.
Wow cheap, not not sure i want to buy it, but still yeah. All right, where's tesla, it must be doing well because i can't find the darn thing. Yeah where'd it go. Oh there, it is.
Oh look at that recovery. Folks, holy moly, where'd it go there. It is it's only down 1.3 right now, it's skyrocketing! You can't fight tesla, that's amazing! That's great wow, unexpected, but great uh, simon property group, 5.35 hut 4.69. These guys to the upside here tesla's, going to end up going green here.
Cardano is just sitting at 199 microstrategy, two five, four google one, six, seven nvidia six tenths of a percent way fair up a quarter and the firm's flat spies, stable, uh, see if we can get that test loaded again and then let's look at some of the Headlines here, yeah tesla continues to run. It's only down right now. Point eight, eight percent. It's honestly nonsense, the whole uh. What's it called um uh. The reason it was down on the hertz thing is really nonsense. I personally am happy. I am i've used my tesla options to pretty much eliminate all my margin, which has been awesome, uh all right, lender.
Okay, what do we have here? Novax epa plants, tighter curbs on methane, yahoo, quits, china, all right, metas, ad returns or it's redemption for advertisers, wow? Okay, not not a lot of news today. Really the tesla news is just the biggest, and it's not even really news. Uh fed is boxed in what it means for investors. I think this is old news, so is tesla dropping five percent.
It's not uh there. We go tesla finally, finally rotates red a little bit here, sitting at 11.89 right now, just under 1200 bouncing off actually yeah bouncing off. Look at that 1198 is where it bounced that's funny right under 1200. If somebody front runs it federal reserve is, in a jam, says, barons officials at the u.s central bank are about to begin withdrawing emergency monetary support launched in response to the pandemic.
Economists across wall street say the fed will, on wednesday, announce 15 billion uh in uh. A reduction of monthly purchases, uh that'll go into effect this month is what we're expecting that's all baked into investor expectations. What isn't necessarily? What isn't necessarily is that, oh, what isn't baked in necessarily is that the fed may have no choice but to become more hawkish at a time when u.s economic growth is already slowing. Ooh, adding insult to injury is uncertainty around fiscal spending and taxes for the new tax and spend programs biggest question this week is: will the fed keep its transitory language with respect to inflation or is jerome going to turn more hawkish? Okay, let's see some economists say the fed is likely to drop its transitory language this week.
Whoa. Could you imagine jerome powell talking and not saying, transitory, whoa and already investors are betting, that the fed will raise rates sooner than the central bank has communicated. Economists, at goldman sachs last week pulled forward their liftoff forecast by the full year to july 2022. Just after tapering should conclude yep all right well see incr interest rate, i think uh.
What is it about 60 of people of market participants surveyed? Think that interest rates will go up in june of 2022. That's the latest stat, oh by the way. Let's look at margin, statistics finra margin see how this looks. We get an update on this.
Yet for september we should have. Oh margin went down a little bit. Good, that's good, see, look at margin, hit record highs like insane record highs in in august, and it just fell a little bit again. So that's very good, very good, hey tesla's, back green yeah. Look at that hits 1200. Even it's gon na break through it right here. That's incredible: okay, dwack, five point: two: six percent to the downside: matterport six percent to the downside, lucid six point: seven: eight percent of the downside game stop three point: seven, eight red fin, 2.93 yeah there's. Definitely some pain there in the real estate space; seven point: one: seven percent for open door: oh yikes and phase down three point: seven percent there's definitely a lot of red in the market.
Today, uh it's and it's deeper. It's it's deeper red than what we've seen the past few days. Think about that for a moment. Past few days, really, almost the past week, you'll look at the red section and, with the exception of you know, anomalies like chag dropping 41, with the exception of that, the market had been, in my opinion, pretty shallow red, where most of the stocks that were read Were down like half percent half percent to three quarters of a percent is how much most stocks were down uh when they were read uh, but now now you're, actually seeing some real red here again.
Look at that the seven, the five, the four, the three percent right - that's healthy! That's a good thing! We we really want stocks to to be have a mix of of green and red, like the tesla rally is uh. In my opinion, pretty insane yeah i've been taking profits regularly, and i'm very very happy about that, because it's helping me eliminate my margin and the profits have been juicy uh. Let's see here, tesla tesla now at 1206, uh 1202 wow. It hit 1206 there.
For a moment, it's insane uh, but that's also only because i'm in margin - and i want to be out of my call options. I sat on those call options for a long time waiting for them, and so i'm grateful but um yeah yeah still have still have some calls left on on tesla, which is crazy. I uh i went into this crazy tesla run with like 10 different tesla call options and they were all red, almost all red and they have all turned very green, which is nice but anyway uh. So um yeah all right.
Let's go to bloomberg. Uh volatility by the way on tesla should be up after that. That's this crazy move. Today, it's a whiplash.
Let's pull it up all right! Oh yeah! That's nice! Oh yeah, tesla's volatility, just skyrocketed! Oh, that is juicy. I thought yesterday was gon na be juicy holy moly, that is 11. We don't even have oh yeah there we go eleven. Two okay, yeah whole snap hold on a second here.
Let's do let me do a little update here, uh still a fraction of the volatility that we even had in march way more volatility in march, but we're we're nicely volatile right now. It might be worth selling some puts. I just hate doing that when the market's green, although it's barely green today, let me see here: yeah 1204 dang it hold on stay down it's down about a quarter percent, let's see if i sell some puts for twelve hundred dollars. What am i gon na get paid twelve hundred dollar put is gon na. Put me 38 bucks. Let's see here, fifty dollars gets twelve. Twenty five, that's about twenty dollars! Eighty five! It's over here a little more expensive for the calls by about two three dollars. Above the price, okay, interesting, so people pretty bullish on it.
Let's go to, let's see here, let's just try open interest for a put a twelve hundred dollar put. How much am i gon na get for this week, twelve hundred dollar put uh for the holy smokes. 41. 000.
For four days: that's really good. I mean if it goes down worst-case scenario: you're, basically buying the shares for 11.60 uh, which is not bad, because i have a sold call against uh 10 contracts. I mean the the collateral requirement on. This is huge.
I realize that, but um that's juicy. If i go to next week, it's only at 61k whoa, i'm gon na. Do that! That's really nice! I'm going to sell a put see if that goes through. That's really nice, uh! Okay, let's see what do we have here? I don't know if it's actually going to go through, though it actually has not yet darn it what's happening, come on weeble.
Do your job! Oh, come on tesla. What are you doing? Uh tessa? This just fell a little bit. I don't know why this is not going through. Oh wow.
What happened to it? I think everybody else is doing them. What happened? Oh, what is this garbage? Weeble canceled me dude, weeble, you suck you literally suck all right, whatever fine. I won't do anything. Yet.
It's fine anyway, because tesla's going down so huh. I guess that worked out anyway, dude yeah, the pricing on that option got destroyed as soon as i mentioned it who who copied this y'all ruined it. Oh my gosh wow um yeah. That option did not become good anymore, that's lame, but now the test is falling.
That's okay, so i'll just i'll, be patient, uh yeah, all right whatever! Sometimes just that's! It's a sign! It's a sign! That's what it is so anyway, lucid uh, 583. 580 to the downside, matterport five percent to the downside, um what else? What else hot hot eight very nice all right? Let's see what what other good deals can we find here? Dwack nope, that's not a good deal! Oh wow! Look at zillow, oh zillow, careening, to the floor down: 9.17 percent. Oh gosh! That's such a burn! Oh zillow's, just getting smoked! I mean, as they should they're total morons with uh, now they're gon na bulk sale, they're, it's just so dumb! So dumb all right. Let's see expi 5.21 okay matterport's recovering a little bit oops.
That's not matterport metaport yeah matterport's recovering peloton's down about three percent. I think a lot of people are gon na be betting on january for peloton, which makes sense, obviously all right - let's come over here and try again see if it's still going to be rude over here all right. Now i'm going to try to sell my 10 again. Gosh pricing is normalized again, let's see if it actually goes through this time. Geez you got to be fast. Apparently i don't know if it actually went through, though let me see um yeah there. We go this time. We went through good, so the cool thing is.
I have a covered call on this, so uh so new options, okay, so put on tesla. Why? Because i have a sold put i'm sorry. I have a sold call for 10 contracts and uh. If i get assigned shares with this sold, put, those shares will get called away instead of other shares i already own, so i'd get a credit for the put and the call perfect good sweet, especially since these weekly, like this weekly soul, put, is insane the price.
The premiums are so high uh. I think it's because the market is expecting tesla to come down. Okay, good. So what else? Now we have voyager digital where'd? It go.
I just disappeared as soon as i was going to talk about it, whatever all right. So zillow's almost down a full 10, now crazy, open door technology down 10 percent. How is redfin not getting smoked today? It's only down 3.17 today, uh, that's incredible: jeez redfin, something else. Redfin's the stock.
I've had uh since, like 20, i think my cost bases are redfin's like 20 cost basis. Doesn't matter, keep that in mind, but uh i'm gon na look. I want to see my red fin a road fin. That's all there we go redfin gains.
Cool thing is with certain platforms: you could go through and look at what are called trading lots and you could find uh lots where you paid more for the shares. So, for example, the most i paid 24 000 for some shares in april and those are upside down, those lost 20. My position is like way way way up, though uh on redfin substantially up, but those particular shares are down and so for tax purposes. If i wanted to with the jpmorgan app they, let me sell that tax lot, which is kind of cool, can't do that with weibo or robin hood dad.
They should do that. That would be smart if they let you do that, although some brokers do that automatically. For you, but it takes that choice away and it's not that hard to do tax slots anyway, but uh look at this folks. Finally, neo neo's.
Finally, on the move here, uh these were the these are actually the most recent neo shares. I bought right here. You can see them right here. I just bought these like what three weeks ago, something like that.
I did not buy those chairs long ago and uh. In fact, i'll look i'll, look really quick yeah. I really expect neo to run and catch up to some of the other, auto manufacturers. So i'm excited about that potential.
Oh yeah, it's a nice movement right now, let's see - and i like neo too okay, so i bought uh september 30th. Oh yeah! This was back when i went on a buying spree. I bought everything at the end of september, but that's not bad, so it's only been a month, but i think neo's got some more potential on it to run too so we'll see how it goes. Hmm all right what else we got fun open, oh open, now, down eleven percent. Oh dirty, yikes silo is down 9.09 percent expi down 4.71. The real estate sector is just getting destroyed. 3.4 percent on matterport, but although redfin's not doing horribly yeah redfin is only 2.77 to the downside, that's not bad uh! Then we have, let's see here, ubiquity 2.65 to the upside corsair, no longer up that four percent it had, but uh up about 2.5 right now. Coinbase up about two five: google: 168 voyager digital sitting around 1.3 nvidia 1.2, a firm 1.14 apple, half percent.
Okay. What other ops we got any other opportunities lemonade turn positive nice guys. I asked a question: can anyone answer here? Is kevin's management, m.i monitoring? The chat? Is that what you're asking who's who's kevin's management? Let me know if you figure that one out, because i don't have management. Why don't you just ask your question? Uh anyway, sheep sitting at 68 slight rotation down here, because we're in that consolidation pattern? Yeah sheep dropping a little bit here; uh, it's it is within.
Oh, it's still see yeah it's at that six, eight level. It's trying to potentially trying to break that 68 right now, we'll see what happens here. Okay, all right! What else lucid? I wonder how volatility is on lucid and zillow. Let's check those so zillow still is elevated for the uh yeah, it's a little bit above 30 day.
Let's look at lucid, lucid should be nice in terms of volatility. Oh yeah holy smokes, oh wow, yeah, lucid's sitting. Really nicely right now: uh 163.. This is very, very, very, very high.
Let me see lucid, so that's not going to get you anything 34.. I could see a buck 60, a buck 60 on 34 4.7. That's kind of like tesla, actually because on tesla, where were we with tesla tesla tesla, rotate it down a little bit perfect and let's go to the 12s again there we go 1200 41.2 divided by 1200. It's really like uh, but then you've got this insulation here.
Actually, no, you got you're getting hurt by that amount, so you're really only getting minus eight bucks. Something like this yeah three point: four percent: okay, well, even a little less a little less than three percent, the lucid one that makes the lucid one actually a little bit more juicy, but i also wanted to sell a put against tesla because of that call a Sold call that i have so that works lucid you could you could wheel tesla right now, honestly, you could probably also wheel. I don't know if you want to wheel lucid, but you probably could see you come in here at uh this week, sold put on 34.. Go it's not bad get.
Let me see here if i got just for giggles. I want to see here 300 times, 100 times 34.. I don't want to do that. Much 150! That's about half that! Okay! So 146, divided by 34., yeah 4.3. As long as lucid's about 34, but the market's pricing in that there's a greater likelihood that lucid's going to fall more compared to tesla uh tesla's on its little rally run lucid just had to buy the room or sell the news event right. So probably gon na. Just stick with my tesla one right now and i also do have that sold call on tesla, which this gives me those shares. If i get assigned so i'm getting a credit to get assigned which fine metaport you hey, matterport, it's almost back up par nope, just turned slightly red, as i say that how's matterport, i bet this - has got to have some volatility too.
This could be if this has high volatility. It might make sense to do some cell calls uh, although it is down a bit right now. 24.. Let me see if i sold some calls for 25.
You don't get that much yeah! You got a 2250. No! Those aren't that good, what's up with that, oh sorry, cell called there we go 25, gives me a buck 70.. It's kind of like selling for 26.70 bucks, 70 buck 70 on the 25. But then i'm also i'd be insulated because it's slightly out of the money.
So you go here and get a little more, so i'm insulated by about what is this couple? Bucks a buck? 10, okay, so 25, plus a buck tennis divided by or one point seven six and a half! That's not bad! This matterport saw a matterport sold. Call. Might actually not be horrible and you did let's see ten ten times a hundred. That's a thousand shares um.
Probably honestly, do you did 100 of them? That's 17k. 17K. 100 times 25 times. 100.
That's 250k! 17K for november. That's not horrible! That's two weeks, two weeks and you get like another seven percent or something like that. That's like selling, for, like i said, twenty six. Seventy, that's not terrible, especially coming off the the buy.
The rumors tell the news on uh i'm gon na. Do that? That's not horrible uh of the metaverse. Thank you. I will do that.
Let's see if that actually went through, i don't know what it is with weeble and partial fills today. It's really quite annoying. There we go okay, it filled an average of 167.. That's fine! So 16, 700 in credits - that's not bad i'll! Take that uh for for selling a call on that one sold call on mttr for 26.70 in two weeks two weeks, not that bad.
Some of these, the some of this crazy up and down, is leading to some very nice volatility that i want to take advantage of uh yeah. I don't. I know that earnings for matterport are soon and i am okay selling a call before earnings, because i don't think the catalyst is going to be so terribly positive for earnings. Yet the reason it's running is uh metaverse, stuff, okay, cool.
What else? What else twaxzillo sitting at 10 percent expi is down five percent? That's an interesting one too. Oh yeah, let's see what the volatility is like on that expi. No, no it's pretty low, but not low enough to want to buy calls. Is there anything? Does anybody have anything with like super low volatility that we can buy some call options on? I have not seen something in a bit. It's been a minute since i've seen something with like super low volatility. I mean maybe neo, but i think today it's going to be up. Let's see, neo paypal yeah. Well, no paypal should be pretty high right now with volatility, because they've been dropping, oh their volatility's.
Finally, plummeting, yes, good, it's still elevated, so it's still going to contin. It's going to continue to plummet and pinterest volatility should be plummeting as well. Shift shift should have super low, but i don't really want calls on chips. Uh no shift is actually up.
Uh shifts up on the it's it's higher than the last hundred days. Tattooed chef yeah, but why would you want to buy a call option on on that? I'm just kidding uh! It's actually not that bad uh. It's it's very, very low right now in the uh volatile. Oh, this is on tattoo chest.
Let's get rid of this! I don't think this is supposed to be here there we go all right. So what do we got on tattoo chef, so tattooed chef, it's doing its nice little consolidation here? What are their earnings, pcf, runnings, so earnings november 10th. I don't necessarily want to play earnings on it. Oh, but november 5th you got a call for november 5th.
I wonder: what are they? What are they going to charge you for uh, an in the money? 280.? Oh man, there's like no open interest on these things. This is nothing fair, not very, not very liquid. These these calls. Why are people getting 20 calls expiring for friday? It's just pure opium.
It's ridiculous! Uh! A bit 15 cent spread 15. It's a little a little spready here, 10 cents over here 10 cents. That gets me down to a five cent spread over here. Interesting, it's not a horrible.
I mean that's a one week though, but their volatility is in the toilet. It is interesting, i'll i'll, take a look at that. What's another one salesforce yeah yeah, the doc doesn't recommend frozen vegetable epoxy docusign for low volatility. Let me see raw yeah rocket mortgage has been pretty low, uh yeah docusign's actually pretty low right.
Now. I wonder how they've been doing. Let's see here, doc, you? Oh, i have a little bit of docusign here uh, it's not really it's up a tiny little bit, but it can't lock. Oh it's unlocked, oh whatever uh yeah, okay.
So it's consolidating a bit and then where's tesla tesla 1.8 to the downside. Okay, good bouncing around here cool matterport, 5.54 rotating down a little bit okay. This is mostly stable right now, let's go to bloomberg for a moment and then i'm gon na run to the course member live stream about 10 minutes here after bloomberg bloomberg any news news news: news: pelosi presses vote despite mansion yeah, good luck, squid games, meme coin; No, not really. Okay, i mean this was an interesting morning. Definitely a mixed morning. It did recover, though it went, went mostly positive with the exception here of uh, the russell uh volatility index went back down and attend your treasury slightly down oil slightly down. Okay c-a-r. If you're looking for c-a-r o-avis holy crap, oh my gosh, what happened to avis car? Oh it's trading, halton, what's happening here! Oh my gosh! It just doubled what oh my gosh, what what happened to avis davis? What did they do? Avis, multiple halts here? Aha, avis, ceo, says he'll, add more electric cars to fleet over time, avis surges after revenue, profit impresses amid strong demand, wow wow; it's just earnings, it's earnings and then and then basically trying to follow that that hurts hype, smart, very cool, all right, yeah everything else, Relatively stable take a look at tesla again, i'm gon na make some more coffee here, tesla down a couple percent here: good yeah! I it's perfect.
If i uh, if i get assigned on friday or not, i don't really care because uh then i don't lose. My shares that i get called out on and i got a credit for doing so so that's perfect uh, but the volatility is so high on tesla right now. I think the wheel is juicy right now, like you, don't have to perfectly time the stupid minute candlesticks. You just play the wheel because people are are buying, uh puts and calls on a weekly basis for crazy amounts of money.
Folks sell them to them, be the pickaxe salesperson during the gold rush. Anyway, okay, i got ta go new coffee course. Member live stream and uh and then obviously you got ta, get to work and do other stuff. So i will see you all.
Thank you so much for being.
Thanks
IDXX is solid. Earing this am.
Why do you even bother with these “free” streams at all? Lately you are clearly bored here. Go straight to courses and simmer there.
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Supply chain issues are worse then you think. I ordered a boat from Australia on June 2 still not here and have no idea when I will receive it.
Hi Kevin I'm new to stocks and trading. I was wondering where can I find the best info on gold and silver? Thank you for your time
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To say that the bond market is pricing inflation easing is starting by thinking that there is a bond market, the federal reserve is buying 80B/month of treasury, there isn't much leftover at the auction after that.
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Tesla dip = The Kevin Dip 😂
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