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#notfinancialadvice
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TRADING IS RISKY, PREPARE TO LOSE 100%+ OF YOUR MONEY: Most traders in all markets lose all of their money (and more if they use margin). Most small businesses fail. Do NOT partake in trading, investing, entrepreneurship or any other risky endeavor covered in this content if you are not prepared with the reality that most fail.
Past Performance is not indicative of future results, and any results presented are not typical, and should not be understood as typical. We oftentimes discuss or show hypothetical returns as case studies for educational demonstration and news coverage – but these do not represent actual results. Actual results vary given a variety of factors such as experience, skill, risk mitigation practices, market dynamics, execution and the amount of capital deployed.
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Folks, the big money is preparing for a massive pump and dump on the overall. Market They've been quietly accumulating shares over the last couple of weeks and they are planning on rallying up the stock market through the end of the year and into the beginning of January and then doing a massive rug pull as Q1 rolls in today's video. I'm going to break down the evidence for this, what is going on and how you can make money off this instead of falling for their trap I'm going to show you exactly how they are rigging the game I mean uh, sorry playing the game and how it's going to make them tons and tons of money and how you can ride that Trend without again falling for it. And the only thing that I ask in return for all of the work that goes into a video like this is that you hit that ravishing like button and also don't forget to subscribe.
So heading into the end of November and into this coming week, we are still enjoying a powerful Trend breakout and we are just another 5.68% rally to get to New all-time highs. Meanwhile, gold is a couple bucks away from its own all-time highs about a quarter of a percent move and we are at all time highs for gold When Robert Frost said Nothing Gold Can Stay I Don't think this is what he meant If you look at the return since October 29th, 20122, Gold is up 23% in a little over 13 months. a decent chuck more than the S&P 5 hundo during that same time span which is only up 177% Now, if you follow history, you know that gold tends to Rally inversely to equities. People rush into gold when there's a crisis, when there's distress, when there's blood in the streets, when people are worried about a currency collapse, so on, and so forth.
but people rush into equities when they want Innovation growth when things are more peaceful when people are more optimistic. But right now you're seeing markets rush into both. but one of the trades is going to be a longer term Trend and the other trade is going to be a short-term Trend that pumps up and dies very very quickly. Now, if you pull up the historical data quadrant from Bank of America the quadrant of Quad, some would say the quadrant of death and Destruction.
If you hit the wrong part of this quadrant, well, you could see four different outcomes based on four different scenarios that could happen in 2024. So historically, in a market environment where the FED is tightening but credit is easing, you see an average return of about 1.2% per month in the S&P 500. That's similar to the situation that happened most of this year. the Fed was tightening, but in between meetings you'd get real rates in the economy loosening so you had a big Market rally overall net.
Now when you have the FED easing and you have credit easing, you get 2% Returns on average when the FED is tightening and credit is tightening, you get pretty flat 0.01% gains on average. And then you have the scenario which many people have been banking on which is the Fed starts easing as credit starts tightening aka the FED bails out the economy by lowering rates. If you're somebody that believes that the market is going to crash in 2024, the economy is going to completely get destroyed in 2024. This is the situation that you're looking for. one where the economy is doing so bad that the FED comes in and bails it out. Now there is a common belief that this would be positive for markets immediately. However, that is not the case historically. In fact, it takes a while to be positive when the FED bails out credit markets and the economy.
What ends up happening is markets tend to go down even further. Markets don't start to Rally again until credit conditions in the actual economy start to ease. You have to wait until Fed Easing puts you back into this category where you have both Fed easing and credit easing. History shows that in the beginning of a Fed easing cycle, stocks tend to fall even more an average of 1.1% down a month.
Meanwhile, as markets are hedging their bets and digesting the historical data well, you also have CNBC reporting that Black Friday Shoppers spent a record 9.8 billion in Us online sales, up 7.5% from last year. Now what people aren't paying attention to though, is that most of the sale increase year-over-year is actually coming from the Buy Now Pay Later segment so people aren't able to spend more. They're just borrowing more in order to keep up their spending now that prices have gone up and their wages have stayed lower. In fact, Buy Now Pay Later sales for this.
Black Friday season is up 47% from last year. That's a pretty sizable increase and this links back to credit conditions that we just talked about. If credit conditions were tighter, it wouldn't be so easy to use these. Buy Now Pay Later Services right? So that's why a lot of the economy hasn't been completely destroyed yet.
Because you have credit conditions that are still relatively easy and people are able to dip into them, people are able to Rally up debt to newer and higher highs when that stops when those conditions start to tighten, all of a sudden, everything collapses and big money knows that and they're preparing accordingly. They're riding the current Trend As the debt is still available and credit conditions are still easy relative to where they could be, they're going to prop up the market and then they're going to take all of it for themselves. Over the coming weeks, you're going to hear from the media and Wall Street analysts. you're going to hear how they're bragging about all of these record sales and record healthy consumer blah blah blah blah which is going to provide a lot of th for markets to go up even more as they continue to buy more and more and more shares as they have already been doing right now.
We're in an economy where you got to pay 499 bucks for a turkey and you got to thank Powpow that that turkey wasn't 500 bucks. thank God he did those massive massive rate increases. Sure mortgages maybe 20K a month now for a 200t Sha but at least at least turkeys are $1 cheaper. So thank you Powpow! But seriously, I do hope you got some good deals for Black Friday if you didn't I still got one more for you we've extended our 90% off Black Friday coupon code on zip Trader you to tomorrow night for Cyber Monday coupon code black 90 will get you 90% off for step-by-step lessons, private chat, morning briefings, and other resources you can learn about with that. First link down below. If Powell and the government won't do anything about inflation then I'll have to take it into my own hands with our S. We did find some nice trade opportunities for members last week whether you're talking about a G which rans some 107% briefing price to highs or TC which rans some 37% after we alerted it as a new top idea. while membership to the program can help you be informed and be on the first page whenever we find catalysts and ideas that are worth your time to consider.
And for just 50 bucks plus tax, this is the cheapest price you've ever been able to try out our membership and again, it's a one-time fee for Lifetime access so might as well try it out if it's something that interests you. Okay Charlie Get back to the market. So what is the Big Money saying And how are they looking at this? Well, right now it's November 26th 6 We got a bit more than 4 weeks until year end and you're again pretty close to all-time highs and in my view and I think it's pretty obvious to anybody that's paying attention. Big Money has made the calculus that accumulating shares and riding the current trend is the move to make tons and tons of Moola.
And here's the thing. Retail and many, many small to mediumsized institutions on Wall Street And across the country are ponds, little ponds and sheep that get slaughtered again and again by Big Money. They fall into the Big Money trap again and again to Big Money. They like to lick their lips and look at people like us.
They like to look at small institutional firms as well. They look. They like to look at small companies in the market and they think o we're going to take all their money. This is just the game that Big Money plays.
and it's been like that since the beginning of the Stock Market and what you've been seeing for the last couple of weeks is Big Money buying huge and then starting to go on media and hyping up the market and upgrading the S&P 500 and Company after company again and again causing what causing even more accumulation of shares from the rest of the market. Big Money right now is frontloading lots and lots of shares, They're taking in tons tons of shares, buying up the whole Market especially in the big Tech sector. And they're going on media and they're saying buy Now Buy Now Buy Now This is a great time to Buy Buy Buy Buy And they know this trend isn't going to last. So what they're going to do is make sure that the stock market rallies through the end of the year and into January and then they're going to lock in profits with a massive massive dump and as they dump you'll continue to hear you should buy the dip, You should buy the dip, You should buy the dip And your dip Buy is going to be beautiful exit liquidity for them. This is what Big Money has done for years and they continue to do that. but right now it looks like it's going to be an epic epic setup for them. Funny thing is that the masses are so convinced that the way to make money in the market is by buy and holding through downtrends and then uptrends that net them break even that they'll happily keep paying huge fees to this big money that just turns around and trades against them and you're already starting to see the next round of upgrades. Bank of America Just put out a letter saying they expect S&p500 to reach a record high of 5,000 They raised it to 4600 by year end just a few months ago.
Now I'm not specifically accusing BFA of trying to cause Market Euphoria and pump markets. All I'm saying is you should look at what's being said in the media right now and connect the dots yourself and ask some real questions. Lots of big institutions are accumulating shares right now in massive, massive ways and then at the same time right after they accumulate, you see everywhere across the media saying now is the time to buy Where were these people 6 months ago when markets were much much much much lower. Where were these people Last year when markets had bottomed? They didn't believe in the market then because the trade they were in was the short trade.
Now, if you're big money right now, you're looking at historical data and you see a few big factors at play. You know that the trend is already in your favor. Anyways, people want to buy Right now. Markets are preparing for a post Thanksgiving rally which can be hot as hell because sales numbers are going to come out with all these inflated prices and it's going to look like consumers are alive and well.
Markets also like to position for Santa Claus rally setups which according to visual capitalist happens about 75% of the time dating back to 1950 and then markets are really prepping for that January effect. In January Stock prices have the tendency to rise more than in any other month. So you put all this together. You add in massive accumulation week after week from big money and all of the attention, money and media press that is going to go towards telling people to buy the stock market even though we're getting close to all-time highs and the effect of people when you get to those all-time highs.
And all of a sudden what happens? Well, you get a massive setup for huge foming into the market that then causes even more foming which then can net the big money huge amounts of profit. As we head into a Q1 where debt starts to unravel and all of a sudden you get into the situation where credit starts to tighten and the FED has to bail them out. Is that going to happen in Q1? Probably. if you look at a lot of the data, Could that happen in Q2 Certainly. But the bigger picture is that big money isn't taking any chances. They're going to be locking in their profits well before that happens. So then there's that inevitable question, which is how do you play this? How do you protect yourself? But how do you also play the game to make money? Hopefully, well, you ride the trend, but you don't believe in it. A lot of people believe that if you're buying at a price like we're at right now.
now. if you're buying anything as it's rallying, then you're a sucker because you didn't buy it at lower prices. And hey, that's true to some extent. But at the same time, if you're riding the trend and you're locking in profits on the uptrend, that's fine.
It's fine to buy something that's overvalued if it's in a momentum cycle. As long as you're willing to have a stop loss, as long as you're willing to take profits. How many times have you seen massive, massive rallies in a setup in a setup that went on 3 400% more than it should have and then dumped? Those are fine to ride. but you can't fall into the whole I Have to buy and hold this until I turn 80 I Have to give these to my great, great grandkids.
They need these shares you have to fall into the okay: I'm going to play the trend but not fall for the trend I'm going to lock in my profits I'm going to let somebody else take the risk of holding through a downtrend I'm not going to fall into the hole I Need to buy and hold this regardless of whether it's a good stock, regardless of whether it ever goes up again. I Need to just keep buy and holding it because that's what I said I was going to do based on no research at all. Let the rest of the market get screwed by the big money. Make sure that you are taking advantage of the trap they've set instead of being taken advantage of.
But big picture here is look for a big rally heading into the end of the year and early January and then look for a massive massive dump. That's my view on what's going on I Think the evidence suggests that's exactly what's going to happen. You can let me know your thoughts down below, but that caps off today's video. Make sure to take advantage of our black 90 coupon code on zip.
Trader Youu the biggest discount we've ever had that expires tomorrow night. Cyber Monday Right before midnight 11:59 p.m. so make sure to take advantage of that one. I'll see you in the next video.