So Pollen Theory delivers earnings on Monday Huge event for the Palantir community and an even bigger event for Palantir. As a company, these are the most important earnings in the history of Palantir. That is because Palak Theater is literally in an Uncharted Territory Now we have never seen this before. Every time we've seen earnings from Palatineers so far, it came after disappointment, disappointments, disappointments.

So we had a surprise great earnings and then we had another great earnings. And now everybody's looking at Valentine saying well, look that two Gap profitable quarters. They really did well for the past two times The delivery results. Can they sustain the success? Can they stay consistent? It's not that easy.

now. The expectations are very high for volunteer for this quarter. Which means that if they fall short, the disappointment is going to be very big and the share price is going to be absolutely insanely impacted by any negativity. Now in this video I Want to talk about two things: Number one, what's going to happen with the share price around earnings and number two: What I'm personally looking at on the business metrics of the earnings.

What I care about? Now let's start with the share price because you know this is what most of you are here for. Let's not get ourselves. So as far as the share price look, the share price is going to be extremely volatile. Pilotir is known to be a volatile stock.

It reacts very validly, upwards and downwards. You've seen it happen year to date with 180 Spike. But it also has that downside. if the results are not good enough, it's going to have a very painful negative drop.

You can drop all the way to 14 13. Who knows, Palantir? You never know where the floor is. It's one of them crazy games. You know, you never know how far you can fall.

Now again, if the earnings are great, we might see Panthers back to 20 21 22. Who knows. But here are I think the key metrics and I think if quality can hit those, we almost certainly are guaranteed to have a spike upwards after earnings. But no matter what happens, it's going to be a volatile time.

It ain't gonna be flat, So apparently needs to probably hit between 550 and 600 million in quarterly. Revenue That's not going to be easy. They cannot fall behind that 18 growth if we see another quarter of declining Revenue growth. last time they had 18.

If we have anything below 18 growth, it's going to be a red flag and a lot of people are going to use this for negativity around volunteers. So The Benchmark is about 550 to 600 million in quarterly revenues and 18 or above of Revenue growth, they cannot fall below 18. It's not going to be good. Of course we're going to be looking at the guidance.

We cannot see the guidance coming lower. If the guiding comes even lower again, it's going to have another negative impact on the share price. Obviously, we want to see the share count sorry the account obviously drop with the SBC the stock waste compensation. Everybody talks about the share count, the stock base comp the dilution that has been coming down significantly especially if you look at that as a percentage of Revenue Palantir has been robbing their SPC this dog based compensation.

We want to see that Trend continue. If stock based competition keeps jumping up again like it did in the you know couple of years before that it's going to have another negative impact. Of course, we want to look at the net dollar retention. Palantir has been losing net throwing tension for the past few quarters.

They started with 119. They're currently at 111. it's a Far Far Cry from Snowflake. We want to make sure that the net, the retention, the amount of dollars customers spend in the following year goes above 111 which is what they are right now.

the customer account has to keep going up. Obviously we have to look at about you know, let's say 300 us commercial and overall we want to see 450 clients. That has to be the Benchmark for volunteer they have to make it. Obviously the balance sheet has to remain strong.

3 billion in cash. We want to see a little bit an increase in that free cash flow has to go up. And of course the two main issues of pilanteer has to be a little bit addressed in the sense of you know the management either has to talk about it or show results which is number one. Geo Risk: Palantir is concentrated in the United States We want to see a little bit more of an expansionist kind of flow of money, not just one single country.

And the other thing is that you know dope. You know, their top 20 clients are absolutely impressive. We want to see more growth in that, obviously. So they delivered 50 million per client per year in the previous quarter.

That's the average. but that also means that the top 20 clients are basically driving the entire business. We want to see a little bit more, uh, disbursement, less client concentration on the business side of volunteer. Of course, these are not.

Things are going to be solved overnight, but we want to see the trend get little bit better in this. This is specifically the things I'm going to be looking at. but if you ask me what Wall Street is going to be looking at, look, they want to see Revenue growth not below 18. They definitely don't want to see any guidance that goes below the current growth rate.

and they want to see about 550 to 600 million of Revenue in the quarter. and that's I think where the Benchmark is going to be for Palantir. But here's the most important part of this video. and and this is the crazy part.

If you ask me why I've never sold Palantir even when it dropped to seven dollars when everybody was screaming that the world is coming to an end and the stock is about to go bankrupt and all that stuff. Well look, the best investors. The best long-term investors in the world. And they have one thing that they work with which is much better than anything else anybody else has.

Basically, there's one thing that separates the world's greatest long-term investors from you know, the normal folk, and that is the ability to sustain and absorb and digest whatever and call it red days whenever you have red days. it. Unfortunately, it's true. You know 90 of retail investors they freak out.

and if you have two red days God forbid. Well, that's the the end of the world. And if you have a red week or red month oh my. God you know it's time to move to New Zealand and sell all your portfolio and become a sheep herder.

You know what I mean. So the best long-term investors, they get to neutralize that and I think you can do it as well again. I Posted this. You don't need my Patreon for this.

You don't need to buy any bunny videos for this. You just need to listen to what I can say right now. It's absolutely a free advice if you want to. You know Master The Art of sustaining red Days Because if you can sustain red days, you will be able to buy The dip unnecessary and not sell out because a lot of people missed out on Palantir.

They sold out when it was seven and eight dollars and they missed out on their opportunity. So the way you do it is very, very simple. Number one: You have to have a process. You have to have a discipline.

So that process is very simple. Find the method that works for you to evaluate good companies. You can use a DCF model. You can use multiples.

You can use whatever system that's proven an objective to evaluate good from bad. Once you know your good stocks, make sure you have a process to invest automatically like a robot without emotions into these good stocks. Now I Use the DCA method with an asterisk a DCA That goes up Wdca when the share price drops below a certain threshold. Let's say 10 of the 52-week high.

but you can use whatever it is you you know works for you as long as it's objective, as long as there's no emotions and just stick to the plan. The most important part is discipline. Discipline Discipline discipline. It's like the same thing when you go to the gym.

Discipline is everything. If you pick good stocks and you DCA during the bad times more and you keep this saying during the good times a little bit less and you just stay consistent and take emotions out of it and ignore the red days, then you'll be fine. You don't need Patreon for this. Do Not sign for anybody's course.

This is not very complicated things. The main part of this is just discipline because learning how to do DCF You can do online for free learning how to use multiples. You can go online for free learning how to DCA You can do for free. There's no need to pay anybody for this.

Just learn the skill, understand the discipline, Trust the process. You'll be able to see these you know red days like a bug on your freaking windshield. Now congratulations to the publicity! Community For 180 year-to-day success I Mean it's absolutely insane I mean I Love to see that it was still down from the highs I Mean the stock was in the 30s back in the day, they're still there's still a long ways to go. I Believe this is a trillion dollar company in about five to ten years, but who knows what happens in the next week, month or year.

It can be extremely volatile. If you do not 100 believe that planet here is the next best company since. Tesla It's the next one trillion dollar company And you think that this statement is ridiculous. Do Not invest.

It's very, very simple. This isn't the stock for you. For me, it is. Again, this is not.

Financial Advice: My own personal opinion, My own money. I'm just saying my thoughts and ideas obviously during research, but that's true for any stock. If you don't believe, if you don't have faith, if you don't have genuine conviction about a stock, don't invest. Don't play the greater full.

Theory Do not try to time the market. It's not going to work. Very, very simple. Good luck in their earnings.