The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.1 percent in November on a seasonally adjusted basis, after being unchanged in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.1 percent before seasonal adjustment.
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The Federal Reserve conducts the nation’s monetary policy to promote maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates in the U.S. economy; promotes the stability of the financial system and seeks to minimize and contain systemic risks through active monitoring and engagement in the U.S. and abroad; promotes the safety and soundness of individual financial institutions and monitors their impact on the financial system as a whole; fosters payment and settlement system safety and efficiency through services to the banking industry and the U.S. government that facilitate U.S.-dollar transactions and payments; and promotes consumer protection and community development through consumer-focused supervision and examination, research and analysis of emerging consumer issues and trends, community economic development activities, and the administration of consumer laws and regulations.
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All right. So CPI data report was released today 1 hour before the market opened. As you guys can see, this is the November 2023 CPI Data report which was released on December 12th. If you're asking the question where these get released, it's on Bls.gov CPI click on the PDF it pops right up and it pretty much breaks down.

You know, did um, what's it called the overall Uh inflation rate go up or down. So according to this we have a 3.1% inflation rate before seasonal adjustment according into the last 12 months. Uh, and this puts our core Uh so the energy decrease by 5.4% increased by 2.9% so all items less food and energy. So this is core CPI came in at 4% Um, and one thing that I want to quickly show you is the forecast.

The expectation was a 3.1% rate. We came in at 3.1% So we came in as expected. Um, nothing of a surprise there. Uh, one thing that I did want to point up is what exactly does this mean Uh, you can look at the line items and again all these items are the things that pretty much make up this.

CPI data report. Um, one thing that I like to point out is I like to look at the biggest gainer and The Biggest Loser um for the actual Uh line items for the given month, right? So in the month of November we can see the biggest drop we saw. Uh was on gasoline, all types. It saw a 6% drop.

So pretty significant. And if I'm not mistaken, the biggest increase that we saw was a 2.8 % increase and that was on utility uh, piped gas services. So something to pay attention to, right? Everything else all stayed either uh, below or above. Uh, those two given items, right? Uh, all items less food and energy.

So this is Core CPI Um is everything below this area? so not the energy sector, not the food sector. It's just this main area right here, which again according to this report, came in at 4% so you can see um this dotted line is is Core CPI and then this blue line is Um. Overall CPI Uh, the main focus for the Federal Reserve is Core CPI As they know that they can affect the prices of food and energy. Um, but not not a bad report.

I mean coming in from 99.1% inflation at the 40-year high to now 3.1% we are seeing, um, a steady decline, right? I Do have to say that the Market's reaction uh was pretty under woman right? So we gapped up very quickly, hit highs of 398 and then quickly pulled on back. Uh, at one point Market was red and then has now come back up to 39640 consolidating here, not really showing much signs of progress, but also not selling off. So uh, kind of a very slow day and I think that most of that is coming because of what's to come tomorrow, which is the Um Fomc rate decision. So uh, the Federal Reserve is going to be meeting tomorrow at 2: P.m.

Eastern time and deciding if they're going to be raising, pausing or cutting interest rates. And according to the Fed Rate Monitor tool, there is a 99.8% probability that they're going to pause and not raise interest rates. According to this Fed Rate Monitor tool, it has been pretty accurate for the previous Fomc meetings. Um, but again, just wanted to make sure that you guys were aware of that of what's to come tomorrow as well.
Um, we also do have the PPI report which is the Producer Price index report that's going to be released 1 hour before the Market opens and then the Mortgage Application index report that gets released about an hour and a half before I'm sorry, 2 hours and a half before the Market opens and that's going to be on Wednesday Um, I will be live streaming the FMC rate decision tomorrow. Uh, because Jerome pal. after they announc that rate pause or rate hike. whatever it ends up being.

Uh, he speaks 30 minutes after and he just gives kind of like, uh, discussion on how they came to that decision and answer some questions from reporters. So um, yep, I I'll keep you guys up to date with that. Just another reason to subscribe to the channel if you guys haven't done so already. but Market's pretty much just trading sideways.

Not much progress. On the upside, not much progress. On the downside, so that might just be because they're going to be waiting for. uh, what the Federal Reserve is going to do tomorrow? So keeping it light today, I'm going to be traveling back to Arizona so if you have any questions, just send me a direct message via Discord and that's the first link in the description down below.

If you want to tune on into tomorrow's live session, that's going to be the second link in the description down below. and I Don't forget to follow me on Instagram and that's the third link in the description. Appreciate your time like always. Let's make sure that we end the year on a green note.

Take Care Team.

By Stock Chat

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19 thoughts on “New cpi data report explained for beginners…”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @aviationandtravelingbykia says:

    ok hawaii boy make point, Tomorrow we all will be rich or poor? (You& Fedral reserv)

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @larrymorton5332 says:

    govt shutdown is coming on jan 19…count on it !

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @sagemaster9754 says:

    Great update

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @user-wy7uq1xu5y says:

    So if there is high probability that at fomc rate decision they gonna pause for rates increase, how will that affect dollar? There won't be any move of market during FOMC meeting?

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @ivanrvzo1022 says:

    Ricky is at the Mall 🎉

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @subcitizen2012 says:

    Nice thanks for the update while traveling brother. Happy holidays, thanks for everything. One of these days I'm signing up.

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @Findingfrisson says:

    Thank you Ricky 🩷🩷🩷

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @jcmazrizona says:

    piped gas is always elevated this time of year. Peeps be turning on da HEAT.

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @christiankentgomez says:

    RBLX, ONON, U, TSLA, PLTR, AMZN, AI, MSFT, AMD, RKLB, QS, and META are 2024 picks to sky rocket!!!

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @YzFurit says:

    Hi Ricky, please consider using Microphone. The voice is very low.

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @timh.1300 says:

    Good vid

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @liventhemoment203 says:

    Much appreciated for all the great info. 👍👍👍👍

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @DailyTraders says:

    Great analyzing!

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @matthewlandings2435 says:

    Hi Ricky, could now be a good moment to start following quantitative value investing strategies like the Everest Formula? That avoids human biases and analyst predictions. Cheers

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @SigiCoria-cd9vg says:

    Every when per year is this CPI ev@luated Ricky the Dragon?

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @1THEWORLDISMINE3 says:

    Thank you for the update, safe travels

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @renetopeka9908 says:

    thanks ricky. wish you the best, take care

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @joshuahardin9398 says:

    I appreciate every video you put out. They are all so informative. Keep it up big bro

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars @coachscott5771 says:

    Thanks for info

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