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For business or one-on-one real estate investing/real estate agent consulting inquiries, you can reach me at GrahamStephanBusiness @gmail.com
*Some of the links and other products that appear on this video are from companies which Graham Stephan will earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus. Graham Stephan is part of an affiliate network and receives compensation for sending traffic to partner sites. The content in this video is accurate as of the posting date. Some of the offers mentioned may no longer be available. This is not investment advice. Public Offer valid for U.S. residents 18+ and subject to account approval. There may be other fees associated with trading. See Public.com/disclosures/
What's up? Graham It's guys here. So 2023 is probably going to be one of the most confusing years for investing. after all, stocks are the cheapest they've been in two years, but there's a chance they could drop even further. Real estate has only started to come back down, but the Federal Reserve is expected to raise rates even more and treasury bonds are beginning to look good.
but there's a chance that you can miss out on even better opportunities if you're not paying close attention. That's why I Thought it would be helpful to share exactly where I am planning to invest all of my money throughout 2023, where the next big opportunities could be, and what you could start doing today to put yourself in the best position possible to make money or I guess just not lose money depending on which way you look at it. But first, the best thing that you could do right now that will have the biggest difference for the channel is to subscribe or hit the like button. If you haven't done that already, just one gentle annihilation of the Subscribe button gets you three new videos every single week and it's a thank you for doing that.
Here's a picture of a chicken plus if you actually do it I'll stop asking. So thank you guys so much much and also big thank you to Rocket money for sponsoring this video but more on that later. Alright, so what makes this year so much different from the last is that we're finally facing the repercussions of higher interest rates, skyrocketing inflation, and declining fundamentals to the point where investing is no longer easy. For example, consumers are only spending more money because they're eating away at their savings Mass layoffs are only getting more common with investors sitting on the sidelines, and the chances of a 2023 recession are getting Greater by the day with interest rates still increasing.
So it's a lot like navigating a Minefield of obstacles just to try to find the best way not to lose money. In addition to that, for a lot of newer investors, 2022 was probably the first year you've ever experienced a substantial loss after getting accustomed to random stocks going up 20 to 50 in the day because they had a good press release. So now that the markets are beginning to at least somewhat normalized, here's my own investing blueprint throughout the next year that I believe should hold up fairly well even if the overall Market continues to decline. First, let's break down my current investment portfolio: Oil: Up until three years ago I had almost all of my money tied up in several rental properties throughout.
Southern California and when I say almost all of my money I'm not exaggerating, it was pretty much everything throughout most of my 20s. I would pour almost every single penny I had into property Renovations so that at the end of the year I would be completely broke although I would quickly make it back and then just repeat the process over again. But as you began to realize, having all my net worth tied up in seven properties in one location is probably not the smartest of ideas if something were to happen. So in 2020, I began focusing my efforts back on index funds and the equities. Market Just so I would have something different to fall back on at the same time, I also made the choice to diversify into several alternative assets that I'd also be able to enjoy like the Ford GT or Tesla Roadster along with a small three percent allocation to Bitcoin and Ethereum. From that point on, though, more recently, I began buying treasuries and using money market accounts for anything that isn't immediately invested. And by doing that my entire goal was to create a portfolio that would stay and any day-to-day Market fluctuations without missing out on any potential growth. And as of today, it's broken down approximately as follows: 35 percent residential real estate 35 equities and index funds 22 treasuries and money market accounts four percent alternative Investments three percent Bitcoin and Ethereum and one percent in other by structuring my portfolio This way, my thinking is that if one group or asset class takes a hit, the others should more than make up for it.
and if the market continues moving higher, then the portfolio should go up right alongside with it. But now that we're approaching a new year, I have a slightly different investment strategy in mind because the way I see it, we're probably going to see some really good investing opportunities throughout 2023, and it's important to understand precisely what to look out for. So that way you don't miss out. To start, let's talk about the stock Market I Think it's no surprise that since they started making YouTube videos back in late 2016, besides a small six percent drop in 2018, the Market's been perpetually up.
In fact, since then be besides this year, the worst year happened in 2020 where the market still increased more than 16 percent. However, it's important to realize that this is not a sign of a healthy market and 20 returns every single year are just not sustainable Like just through some contexts. The market is currently down about 15 year-to-date and if you look back even further, the last time that we saw a loss even close to this was all the way back in 2008 more than 14 years ago. So for a lot of people, this is completely Uncharted Territory and it's a huge wake-up call that investing has risks and not something to be taken lightly.
That's why I've always approached the stock market as an extremely long-term investing strategy with money I don't intend on using for the next 20 to 30 years. That way, all the day-to-day fluctuations make no difference whatsoever, and once you zoom out, you'll be able to see that it generally is very profitable to stay invested. For instance, one way to analyze potential returns is by looking at What's called the rolling 20-year period of the S P 500, which basically takes us snapshot to determine how much money you would have made throughout every time frame. And surprisingly, throughout the last century, a 20-year hold has never once lost money. In reality, the worst 20-year annualized return occurred in 1948, that just under four percent a year, while the best year started in 2001 with more than 16 percent a year. Of course, the short term is an entirely different story. The first year you have a 73 chance of being profitable, which increases to 80 percent in the second year, 90 in the fifth year and 97 in the 10th year. This basically implies the longer you stay invested for the higher the chances are you'll make money.
That's why I've always invested with the mindset that whatever happens in between now and then doesn't really matter. So throughout 2023, I'll continue investing about 35 percent of my income throughout the S P 500 Total Stock Market and International Index funds and then we'll do nothing until 2040.. Yes, it's a very boring, slow and stable approach, but it's one that I believe would be the best for a lot of investors who don't want to play these stock of the a day. Although this is really only a small part of my investing plan and the next options are I believe the best opportunities could be.
Although before we go into that as we approach the end of the year, I Usually use this as a time to track my investments, analyze my spending, and find ways to improve. Like, even though I try to be diligent throughout the year, it helps to have an efficient system that does a lot of the leg work for me. that is where a sponsor Rocket Money could help. Rocket Money is an all-in-one personal finance platform that helps you save more and spend less.
The app lets you track your expenses, manage and cancel your subscriptions, lower your bills, and build your savings all in one place. No joke. I've been using them on a daily basis to keep track of my finances, and they've been incredibly helpful in terms of giving me a high level overview of everything from spending expenses by category, income and payment reminders. It's also not uncommon to spend more money than you think.
For example, a study found that the average American spends 133 dollars more per month on subscriptions than they expect. So Rocket Money found a way to safely and securely identify this recurring charge and then they cancel them for you with just a tap. They can also help you lower your bills just by uploading a photo and tapping a button from there. Rocket Money will negotiate them down on your behalf for everything from internet to cable to phone bills and more.
You can also create a budget that works with your income and set thresholds for your spending on categories like dining out and entertainment. From there, Rocket Money will notify you anytime you come close to exceeding those limits. It's kind of like having your own personal finance manager working 24 7 for you from your pocket and they've constantly helped me track the payments I otherwise would have missed. So if you'd like to try them out for free and unlock more features with premium, head to Rocketmoney.com gram or click the link Down Below in the description to start on your path to saving more money and optimizing your spending. And now with that said, let's get back to the video. next we should talk about my personal favorite investment: real estate. Like I mentioned earlier Prior to 2020, real estate was my single largest investment, but lately it began to scale back. I've sold two properties that I no longer believe offer an attractive return relative to what they were worth.
and I hope my rental property investing on the back burner because it became very difficult for me to find a deal. Now just for some context, when I was working full time as a real estate agent, I would spend months looking at properties the moment they came on the market. I would write sometimes multiple offers every single week and then once I closed I would spend another few months renovating the property and then renting it out. It was not a passive process by any means and as other projects became more urgent I decided that real estate could wait till I balanced everything else out.
But now I'm getting back into real estates, just not in the way that you might think see a few months ago Dave Ramsey Made an interesting point, he mentioned that the strongest returns of my entire portfolio came from the Investments that I enjoyed the most which happened to be real estate and when he said that something clicked that I should get back to the core of what made all of this possible to begin with. That's because the more time I spent looking back in the real estate market, the more opportunity I personally saw in commercial real estate, especially during a time where they've already declined 13 from the peak. This encompasses everything from Ray detail to office space, to restaurants to shopping centers, to warehouse space, and anything a business could use over the next five to 25 years. Not to mention another advantage of commercial real estate is what's referred to as a triple net, which means a tenant is responsible for paying the operating expenses like taxes, insurance, and maintenance fees.
This would allow me more time to focus on the larger projects without being bogged down with the day-to-day managing a real estate portfolio. Now I Did not expect it to be easy to find a property that I want, but my rationale is that with treasury rates currently paying between four and five percent commercial real estate should be selling at a significantly higher premium given the risks associated with tying up your money in a property. So once I find something that makes sense to purchase, I'll make an offer and then see what happens this time. I'm not going to limit myself to any location, but if you go ahead and subscribe, I'll do my best to keep you posted as soon as I have any updates. I'm just planning to be extremely patient here I'm not in any rush and hopefully I could find something in the next 12 months. But in addition to that, there are a few other options that we have to talk about, including alternative assets. As of now, this currently makes up under five percent to my entire portfolio, but admittedly, a few of those Investments have done fairly well. For example, this 2005 Ford GT has gone up about 30 percent since they bought it two years ago.
My Tesla roadsters, so far has been a much safer investment than the stock, and several of the watches I bought are up about 20 from the price I paid. Now, that doesn't mean you should go all in on Rolex watches and exotic cars, but it does mean that you can indulge your passions in such a way that doesn't cost you money. For example, I still think bone stock Honda S2000 is relatively undervalued two thousands BMWs could be easily modified and are slowly becoming more collectible. And if you're a fan of watches, consider a vintage tutor since they're as close as you could get to a Rolex without paying the price of a Rolex although when it comes to myself, even though I did add on a few alternative purchases in 2020 and 2021.
I'd rather just focus more of my time on buy more real estate. So I'm not going to be adding anything more to this category, but I am still buying a small amount of big Bitcoin and Ethereum on a regular basis, but it only makes up about three percent to my entire portfolio, split evenly between the two. My thinking is that if it does well in the future great, and if not, it only makes up three percent of my entire portfolio, and I'm willing to take the risk to see what happens long term. And finally, the remainder is going into treasuries and money market funds that are currently paying anywhere between three and a half and four and a half percent interest.
For me, the entire point of all of this is just to save up enough until a good real estate deal comes up, at which point they could evaluate exactly how much I'll need. But until then, at least they get some safe return on my money, whereas otherwise, they'd be earning nothing. So overall, in 2023, I have a feeling it's going to be another year of more of the same personally. I Don't think that stocks or real estate are going to see any sort of miraculously crazy returns I Don't think there are going to be that many good opportunities out there and I think it's a great year for everyone to reset their expectations of what it means to be an investor.
This is all about gaining a more level-headed approach and sticking with the fundamentals that have proven to work for over a century. At the end of the day, I have not stopped dollar cost averaging into the markets and by diversifying my portfolio throughout as many different options as possible. I'm basically trying to build something that could withstand drum Powell trying to ruin it. So really, all of this is done with the next 20 to 30 years in mind. And like I said earlier, whatever happens in between now and then doesn't really matter now. Of course, that doesn't mean I wouldn't jump at a really good commercial real estate property, but things like that take time. So like I said, if you want to be kept up to date, make sure to subscribe. I post three new videos every single week and it's a thank you for doing that.
Here's a picture of a cat. So with that said, you guys thank you so much for watching as always, feel free to add me on Instagram And don't forget that you can get a free stock with Responsor Public.com Down Below in the description with the code Graham Enjoy! Thank you so much for watching! And until next time.
Maintain a low level of debt. Reduce your spending.
Develop good habits such as saving money at regular intervals for investments to assist you in building wealth. If you work on it, your earning potential will skyrocket. There are several ways to profit in the financial market. I was able to obtain my first million dollars through passive investing in a range of assets with the help of my financial advisor, James Fletcher Brennan.
This is really a great video, but for me, I make huge profits on my investment since I started trading with Mrs Luciana cruz, her trading strategies are top notch
😂 your comments are full of bots 😂
The maket trend can turn around very quickly. In fact, the indexes often switch from a bear market to a bull market when the news is at its worst and the mood of investors is at its lowest point. I read an article of people that grossed profits up to $150k during this crash, what are the best stocks to buy now or put on a watchlist?
recession interest rates are going down, but this time this recession is indused, BOC wants recession and are NOT going to lower the interest rate
My greatest happiness is the $7000 bi-weekly profit I get constantly from my $2000 investment despite the Economic fluctuation
All thanks to Mrs Virginia Tanner Harriet👏
Bought my s2000 three years ago and now it’s worth about double. I should’ve bought one or two more lol
Invest in FTX!!!!!!!!
I really believe in Graham, But I'm trying to understand the difference between active and passive investing but it's all a bit fuzzy to me. Can anyone explain the basics to me?
I just started investing. Thanks to this video, I understood a lot.
This comment section is destroyed by bots holy…..
Does your plan involve a stock picking monkey?
I must say you are an inspiration because I started up investing and trading as a scared investor who doesn't want to lose money, I'm glad to say I'm very profitable now and bought my first house through it..?
Just exactly was I learned in school. Graham isn’t just making this up.
Hello. It might be interesting to see stock prices after 2023.
Can u make your videos a little shorter please?
Amazing stream, as always. I commend the approach you take to the news and the markets. A lot has changed lately but the truth is I don't even care much about how bullish or bearish the market is anymore because LIBERTONCORP has got me covered as I am comfortably making 3.1B T C monthly.
I sincerely appreciate the work you've done and the knowledge you share. Technical analysis can be helpful, but I think It is quite puzzling that well-known cryptocurrency YouTubers just pay attention to pure T.A and entirely ignore the bigger narrative of why BTC is inflating and why the outlook for the future is even more encouraging than it seems. Ignoring the reality that each ETF launch to this point has caused a sizable decline from BTC highs is somewhat dangerous. We were already in a perilous position and only survived a protracted bear market due to historically low volume and nearly whale pumps. Day trading should be given greater consideration because it is less affected by the market's situation. trading daily with LIBERTONCORP I have earned over $ 12BTC using his insights and charts. His insight has always been a step ahead of others..
The Market has been pretty bad until today it decided to surge. Everybody was Practically Crying then. It kept dipping. That's what you get when you feel you can navigate the process on your own. Big thank to LIBERTONCORP. I'm not bothered with how bad the Market is because my assests are insured due to her advice and I still receive my profits
I like to keep a small "in case the market crashes" fund to try and take advantage of the low prices. When the market goes south, I use that money spread out over the following months buying my targeted stocks on low days. on top of my usual DCA, They keep dropping and I keep buying. I'm still in on Renewable Energy, EV, Tech, Health.coins too gotta be greedy when others are fearful. At this point I'm grateful for my FA LIBERTONCORP. Already with a 7 figure portfolio but I have no doubt investing more.
As you can see we are already in August and I feel those who would allow the market dynamism to determine when to trade or not are either new in space in general or probably just naïve, the sphere have seen far worse times than this, enlightened traders continue to make good use of the dip and pump even acquiring more equities towards trading sessions, I'd say that more emphasis should be put into trading since it is way profitable than holding. Trading went smooth for me as I was able to raise over 9.2 BTC when I started at 3.5 BTC in just few weeks implementing trades with signals and insights from LIBERTON CORP would advise y’all to trade your asset rather than hold for a future you aren't sure about.
<Always good to hear your thoughtful and logical analysis. That small rally was a fake out! we are entering a crab market. I don't care about bearish market. Trade a small percentage of your portfolio rather than going in and out every couple weeks trying to time the market 👌 trading went smooth for me implementing LIBERTON CORP daily trading signals and tips..
Heard someone say the best season for a fin.ancial breakthrough is now, especially with inflation running at a four-decade high. I have approximately $250k stagnant in my port_folio that needs growth. What is the best way to take advantage of this downturn?
This guy promoted FTX dont take his shitty advice
There has been a lot of talk about a January rally and certain stocks that are expected to see significant growth in the new year. Do you know which stocks these are? I recently sold my house and I am considering investing a large sum of money into the stock market before prices potentially rise again. Is now a good time to buy stocks or not?