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What's going on guys, welcome back to the channel. Appreciate you guys! Tuning in today is Thursday We're gonna have some CPI numbers come out. Basically, it just means that we're gonna find out how poor we're becoming. Uh, day by day via inflation. by Design Uh, there's a team of scientists at Nassau that built and shot a rocket into outer space hitting a comet heading for earth millions of miles away traveling at thousand miles per hour. Yet here you are in 2022 and your governments and people in power are struggling to tame inflation. I'm here to tell you it's because it's by Design With the way the Fiat currency system works, this is generally the end result of many Fiat currencies You go through boom and bus and then you know inflationary stages et cetera et cetera et cetera. So again, just in our little tidbit, we've been using money and Fiat currencies for hundreds of years. We use them every single day on a day-to-day basis to get everything that it is that we want and need in it in life. Uh, whether it be you on an individual basis or trading from country to Country To put it simply, every single day, every single country, every single person generally uses money. Every government, and every person in power, and everybody around the world on a day-to-day basis uses money. It is the single most important thing that people use to navigate the world. We've been using it for hundreds of years. We've seen countries in the past go through inflationary stages. Also, hyperinflationary stages where their entire country gets demolished via the destruction of their Fiat currency. Yet somehow, today, in 2022, even after scientists shoot missiles into outer space millions of miles away and hit comets moving at thousands of miles an hour, we still don't know how to tame or manage. uh, Fiat currency inflation. even though we use this stuff every single day more than we use Rockets than shoot into outer space and we buy goods and services with this stuff every single day as opposed to shooting Rockets into space. And we've been doing this for hundreds of years as opposed to just this year shooting Iraq into space and we don't yet know how to control it and make sure it doesn't happen. That's because it's just charade. It's by Design Okay, so now they're all in agreement. It's by Design That's awesome. Continuing on today. Who knows. Everyone's expecting like eight percent, Eight point, Five percent. Something like nine percent. Maybe ten percent. Honestly doesn't even matter. You're gonna get poor today. You're gonna get poor tomorrow. You're gonna get poorer next year. In the next two years, In the next three years, The next five years, Anything and everything that they're telling you about inflation. Oh, it's gonna slow down. And oh, it's gonna get better. Maybe it does slow down. Maybe it does get a little better. But the fact of the matter is, you're still going to get poorer next year because their inflation number isn't going to go negative, right? We're not going to start going negative inflation and our dollars start getting stronger because everything that is going on in the world in your governments and things that are being allowed in our governments by the people that we elect or by Design However, we want to put it, they're not doing anything in the correct way that would reverse course. they're only doing things that will fuel the direction of the current course. And so that would be printing more money, not paying down the deficit, allowing Federal Reserves and Shadow governments to continue to print money because it's by Design. So if we really want to tame inflation, what's going to have to happen is the government will have to cut their spending dramatically and they're going to have to use the 4.5 trillion dollar per year tax revenue to pay down the current deficit with somewhere around 30 trillion. So at today's rate, if we were to cut government spending by 50 next year and take that 2.25 trillion and pay down the debt and then do that the next year and the next year and the next year next year next year, it would currently take us about 11 to 12 years to pay down the 30 trillion dollar deficit. as long as our government Cuts their spending in half by 50 percent only uses the incoming 4.5 trillion dollar per year in tax revenue and doesn't print any more money. That would be a very hard thing to do. Lots of people lose their jobs, This, that and the other. But all in all, after about 10 12 years of doing this, you'll pay down the debt and you will don't not. And so yes, that is what would have to happen. It won't happen. But there's your Simple Solution So simple that many people would lose your jobs. Tons of departments in the government would get cut and things like that. That's how simple it is. It's as simple as basically having to lay off half the government and then you can start to reverse course. So until anybody is willing to have that discussion with me, then continue to see your dollar get destroyed. Okay, now getting into the charts. So you have CPI coming out All right. And so today's economic calendar from 8 30 to 9 00 in the morning. you're going to be getting CPI numbers, jobless claims and numbers. Things like that from 9 till 6 35 pm. Today you have a bunch of different vase fed speakers. Um, telling you a charade all day. Look here. don't look here. Do this. But it's really supposed to be doing that. That's what you have from about nine till 6 35 PM Okay, now looking into the charts, what you have right now on the S P 500. Okay, you have the S P 500 right now sitting at a half deviation which is right here. priced at 374 Uh, 85. this is why I Recommended Watching bearish Like once we started breaking down and everything was going down I Said don't short much further than 375 in the day 375 was the deviation. We broke a little below that, but ultimately came back after hours so there was no benefit of you shorting past 375. because if you did hold it, then you're just back at 375 anyways. So ultimately, when we started breaking down, don't really be short bias much more than 375. And you can see we pretty much maintained a base at 375 through after hours and into pre-market today. Okay, so this tells us one thing already that tells us that this is your new breakdown point right? As in, there is no more downside till the deviation gives out. Okay, and if this deviation gives out and we go through a super Trend down, then you would Target 366. the next statistical probability on the downside. Okay, now we're going to go over here to this chart. All right. So this is the crypto sort of liquidation Crash from just two days ago. Okay, this was the bounce intraday backup to retest the move and create a lower high into Supply. The following day we gap down, we Trend sideways and then eventually we take out the 50 SMA which signals a bearish move and then we get the bearish cross to follow which signals ultimately we're bearish and we're not longed by us anymore. The Market: Okay, so the only thing that can change our bias back to Long bias for now is a break over the 50 SMA. So unless the price gets over 377.85 we are not going to be long bias this morning. Okay, let me rephrase that. unless the market gets over 377.85 we are no longer long bias. The Market CPI could do it CPI could push this right back up and we could break that level and we could be back to bullish. All right. So let's put a level there. That's Where It's At You See where the market snapped and broke down yesterday? 50 SMA Well, actually it's kind of kind of wrong because the 50 SMA was slightly lower than that so it was like right there. Okay, so that's where the 50 SMA was at when we snapped. So again, you can see we're not bearish until we get below it. We have the potential to bounce. so we come into the 50 SMA location on the day. what do we do? We bounce But Ultimately, Trend stays down grinds through the 50 SMA We try to hold it and then what we fall out snap because you gave way on the 50. SMA Okay, so moving into this day, we'll just leave that Red Line there. All right. So moving into today, you can see this is where the 50 SMA is priced at. You're not bullish until you get over it. you could bounce all the way back to that and have a bullish move and then I get smacked down at it so you could see a bullish move to it. but again, you haven't shifted momentum until you get back and above that level. Okay, awesome. Next thing that I actually kind of need to do is I need to add some anchor vaps here that I had on a chart that I accidentally deleted. So we got one here and we got one there. So I need to any well going to actually do this? Slightly different. Okay, so we are going to Anchor some bee wraps real quick. Give me a second if I could ever spell cheese Ops All right. So I need to add these two Anchor view UPS today is a 10 so one's going to go to the ninth and this one's gonna go to I Don't know I'm just gonna call it 1300. for now, that's pretty close to like 1305. Maybe Yep, that's that's good enough all right. And then this one's got to go back to the previous day. so it's going to go to the eighth or no, it's the ninth. It's because we're going with the pre-market and this one's gonna be like fourth fourth. Thirty Try now. I'm going to bring this up to 1335. That's good. Okay, so this would be these would be the two anchor V WAP get pretty much the anchor V Whaps that? I would be watching right now. Um yeah I mean so pretty much to put it, these anchor View apps I'm kind of watching right now. This is the 50 SMA anchor V-wap So the way that this would work is pretty much. here's your Bearish Cross. This is the 50 SMA breakdown that allowed for the Bearish Cross to happen. So I'm anchoring right at about the 50 SMA location that was the break down and then that becomes the V-wap I trade into. On the downside as you can see Doink Doink Down down. Okay so that would be the V-wap that I trade into after the bullish or sorry after the Bearish cross. So if I may I'm going to draw a line directly through the Cross Point like this. So that is actually when the market created the Bearish cross. When the market creates the Bearish cross, it's almost a guaranteed win if you were to sell short into this red line following the cross or Into the Blue Line fall on the cross. So in the event this were to break then the next next level we would go to is this. So for example, we get a Bearish Cross right here. First thing you do is sell short into 50 SMA V web. Take your profit on the way down. If you sell short here and it breaks above you close, you go short if it re-breaks down or you wait for it to go to the blue line and then you short there. But it's a pretty much a guaranteed win every single time after the cross short into the first test of any of these V-waps and it's almost a guaranteed win every single time. Okay, so now when we come in this morning, it's 804 Am about 8 20 or about 8 27, 8 28. We're gonna start seeing volatility 8 30 A.m they're going to release CPI numbers Demarcus Going to get volatile. It's going to yip, it's going to Yap It's going to go this way. It's going to go that way. So pretty much you can see right now we're over this 50 SMA Anchor V Web So this is the short term Trend V-wap that if it breaks over, we can see a pop. So you're kind of getting this bull flag scenario off of the half deviation and maintaining right about the anchor V web. So Above This level we can see a pop towards 376.99 arguably 378.
so again, with CPI coming out, this can create some volatility. So pretty much what I'm kind of thinking for the market is right now we are on support So until this breaks, we're not really bearish. so my Max down overall that would be a 10 point move I don't really see it happening but maybe so max down 366. and it may not be today, but just in general of statistical probabilities, we know that when the market breaks this, we're going to try to Trend to this. and if the market holds below this, we can go back to this. And if the market breaks this, we can go to here. So right now my box for the market is this. This is my box of the market. And right now we are literally at the 50 yard marker. So this could be your football field and this is the 50 yard line. Okay, the market is literally at the 50-yard line so we're very Pinnacle spot right. Do the Bulls defend the half deviation, we keep the trend going up or do the Bears shift us below the half deviation. We start working back to the mean. that's kind of what we're tracking right now and we're following. And so ultimately we are bearish because we got what we got. a bearish cross right here yesterday. So that is your bearish cross. So we're bearish until the market can get back over this specific price. that red line. So this is were bearish. Since the cross happened here, this is a level that need to be getting above to flip this back to bullish. Currently we're sitting at the halfway marker of our statistical probability box. The upside of that is 382. the downside of that is 366. we're bearish. If CPI comes out and continues to knock the market downwards, then pretty much we're bearish off of this Zone Blue 378 down to 366.
um that's pretty much how that works and in the event CPI comes out somehow we are bullish. We'd be more bullish if we clear 378 and after 378 and Trend up, we'd basically be targeting back to the demand zones or sorry Supply zones which would be around 382.. The statistical probabilities will create your supply zones. Statistical probabilities will create your demand zones. We're right at an inflection point in the middle and pretty much that. That's it. Alright guys, have a great day everybody! See you next video.

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9 thoughts on “Most important levels for cpi release.”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Dritharashtrar Stikarthikeyan says:

    Good analogy Connor! But rockets and comments have one purpose, one goal, and one outcome. Fiat currencies ultimately have one destiny also to become as valuable as the cotton and linen they’re printed on.

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Harmonic Chaos says:

    "It is by design". You are one of the few people to express this. You dont have to have a big brain. You only need not let a worldview distort the truth.

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Caroline P says:

    Making some mad $$ with these analyses !!!

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Brian K says:

    Connor thanks great video your spot on

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Kang Myungjae says:

    Service for Humanity

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Miss Tiny Trader88 says:

    Yep, all by design, every time!

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Nigel Rathbone says:

    Great analysis! Thank you

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars purplestuffist says:

    Thanks Connor, Great Video. πŸ™‚

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Flint Lockwood says:

    Thank you for all you do for us!

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