What's going on, guys, welcome back to the channel. Appreciate you guys tuning in. I Figured I would do a deep dive into the market today. For everybody, we're going to run through a lot of stuff.

Uh, the reason we should run through a lot of things is a I don't make videos as frequently as I used to B The market did some crazy stuff yesterday. See, we talked about the market going to $450 weeks ago am I on d d we talked about the market being a dip Buy on September 27th though we are wrong by $10 a share of the market bottom kind of value area Point call. But nonetheless, we talked about the market bottom September 27th. Um, so we've done a whole lot of stuff that we should probably cover, so let's jump into it.

Let's start with September 27th. Here is my pinned tweet on Twitter Well, this is actually my dog's Twitter profile. this is Cody I am just the secretary. so again, I'm usually the one that knows how to make a YouTube video.

He does the analysis. so when we come in here and I make a video, it's really me just covering what my dog has said the market was going to do. so. Cody My dog had mentioned on September 27th that we are now entering the oh basically I am no longer at this point Cody was no longer bearish the market I am no longer bearish the market on September 27th for the next few weeks few weeks thinking what happen in a few weeks Etc I'm now changing bias to see if we bounce I Still think we can go a little lower, but we are entering this Market better bounce or oh, we are going to have to change our mind on the bull pop.

So basically on September 27th we have this whole thread of why the market should be coming into a high value long Zone and why we were no longer bearish. The stock market in general pretty much okay, gives you a whole outline so that was September 27th. Okay, the market did end up going down a little bit more from there and then we ended up flying off the roof or flying off the shelf roof, flying through the roof as you can see just these past couple days, weeks, etc. etc.

All right Now aside from the market kind of bottom call around September 27th though, we were off by $10 a share. Um, we should also me the long call up to the mean reversion which is pretty much where we're at now. 446 447 is where the mean reversion was in that area. We're a little higher than that now.

Um, one second just finding it I'm pretty sure I reposted it like just yesterday. Those were data sample sets. Here we go. No wrong thing.

Here we go on November 3 November 3 is when I posted nobody is ready for the mean Rsion. Laugh out loud 445 But like why 445 Like like what you know it's like we're gonna say mean reversion or you know, whatever. Like why not pick 431 442 450 Why 445? Well let's get into it all right. So again, remember November 27th pretty much we had suggested we're not going to be bearish the market anymore and then on November 3rd we suggested basically no one seeing the probabilities of going to 445 other than some dog on the internet and Twitter named Cody All right so let's go to the spy.

Uh let's pull up the proper chart for this and let's really get into it guys. here we go: Spy ready 180 day for 4 Hour chart. All right, let's delete some of these old drawings. Okay, the main thing I want you guys to pay attention to is the white line.

See this white line. What's it priced at Right now? it's priced at 448. Remember on November 3D right? November 3D is when I said nobody is ready for a mean reversion. So let's go to November 3.

It's got to be like right? I'll go to a daily chart. it'll make it a little easier and we still need to go to the daily chart. So we'll go to the daily chart. So let's go to November 3rd.

That's so basically 103 111. that would be 112 113 I was all the way back there. Okay so this is where basically this is where um November 3rd was okay and then November 27th. That's when I made the Okay, so here you go or wait, one that doesn't make sense.

nober 27th. Hold on I Really? do that. damn. I'm good I Thought it was a little earlier than that, but September 27th I mean it's right there.

Okay, never mind. I guess I did call the Market bot. Okay, well, there's September 27th. so doink all right I Thought it was earlier than that, but maybe it's I Might have made the thesis earlier and then pinned the Tweet later.

but I know that I was early, but maybe at the time of doing the Tweet. but anyways, yeah, so that would be Market bottom. there would be November 3D right? so nobody's ready for the mean reversion right. which would be up to that line.

Okay, so this this white trending line right there is a mean r version. So on November 3rd as we get closer to it, it becomes a higher probability we can do it. But but majority of the stock market retail you know every single account you see on YouTube Ricky Gutiz um Trader TV Live. Uh, you know 95% of the YouTube channels have and had no idea that we were planning for a 445 move.

Was it going to go there for sure? Of course not. but we're planning for it. We see why it should do it and the probabilities are really high, so therefore it's It's likely that it's going to happen, but it may not always happen exactly the way we want it to the way we see it. I mean this happened so fast.

Off the Gap up yesterday was pretty insane. All right. So nonetheless, November 3D we're talking about mean reversions and etc etc. right? So to kind of wrap your head around why I would have suggested a mean reversion price.

Also, if you look at the daily chart here, this mean reversion price is 44791. November 3rd it was at 445 so as the Trend goes up, this increases up. So it does repaint a little bit. but that's the channel and that's the way that it works because it's doing its best at trying to predict the probability.

Trend Okay, therefore when prices change, the probabilistic outcome or expectation or Trend and or values would be changing as well. Therefore, it's updating okay a little bit, but still works very well. So you have to think right if you went through Twitter and you went and you looked at the news right And the reason I say this is because it it was never. It had never been so clear to me.

I Guess it's just after being in the market for so long. But like this time around was one of the times where I really felt it was so obvious. um you know and if you look at I think my past YouTube video. if you look at the last YouTube video which I'm going to try and pull up right here in a second.

But if you look at the last YouTube video I posted and you just look at the title of the video, mind you, always pay close attention to the titles of my videos because the titles of my videos are usually meant as read between the lines, titles and or direct signaling of what I think's going to happen. They're less of clickbait but more of hope to be fortune telling. and or read between the lines you're about to get scammed. Um, sort of titles.

That's the way I like to think of them at least. Um, so let's go over here. let's find my uh, let's find my account my channel. Why is it YouTube Studio So just so different these days from what it used to be.

Okay, here you go. Let's look at my last video and let's look at the title of it. Retail just keeps shorting the top poof. and when did I make that? let's see that was my last video.

Read between the lines, Retail just keep shorting the top. So what do you think's going to happen? Probably gonna blow their ass out All right I don't even know when this was posted. What date, date, date? who knows what? I'll find it though. um but that see again.

So so just a little tidbit when you do read the title of my videos or watch any of my videos I Do Post Um, you know you just gota take the titles and kind of run with them because they they do have meaning they're not like a a clickbait title where it's just to scam you to get you to watch the video. No it's it's literally the titles are meant so that if you don't watch my video you know what's going on just by the title. That that's really my objective is just the title of the videos hope to be what's going to happen in the market. So that way even if you didn't watch my video you could just go through the timeline of the titles of my video and just be like a story.

Um, you know. So let like. here's here's this one from back. Uh see one second like here's this one from back here.

the last one here. The world is ending yet the stock market is pumping right. Like wasn't the world just ending right? Wasn't Isn't the news bad in Ukraine and infl I mean everything. The world is ending.

but the stock market is ping right? Okay, um I So for what it's worth, Um, fun. Okay, so we have the market. It reverted back to mem. So the reason that I was covering all the titles of the YouTube video telling that the retail is still shorting the top is because hasn't it been over the past couple weeks? This like retail narrative and of the news and the market that everything is bad and it's so bad and the world is ending right? But the market keeps pumping right and Retail keep shorting the top top and then the other narrative was remember in the market didn't you guys just see that the entire news feed if you pay attention to news was the Market's been going up for eight days in a row.

Nine days in a row. it can't go anymore. Historically speaking, the market has never closed eight green DS in a row. So therefore the other side piece of the news was got to expect a market pullback cu the market never goes up8 nine days in a row and closes green So statistically and historically speaking, I'm an idiot short the top get blown out right? that like that's it.

Now to be fair, Did I take some shorts in the move up? Yes I did okay. Did I take some Longs in the way up? Yes I did Am I still long the market? Yes. Did I buy back into my long-term portfolio off the dippies? Yes. Am I going to hold those and get smacked? No.

So I'll decide what I want to do with those here in a little bit. Um, but yes I will talk to you about when basically we did shorts in this move. Okay, so let's run through how me and everyone pretty much the Elites trading team has navigated our Market over the past uh, couple weeks. Hold on.

Different chart is needed. Different chart. Where are you at? Is it this one? No. Is it that one? No.

Is it this one? No. Is it that one? I Don't know. Maybe Yes. All right here you go.

So ready. This is when we did trades. so basically not that that's the only trades we've done. But as far as how we managed the market environment in bias in trading.

okay, was this long The market. Here, We're long. We're long. We're long.

We can short the market. On this day that day we go short. Okay, we are then able to short this top here at 43620 and then we are back to Long the market. And we're still long.

The market. That's it. That's our N Ative. So we have only had, um, three bias changes over since the date of I Don't know that would have been like the 27th or basically the 31st.

The market shifted the 31st. So the market. this was the 31st. So when the market shifted on the 31st, we had three biases since then.

Or a total which was long, bearish long. That's it. Those are our three biases. Okay, Um, now that you know that the Market's had three biases since basically here, which is to stay long, the market cash to short, then back to Long.

All right. Now that that's all happened, so you've gone through a Buy Signal very very short sell signal back to a nice Buy Signal Okay, now along the stretch we've had, uh, there's one Gap there one Gap here, another Gap here, uh another Gap there and another Gap here. So at some point in time those gaps will get filled sooner or later. So just know that Yes, at some point in your life you're going to see the market back down to 424.

Um, you will see the market back down to 41850. Okay, so just know that those prices already going to happen. So one day when you see them there, there's already no confusion because some dude on the internet Told You So Okay, all right, continue on. All right.

So look at all these gaps. So basically I'll just show you guys how we predict the targets of the gaps right? So so you have bias of what trend you're on and then there's other tactics that you, uh, deploy to then help you further understand the market while under such moves. So we have the bias of being long, Then you have gaps in there. So upon the Gap days specifically the big ones is one I Like All right, so the big gap days ready.

We are going to run a a A Fibonacci All right and what we're going to do is we are going to measure the Gap right because is this not an extreme move overnight? I Mean we closed here and then you woke up and oh, it's all the way up there That's pretty extreme. We would call that a pretty extreme move, right and again, that would to me dictate the purpose of using a Fibonacci Uh, So what we're going to do is we're just going to run a Fibonacci from this day's open and we're going to run it back to the previous day's close. Okay, and ideally what that does for us is it PR provides to us the what I call for lack of better words the Intraday Gap Target the Intraday 161 Target The Logical slash easiest Gap and go desirable Target that's rule-based and objective. Okay, that's all what I would call it Logical, smart, attainable Gap Intraday 161 Target intraday Gap Target overnight Gap Target that's what I would call it, right.

The reason I call it logical attainable uh, achievable is because just based off of the market continuing in the favor of its Gap it would most likely go to the 161 and we're most likely going to see today's market somewhere around like 450 to. um, yeah, for right now, my top Target is actually 4 5294. So basically, if this Market runs to 450 294 I think we're going to hesitate and pause there for a second. I'm not quite sure if it's going to turn into a bigger kind of pullback in that area.

Maybe Again, We we have ideas for where Top Tops might be. Um, but you know, until we get a sell signal, we don't really think bearish, bearish, bearish, right? cuz look ready. that's a sell signal below the 50 SMA 10 crossed down sell signal Buy Signal right? So so like yesterday and everyone's like oh, CPI gota come to but whatever, right? It's like, bro, we're not in a sell signal. Yeah, it might have topped and it might have faded down, but we're not in a sell signal so trend is actually up.

Trend is not down, so you're shorting against the trend. That's why it's hard. Okay, so getting back to the gaps here, right? So of this last, Buy Signal What do we have? We had a couple gaps, right? So the reason I call attainable achievable logical, blah blah blah blah blah um, is because we are, um, just trying to get the market to keep trending in the direction of a gap, which it's more likely to do. and then from there what would be logical is going to the 161 Target that's not asking for too much, it's not asking for too little, etc etc etc.

Um, okay. and then as far as the like four 5269 45280 I'll pull this up real quick. that is sort of like the max possible Long Level that I Figured we would go to from the break of 442. so we've been tracking the downtrending volume weekly.

Uh, average price from this high, which pretty much suggests that this yellow line is resistance Till we break it out, we don't go to the purple line. We broke it out. We've pretty much gone to the purple line. We haven't gotten there all the way, but like look at my screen ready.

So I'm GNA add where this Line's at and then you just tell me how close we've gotten to it. So I might have already been wrong about the market going to 450 to like 80s or 70s here. but in the grand scheme of things, this move to go to 45280 started at here. So right that was there.

So when the market broke out yesterday. Uh, CPI From here is when the possibility in planning of the market to go to the 45280 start. So from here to there is that move and when you think about it, we would say that 95% of that move has completed. So whether or not it Penny tags that Target or it gets close and then it tops and it stalls out.

or whatever. you know it's kind of irrelevant to me even though I like to be right to the penny. Um, you know it doesn't really matter. At the end of the day you just kind of feel bad because you know someone.

some on the Internet or in this video goes oh you said it was going to go to 450 270. So I bought here at the high and now I get smoked and the reality is if you were planning for it to go to 45270, your most or your lowest risk level I Can't get this to freaking work. but I'll just do it. Whatever, it's being stupid.

Uh, your lowest risk level to long was I'm just going to take this box off. It's stupid. Um, your lowest risk level, not lowest risk level, but like in terms of well, really, it is lowest risk, highest re wward potential to go to that. 452 would have been buying all the way when the market was at 409, but in terms of sequencing of moves in a shorter duration of time, the market cannot go to 45280 until it gets Above This level not above this previous High here of price action that has nothing to do with it, absolutely nothing to do with it.

Okay I track volume levels volume levels was here and here. So before you can go to this move up here, or that level, that price point, that value point of volume, you'd have to go through this one. So now that we've gone through that one, it started at 443, we're all the way up at 441 so it's already moved $8 a share. The total distance it could have gone was $10 a share is the way it's looking.

so it's already done 80% of the move, right? So whether or not it gets there easily or even gets there at this point to me is irrelevant because that long desirable potential move that I foresaw can happen is 80% complete. All right. So anyways, that move is 80% complete. but again, if we do push up to like that 452 80s again, just expect resistance I'm not long bias the market at all going into there.

Not a chance. I don't care if it keeps going up, but like this is not a price that I'm really willing to buy at, It just doesn't make a whole lot of sense to me. All right. Okay, um I mean that's that we've covered a bunch.

Uh, you know you should read the Tweet about the buys because that'll give you some more context. Um, I'm just gonna. that's Bitcoin I'm GNA go over to this one and delete this stuff real quick and I'm going to run through. um, kind of our.

a little more of our our Strat All right. So pretty much what happens here is I'll run you through a couple of the lowrisk opportunities you had to get in on the Trend up. So pretty much here is your I have to set it up here and then transition well I guess I really don't have I can just do it on the pre-market one normally never mind I'm speaking too much but I'm going to run you guys through this last little bit and then get ready to rock and roll. but pretty much just know.

Like I said, our Buy Signal is down here. so this pretty much becomes a buy I Got to set this up. Oh it looks like it's on the low got. Go do that.

Stop being stupid I Don't even care if it's off or on by a little bit. All right. So pretty much that turns into a Buy Signal From here we'd pretty much be like this and then it would be long off of so pretty much this was our Buy Signal day. This was our first lowrisk long du into the Buy Signal was that dip and you're going.

How do you know is that dip? Well it was that dip because that's a volume weighted average price of such new Buy Signal therefore creating low risk opportunity. Then the next one off that would be this low premarket as defined by volume weight at average price as you can see right there don't But I do that. Perfect. It's actually supposed to be like a it.

Okay, so that's volume weight, average price like that. Then the next low risk dip is going to be going into the J Powell meeting right here which did get a little sketchy. Not going to say it was easy, but that's all going to be based off of, uh, volume weight at average price. So then we go there and that was your last low risk dip before the market took off on you.

So you had a Buy Signal here. Then you had one. two, three super lowrisk buy opportunities before the market launched on you. So there was three chances to get in on that move.

Okay, and catch it. There's more than that. But if you are asking me, like literally buying the absolute lowest point of a pullback, those would be the prices I'm looking for. So when I say I'm looking for no, we are And we are trading.

It's not not, we're looking not No, we are looking and trading and watching those levels When the market went to a Buy Signal here on Monday October 30 or whatever. Okay, 31st we're in a Buy Signal That's our first long we're looking for. Right there into that value, 4426 is where we're looking long. Then after that, we're looking long here at this level 41650 and up 59.

Actually, that's wrong we're looking at. it's supposed to be off this low. We're looking long at 4639. And then after this breakup I mean we're pretty much looking along at 41955 Market drops down to a low of 41908.

So okay, we lose 40 cents on the trade before what? getting the straight boner rip to Kingdom Come Okay, and then what happens. Okay, so then we go into a sell signal. ready. So the market goes into a cell signal here.

All right. So we're going to go into a cell signal which looks like this Adjust. Okay, so we go into a cell signal. Basically that's where we went into a little cell signal.

If the cell signal is going to work, what should it do? Like the Buy Signal Ready, we went into a buy signal. What's it do holds the Buy Signal View up, launches up. Okay, cool. We went into a sell signal which only ended up being a very very shortlived sell signal.

So we go into a sell signal. What should happen is it should stay below the volume weight. average price. It doesn't.

That's already a signal that this sell signal could be weak, right? We back test the 50 blah blah blah. once this candle that one right there. that 1130 candle. Once that candle pushed up and broke over the price of 436, that's the new Buy Signal.

So a new Buy Signal starts right there. So what do we do? We repeat the exact same process. So now I'm going to move this Vwap from what was a cell signal. Now we're going to move it to the new Buy Signal.

So then the new Buy Signal vwap comes into play. basically on this candle here and it was like this one or was actually this one. I Have to go back and double check but pretty sure it was this one. So our new Buy Signal vaps would be the red one you see here and this yellow one creating what we would say our buy zone right here.

So after this day we're looking for dips long here in this red and yellow line. Okay then after the red and yellow line bounce right. our next dip would be the new volume weighted average price which would be here which would be there. Got it? Okay so our next volume weighted average price dip long is all the way down at 4772.

So when the controllers of the market want to reverse the count, reverse the move. They could reverse it all the way down to here so we're not looking I'm not maj majority of the market is not. 99% of retail is not thinking 4 4761 as a potential dip bu Okay, they were not thinking yesterday 43982 Dip Buy. They weren't thinking the previous day the Long Level was going to be 43852.

They didn't know on Friday that we were supposed to reverse the market up and go into a Buy Signal at 11:30 They did not know that at 1:00 on November9 we went into a sell signal and that sell signal was reversed back into a Buy Signal on 11:30 Uh November 10th. They did not know that we went into a Buy Signal on uh Monday October 30 October 31st and the first lowrisk volume weed to was here at 9:30 and then the next one here was a next day premarket. The next one was a VAP day paday. 98% of Market retail Market does not.

They don't follow the market this way and they never will. Okay, they're just not. Um, will all of this work as good as it does now? forever? Maybe maybe not. It will probably work better the less I post and if I just stop talking to you guys about all of this so there might become a point in time where I just basically just tell you prices and don't show you anything.

Uh, because sometimes you just got to start keeping the goods to yourself right? I mean maybe I don't know we'll see. but um anyways I guess that's your morning video of of how the market has functioned over the past couple weeks. How 90% of retail doesn't think like us, how 90% of the retail interprets the news and the market. Um, how the retail's gotten scammed over the past couple weeks, How we predicted price targets Market bottoms where you can go to look for some of those things on the Twitter page and uh, I am not perfect at trading by any means.

not perfect at investing or analysis. but I Know that what we teach you here is very solid. The things that we go over is very solid. The price suckers are solid.

Um, and so with that being said I Just hope you guys enjoyed the video and take care. I'll catch you in the next one.