One of the hardest things with trading is that it really takes so much time to learn how to do it! Depending on whether you are learning to trade by yourself, or taking a course, it could take several years. And then it is important to remember that still, most traders will NEVER make it.
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The Federal Reserve conducts the nationโs monetary policy to promote maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates in the U.S. economy; promotes the stability of the financial system and seeks to minimize and contain systemic risks through active monitoring and engagement in the U.S. and abroad; promotes the safety and soundness of individual financial institutions and monitors their impact on the financial system as a whole; fosters payment and settlement system safety and efficiency through services to the banking industry and the U.S. government that facilitate U.S.-dollar transactions and payments; and promotes consumer protection and community development through consumer-focused supervision and examination, research and analysis of emerging consumer issues and trends, community economic development activities, and the administration of consumer laws and regulations.
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So is the market going to continue to sell off or are we finally going to begin to recover? This is just the question that I'm beginning to ask myself I Don't know if it's just me, but I've been feeling right that at least this past week. I did pretty well today. Just you guys can see very quickly on Tkq I walked away with 23k on the day I'm very grateful for it. That's not an average day for me, but when it comes down to every other trading day I either just wasn't trading at all.
I mean I shorted in a video what was it two days ago and it was fine, but I haven't felt like I've been in sync with the market and I feel like a lot of you might be relating to me I'm not too sure let me know down in the comment section, but with that being said, I wanted to pull this up I mean today, right? Kind of all over the place because of the Jackson Hole meeting. So we originally started a little bit on the bullish side. We aggressively sold off during that meeting and then the market founded support and then began to recover and we pretty much ended at where we peaked at during that Jackson Hole meeting right before it started yesterday. It was an unbelievable day.
If you were a bear, it was a Slaughter if you were a bull, right? and again Market aggressively sold off. This is when it made sense when I shortened a video right? But the day before that it was extremely bullish. So this is kind of like the roller coaster that I'm talking about where, um, and even the day before, right? It started off based off of the previous close. It started off bullish and then by the time the market opened, it literally sold off for the remainder of the day.
And this is kind of the confusing part where I know even for myself I mean I've been in this market for years. uh, and and weeks like this. Still really? um, don't do well with me and this is where I wanted to kind of make this video and talk about. you know what are my takeaways right? The first thing that I need to make sure that I focus on next week is, if anything like this continues right? All these inconsistencies, all these changes of Direction every single day I can't predict the future.
So I have to respect the market and a way that you respect it is by respecting it with your position size I Know that a lot of you guys get a note when I talk about position size, but I think position size is really like the secret behind you know the way to really last in this market, right? even if you take a really Hefty loss. But if you're really sized down on that position size, you can tolerate it right? And when looking at the overall Market you guys could see here that for QQQ which is the NASDAQ ETF Looking at this on the four hour time frame, you know it kind of brings me back to that original question. We've been bullish pretty much all 2023, right? Higher highs, higher lows. This is the first time that we've broken below the moving average and now we've been selling off for about two and a half weeks. So the question that I'm beginning to ask myself is, well, are we going to continue to sell off and do I want to go with the Bears or is it consolidating and potentially going to begin to recover and go back to previous highs of 388 right? And I think this is where I'm struggling right now Is that if you notice for this past week, you know it hasn't been bearish. It hasn't been bullish, it's been very inconsistent. And it's during that inconsistency that I see myself doing best. It's one of the things that I journaled today.
uh, in my trading journal and I wanted to share it with you, right? I Sometimes feel like we focus so much on you know, our successes and even sometimes when I recap my red days right? that doesn't really share with you. Kind of like what I'm taking away from the market and what I see going on or if I feel like I'm working really well with the market kind of like I watched two or three weeks ago. But then a week like this I'm kind of just like, you know I don't feel like I'm in sync with the market and that's okay, right? That just means that next week when the Market opens, I should still stick to being selective I should still stay very aware that if the inconsistencies continue for the overall market right if it's bullish one day bearish the other. I'm going to want to size down I don't need to trade with four to 500k behind every single position I can size down to, you know, 40 to 50K until I gain more confidence about the true direction of where the market possibly might be going right.
And it's during those moments that I can really make it happen, right? But I feel like maybe it's just me, but I know it's not I know it's a lot of you guys because you guys put a lot of pressure on yourself because you want to perform. but I feel like one of my biggest takeaways that I wanted to share with you guys is instead of setting up daily goals or even weekly goals, then maybe setting up bi-weekly goals or monthly goals when it comes down to percentage gain returns, right? So instead of setting up oh I want to make x amount every single time that I trade I mean that's a lot of pressure because at that point it also encourages encourages you to maybe not cut losses or manage risk because you're so obsessed about trying to stay profitable, right? or hit that daily Target And that is a lot of pressure, even for myself, right? with with years of experience. I Mean it only takes one red day to make you feel uncomfortable and you can really start digging yourself into a deeper hole if you allow it to. But if you realize what you did wrong and you cut those losses and then you choose to size down until you get confidence right, you gain that confidence back and make sure you feel comfortable with sizing up when you're truly comfortable with the conditions that you are treating in and that's my biggest question to you is do you feel comfortable with the current markets conditions, right? Because that's really what it is to me, it's our conditions favorable enough that I can step on the gas and if it's not, it's not the end of the world. I Just need to respect that And that means size down, right? And that's what I'm looking forward to with next week where again, it's kind of just I Wanted to share my thoughts with you I don't even know if you guys would enjoy this video. it's kind of all over the place but I wanted to share with you kind of with one of my struggles right now and that's just feeling like I'm not working really well with the market due to the inconsistencies and what I'm doing trying to do to be proactive about it instead of it allowing it to really take over me to understand it and then to put less pressure on myself with instead of studying these daily or weekly goals to maybe aim a little bit, you know further and bi-weekly or monthly goals are something that would put less pressure on me and allow me to be more selective right to really allow opportunity to present itself. So let me know in the comment section what you guys think about that. But again, overall very grateful for how today played out.
So 23.355 K on the day and excited to see what we can make of it next week. So I Hope to see you guys for our live session! I Do trade live every morning which means that you get to see my entries, my exits, and my thought process behind every trade. I Take during those live sessions if you want to learn more about it I Work with one team and one team only I offer nothing else. It's just these live sessions and it's the second link in the description down below I Really do appreciate you guys time I Hope that we're in the thumbs up.
Please consider subscribing and like always, let's make sure that we're in the year On our green note. take it easy team.
It is smart to have a long term plan. I work with a portfolio and fixed income planner. The fixed income portion of your portfolio wonโt simply serve as a buffer to the volatility of the equity portion of your portfolio, but will provide legit income.
It is always good to have a financial plan. I work with a portfolio manager and fixed income planner in the USA. The fixed income portion of your portfolio wonโt simply serve as a buffer to the volatility of the equity portion of your portfolio, but will provide legitimate income.
Yes I enjoyed this video. I was frustrated last week.
I have been feeling the same way recently
I belive QQQ will goto 321 in the months to come…
How do you manage the wash sake rule when in and out of sqqq daily?
You have that Crystal Ball in your back pocket. Lol hopefully the Bull Tqs make a run, then reassess. Actually you know, you're right. Weekly and monthly is better than killing yourself on the daily. Then having to sometimes wait two days to jump back in. This is a really good refresher. Thank You!๐๐๐
I needed this. Wisdom. The markets should never feel comfortable, sitting back looking at the bigger picture, and focusing on longer time period goals is what looks good for me. Thanks ricky
Yes, very inconsistent. Also I like that shirt is it available on techbuds??
Thanks bro. Sizing is key
This market is so bipolar right now.
These smalls hints are really interesting, once in a while yes, once a week maybe?
I really appreciate you sharing your insight and struggles with us in this video thank you.
You are not alone!! โค
love your explanation today! I am kind of same place as you!
Ricky, where is shirt from, ZARA? I wanna go shopping where Ricky goes lol
Amen, I share same thoughts man. Just no rythem for me last week.
Well said brother it feels like we retail traders against the group of big traders every day I believe until September 30 depth ceiling negotiation market will do big side ways looks like qqq 360 support time being but regardless all stocks are setting new 52 weeks low all institutional holdings are been trimmed weekly 3-5% until rate cuts start this looks like the way thanks for all information I get very little news where I am
Nice one Ricky, and l have come to the same conclusion over the last two horrible months or the only way to profit when the markets are too volatile to day trade or swing is to try to enter at a low point and then go long. Cuts out all of the volitary and stress until market stabilizes
PS ditch the Robert Kirasaki book, read that and unfortunately Robert keeps bleating on about some 1929 mother of all crashes and advises everyone to get into Gold and Silver, but l have read all of his books up to that one and he has been doing that for a decade at least, or it sells books.
This was a great video. The market may pull back for September then rally Oct/Nov/Dec for 4th Quarter and Black Friday/ Christmas sales. I've been paper trading small positions until I develop a better system… also re-watching the LPP vids. Thanks for the update.
I need more videos like this! Your thoughts and analysis on market conditions are useful
Great call on the Nvidia short, It seemed so obvious after the fact.
I have done very well from the end of 2022 – 2023 as a bull, but I'm really feeling it's going to turn.
I feel like it's effecting my trading.
Not sure if you follow Tony Dwyer or Danny Moses, but they have made a strong case for a downturn.
Just started following you and I am very impressed with your maturity and skills.
Really appreciate the analysis of your thoughts here. Please structure this similarly during the live trading and call out which Q and also your entry and possible TP or SL even if itโs a mental stop loss. Also calling out the resistances would be helpful to track when the price action is on the move fast .
Could you make your entries and exits clearer during the live trading please and call out which if the qโs you are trading as often we are looking at our own charts and listening to you but you arrive after 930 ( EST) often and can be abrupt ( sarcastic )with questions asked.
Appreciate the video Ricky, you hit the nail on the head for me.
Thanks for this video. Brought a very humble vibe to it.
The trend is still up