The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Indexes are available for the U.S. and various geographic areas. Average price data for select utility, automotive fuel, and food items are also available.
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The Federal Reserve conducts the nation’s monetary policy to promote maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates in the U.S. economy; promotes the stability of the financial system and seeks to minimize and contain systemic risks through active monitoring and engagement in the U.S. and abroad; promotes the safety and soundness of individual financial institutions and monitors their impact on the financial system as a whole; fosters payment and settlement system safety and efficiency through services to the banking industry and the U.S. government that facilitate U.S.-dollar transactions and payments; and promotes consumer protection and community development through consumer-focused supervision and examination, research and analysis of emerging consumer issues and trends, community economic development activities, and the administration of consumer laws and regulations.
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The Federal Reserve conducts the nation’s monetary policy to promote maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates in the U.S. economy; promotes the stability of the financial system and seeks to minimize and contain systemic risks through active monitoring and engagement in the U.S. and abroad; promotes the safety and soundness of individual financial institutions and monitors their impact on the financial system as a whole; fosters payment and settlement system safety and efficiency through services to the banking industry and the U.S. government that facilitate U.S.-dollar transactions and payments; and promotes consumer protection and community development through consumer-focused supervision and examination, research and analysis of emerging consumer issues and trends, community economic development activities, and the administration of consumer laws and regulations.
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So it seems like investors are incredibly bullish on tomorrow's CPI data report. What's going on guys, It's Ricky here with tackled Solutions and I'm going to make this video super quick and cover some points that I think you need to know before the CPI data report tomorrow. So the first thing that I want to talk about is the market gained 1.69 and another quarter percent after market hours and this is NASDAQ Market just the day before the CPI data report. For those that are unaware, when the CPI data report is, it's tomorrow it's going to be June 13th one hour before the Market opens at 8 30 a.m and yes, I will be live streaming it for free on this YouTube channel.
So if you want to tune on in, make sure you drop a thumbs up. make sure you subscribe and make sure you turn on your post notification. so YouTube notifies you when it is that. I Go Live! The great thing about this is okay I Want to understand how bullish the market is now I Wanted to follow up because obviously we do not know what the Federal Reserve is going to do on Wednesday during their Fomc meeting.
This is when they're going to either announce a rate hike, a rate pause, or a rate cut. But according to this Fed rate monitor tool which of course does not have to be 100 accurate. But according to this tool as of today, there is an 80 percent probability that the Federal Reserve on Wednesday will not raise interest rates. This is say this is stating that they expect that the Federal Reserve is going to pause.
The reason this is so important is this will be the first time that the Federal Reserve pauses Since they re they've began to raise interest rates very aggressively as interest as inflation hit 40-year highs, right? So this week is going to be pretty important and this week might be kind of the point where maybe the Federal Reserve is actually going to begin to Pivot right? 80.3 probability that they won't raise rates and they're going to pause or a 19.7 probability that they do raise rates. You guys let me know down in the comment section what you think all I know is I Wanted to show you these numbers first and based off of what is reported tomorrow, the inflation report I think will really skew what is going to be expected of the Federal Reserve And let me explain as of right now, if I'm not mistaken, let me go ahead and refresh this. The CPI data report is expected to come in with a 0.2 percent of an increase, but if you look into the actual you know, uh, breakdown of the CPI data report: we're going to be taking away a 0.9 and adding 0.2 if it comes in as expected. So inflation should be coming down.
But what happens if inflation comes in higher than expected? meaning that again, if it didn't go down as much as we expected it to one of two things right? Well, inflation is therefore more sticky than we originally expected. and second, the next day, right June 14th is when the Federal Reserve is expected to announce their rate pause or their rate hike. So what do you think is going to happen if inflation comes in more aggressive? Well obviously I think this is where we will see the big SKU or it could go from 80 to maybe 20. If inflation comes in much higher than what it was it much higher than what was expected. Therefore, the Federal Reserve will be more likely to be more aggressive with this up and coming rate hike. But of course if this inflation report comes in as expected then it won't be much of a surprise that if again, during that Fomc meeting, the Federal Reserve pauses therefore accommodating or really just respecting the Market's expectation of you know, being more bullish and potentially actually pausing. all I could remember and go back to is when Jerome Powell spoke I believe it was last month and he off and he stated that the stock market is often ahead of what the Federal Reserve is actually thinking. so that's where my optimism is at.
And one thing that I always try to preach with our LBP team into all of the beginner traders that like watching our videos is that again our job is not to predict the future. our job is to prepare and I would rather react when the market does choose its direction as it will right tomorrow. Once that CPI data report is released I'm going to be breaking it Down Live on YouTube So all you need to do is subscribe but then we will see how the market will react. If it's either bullish or if it's bearish, there's always money to be made.
as long as I focus on one thing and that's Market Direction So very excited to follow up tomorrow tomorrow and Wednesday are going to be very significant days again. if you're new to the market, make sure you subscribe to the channel, make sure you drop a thumbs up and again. I Do trade live every single morning with the Lpp team. If you've ever wanted to see what it's like to watch me trade live, click that second link in the description down below and learn a little bit more about our Lpp team and see if we are a good fit for you.
I Appreciate your time, hope that we're in thumbs up again! Just wanted to talk about Market expectation for tomorrow's CPI data report but I also wanted to share this fed Ray monitor tool and then follow up tomorrow once that CPI data report is actually factored in and to see how it changes the probability of what is expected from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday So I hope that earned you a thumbs up. Please consider subscribing. I'll see you tomorrow for our CPI data report and again all you have to do Just drop a thumbs up and subscribe and we'll see you on the next one. Like always, let's make sure that we're in the year on a green knob.
Take it easy team!.
Nobody can become financially successful overnight. They put in background work but we tend to see the finished part. Fear is a dangerous component, hindering us from taking bold steps we need in other to reach our goals. you have to contend with inflation, recession, decisions from the Feds and all. I was able to increase my portfolio by $289k in months. You have to seek for help in the right places.
📌 Nice video, love how you take your time to educate your viewers. You gave me the mindset to invest my savings now I have made profits over $120k Right now and still making more , I am enjoying a good life with what I made investing. Indeed ‚building a Portfolio income (investing) through a licensed investment adviser is one out of many ways to earn passive income.
We are already in the big crash, Inflation is a
catastrophe. This CPI report is a colossal failure. To bring the housing market to a halt, the FED will have to pull all the stops. The unfortunate issue is that other markets are being decimated.If you want to stay green, you have to rely on a lot of diversification. Currently up 14% and being careful. Still a better deal than leaving it in a savings or checking account yielding 0-1 percent interest.
I caught the CPI bounce up on US30, thanks to you, Ricky. Thank you!
law, cantonment, religious theology, business naming, economy, history, literature, surrounding flora and fauna is related to all Jews mastermind game, why we need to disguise or mockery that we are different. the thing is everyone is on the same page
Great summary
Will Stream for free 😂😂😂
When market crash to 0?
Does anyone here, members of Richard mentorship program?how it's going? Can you please share your experience, coz I have plan to join
I need a solid and reliable plan to survive these trying times, I was really hopeful of my investments this year, but all my plans have been disoriented, I've been studying the price crashes and I realized some investors made a fortune from the recent recession and I was wondering if such success rate could be achieved in this present market. Any recommendations?
where's the big crash everyone expecting?
Inflation gona be low duh
Im not buying the S&P 500 at these prices…gonna stay cash ready buy a little JEPI and TSLA for now
total Thumbs up. I recommend your site to everyone I speak to. Thanks.
Thanks sir for good information
long on us30
if they pause does that mean the market will rise or fall?
JP: what are going to do today Joe?
JB: the same thing we do everyday pinkey.
CPI comes in somewhere in the middle. Misses expectations by .01 base points, but down from the previous month. Market then moves sideways a little. Wednesday FOMC report, JP comes out and does as he is told. Pause…hmm hmm…I mean "skip". Market pops a little causing all retailers to go all in. Wall Street pulls the rug and sells the news. Markets down at close on Wednesday (+/- 2.5 to 3.0%) Bloomberg, CNBC and all the other mainstream media declare a crash. Thursday, algorithms take back control and we go green again. Recession averted. Soft landing now in full effect. Short Wednesday, go long Thursday.
I'm gonna go short on APPL tomorrow. It's overvalued.
When everyones bullish i go bear thats my system
Buy the rumor, sell the news
The Fed is printing money more and more and the market like it
I will forever appreciate🎉 this channel, you've helped me a lot, your videos, advice and lessons are inspirational helpful to us, I was able to make $74,000 in one month with a capital of $16,000 trading with an experience expert who guided me through out my trading.. you're such a blessing to this generation, we all love you
Will we see sqqq rise from the ashes this week?
Great breakdown. Thanks Ricky!
I think the FED will make a profit
Ricky , The reports are not new under the🌞 Sun, its all the same manipulation.
If they pause it’s only because of the TGA liquidity drain so it doesn’t crush the banks