In this video we go over the story of insurance giant AIG and its involvement in the 2008 global financial crisis. AIG sold credit default swaps to insure hundreds of billions of dollars worth of mortgage backed securities. When the housing market crashed, they didn't have enough money to make good on these liabilities. To prevent a financial collapse, the US government had to bail them out to the tune of $150 billion.
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What's up guys and welcome to wall street millennial, the 2008 financial crisis saw the world fall into the deep recession, with millions of workers, unemployed and millions more losing their homes. The roots of the financial crisis are complicated, including the explosion of subprime mortgage lending in a speculative bubble in many residential housing markets. But it is undeniable that many of these excesses were caused by banks and other financial institutions taking on excessive risk trading, complex and opaque derivative instruments. Much of the blame goes to investment banks such as lehman brothers, who traded in mortgage-backed securities and enabled the explosion of subprime credit.
However, the irresponsible risks investment banks took on paled in comparison to the single biggest offender, which was insurance behemoth. Aig aig wrote insurance contracts for hundreds of billions of dollars worth of mortgage-backed securities when the housing market crashed aig didn't have nearly enough money to make good on its obligations. If aig were allowed to default, it would have caused a domino effect that would drive many of its financial counterparties into bankruptcy as well. This would have threatened to cause a complete collapse of the global financial system of a similar magnitude to the great depression of the 1930s.
To prevent this, the u.s federal reserve was forced to bail out aig to the tune of 150 billion dollars in the largest transaction of this type in history. In this video, we'll explain what aig did to take on so much risk how this almost destroyed the financial system and how they were billed out by the us government aig was founded in 1919 by american businessman, cornelius vanderstarr or cv star in shanghai. China originally called american asiatic underwriters. The company expanded rapidly in the 1920s selling general policies such as life and casualty insurance using shanghai as its base cv star expanded the business rapidly throughout china and southeast asia in 1939.
Aig moved its headquarters from shanghai to new york. To avoid the impending japanese invasion of china during world war ii in 1984, the company listed its shares on the new york stock exchange. By this time there were an international behemoth with operations in more than 80 countries. Given the company's historical success at rapid expansion, investors came to expect this growth to continue to meet these investor expectations.
Aig had to expand beyond traditional insurance policies such as life, insurance or property insurance. They started writing novel policies such as pollution, liability, insurance and political risk. Insurance for companies operating in emerging markets, they also expanded into areas unrelated to insurance, in partnership with private equity. Firm blackstone aig created an advisory arm for corporations seeking strategic advice by the mid 2000s.
They had a broad portfolio of financial subsidiaries, ranging from asset management to derivatives trading. They were no longer a regular insurance company. They were a diversified financial institution with operations spanning all corners of wall street. In the early 2000s, aig saw an opportunity to take advantage of the booming real estate market, fueled by low interest rates and the global search for yield. Many institutional investors started increasing their portfolio allegations to residential mortgages to increase the yield. Many investors turn to subprime mortgages. Subprime mortgages are mortgages made by borrowers with low income and poor credit. These borrowers have a much greater probability of default than prime borrowers to compensate for the risk subprime mortgages, have higher interest rates and provide more yield to investors who buy them.
Hedge funds, pension funds and other institutional investors wanted to have their cake and eat it too. They wanted the high returns of subprime mortgages, but also wanted to minimize the default risk associated with them. This is where aig came in for a fee. They promised to insure those investors against the potential losses that they would face if the subprime mortgages defaulted, these contracts were called cds's or credit default swaps, as the default risk was swapped from the investor to aig with aig's, strong reputation and credit rating.
It was assumed that they'd be able to make good on their cds obligations in any scenario with aig insuring against defaults. Investors viewed their mbs portfolios as essentially risk-free and thus use inordinate amounts of leverage to juice. Their returns. Aig's, aggressive expansion into cds's started to pay off with their profits increasing in their stock price, rising by 2008.
They had written cds contracts on roughly 400 billion dollars of mortgages, of which almost 60 billion were sub-prime. Aig did not have nearly enough cash on hand to pay for all these liabilities. They relied on opaque statistical models to judge the default risk on the mortgages. They figured that a large-scale mortgage default was highly unlikely in any given year.
Only a small percentage of the mortgages would default, so they only needed a few billion dollars of cash on hand to cover their cds liabilities. Aig's traders were compensated with millions of dollars of bonuses every year which were tied to how many cds they could sell. They were thereby incentivized to make liberal assumptions regarding default risk. The strategy was to sell as many cds as possible book as much quarterly profits as possible and downplay the risk as much as possible.
In the early 2000s, the real estate market was booming and defaults were very low. Aig's strategy of aggressively selling cds's seemed to be a winning strategy, making them billions of dollars of profit every year, but years before the financial crisis, investors should have been wary of aig's integrity and risk management. In 2005 federal regulators charged the insurance giant 1.6 billion dollars. In fines regarding unlawful accounting practices in the early 2000s aig boosted, its quarterly profits by transferring non-existent loss reserves from the general reinsurance company, which is one of its financial counterparties. This, along with similar gimmicks artificially boosted aig's recorded profits by 3.5 billion dollars. While these accounting scams are not directly related to cds's, it casts serious doubt about the integrity and transparency of the company aig fostered a corporate culture which prioritized short-term profits at the expense of risk management and honesty. This would become dramatically apparent just a few years later. During the global financial crisis in 2007, the real estate bubble finally burst with prices plummeting more than 25 nationally many subprime borrowers found themselves with mortgage balances exceeding the price of their homes.
This led to a massive wave of defaults across the entire country. The investors who bought cds contracts from aig came to collect on their policies in light of the mortgage defaults aig, was now facing hundreds of billions of dollars worth of claims on their cds contracts, and they didn't have nearly enough cash on hand to fund these liabilities. They needed to raise capital fast or they'd, be forced to declare bankruptcy. Aig started recognizing huge losses relating to their cds positions and their stock was tanking precipitously from 2007 to 2008, aig stock lost almost 98 of its value, with their equity almost worthless.
They were not able to raise enough capital through a traditional at the money offering they needed to find a strategic investor who could bail them out in september of 2008, aig's management made a desperate call to warren buffett, who was one of the few investors with a Financial wherewithal to save the company buffett looked at aig's financials within just a few hours. He told him that there is no way he could make an investment in the dying company unable to find a private investor. The company would run out of money within a matter of days. The bankruptcy of aig would have been a complete unmitigated disaster for the global financial system.
If they went bankrupt, they'd be unable to pay their obligations to the investors, who held the cdss, and those investors would likely go bankrupt as well. These bankruptcies would cause financial strain on these investors. Creditors causing a domino effect on financial institutions throughout the world. The result would be a tightening of financial conditions, making it harder for non-financial companies to receive loans unable to secure funding capital.
Intensive businesses would be unable to buy new equipment and be forced to lay off their employees. The us was on the verge of the depression. Rivaling the severity of the great depression of the 1930s. Just a few months earlier, the investment bank lehman brothers declared bankruptcy that news caused widespread panic in stock market crashes throughout the world. Aig was much bigger and more complex than laymen. If it were allowed to fail. The economic fallout would have been even worse: federal reserve, chairman ben bernanke, decided that aig was a systemically important institution unable to find private investment. The government had no choice but to step in and bail out.
The institution aig was too big to fail. In september of 2008, the new york federal reserve gave aig 85 billion dollars in exchange for an 80 equity stake in the company over the following years. Both the fed and the treasury department poured in more money bringing a new investment to a grand total of 150 billion dollars. This capital allowed aig to make good on its financial obligations and avoid a broader meltdown in the financial industry.
The bailout caused discontent and sparked protests on wall street people felt that the government was helping out their rich friends on wall street, while regular people were forced to suffer the high unemployment and foreclosures brought about by the recession. However, the term bailout is somewhat misleading. The shareholders of aig suffered massive dilution and lost close to 100 of their value. In fact, taxpayers actually benefited from the transaction.
By 2012, the government had sold out of its taking the company and reported a 23 billion profit from the investment, including interest paid to pay off its debt to the government. Aig was forced to sell off many of its businesses and lay off the majority of its workforce, while it was saved by the government. It operates today as a mere shadow of its former self aig is a quintessential story of corporate greed. Their executives were myopically focused on maximizing short-term profits and collecting quarterly bonuses.
They ignored the inordinate risk that the company was taking on and drove the company within an inch of bankruptcy, while they did end up making good on their obligations with the help of a government. Bailout their precarious position greatly contributed to the chaos and confusion in financial markets. This deepened the great recession and ordinary people ultimately paid the price. Alright guys that wraps it up for this video.
What do you think about aig? Let us know your thoughts in the comments section below, as always. Thank you guys so much for watching and we'll see in the next one wall, street millennial signing out.
Their management should have had free room and board, at the expense of the Federal Government, for 10 years.
Kinda funny how the insurance business comes off as a pyramid scheme after watching this video.
It was too big to fail because AIG held the pension fund for Congress. They always knew Congress would bail them out.
Nothing Wrong with AIG. Its ultimatey a game Of derivative Musical chair where somebody gonna Be holding dead cat
once again we have privatised reward and socialised risk….should have let the lot burn down, they wanted free markets they can have free markets.
Iโm a loan signing agent in college and had always wondered why I always saw loans from non-banks. It didnโt take long to figure out people donโt trust banks with their loans.
So making the tax payers flip the $7,000,000,000,000 bill for the bail outs "saved the economy?" Yes a domino effect of down falls would have been very painful for the whole world but it would have also allowed the world to rebuilt which now it can't because off all the taxpayer burden. It also would changed the way things were done by both "too big to fail" companies and their investors. Instead it only encouraged this type of risky business even more because they knew taxpayers would always bail them out.
When company desperate, they call warren buffet, same goes to GE
AIG sold those products from the UK, they were illegal in the USA. The guy who sold it in the UK is living the high life in London.
The question is, did we learn anything? I think the public did learn to not trust Wall Street. Is it time for another reminder? Perhaps. The biggest danger we face is Amy Coney Barrett and her pro-business agenda getting us into trouble again. And everybody forgets Phil Gramm and his deregulation push that got us into this mess in the first place.
Moral of the story, when the problem is small it is your problem. But when the problem is big it is US government's problem. So go big or go home. The US government will pickup the tab if you can make the problem so big it isn't your problem anymore.
Nobody forced the US government to bail AIG out, the government chose to have taxpayers pay the price for bad corporate investments. they could have let them collapse and other companies would have bought the assets for pennies on the dollar and life would go on.
Now the precedent has been set that the taxpayer will bail out bad investments, is there any wonder why Wall street has taken on even riskier projects over the last 13 years?
This is a lot more important than what most people realize. Good video!
Noticed that no mention was made of the fact that Carter told the banks to lend to unqualified borrowers under penalty of prosecution for discrimination. This in turn forced the banks to defend themselves the only way they could and still make a profit so they bundled these sub-prime mortgages and sold them into the secondary market as investments. It snowballed from there. When you had to have at least 20% down and a decent job to get a mortgage things ran smoothly. The radical left wanted to insure a big voter base by allowing people to get mortgages without any down payment and no realistic way to pay for it. Same thing is happening right now, it just hasnโt gotten so bad that financial institutions are in trouble. Yet!
President Trump had the banks back to lending in a secure manner and the democrats screamed so they relented and now we are back to lending with no money down and maybe a job, if you donโt get laid off.
aig tried to be the house at the casino but forgot people cash out
It wasn't noble of the govt to bail them out . The government used a company to make the very rich whole after they lost money on foolish business practices. Nice try of them to confuse the issue but people knew then (and now) who benefited from bailouts. Time for we the people to retrain the govt they work for us as sworn in as our trustees and we are not happy with their mal-administration. So fix your ways or we'll hold you for treason.
AIG, & all these clowns screwed "da pooch" & pasted their problems off to the American people. Which lead to honest people getting kicked out of their homes.
Itโs interesting that Iโm now just hearing about AIG paying off itโs obligation with interest. I havenโt studied this financial crisis as much as I should have, but itโs still interesting that all I hear about is bailout, bailout, bailout (it was) but never the other result. That said, further strings should have been attached to upper level management with that financial backing.
Obama got hustled by Wall St. People should have gone to jail. Obama talked a big game but did nothing. Guess what? Wall st was a big Obama donor
These ppl provide no tangible product. They make money by moving money around. Then their recklessness cost all of us. They then get away scot free with a golden parachute. Race is not the problem in america. The problem is a growing class system in a classless society. Moat if the hostility is not between the races, its between the classes. The haves vs the have nots. This is why those in power are desperate to distract us with race issues. They dont want us to pay attention to how they live by different rules. They enrich themselves, their friends etc. When these companies lost money during wallstreet bets they shut down trading. It's clearly rigged. Imagine the ppl rose up against the elite, rather than be divided by our skin color? Squabbling over shit that happened 160 years ago while they rob us all.blind today
AIG did not charge enough ($) for the risk. Obviously "Actuary Risk" was sorely lacking. Being an Actuary was once a true skill. A license is not income, so paying tax does not apply.
Opinion, we should have felt the pain the first go around.
The bad things have to be cleared out of the system no matter the pain.
Itโs better to have a healthy system in good shape then a system constantly on pain medicine but the bad wound doesnโt fully heal, it just existsโฆ
Bernanke..what a shyster. "too big to fail" and too rich for jail.
Love the vids and content but it sounds like you are in a closet or something.
They manipulated the libor number until it didn't make sense anymore
Actually the number of sub-prime first mortgages we relatively small. The majority of the loans were for non-residents / investors. You should look into the actions of the Investment Banks and Hedge Funds seeking the largest possible profits that drove the bundling various loans and then their selling whilst the ratings agency provided triple A ratings to ensure they would be sold.
Ny father was the VP underwriter of the department from 03-09 cant believe he let this go ๐
Creating & Selling Investment Grade Securities to Customers Derived from the Market Bubbles is a Favorite Business of Financial / Non Banking & Insurance Institutions , Hedge Funds & Commodity /Stock Markets knowing fully well that these are just Castles in the Air. When True Commercial Businesses offer them Little to No Return. GREED.
Answers in Genesis achieved something? Who knew a trailer full of trash could be so damaging.
Why isnt there already established special conditions applied for any company considered โtoo big to failโ. So they arent allowed to play around and gamble with the WHOLE economy.
Thanks for it
Almost no one talk about what AIG did during this collapse.
Back in my day bubbles were driven by rigged interest rates that caused leverage bubbles in all sectors of society. To make sure that never happened again, we printed as much money as was lost plus whatever amount needed to reflate the stock market, plus every spending whim of the government, plus as a replacement for hard ethical decisions regarding lockdown…
U all realize it was plan. They walk away with billions. They purposely told home owners not to send payment to force a refy. They refuse to refy people and default them. The whole thing was plan every one lost it all and they made billions from the bail out