You’d expect the stock market to surge after the White House and House Republicans reached a tentative deal to raise the debt ceiling, But markets may have other plans.
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So it looks like there's finally an agreement for the U.S Debt ceiling. but is the stock market going to rise if this agreement hasn't even been confirmed by Congress now I Explained this very little in my video yesterday where the news was announced: uh that Biden and McCarthy came to an agreement and it was, uh, somewhat just of a settlement, right? Not everyone got what they wanted, but they compromised on both sides of things Republicans compromise. but so did the Democrats. Now one thing that I spoke about is that it's good that McCarthy and Biden came to an agreement, but Congress still needs to vote like this isn't passed yet, right? And does this mean that the market could drop before we could actually rise, right? I Wanted to share this article with you that I found to be very interesting.

You guys let me know in the comments section if you guys like these videos I Just found what he said to be very interesting and you guys let me know down in the comment section I'm going to start sharing my screen again. this is NASDAQ but again this is by CNN business and it says don't expect the market to Rejoice about the debt ceiling deal So let me go ahead and press play. shoot at Loyola Marymount University A pleasure to have you with us. Great to be back! Rosemary Were you just nine days away from America possibly defaulting on its national debt? If President Biden and Kevin McCarthy can't strike a deal to raise the debt limit, we're hearing the progress was made in those talks on Monday but it's still only nine days to make a deal, get it written up as a bill, and pass through both the house and sell it by June 1st is that even possible at this juncture? Well, we're cutting it down to the wire and things are getting hotter than lava in Washington because the two sides are still apparently quite far apart.

Both sides know the seriousness of this, but that doesn't mean that they're going to be able to make a deal. And this is unusual because it's a manufactured crisis. Since 1960, we've raised the debt ceiling over 90 times 90. under Democrats Republicans With little debate and little controversy, we did it three times during the Trump.

So why now? What's the what's the magic of the of Now that we're coming to this crisis, that could just send us over a cliff. The problem is that the Republicans want to conflate apples and oranges, debt and budget. The Democrats want to separate those two things because they're separate. And so therein lies the rubber.

So who's going to be the adult in the room who is going to save us from ourselves? That's the question. And and if this country defaults on its national debt because you as politicians essentially fail to do their job which Americans will be hit hardest, Do you think you and I always? Well, you know we've never failed to pay the debt and so this is unknown territory. you do know there will be some serious consequences, mostly for people on Social Security government services, the military, um, who may take weeks to get their paycheck until it gets sorted out. and so at a time when the U.S economy is actually quite robust.
um, the The Economist in England just had a a story celebrating the strength of the US economy Uh, in which they said that the U.S accounts for 58 of the gross domestic product of the G7 Nations Trust the United States and that's up from 40 to 1990 And so why mess with success? I Think the problem is that it the two sides facing the 2024 election. One side doesn't want the economy to be so good and so they're willing to take that risk. Um, and so it's time to put up the bad signal and and sort of light a fire underneath both sides. and Michael at what point will it be too late to act? And if that happens, what will default look like for this country's people and of course its economy? We had two weeks, um, maybe a little more.

If we're lucky, that's cutting it very close. Because average citizens are going to suffer tremendously, the bond market will suffer. The stock market will go down in 2011. When we got close to this, the stock market went down almost 20 points and we didn't hit the crisis.

We didn't default if we go into default mode, the rest of the world is going to know that we're not good for our word. We're not good to pay our debts and that's going to have a ripple effect. It's going to be devastating for the American economy in the long run. Do you see any place for President Biden to invoke section 4 of the 14th Amendment to the Constitution Or perhaps is there any other option that could help bypass Congress if it fails to raise the debt limit in time? It's funny how we've dusted off this obscure sub section of the 14th Amendment which says that the validity of the public debt, and these are the four words that matter shall not be questioned.

Powerful words, unambiguous intent. But the who filled out those are now saying that the President does have this: Authority I'm not so sure. I'm not completely convinced. Um, because it's an untested legal Theory We've never been here before, and in 2011, when we got close under the Obama presidency, the Justice Department issued a a ruling and would you recommended that? In fact, they do not believe the President has this Authority So we don't really know.

We don't know what the President can do this. There's no other option. Either you go into default, you make a deal, or the President has to pull out this odd element of the of the 14th Amendment that may or may not be constitutionally valid. Well, hopefully they make a deal and they make it fast.

Michael Genovese Thank you so much for joining us and sharing your analysis. Always appreciate it. Thank you! Rosemary All right there we go. So again.

Uh, the thing that they ended with is that if Congress doesn't come to an agreement, right? it's like let's say there is an agreement as of right now. Uh, on the table for Congress to vote on um, both Republicans and Democrats have the option of you know, voting for it or voting against it and enough p And if enough people vote against it, this is the concern. So this is where the concern is that. Okay, McCarthy and Biden came to an agreement that they think is enticing enough for people in Congress both Republicans Democrat to agree with to compromise with.
But this is the concern a lot of people have right now that if both Republicans and Democrats not enough of people support this agreement, then again, we're back to square one. Can Biden you know, invoke the 14th uh, the 14th Amendment uh to try to bypass Congress and will that even stick, right? So he talked about that. We've raised the debt ceiling 90 times and just during Trump's uh, run in the four years, right? Uh, he raised it three times, right? And and there's normally little to no controversy during these increase of limits, right? But this time things are different and it always comes down to we're getting very close to the 2024 election and each party wants the economy. Once you know the U.S to be in a specific position, that might be more favorable for them, So then they can of course leverage the vote of the people for a better next four years.

Again, when they ask the question, well, who's going to end up being hurt the most, it's always I Mean you guys can let me know down in the comment section Maybe if you disagree, but in my opinion, it's always people like you and I right? It's always people that it's always going to be the taxpayers. Supposedly, according to this bill, they're not going to raise taxes anymore. That was one of the compromises and that they're going to slow down in specific government spending. Um, uh, what's it called? Uh, year uh for the next two years, right? So they're going to cut back on spending on specific government programs, which I'm sure was a request by the Republicans Um, I Really hope that we just make it by the deadline.

Um, I know originally the deadline was said to be June 1st. Supposedly the deadline is now June 5th. We'll see how the market reacts I'm waiting for Nasdaq futures to open up for Dow futures to open up for S P 500 futures to open up. They do open up on Sunday but because of the three-day Memorial Day weekend I'm not sure if they will open up.

and how the market will react I'll make sure that I keep you guys up to date just like I did today. Uh, and following up with yesterday's video as I learn more about this um, you know, agreement and more of the details I'll keep you guys up to date here on YouTube and of course on Instagram Remember guys, if you have any questions whatsoever, you're always welcome to send me a direct message and that's going to be the first link in the description down below. I Do want to let you guys know again, there's only seven days left for our GTR giveaway if you guys haven't entered already. Remember for every new person that signs up for Learn Plan Profit 2.0 you will earn 10 000 automatic entries for the GTR giveaway.
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Hope that we're in. Thumbs up! Please consider subscribing and like always, let's make sure that we end the year when we know. Take it easy team!.

By Stock Chat

where the coffee is hot and so is the chat

33 thoughts on “Don t expect stock market to rise on the debt ceiling deal…”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars jeremy gilley says:

    Its there's been like 5 1000 percent options gains in 10 days of trading its crazy asf

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Christian Alumni Society says:

    Good overview Ricky!

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars f3ck tracking my data says:

    butttt then it does. Hey everybody the nasdaq is exploding in response to the debt deal he was wrong

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Alice Mendoza says:

    To be completely honest, I'm not sure if investing now is a wise move. Keep track of how frequently things fail. I've read charts and predictions from well-known investors in the past and present, but I'm still looking for a better approach to invest my money since I still have a while before I retire. For the purpose of earning passive income, I wish to build a solid and reliable portfolio.

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars The Wizard says:

    Many see the US debt ceiling negotiations as a show.

    But it's not a show.

    It's one of the hardest things in the world, and it's an indicator of how our global economy works.

    First of all, it is important to quickly come up with a negotiation plan and reach an agreement.

    Details can be supplemented later by taking time and slowly discussing them.

    Opposition for the sake of opposition, or creating unnecessary tension or fear is itself the most foolish thing to do.

    I believe that in the end people will judge and act wisely.

    .

    We need to get out of mannerisms, we can do better, and we can go farther.

    The most important issue in the world right now is the Russian war.

    Regarding the Russian war incident, the international community including the United States needs a complex response.

    First of all, we need to get out of our energy dependence on Russia.

    To this end, there will be several methods, such as exporting US energy to the world or developing advanced energy-related technologies.

    Then comes the swift and sure delivery of powerful weapons to Ukraine and the imposition of united and strong sanctions against the Russian government.

    There should be no hesitation or fear in this area, since all people want peace rather than war.

    .

    It is also important to stop the Fed from raising interest rates rapidly.

    People at the Fed are too theoretical.

    Considering the Russian war and the international situation, a more pragmatic and realistic approach is needed.

    If the Fed continues to stick with its current stance, it could not only be remembered as the worst Fed ever, but it could be the most important factor in ruining a great America.

    I don't want that.

    The United States has accumulated great achievements over a long period of time.

    This achievement is not destroyed overnight.

    However, no great nation should be conceited or let its guard down.

    In the history of the world, you can find cases in which even the greatest nations have been brought down by a few people.

    I hope America doesn't become like that.

    American politicians and everyone else must put the brakes on the Fed's moves.

    You must clearly recognize the current situation, figure out what is needed, and act quickly.

    .

    Above all, the economy is important, and the industry needs to be revitalized.

    Just as blood circulation in the human body is essential for health and life, injecting vitality and vitality into people's economic activities is of the utmost importance at all times.

    At any given time, people must be alive to enjoy victory, prosperity, or happiness.

    If you don't survive, you can't enjoy anything, and nothing means anything.

    Survival itself is the most important purpose and meaning.#

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Fran Leon says:

    back in 2011, after the debt ceiling crisis was resolved, the markets tanked like 20%. The money was flowing out of equities and back into bonds (which were now safe investments). I'm willing to bet it will happen again. There will be a good buying opportunity in the next month.

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Albert Holloway says:

    I'd suggest making the most of the recession and inflation. Recessions are an inherent part of the economic cycle, therefore you can only plan and prepare for them. After graduating, I fell into a rut since my first job out of college was as an aerial acrobat on cruise ships. I presently run my own company, serve as a vice president for a significant corporation, own three rental properties, make stock and company investments, and have increased my net worth by $500k over the previous 28 months.

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Lauren Feller says:

    There’s more and more of a concern that incoming data is revealing that the Fed might be a little bit behind the curve than maybe they expected heading into this year,” said Bipan Rai, North America head of FX strategy at CIBC Capital Markets. In my portfoliio, I'm noticing more red than green. How are other people in this market raking in over $350k gains within months

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars The Wizard says:

    The most important and significant issue of the international community at this point is the Russian war.

    The Russian war, like Corona, changed human life in almost every way.

    Above all, it can be said that the thing that triggered inflation is the biggest.

    Due to this, it made the lives of people who had a hard time due to corona more difficult and difficult.

    But here we have a question.

    Is the direction the United States is going right now?

    I think it is good and necessary to provide arms support to Ukraine for world peace and stability.

    And I think imposing economic sanctions against Russia is also a necessary measure.

    However, such measures are only 'minimum' measures.

    Putin and Russia are already calculating these things to some extent and are preparing for them.

    But the problem is that the vast majority of people around the world are not realistically prepared psychologically or economically for a protracted war.

    The United States has largely overlooked this very point.

    In the same vein, the US Federal Reserve has been pushing for rate hikes too quickly.

    This part is seen as a measure that did not properly and appropriately consider the international situation and actual situation.

    .

    American politicians, including the US Federal Reserve, believe that there is a need to set up clear measures for 'how to enable the people to endure a situation in which the Russian war continues for a long time'.

    Most importantly, it helps people get through tough and difficult economic times.

    And all industries and businesses must be mobilized to revitalize the economy and promote innovation.

    In addition, it should help people's economic lives get better by promoting practical cooperation in necessary areas without creating unnecessary tension or conflict with China.

    Many people find such tension or conflict unnecessary or pitiful.

    Before the relationship between countries, it is basic for people to respect each other.

    And while many still think that the Russian war could be over in an instant, that is not the case.

    Either you underestimate Putin too much, or you don't know much about Putin's intentions.

    .

    Leaders of the international community, including Biden in the United States, need to seriously recognize the above problems, and will have to come up with countermeasures as soon as possible.!

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars victory says:

    It all depends on the information and techniques used, but I've seen people generate seven-figure profits in both rising and decreasing markets. There is no doubting that the recession and crisis benefited certain people tremendously.

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jake Mullins says:

    Great Depression 2.0 incoming!!

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars G Trades says:

    Democrats should agree that expenditure must to come down and stop being so supportive of Biden, the worst president ever!

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Bhargav chopda says:

    Market sentiment is green around 2% green bull is back

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jun K. Man says:

    There is no agreement… it’s only an agreement in principle…

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars ForeSquareTim says:

    “You and I always” like ricky isn’t in the top 10% of Americans 😂

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Starkat7 says:

    so the Congress has failed the American People 90 times when it comes to the National Debt … I think your confusing that as a good thing Ricky

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Adam Ervine says:

    Keep these videos coming !

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars dave lunger says:

    The BEST deal is NO deal. Automatic spending increases stopped dead in its tracks.

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars dave lunger says:

    The "deal" I'm hearing is McCarthy whittled down the 'dems about 10%. So, deal is – bidEn 90% McC 10%

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Blitz says:

    It will rise after inflation data. If it is going down

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Brad W says:

    Debt deal will raise markets. The day after is anyone’s guess.

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Madelyn says:

    Despite government news it seems like some times the market does what it wants ..ia reports earnings the 31 of may you think that can make the difference?

  23. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Tan SpaceX says:

    Like I said – Republicans begged for relevancy and Biden threw them a few lollipops! 😂

    We have raised the debt ceiling 90 times. Democrats have never hold our economy hostage. Only Republican lowlifes do.

  24. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Ron says:

    Thank you Ricky, keeping an eye in red candles volume when they break resistances. I'm a bull but in the long term but a rug pull is imminent IMO

  25. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Larry Morton says:

    not a done deal yet….. has to pass congress and senate

  26. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Gary Dalrymple says:

    You have to get Biden Out !

  27. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jed Davis says:

    No one can predict the market it can go either way, definitely don’t take advice from some guy on yt

  28. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars bigsidable says:

    That’s because Republicans are doing everything in their power. To make Democrats look bad to the American People. The Republicans have lost so much face with Trump. They trying to hold on to any power they can. Shit started with Obama. Fucking Republicans went fucking nuts that a Black Man was President of The United States. All this shit is. White people still trying to stay in power.

  29. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars bigsidable says:

    That’s because your a pessimistic person Ricky. Why your alwaysshorting stocks.

  30. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Chick Schtick says:

    How are debt and budget separate issues. We can't have a debt without a budget that overspends.

  31. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Swae P says:

    May 30 th Launch of FF 91 Futurist Alliance after a 6 Year Wait… 1st Customer deliveries on May 31 st. * FFIE Already Up 29 % month… and 2nd in Gains in the EV Sector.. Expecting 100 % or More Price increase this week for Faraday Future. * LILM.. Up 160 % month…. Lilium Electric Jets.. The EV Evolution Charging Up…Thumbs Up Video / Thanks.

  32. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars DON SCHMIDTKE says:

    A "Tentative" Explanation

    Tentative is from the Latin tentare (“to attempt”), and its original meaning was “attempted, provisional, experimental.” It is easy to see how this emphasis on trial and error led to the word’s current sense “not fully worked out or developed”
    This is an experiment, there is no deal that can pass both houses, but we have a provisional attempt to placate and calm overseas markets. I maintain my call of BS.

  33. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Roy says:

    YO RICKY……YOUR A CLOWN! THE PRES AND SPEAKER WOULD NOT HAVE COME OUT AND ANNOUNCED A DEAL UNLESS THEY CHECKED WITH THEIR CONGRESS ON BOTH SIDES TO MAKE SURE THE VOTES WERE THERE TO PASS!
    I CAN SEE NOW WHY THAT WOMAN IS WITH YOU….ITS NOT FOR YOUR LOOKS OR YOUR BRAINS…..ITS THE MILLIONS YOUR PULLING IN ON YOUTUBE!

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