Folks I've been out sick like a dog. but we're back and we've got a good one for you today. You're not going to want to miss this one. We have a once in a generation setup right now.

We now not only have the Dow at a new all-time high, but the NASDAQ 100 as well. We are now just waiting for that S&P 500. All eyes are on the S&P 500 right now as we're just about a 1.5% climb from those all-time highs. And then once you hit those, you're officially in a Fomo cycle and that is when all Hill Breaks Loose if that coincides with January which it looks like it will o right now.

What you got to understand folks is we are looking at a market for the first time for the first time since really January 2022, where the concept of new rate hikes, new tightening, new fed induced Equity choking coming just around the corner is no longer a thing. At the last Fed meeting, Fed officials released projections of at least three rate Cuts. This is the much awaited Fed pivot we've been talking about for years and we of course still don't know much in terms of timing. Some say March some say June, but if you look at the odds of a March Fed rate cut that markets are pricing in, well, you could see those odds skyrocketed after the FED meeting, and despite giving back, some have started trending upward pretty aggressively again.

So what's the significance of March Why rate Cuts in March? Well, the median time for the FED to go from a hike to a cut is about 231 days, so a cut in March would Loosely fulfill those. Trends This is all coming at the same time, where markets are a half a half a toe away from all-time highs just a half a toe and the Dow already made it to alltime highs, the NASDAQ 100 already made it to all-time highs. We are also heading into an election year, which I mean quite frankly I don't want to get too conspiracy theory on you, but it's pretty well known that government spending does tend to magically creep up in an election year because the government is one of the biggest players in the economy. and when the government starts hiring more spending more blah blah blah blah blah blah Well, the economy gets a boost there.

and when the economy gets a boost, whatever part is in charge tends to get a boost as well. So anyways, in today's video, I'm going to go through three different things: Number one, the latest on plays and attacks in the market specifically with Armar Lovely Mar play which just broke out again this morning. Number two, we're going to break down the history of what has long happened when the FED decides to go from a hiking cycle to a cutting cycle. How big money is positioning? With this what you need to know and how you can both ride these Trends but also protect yourself for when the trends inevitably break.

And lastly, we're going to go through a sponsored segment on Ticker Simple sfwl. I'll break down why it may just be worth putting on your radar before tomorrow. Let's get to work time stamps all down below. Okay, so I Want to go ahead and start with Mara Lovely.

Mara This play has just been completely insane is our lovely Crypto Miner play on Bitcoin? She is and has been this month's main idea discussed on the channel. and really not just Mara But really, the 20 strike calls on Mara expiring January 12th. We caught that contract out on December 5th and over and over again in video since then. But essentially the thesis is that Mara will break out past key resistance at 20 bucks before expiration and thus these calls will be very, very profitable.

and Mara has gone on faster than expected to fulfill that thesis, hitting actually 25 bucks this morning way over that $20 threshold. That's fantastic. but let me show you the difference for a second between buying stocks and buying options on this: If you had bought shares at say $14.78 back on December 5th when we made our presentation, Well, great now that Stock's at 25 bucks so you're up what 70 perish? That's pretty damn good. but what if you had bought say calls at $15 what then Mr Charlie Charlie Toe Well, those same calls are now at an Ask of about $640 In other words, betting your money in Mara via our chosen option back just barely 3 weeks ago.

What have given you a 6X return? The shares would have only given you 70% Of course, these are just general numbers. Obviously, how you execute in and out is going to impact how much you actually make, But in any case, you could see the massive massive difference in leveraging Power One you have the option 6X return possibility whereas with the other one with the shares, you got a 70% profit opportunity. So you can see that if you're right on a play, using options can be a big game. Cher can really really amplify your moves.

Of course, you can also get yourself in a lot more trouble if you use options too and you don't know what you're doing. If you were someone that's struggling to learn, options will stop your struggling because we do have our new Options program launched a couple weeks ago. Link down below that first link coupon code: launch 50 But anyways, folks shout out to those who have played Mara correctly. Very, very excited about this one.

Okay, moving on to the main entree. The Market: So quote record highs in the stock market over the past few weeks have coincided with a sharp rise in investor enthusiasm towards stocks according to various sentiment measures. Business Insider Reports Okay, so right now, you quite frankly have a lot of people who have been sitting out of the market the last 18 months. They don't watch Channel like this with Handsome YouTubers that tell them that the goal is to trade the market and not let the market trade you.

It's to be informed on all the good and bad stuff that's happening, but not to make your thesis on that. instead to trade the actual moves. You have a lot of people the last 18 months are like I'm not going to touch this at much lower prices I'm not going to trade it. That's all immoral.

I'm staying out of the market and that's fine. But now all of these people are being goated into just flying back into the market. And they're doing it. And once you finally break out past that new all-time high, you're going to have the run of them.

You're going to have so many just crowds and crowds just pouring to get shares. Take a look at this data quote. The CNN Fear and Greed Index flashed an extreme greed reading in the past week, while the most recent A AI Investor sentiment survey showed a 52.9% response rate for the Bulls representing the highest bullish reading in the past year. Okay, so a AI went and asked their massive amounts of seasoned investor members where they feel the stock market will be in the next 6 months.

52.9% said bullish 2.9% is the highest level we've seen on this survey in the past 2 and A2 years. What was 2 and a half years ago? Well, that was like July 2021. A time of what: 0% interest rates, people throwing money at meme stocks, people throwing money at little cryptocurrencies going up and down, back forward, sideways, in and out the rear in very, very dirty fashion, stimulus checks, intense speculation. you name it, me sitting in this office pin my high taxes, all that kind of stuff.

That's what 2021 was. Well, guess what? Investor sentiment is moving to be the same as it was back then. This is the level that we haven't seen since then, and only 20.9% said bearish. The historical average on this survey is 37.5% expecting bullish and markets tend to go up overall.

So in an normal condition, 37.5% expect bullish. We now got 52.9% Now you go over to some of the historical data to see what markets tend to do when you're in this kind of environment. Well, you go over to the final rate hike in a cycle and S&P 500 return data set well well after the August 9th, 1984 final rate hike. Well, you got a 13 .8% return over the next 12 months after May 16th, 1989, a 12.3% after February 1st, 1995, a 35.7% after May 16th, 2000.

As you're in the middle of thatt tech bubble, well, you got negative 12.4% June 29th, 2006 you got an 18.1% increase December 19th 2018 you got a 27.9% increase. An average over all these periods was a 15.9% run. So what does all this mean? Well, it means that now that the FED has done it. last rate hike.

Well, there's a historical five out of six chance that markets continue to rally and if they do, the historical average is 15.9% You go over to the S&P 500 markets. Had a bad day yesterday, one of the worst days in a couple months and today they just totally got bought up again with the S&P up over a percent and to close crucial levels to watch as we head into the end of the year here. Well definitely definitely all-time highs. You got to remember folks, the S&P 500 just needs to gain a little less than a toe to reach its record closing.

I would say very very strong chance this happens before the end of the year and if it happens before the end of the year, wait until you see what happens in January Q1 should be a pump like you've never seen before. After that, oof, you might see something to the downside and you might see those fed Cuts actually going and bailing out the economy which is perfect timing by the way. Okay, let's go ahead and move on to our sponsored segment today and that is on Sfwl now of course. Always remember sponsored or not.

Make sure to do your own due diligence on all stocks presented here on this channel. Our goal is to present you with ideas, but it's up to you to be the judge. Okay, so Sfwl is a NASDAQ trading super small Cap has been on a pretty insane up and down volatility cycle and with it bouncing off 52e lows, it may be an interesting one to put on your radar before tomorrow. I'll break it down.

so Sfwl is a contract logistics company. The company has developed extensive and reliable transportation networks in China covering 341 cities across 31 provinces as of June 30th, 2023. They provide integrated logistic Solutions comprising Be Tob Freight solutions for transportation services, cloud storage services, and value added services. And right now, Sfwl has about three key potential catalysts to know before we go any further.

Number one, they are a low float low float of about 7 million shares. Super super low floats, as you know can move pretty quickly if they get any kind of catalyst. Uh, number two, it had an income surge of over 150% plus year-over-year which I think based on current trading. seems like it fell pretty damn low below the radar.

but but it's something you want to keep an eye on because often times you get a small cap story that everybody hates and people are missing that. all of a sudden you had an income surge. Well, that could be something that causes a nice rally rally to. maybe maybe not something that you got to do your own due diligence on.

But number three. There's also some key technical indicators that you want to look on the chart. You look at the chart. well, just to get back to pre- dump support.

At 859, you get quite the upside right? and previous support becomes previous resistance when you break through it and vice versa. So once you start building momentum, well, this could pretty aggressively take off. The stock has shown plenty of proof of concept of being able to fall aggressively and then rebuild and retake round, so it wouldn't be, so it certainly wouldn't be crazy to keep this on your radar. Anyways, folks that caps off today's video, make sure to hit that ravishing like button and subscribe and we'll see you in the next next one.