Hey everyone Me: Kevin Here we got to talk about a Tesla stock and my price Target Now we've talked about my price Target last week and a lot of folks are like Kevin this price Target seems low and I wanted to clarify something that's really important about a Tesla stock. But before I do I want to offer a moment of silence? A moment of silence to Jim Chos, who is a legend for shorting Enron but then shorted Tesla and basically went from multi-billions of dollars in assets to under $200 million in assets and ended up deciding to close his hedge fund. Now, something interesting about this individual as well. and I remember this really clearly.

You might you might or you might not. It depends if you were paying attention to the AMC news, you might remember that when AMC offered the AP the AMC preferred Equity units I'm like m no, no, no, no, no no no I don't like this I don't like these at all. Everything was just written really nasty and and basically set up to screw the retail investor. AMC is undertaking the most brilliant move I've ever seen in stock market history and it's literally designed to screw people who just don't read the fine print.

That's exactly what ended up happening now. unfortunately. I got a lot of hate for covering that. In fact, look at this 69% dislike ratio on that video even though it ended up being right.

But what was really interesting was people were referencing a Jim Chos interview where when those AP units came out for AMC he said Oh short AMC buy the AP units because they're basically the same so the AP will go up and AMC will go down and just calm down. Apes Um, I'm actually an AMC security holder. On the other side, we actually bought the new a preferred and we have shorted the the uh the AMC comment against it. They are economically the same security and I'm like no bro, they're both going to go down in 6 to 12 months.

I expect T terer symbol ape will be worth $1 or less. That would be an 86% declin from today. No. I'm not I Don't want to laugh to cheer at the demise of AMC or what has happened.

Uh, I want AMC to be able to transition and succeed. Hopefully T Swizzle can help them out a lot. And obviously this is an AMC video. but it's very interesting to think that this is the same dude.

the same dude who was short Tesla was also has totally the person who misinterpreted and misunderstood what AMC was doing and I'm I'm not here to say I got it right on the AP units but that is what happened Now the reason I bring up this AMC Talk regarding Tesla is that clearly this person might be missing some very clear indicators when he invests in companies. Hence in my opinion, why going for closing hedge funds Because if he really believed in his thesis, he would say no, this is he'd pull a Kathy Wood right? This is an opportunity. This is a chance to double down on the shorts versus Tesla This is a chance to double down and be twice as right. That's a way of saying like for example, if you believe in in uh, interest rate sensitive stocks like Tesla which I imagine you probably do I certainly do.

It's my largest position. it's the biggest position my actively manage ETF I believe in. Let me put it this way: I believe in Tesla so freaking much that I'm willing to pay for an actively managed ETF and put whatever I can into that actively managed ETF So that way when Tesla booms I can rebalance it as if it's in a Roth IRA without tax implications now I have to be careful there I don't want to get in trouble. Basically, talk to your CPA about the tax benefits of ETFs you could trade in them.

Uh, sort of like you're exchanging real estate, but that assumes that you have gains, right? So anyway, the point of all of this is just to say I'm really bullish on Tesla that that's why I'm building everything in that direction and I'm d I double down on the bullishness of Tesla I double down on the trades I make whether it's chips or n phase or whatever and I realize in the painful times it's like oh, Kevin you know I like I I get it. But I think this is a great opportunity. So this moment of silence now to be had for Jim Chanos, the person who got the AMC debacle wrong and a short Tesla Let's just say I think is a transition point to the start of Tesla actually crushing it. So moment of silence to the moon.

Now we need to talk about Tesla because look last week we went through my spreadsheet. We went through a very in my opinion conservative estimate. What I said is I said let's remove everything that is Tesla basically Optimus Dojo Super computer FSD Robo taxi we're going to call Energy well energy above 10% We're going to call all of that the icing on the cake. That is your margin of safety in Tesla you you don't want to start calculating and pricing in everything that the company has because then when something goes slightly wrong it go, you suffer and then it's like you miss expectations and that I like to go shoot low.

So I'm going to take all that out. even though those are some of those things like Optimus could end up being more profitable than Autos. In the future, you know you get a functional Optimus that could sit in a factory and do something for you over and over over again. They are going to sell out the Optimus robot like there is no tomorrow I am highly confident in the future of Robotics if I had enough money to create a startup, another one, another one.

Okay, we're going to turn into DJ Kaled it's going to be like Kevin another one hopefully because what we want is to make sure they're all a success as well, right? You don't want to get distracted and uh and and have not success. Fortunately, Uh. House Hack is off to a really phenomenal start. So if I was going to create a startup, the startup that I would create and I had the money to do it would be.

uh. and it was outside of the real estate startup that we're already doing and the finance startup that we're already doing it was outside of those it would be in robotics. it would be to try to make the Optimus robot to compete with Tesla because I think the market will be so huge. So my analysis removed all of those hopes and I said I think just solely based on that.

This is a $1,000 stock and there were a lot of comments people like Kevin that's not bullish enough. Man, man, that's that's too. that's way too low man. I'll be disappointed if it's only $1,000 by that point.

Okay, who wait a second? Wait a second. Wait a second. I should have and and I'm working on this. My communication wasn't as clear as it should have been, at least apparently based on the comments.

uh, that is a very conservative ,000 estimate based on removing all of the rest that I think will be very profitable for Tesla And if you paid close attention to the video I said I think that $1,000 price Target will actually be hit within the next year. That's because I think we're going to see over the next year as interest rates come down. As long as we avoid a recession, we avoid massive job loss I Think what we're going to see is a shift from treasuries and cash straight into stocks and it'll be growth at any cost again. and I actually believe we're going to see Massive Euphoria again Now I'm not I Can't guarantee we're going to get to $1,000 with Tesla I can't guarantee you're going to make money investing in Tesla Okay, I'm not your personal financial adviser.

We know this, but this is a this is an opinion that I have I Really believe there's a chance we could go for a th000 bucks Once the economy goes from uh, fearful about recession and high interest rates to positioning to we need growth at any cost, there will be a disproportionate explosion in those stocks in my opinion. Uh, one of the reasons you see stuff like this happening is look, you've got resident bear Cesi Kabes letter here or whatever. First outflows from treasury funds since February of 2023. Okay, so what did they buy? Investors purchased $24 billion of stocks.

Okay, imagine when all of this fat turns into buying stocks, we're just at the beginning. There was another one right here. Us: Commercial Bank Deposits fell right Because people are buying stocks. it's getting started.

It's getting started. the more the disinflation narrative holds and more people realize it's not just a narrative, it's a reality the more people buy stocks. So okay, let's be clear here between now and the end of next year: I Think the stock market will start pricing in 2030. which means we price in 1,000 bucks just for the automotive business.

Now what's going to happen is I Think people are going to price in cybertruck scale We're going to look I Want to be very clear about CT I Think the cybertruck event will be a short-term By the rumor sell the news. Cybertruck gets delivered. They'll only deliver like five or 10 cars. They'll deliver them to employees only.

People are going to be like what we thought you were going to deliver like 500 or a th000 by the end of the year. This sucks. Then those are going to get out on the road and uh, you know people are going to take pictures of them and go. Oh panel Gap this or a cyber truck's going to get into a car accident.

There's just going to be a lot of negative Nelly news In the short term, it's all like legitimate fud fear, uncertainty and doubt. this vehicle I Strongly believe obviously can't guarantee it will be a massive Catalyst for Tesla And so what you're going to find is at the same time as you get this pricing in of 2030 price targets. next year you'll actually be getting cybertruck ramp and Broad mainstream cybertruck adaptation people who are today like oh, look ar Rivian damn that car looks good. They're going be like Dam that I want one of those especially the Price Is Right so near-term bearish, long-term bullish on the CT but then what you're going to get is after you price in the 2030 only Automotive Price targets based on CT excitement.

That's where we're going to get a little dangerous because I think we're going to get into Euphoria and I think you get into Euphoria where people are going to start saying things like we need a price in dojo, we need a price in in Optimus They were able to pull off the Cyber truck. That's it. Optimus Uh, $10 billion Now what? $1 trillion of Revenue in in 2040 and you're going to start seeing that pull forward where you can actually blast through that $1,000 PT Also, I Want to be clear on the flip side just to sort of balance this video because I have to be careful. Just like implying that I'm only to the Moon bullish although that is how I am positioned.

Okay, my positioning aligns with that uh I Want to be very clear I Do not think we are revisiting the lows that we had last year I Think this was the fear of Paul Vulker and the fear of vehicle bankruptcy I Do not see us repricing this in looking at the Fibs. everything we've seen here entirely reasonal B Bouncing off the 200 day moving average Entirely reasonable. and that 200 day moving average is very consistent with what I like to call the Nike Swoosh the volatile Nike Swoosh The volatility is what we see on the day. The moving average is obviously the not volatile part, so that's my take on test.

I Want to be very clear when I said 1,000 bucks 2030 I think that's going to get priced in way sooner, but we'll have to be careful because we are going to get to Euphoria again in my opinion. So again, very clear. it's my opinion. I'm very excited.

Moment of silence for Jim Chos Cyber truck is going to be awesome. We'll see you all soon! Thank you so much for um, giving me another chance. If you've been thinking about uh, either unsubbing or uh, you're not certain about subbing, uh I'm going doing my best. Why not advertise these things that you told us here? I Feel like no nobody else knows about this? We'll We'll try a little advertising and see how it.

Go Congratulations man, you have done so much. People love you people look up to you Kevin P there financial analyst and YouTuber meet Kevin Always great to get your take even though I'm a licensed financial adviser, real estate broker, and becoming a stock broker. This video is neither personalized Financial advice nor real estate advice for you. It is not tax, legal, or otherwise personalized advice tailored to you.

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However, I have no relationship to any issuers other than House Act nor am I presently acting as a market maker.