Welcome back to the channel everyone today i want to talk about and explain my full exit strategy and how you can best minimize risk. I've kind of touched on it on previous videos before, but i've never really made a whole video explaining it step by step. So that's what i want to do today so stay tuned and let's make some money, but before i dive into the video i just want to give a massive shout out to everybody in the private discord there. They get super up-to-date news due diligence and updates on amc, other stocks and cryptocurrency.

So if you want to be part of the team be sure to check out the private discord linked in the description below and if you haven't already be sure to get those free shares with moomoo and free trade also linked down in the description below. And i want to dive straight in with the key information, so i want to use this reddit post to really outline and explain a bit about my exit strategy, but obviously i also want to add to this quite a lot as well. I personally think this is the best post i've found on reddit. That explains how i feel about the amc squeeze.

So what will be the amc, moas peak or floor? Nobody knows: advice like wait for the peak and sell on the way down is terrible advice and the reason is because nobody knows when the peak will happen or what the peak will be and therefore there's no way to know what the way down is going to Look like as well there's no easy answers. At the end of the day, we have to remember that the squeeze is realistically going to be controlled by hedge funds, getting liquidated and short positions and synthetic short positions being covered now. The first major problem is that nobody can tell you with 100 certainty exactly what the peak is going to be, whether it's going to be 105 634, a share four or 524 hundred and thirty eight dollars a share or eight hundred and four thousand six hundred and Twenty one dollars a share, no one can be exactly accurate or realistically even predict it in a fair range either, and the reason why none can predict it, which leads me onto my second point, is: nobody knows the true number of synthetic short positions or even the Real short positions that have been hidden among call and put options again, no one can say with exact 100 certainty if there's 1.364 billion synthetic shares or 2.45 billion synthetic shares or 3 billion or 8 billion or 20 billion synthetic shares. It's because they're synthetic and nobody knows about them again.

At the same time, nobody knows just how many legit short positions have also been hidden in the options chain either. So you can really never predict the top or really anywhere close to the top. The top could be eight hundred dollars or a hundred thousand dollars, or ten thousand dollars or eight hundred thousand dollars. Nobody knows the only true way to know the end of the short squeeze is going to be when all of the short hedge funds have covered their short positions, both legitimate positions and synthetic short positions.

I think there's two main ways to tell when those short hedge funds will have covered their position. The first way is going to be using data from sites such as ortex or s3 partners. Now the main problem with that is that that data is two days late and as you'll see later in this post, i don't think that's a good time frame. The second way to tell is going to be when the sec or the dtcc or the fed come in and forcibly cause automatic liquidations and forcibly cause those short hedge funds to cover their position.

Now, i think, it'll be a lot easier to tell when this happens, because it will be all over the news and the impact will be felt market wide and the dtcc and the nscc will be publishing data about their securities financing transactions where those short hedge funds That are getting liquidated are lending their long positions to the gtcc in exchange for cash to cover their short positions. But let's get back into the article, i see a lot of apes, sharing their opinions and thoughts on a what the peak will be b. How to tell where the peak is c, how long the peak will be and d when to sell the most popular advice is to sell on the way down which is partially wrong. Now, i guess, at the end of the day, everybody is entitled to their own opinion of how to play this and therefore really there's no wrong answers.

Maybe you want to sell everything on the way up or everything on the way down or everything right at the peak or maybe even some on the way up, some on the way down and some of the peak everyone's entitled to their own opinion. The poster says, unfortunately, most of the thoughts and guesses being shared, are terrible advice and are basically wild-ass. Guesses pulled out of people's backsides, i'm not a financial advisor, and this is not financial advice, as this guy reiterates. First, absolutely, no one knows how high the share price for amc will go.

So no one knows what the peak will be. We all wish we knew so we could sell in an optimal way and at an optimal price. However, no one really knows. Secondly, as this poster explains, there is no selling on the way down to better understand this.

Let's look at why the share price will shoot up a there's supposed to be 513 million legitimately issued shares and b. There are, in addition to those legal shares estimated to be between 1 to 10 billion, maybe even 20 billion fake synthetic shares sold sure these short shares have to be brought back and closed, there's no ifs and buts. These are counterfeit shares and these are fake shares and they must be brought back and closed out d, as the price goes up short hedge funds that sold these fake shares short will get margin called some will not be able to meet their margin requirements and will Get liquidated, then their broker or dtcc, or eventually the fed or an appointed accountant, will step in and automatically buy the shares they had sold short at whatever price the shares are available at as in they'll be covered just at the amc market price. At that time, and when a short is covered, it's a buying event which will therefore push the amc price higher as there's potentially billions and billions of synthetic shorts.

That's billions and billions of amc shares that have to be purchased, which will cause the amc price to rocket. Now, in the past, we can see back in june, we've seen days of 95 gains when there's been 700 million shares traded, not 700 million shares bought in the same one second period, but 700 million shares traded in a day. Therefore, when we're seeing billions and billions and billions of shares traded in a single day and potentially even billions of shares, bought in the same one second period by the fed, we could see days of hundreds and hundreds or even thousands and thousands of percent gain. For the amc stark, therefore, the entire mother of all short squeezes thesis is based on this one fact.

After short, hedge funds get liquidated. The shares of amc, they sold short, must be bought back at whatever price available e. This brings us to a critical reality that no one can deny the entire reason for a mother of all short squeezes and for massive increases in the amg stock price is automatic, buying of shares that were sold short, which must be done by the dtcc or the Fed or the prime brokers or the appointed accountants after short, hedge funds, get liquidated, there's nothing else. There is no other reason for mother of all short squeezes, because all of these short hedge funds will be liquidated and all of the shorts will be covered other than these 1 billion to 10 billion fake shares that have been sold short.

Therefore, it brings us to f a second critical reality that everyone is trying to deny or overlook. After the last short share is bought back by the dtcc or the prime brokers or the fed or the appointed accountants. There will be no more buying pressure. Now.

I don't agree with this 100 exactly because you're always going to have fomo traders or beginner and experienced investors that will continue buying the amc stock because they see it going higher. At the same time, we're also not going to know the exact second time frame that that very last shortage share has been covered. The sec aren't going to suddenly announce right guys, we've covered every single last shortage share, everybody stopped buying amc because that's it, the short squeeze is over and even if they did announce that on some kind of like twitter message or some kind of news broadcast, not Every single person would see it at the exact same time and stop buying that empty stock people wouldn't see it and they would continue buying it as well. Therefore, i do think there will be some buying pressure left over after the squeeze.

But realistically, there's not going to be that much when that last shortage share has been covered and that amc stock price has risen up to tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands or millions of dollars per share apes like you and i aren't going to necessarily be Looking to be buying more amc shares we're going to be looking for our exit position to sell amc shares and, at the same time, these institutions are also going to be looking to sell their shares as well. Realistically, there's not that many people out there that are going to be buying amc shares at a hundred thousand dollars or a million dollars per share. Obviously, yes, the hedge funds have to cover their short positions, but when that last short position has been covered, there's effectively not going to be any more buying pressure left other than potentially those beginner investors and the people that haven't realized. The last shorted share has been covered, as i just said.

So, therefore, after every short share is brought back and closed. There's no one willing to buy shares at a very high price. Would you buy amc shares for a hundred thousand dollars per share? Is there any justifiable reason for any ape or institution to spend a hundred thousand dollars per share? No the price going to unimaginable highs only because fake shares were sold short and those fake shares must be covered and closed at any price automatically. Once the last shorted share is bought back and closed out, there's gon na be no one willing to pay five hundred thousand dollars or a hundred thousand dollars or ten thousand dollars a share for amc.

So what kind of impact is this going to have on that? Amc stock price - you might ask: well, i think it will potentially look something like this. At the start, the amc stock price is going to rise based off fomo buying, then you're going to potentially see some hedge funds. Those short hedge funds push the amc price back down as much as they can before they get liquidated. But again it's going to go back up again, based on more fomo buying.

At that point, you're going to see some hedge funds, the smaller hedge funds, start to be liquidated, which is obviously going to cause a halt and cause the amc stock price to be pushed up much higher. So after we emerge from that, first halt you're going to see a lot of paper handers trying to take whatever profits they can get at whatever the share price is, but after that first hole and the massive upward price movement you're then going to see the second Wave of liquidations coming in as well that's going to cause a second halt and when we emerge from that, second halt we're going to see a very large price movement upwards, some more profit taking and then the third wave of liquidations as well somewhere around here. You're, probably going to need the sec, the dtcc, the fed and those appointed accountants to step in and automatically liquidate any hedge fund. That's left remaining that hasn't yet been liquidated and needs to be liquidated.

Again. That's going to cause another halt and another massive massive movement upwards after that halt is finished, but then, when we're here around five hundred thousand dollars per share - or maybe it's a hundred thousand or maybe it's eight hundred thousand - i don't know - and i can't be specific At this point here, when the very last shortage share has been covered, you're going to see something very large happen, because there's no buying pressure left we're going to enter another hall. But this hill will then move us downwards and it will move us downwards. All the way until we start seeing buying pressure yet again, therefore, in one foul swoop, the amc stock is going to fall all the way until we hit some buying pressure, which may only be at 500 a share, maybe less maybe more, it depends at what level Apes and institutions are willing to buy back more shares of amc in the masses.

Yes, you may have some fomo traders or beginner investors that have buy orders somewhere here around ten thousand dollars a share or fifty thousand dollars a share. So they could try and catch the pullback and play the bounce, but ultimately there's not going to be many buyers at that level either. Maybe we'll see more buyers at the 500 a share region or the 100 a share region at whatever region. There is buyers, that's where the amc price will fall to.

I guess. Ultimately, you have to ask yourself at what tolerance you would continue. Buying amc up to would you be buying amc for a long term hold at ten thousand dollars a share potentially not, and if that's not the case, then the amc will continue falling past. That don't forget at this point.

It's going to be after the squeeze and therefore it's going to be people buying into amc for the long term, not for the squeeze, because well it's after the squeeze it's after that, very last shorted share has been covered and that's why. I think there will be a very, very low floor after the squeeze when the squeeze is finished and that last shortage share has been covered, and this is why i don't think it's a good idea to sail on the way down, because i think, there's literally going To be one hole all the way down from five hundred thousand dollars a share, maybe it will stop at ten thousand dollars a share to pick up a few more fomo buys and then it will drop all the way back down to a hundred dollars a share. Maybe less i'm not going to give a specific price target on when you should sell your amc shares because again i don't know what that specific price is going to be. The only advice i can give is to be sensible with your decision and maybe sell in increments on the way up.

Maybe you sell some here. Maybe you sell some here. Maybe you sell some more here and some more here. Maybe you do it in small percentage terms like five or ten percent here-ish, another five or ten percent here-ish, another five or ten percent here-ish, and then try and get the rest out at the very top, and at least that way you won't be selling everything on The way down after the hull back at 100, a share you'll have been selling incrementally on the way up.

I wouldn't advise selling your entire position on the way up, because that could harm the squeeze and you could miss out on a lot of potential gains and therefore i would only be selling small amounts incrementally. I wouldn't necessarily sell 75 here and the other 25 here, because that way, you're gon na miss out on all of this movement upwards and the majority of your profit will have been taken down here. Maybe that's why you should sell smaller amounts down here and get progressively larger the higher up. We go, however, again the price points up.

The side of this axis are just random price points that i've plotted. I don't know if it's gon na reach five hundred thousand dollars a share, or maybe five hundred thousand dollars a share is going to be down here and up here, we'll have two million dollars a share, or maybe this one thousand dollars a share should actually be Up here at the very top, i can never be 100 accurate or 100 certain. The way up will be caused because of forced buying back of shares that were sold short as more and more are bought back and as apes refuse to sell those shares they hold. The price will keep going up; ultimately, they must buy back those fake shares and apes are not selling the shares they hold until the share price hits their floor.

The combination of these two factors is what will spike the price now, what is actually gon na happen is not some ideal. Everyone holds until eight hundred thousand dollars a share, and then it holds eight hundred thousand dollars a share for a week or two weeks or a month or five months. It will be over in a very, very short space of time in reality, at each point, some apes and retail investors and some institutional investors will sell when it hits their personal figure for what price they'll sell at apes will hold for their floor and the price Will keep going higher? However, no one knows how high the peak will be. No one knows how many big peaks there will be, and no one knows how long it will last.

Most importantly, no one knows for sure if there will be a way down, as i just explained after that, very last shorted share has been covered. The amc stock price will fall to wherever there's buying pressure when they get covered and closed and no more short shares need to be bought. Buying pressure drops to zero. How can there be a way down when buying pressure has dropped to zero? At the point when the last short share has been brought back and closed, the price will drop like a rock.

You do not want to be holding shares at that point, because there'll be no one left to buy them and there will not be any counterfeit shares. Left that the dtcc, the fed and the prime brokers have to buy back, because the very last shortage share has been covered. If no short shares remain, then who's going to buy your share for a hundred thousand dollars a share or five hundred thousand dollars a share, and that, ultimately, is my exit strategy to minimize risk. I do not want to be selling on this downward movement when there's literally going to be one halt between 500 000 a share and 100 a share.

I want to be selling incrementally on the way up, trying to save most of mine for the very very peak. Of course, i also wanted to remind you to try your hardest to avoid the fud and also try your hardest to avoid any distractions. Today, we've seen a lot of stocks like bbig root, support and a few others, potentially being squeezed or seeing massive massive price gains. Today, a lot of apes thought they could have made massive amounts of money on it, but, as you can see from the price charts, these stocks have been dropping significantly all day.

Therefore, i'd probably advise that the best way is just to continue holding your amc shares. Don't be selling off your amc shares for other plays because you might not necessarily be able to capitalize on them now, if you were buying these stocks like bbig root and support. Last monday, for example, you'll have made massive massive profits, which is brilliant, because you now have more money to put into amc. But if you weren't buying these stocks last monday, for example, i probably wouldn't be buying them now, because they're a massive distraction and you could lose a lot of money.

The best thing to do is not to chase these squeeze plays or to chase any place. For that matter, you need to be in a play before it happens. Therefore, basically don't chase just because you're seeing something that's up. 80 on the day.

A play that i do actually like to make is something called playing the fade. A lot of these stocks that run up 80 in the pre-market then spend the entire of market hours on the downtrend and, again, that's a massive massive profit potential. If a stock runs up 80 percent and then falls 40 percent, that's a whole 40 profit. You could be capturing on the downside now.

That is something i talk about a lot in the private discord which is linked down in the description below. If you want to become part of the team and learn about plays like playing the fade guys be sure to, let me know down in the comments below what your exit strategy is. Maybe it's different to mine and that's absolutely fine, because everybody's entitled to their own opinion and as always guys if you enjoyed this video, be sure to check out some of my others. Alternatively, subscribe to the channel and ding that notification bell, because that way, you'll be alerted when i upload a new video cheers.

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