Is Technical Analysis enough to profit from the financial markets? Here's the truth and it's not what you think...
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1:00 To find out whether it works we have to compare it to a benchmark. Okay, so the benchmark that we will compare against is the S&P 500. So we can see that historically S&P does about an average of 9-10% a year with a maximum drawdown of 55%. So there are two ways, right, we can so-called beat the benchmark.
1:30 To find out whether we can beat the market is we are going to go with a simple strategy. In this strategy, that I choose right, it's a momentum strategy. Okay, so basically, it looks to buy high and sell higher. Momentum. So these are the rules of the momentum trading strategy.
4:00 Clearly, technical analysis work. So yes, technical analysis work, but I want you to think about something alright. Is that all you need? For all to answer is no and here's why. Number one. Risk management.
5:30 The second thing, psychology. Why do I say that? Because imagine this. Imagine at this point in time, right, over here, 2002, alright, in May you are down 3.9%. You might think, "Oh, it's nothing right. I can survive. No use, it's only 4%. Come on. Gorilla two is here. Then you're down another 0.5% in June and by a scratch, right? I can do this.
6:00 Let's do a quick recap, right. Number one, yes technical analysis it can work. Right, I just shared with you a very simple momentum strategy that actually beats the market over the last 28 years. Very simple strategy. Even, you know, a 13- or 14- year old kid can understand. But I shared with you that if you don't apply proper risk management, if you're over-leveraged, if you are risking too much per trade, right you will not survive the drawdown. That's a fact.
7:00 Another thing is the psychology, right. You can have the best trading strategy in the world, but if you can not handle the emotional drawdown that comes with it, you can not handle the losses, right, the negative punches that the market is giving you, even a trading strategy with an edge right will not save you as well. So I hope by now you can understand that yes, right, technical analysis can work by in itself without fundamentals, without analysis, without anything. But you must have the proper risk management and the right training psychology. Okay?
8:00 So with that said, right, I've come towards the end of this video. Even a little more about what I do, training strategies, and techniques right. Go down to my website over here: tradingwithrayner.com. Okay and if you just scroll down to the bottom right somewhere here. I've got a couple of trading books that you can download, right, The Ultimate Trend Following Guide to Right Massive Trends in the Market and The Ultimate Guide To Price Action Trading. So what we have covered a little is more of a trend following at momentum trading.
10:00 So if you are more of a discretionary trader, right, you know more about market structures and support resistance than The Ultimate Guide To Price Action Trading is for you. Click on this blue button and I'll send it to your inbox.
So with that said, right, I've come towards the end of this video any feedback comment. Let me know it in the comment section below and if you've enjoyed this video hit the like button! Bam Bam! And subscribe to my Youtube channels so you can get more of such videos every single week. So with that said I wish you good luck and good trading. I'll talk to you soon!
SUBSCRIBE: https://bit.ly/2MsGjRR
If you want more actionable Forex trading tips and strategies, go to https://www.tradingwithrayner.com
**FOLLOW RAYNER**
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/groups/forextradingwithrayner
Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/rayner_teo
My YouTube channel: http://bit.ly/2EFg5VN
1:00 To find out whether it works we have to compare it to a benchmark. Okay, so the benchmark that we will compare against is the S&P 500. So we can see that historically S&P does about an average of 9-10% a year with a maximum drawdown of 55%. So there are two ways, right, we can so-called beat the benchmark.
1:30 To find out whether we can beat the market is we are going to go with a simple strategy. In this strategy, that I choose right, it's a momentum strategy. Okay, so basically, it looks to buy high and sell higher. Momentum. So these are the rules of the momentum trading strategy.
4:00 Clearly, technical analysis work. So yes, technical analysis work, but I want you to think about something alright. Is that all you need? For all to answer is no and here's why. Number one. Risk management.
5:30 The second thing, psychology. Why do I say that? Because imagine this. Imagine at this point in time, right, over here, 2002, alright, in May you are down 3.9%. You might think, "Oh, it's nothing right. I can survive. No use, it's only 4%. Come on. Gorilla two is here. Then you're down another 0.5% in June and by a scratch, right? I can do this.
6:00 Let's do a quick recap, right. Number one, yes technical analysis it can work. Right, I just shared with you a very simple momentum strategy that actually beats the market over the last 28 years. Very simple strategy. Even, you know, a 13- or 14- year old kid can understand. But I shared with you that if you don't apply proper risk management, if you're over-leveraged, if you are risking too much per trade, right you will not survive the drawdown. That's a fact.
7:00 Another thing is the psychology, right. You can have the best trading strategy in the world, but if you can not handle the emotional drawdown that comes with it, you can not handle the losses, right, the negative punches that the market is giving you, even a trading strategy with an edge right will not save you as well. So I hope by now you can understand that yes, right, technical analysis can work by in itself without fundamentals, without analysis, without anything. But you must have the proper risk management and the right training psychology. Okay?
8:00 So with that said, right, I've come towards the end of this video. Even a little more about what I do, training strategies, and techniques right. Go down to my website over here: tradingwithrayner.com. Okay and if you just scroll down to the bottom right somewhere here. I've got a couple of trading books that you can download, right, The Ultimate Trend Following Guide to Right Massive Trends in the Market and The Ultimate Guide To Price Action Trading. So what we have covered a little is more of a trend following at momentum trading.
10:00 So if you are more of a discretionary trader, right, you know more about market structures and support resistance than The Ultimate Guide To Price Action Trading is for you. Click on this blue button and I'll send it to your inbox.
So with that said, right, I've come towards the end of this video any feedback comment. Let me know it in the comment section below and if you've enjoyed this video hit the like button! Bam Bam! And subscribe to my Youtube channels so you can get more of such videos every single week. So with that said I wish you good luck and good trading. I'll talk to you soon!
Good learnings as always thanks 💓🙏
👍
Thats 💯 correct man.
Hi Rayner, thanks for this insightful video. Will you be able to share the script/formula that you used for this momentum strategy on your backtesting platform? Thanks!
Technical analysis works in trending markets it does not work much in consolidating markets
really been enjoying your content, you are teaching me a heap. I'm about to get back into the market and this is all really helping. One thing, please consider investing in a touch screen monitor or drawing tablet (wacom tablet) so that your on screen drawings are able to be much clearer!
oh man i really enjoy when i come to this page never wasted my time keep it up
great backtests!
Why a high over a 40 week period? What is the significance? Can this be applied to Forex? IF so what period might be successful?
Ur videos are helping me alot …I like the fact that u not explaining things in hindsight just like some traders
Underrated channel, thank you
Your picture gets in the way of the graphic — cannot read it. More interested in the info than your face!
Can you show your real statistics instead of a simple backtesting? I think that will be more useful.
Great example of how risk management and psychology is necessary to be successful in trading the financial market.
thank you Raynor for your generosity and expertise and clear presentation skills as well!
I've learned so much from your channel. Thank you so much Rayner. May Allah bless you. 😇
Been Trading for years and i have been following for 3years now.. my question is , where do you learn all these and who is your mentor! I respect the knowledege you have
Very nice, your videos are always motivational & helpful.
Dear Rayner, I believe your videos are the best in this niche. Congrats for the output of your efforts. YOU ARE AMAZING!!! P.S. When is your book ready for international shipping (EU)?
good information, i like the sound effects as well
Thanks Rayner.
Great video! What program did you use to backtest?
How did you backtest? What program did you use to back test the strategy?
Awesome Rayner, always you give us masterstroke ideas.. Thank You.
Thank you Rayner Teo