Hey, this is Tom Nash and I Think that it's safe to assume that over the past few weeks, volunteer stock has gotten an influx of a new class of investors. People who have no idea what this company is, what it does, and what just to be a part of the gravy train. Their only logic to investing is spunk going up must make money greater full. Theory Buy it at 14, sell it to 20.

make some money. That's all they care about now. I Personally do not mind because this is how the stock market works and that's part of the game. I'm not going to be sitting here being butthurt about people who are swing trading the stock because it's okay.

it's part of the game and neither should you. But I'm here for another class of investor. I'm here for the intelligent, long-term talented investor who is now trying to figure out what to do in this crazy situation. The stock is up 113 year to date.

it's running up every single a Non-Stop It's red hot. In fact, it's giving Nvidia a run for its money right now with the amount of hype and fear of missing out that it has and a lot of existing pile and peer shareholders are trying to figure out what to do in this situation because we're talking about a lot of money. So a lot of you are wondering whether you need to sell your position a little bit, take some profits, let the hype die down and a lot of you are wondering whether this is the right time to add to your position because you are afraid that you're gonna miss out on the Big Spike and you want to increase your position now before it goes to the moon so to speak. And these are all important questions and I'm here to answer all of them.

and I promise I will to the T In fact, if you are unhappy by my answer by the end of this video, unsubscribe for my channel. how about that Now before I move on I have to introduce myself for those who are new here. if this is your first time watching my video, my name is Tom Nash I Spent over a decade as a senior financial analyst for one of the largest companies in the world and all I did as part of my job is managing a team who evaluated companies and that's what I did for a living. So looking at companies and telling my clients how much this company is worth is what I do.

and right now I'm 100 on YouTube for you and you are my client in this case. I'm gonna tell you how much Palantir is worth right now today, not in 10 years right now. So stick around till the end of this video. I'm gonna tell you exactly that.

Now for those of you who want to become a part of our community and learn how to become a long-term investor and not get burned by these formal craziness hype runs, join our community and become a part. We have 4 000 members right now, almost 4 000 and I'm gonna be absolutely ecstatic if you join and become a part of it, the link to join will be below. It's five dollars per month. literally the price of a cup of coffee for you to be a part of this, which I'm sure is going to bring you a lot of value.

So go to Patreon slash Tom Nash Try it out and I think you're going to be happy with it now as far as Palantir goes, Now that I've done with my Shameless self-promotion let's talk a little bit about Palleteer. So Palantir is a very intriguing stock. A lot of you remembered that I was the original kind of Palantir bull. on YouTube a lot of analysts talk about it, but on YouTube I was the only one who went basically and said hey, this thing is a Hidden Gem and back in November 2020 I've made my first video I think about it where I said well this is the trillion dollar company potentially and I said it's going to be that 10 years long term, blah blah blah all that stuff but yeah, it has potential to be a one Freelander company and that excites me and I sort of involuntarily became kind of the face of the Palantir community and that's okay.

I have no issues with that. Some people hate it, some people love it. Some people within the community hate me or love me I don't care. I'm in it for myself and mainly to serve the community that I represent.

Which is you guys? Now, as far as the community, the question in everybody's mind right now. And let me just read you a question that I got today on Discord and this happens all the time. So this came in on Discord today. Dr Ali is asking I'm trying not to have more than 50 percent of my portfolio with Talent here, but the way the stock is increasing forces me to sell some stock.

What he's saying essentially that the price of Plenty is going up so high that it's literally becoming more than 50 of its portfolio and he has to trim his position. so I totally get that and that's a legitimate way of looking at it. But I want to explain to you the more nuanced approach this: I Think there's three things you can do right now with Palantir. with this insane run and checking right now just out of curiosity, the market is about to open in 20 minutes.

Let's see what the stock has done today. In pre-market it's up 7.6 My goodness. anyways. so I don't check quality stock often as far as the price fluctuations, but this was actually very fascinating just to see how insane it has gotten.

So there's three options right now for Paddington investors and I think two of them are absolutely wrong And let me explain. of course this is not Financial Advice: You have to do your own research, your own decisions. I'm just speaking my opinion which might be inaccurate, might be wrong and as you know, it might be the complete ramblings of a Madman And that's fine. Now the way I see, there's three things you can do right now.

Option number one, which I think would be wrong, is to sell everything. Wait for the stock to come down and try to repurchase it. As a long-term investor, there's not enough meat on the bone for you to do that as a Trader perhaps and I've seen creators do that. One example would have been chicken Genius who sold out and is waiting for the drop down to get back in.

But as a long-term investor, you don't really want to be jumping in and out of a hundred percent of your position every time because the risk is just too big with that. So I think going 100 cash and you know taking profits and everything right now is just absolutely insane. For a long-term investor I wouldn't do that. The other option you can do here you can Implement which I also think would be wrong is to go all in and say well, Palantir is on the verge of of going to that one trillion dollar valuation which Tom has told me about.

So I'm gonna buy right now when it's only at 30 billion dollars and I'm gonna catch it on time because everybody's buying it right now. That's also going to be the wrong decision because this is a Fomo run. fear of missing out? This is hype. This is Fomoran and the stock has gotten way ahead of its valuation because of this, which is going to be absolutely honest with you.

A lot of people are going to hate me for this, but the stock has gotten ahead of itself with this latest run. It has Way Way way ahead of its current valuation. I'm going to share it with you in a second option number three would be to slowly build your position in Palatine regardless of the price, set an amount which you want to invest in the next year and break it down to 12 installments every month, a certain amount you're going to put into the volunteer stock and do it every month regardless of where the price is, whether it's a 15, 25, or 5. and just buy a certain dollar amount of Palantir.

Now, the one thing you can do with the strategy is optimize your entry and try to do that on red days of Palantir and not on days of seven percent pre-market going up. But the idea here is like, even though you're kind of trying to implement a strategy of optimizing your entry point each month, but you're just buying every month essentially regardless of the price action, The idea is the end of 10 years. If you do it every year, you're gonna have a sizable position. and if indeed, this stock is a one trillion dollar company in 10 years which I think it may be, then you're gonna have a nice little profit like combining your portfolio, Which is not going to happen.

In any case, if you just trade the stock, in and out, in and out and out, you're going to get lost in the hype. You're never going to be able to time the market. So what you want to be doing as a long-term investor is setting a dollar amount every single month and buying the stock if you have conviction in it. Because if you have conviction in it, you're not going to panic when it goes down, and you're not going to be basically grueling trying to take profits when it's not even close to its potential.

There's no point for me to take profits at fourteen dollars when the stock can go to Five Hundred It's absolutely stupid. I'm not going to engage in that, you know, um, asinine activity. Let's put it this way. So that being said, which I think is the right strategy, which is what we teach on a patient.

By the way, this is what we teach long-term investing, dollar cost averaging. And if you've been doing that for the past year or for the past six months, this latest rally was good for you. By the way, if you haven't and you've been sitting out waiting to time to Market you've missed the latest Friday that you've been just in Palantiron video and other stocks. So again, want to be a part of this? Want to learn the strategy? Join Patreon Patreon.com Nash Give it a go for a month, see if you like it? I'm sure you're going to be absolutely ecstatic! What what we got to offer for you now? I promised you at the beginning of this video and I will deliver.

Uh, something that you all want to know which is what's the current valuation of Palantir now? I've been on record multiple times and unlike some other creators on this platform which I don't want to name I haven't flipped I haven't sold when it was fashionable I've been always consistent I've always said I'm a palleteer bull I've never sold I had criticism to the company when they had poor earnings but I've never changed my opinion and having said that I don't think it's a one trillion dollar company right now. when I look at penalty right now as an objective evaluator, it's nowhere near one trillion dollars. not even close. Let me show you how I look at it now.

I Built this uh platform about a six months ago with my partner Pete my business partner Pete it's called stock MVP So we built it basically to be able to do a DCF model in 30 seconds on any company. As you can see right here, my iPad you can do it on your iPhone on your Android whatever. But basically the idea here is instead of you going through this like three hour process of a DCF it's right here and it's modularized and you can do it for yourself. So let's do it on ourselves right now for Palantir.

So let's assume that Palantir has, let's say seven hundred thousand dollars in ebitda next year, which is a very aggressive assumption. Let's put it this way, so let's be generous: give it 700 000 of uh, sorry, 700 billion. Of course we're talking about in thousands because as you can see in the model, the model is in thousands. So when we say thousands, women, Millions so 700 million in ebitda and with this current revenues of two billion dollars, a 700 million ebitda is very ambitious.

Okay, now let's assume that it's going to have annual growth of 20. You know what? let's do: 25 25 annual growth four percent long-term growth 10 discount rate. So let's also assume that the FED will reduce interest rates and we're going to 10 discount rate. In this case, Panettier's VCA evaluation is 14.33 So 14.33 I Don't know if you guys can see it here or not, but um, trust me, that's 14.33 So for Palantir to justify a 14 valuation, which is where it's at right now, you have to assume that their ebitda is going to go to 700 million in a year, which is absolutely insane to assume.

But maybe they do it. Maybe they're not. And 25 annual growth Which is higher than what they are right now and interest rates coming down, etc etc. Let's give it a little bit more realistic numbers.

Let's give it a 15 a bit of growth. and let's keep the interest rates so that we have a 12 percent. um, growth rate. Oh sorry, discount rate.

So let's do it. Let's do 12 discount rate at 15 growth rate populate. Calculate foreign. If we do that, basically assume that Palantir is going to grow at 15 and interest rates are going to stay elevated for a while.

Palantir is a seven and a half dollar stock. so the range for Palantir right now as it stands in 2023 before it made that Quantum Leap which I think it will, but before it makes it quantably pilot. there's currently if I was evaluating this company for and on behalf of my client. I Would have said this company is worth between seven and a half and 14 per share right now today.

So that's the convaluation of volunteer Now a lot of you may ask yourself. Well, Tom you said it's a one trillion dollar company. So is this not a contradiction? No, Because here's the thing if Planeteer manages to create exponential growth in its revenues and actually go to that valuation, then this model is absolutely relevant. But as it stands today, there's no rush.

That's what. I'm here to say: If you believe that planetary can hit a trillion dollars, you boys and girls have 10 years to invest, it's not gonna happen tomorrow. It's not gonna happen in the year. Let me include you in a little secret: it's not gonna happen in two years.

This is a 10-year project at minimum as Peter Lynch said there's multiple years to invest in a good company Palatine is no exception. This latest formal round that you're seeing right now: A hundred and thirty percent in six months. That's all it is. It's a flash in the pan.

it's a former run and eventually it's gonna pop and explode and fizzle out. All I'm here to say is that don't freak out. Relax. keep buying, volunteer at your pace, keep dollar cost averaging you dependently like nothing has happened.

Ignore the price action. of course if you have conviction in this talk, if you like the stock, I Would not think it's a good idea to try and swing trade this stock because I think it's absolutely irrational. And don't forget, the market can stay rational longer than any of you can stay solvent. You know what they say about it now.

As always, a few things before: I Let you go if you want to join our Patreon community. the link is below. Check it out. Five dollars per month if you want to get stock MVP and do your own DCFS and volunteer and other stocks and it's actually seven days for free.

You can try it out for seven days and then there's a Code which I will put in the description which will give you 50 off for Life Check it out I'm sure you're gonna love it as always. Much appreciated. Lots of love. See you next video.