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Over the next two weeks we have a lot of catalysts coming up. Let's talk about exactly what dates you should be paying attention to. Will specifically take a look at jobs. A CPI Let's look at some pre and early projections for some of these numbers.

If they're out, we've got a Joltz report coming out. Let's see what some of the surveys are for this. Let's go through all of this. Do keep in mind that on April 4th we will, uh, really be starting another earnings season.

so April 4th Stay tuned. We're going to be looking at uh, some of the small companies has really, really nothing too big on April 4th just yet. But we're going to get uh Simply Good Foods We'll get some steel reporting on on the fifth, on the sixth, which is next. Thursday In terms of record reporting, we'll get WD-40 Levi Strauss I Like, like looking at those kinds of companies to see where the consumer's heads are and where inflation is.

More interestingly, we'll probably be on the 11th. We'll get CarMax Albertsons Are we still seeing those food prices move up? How about those used car prices? How are they affecting margins? Because it seems like used car prices are falling, but wholesale prices are actually Rising So dealers are potentially looking at negative numbers. You've got Rent the Runway on the 12th, you've got Delta Airlines Progressive Fastenal on the 13th. Then on the 18th is actually when you start getting the banks reporting.

That's when things are really going to get entertaining, especially since they're going to show us the numbers for the banking crisis. We'll have a lot of banking commentary. Between the 18th and the 20th, we'll get Bank of America Johnson Johnson Goldman Sachs Bank of New York Mellon. Those will report on uh, Tuesday Johnson and Johnson will be very interesting in terms of evaluating industrial inflation.

How's that wage price spiral? Again, that's the 18th. Then of course we get our leading tech company. we get Netflix also on the 18th, on the 19th. Then we get into like the Morgan Stanley's the Citizens Financial IBM Zions Bank American Express on Thursday with Dr Horton and Nokia as well as Blackstone and uh and and Associated bancorps.

So we'll be getting a lot of financial information. really. the week of the 18th I think more interesting for next week is going to be the jobs report. So really, probably for the next week we're going to be mostly having uh, we'll mostly be putting earnings on the table uh, and paying a little less attention to earnings for next week.

It'll be more fascinating to see what happens with jobs. So let's take a look at what we've got on the third, which is tomorrow. we'll get ISM Manufacturing and prices paid. Surveys survey suggests that prices paid will come down slightly to 51.1 That is still in the expansion territory, but down from 51.3 in the prior.

We'll get uh, some commentary on ISM employment. Remember, this is the Institute for Supply Side Management. This is really sort of what comes before Consumer Price Inflation right? We'll get manufacturing Pmis on Uh Monday morning as well. Uh, those are the manufacturing purchase manager industry numbers expecting slight contraction there at 49.3 construction spending is expected to be flat month over month.
On the fourth, we'll get Factory orders expecting those to be down half of a percent. We'll also on the fourth be getting the jolts. That is the job openings and labor turnover survey. That number has consistently been above 10 million.

That is regularly a surprised. To the upside, the last release was at about 10.824 million. The next survey is for a 10.5 handle I'd write that one down. that'll be on the fourth 10.5 stocks.

likely to move on the jolts. And of course, if we get a big move on ISM prices paid. Uh, to the upside, there could be some downside risk in in stocks. On the fifth, we'll be getting the S P Services PMI Purchases Managers index.

That'll be very important because obvious nicely, most folks expect that inflation is stickiest in the service sector that is expected to come in at a match for the prior release of last month. So February and March expected to match at 53.8 and that is again the same as a prior release. Then on the fifth, we'll also be getting the Ism prices paid. This is uh, this is the services prices paid.

So on Monday we get ISM Manufacturing prices paid. and on Tuesday we'll get ISM Services prices paid. No forecast yet for that. On Thursday the 6th, we will be getting continuing jobless claims.

We're expecting those to come in at two hundred thousand. They've regularly been at about 200 000 for uh, for new claims and continuing claims. The prior release sat at about 1.689 million for continued unemployed individuals. that number shrank last time a little bit.

We'll see how it comes out. uh, this month, then. uh and and before we keep going down this list here. Obviously, I should always remind you that on the 12th the prices will be going up for the lifetime access on the courses on building your wealth.

Check that out, link down below or go to Metcaven.com Join: You can also just go to meet Kevin.com and you'll see sort of, uh, everything that you can learn about. Whether it's house hack life insurance, you can get in as little as five minutes at Metcaven.com life 12 free stocks with Weeble at Metcaven.com free of course. These create promotions this being brought to you by Streamyard Metkevin.com stream Yard to learn how I bring these videos to you. So check all those links out down below.

We're going to meet Kevin.com to learn more where you can also learn about my ETF Okay, so then we've got on. Uh, the seventh. We're going to be looking at that change in non-farm payroll. This is our jobs report.

We'll also be getting. We should be getting ADP on Wednesday Let me look at ADP first. ADP is expecting. That's the private version of the jobs report.
We're looking at about a 210 000 expectation down from 242 000 jobs. That's a Wednesday for the ADP report. And then Friday we'll be getting the change in non-farm payroll that is looking like 240 is the survey. The last payroll report brought us in at a 311 000.

We now expect to sit at 240 000. So nice sort of shrinkage in that jobs growth obviously coming off those crazy numbers we had in January probably heavily due to seasonal adjustments where we were sitting around 500 000 job gains. However, we will also be very closely looking at average hourly earnings average hourly earnings. in the prior release came in at point two percent.

The survey now says 0.3 percent. That is a little bit of a bump up to an annualized rate of 3.6 percent for average hourly earnings. It's a little aggressive. We'd like to see that come in soft.

Then of course, the next data set that we'll really be waiting for is the CPI report. We do have some surveys for CPI first though. on the 10th we'll be getting a wholesale trade month over month. We don't even have a survey for that and we'll be getting wholesale inventories.

Uh, no survey for that either. That'll be on the 10th. On the 11th, we'll get small business out optimism. And then there we go.

it is. April 12th, April 12th. by the way, is also a day we'll be getting the Fomc meeting minutes. So what is the forecast for CPI month over month for March Keep in mind that March will have a lot of funky expectations given we had a banking crisis and potentially reduced spending during the banking crisis.

CPI month over month in March For the data release on April 12th is looking like it's expected to be down from the prior report of 0.4 month over month 2.3 percent. That would be good. Point: five percent. Uh, it was the prior release for core month over month that's expected to shrink to 0.4 percent.

Uh, However, the year over year number. Uh, not clear yet. The prior release was six percent. No survey on that.

Yep, However, year over year core could potentially Accelerate from point or five point five percent to 5.6 That wouldn't be great. Uh, the next day on the 13th, we'll also be getting PPI numbers we do not yet have surveys for those with the exception of month-over-month final demand producer price inflation expected to be flat at zero percent, so those are the catalysts for the next two weeks. Obviously the most important are going to be jobs, so you should mark your calendar for the following things. Okay, Mark these are the things I would be marking my calendar for: April 4th, 10 A.m Eastern Time Joltz Report April 7th, 5 30 A.m I will be live streaming to Meet Kevin report at that time, you're welcome to join Uh 5 30 A.m on the seventh jobs then I would write down April 12th expiration of Meet Kevin's coupon code for the amazing programs with lifetime access on building your wealth specifically the bundle for Zero to millionaire real estate investing and stocks and Psychology of Money which comes with my trade alerts as well.
then CPI Obviously, you want to write that down that's on the 12th at 5 30 A.m on the 12th of April So those are some of the catalysts that we're really going to be paying attention to over the next. Uh, over the next two, uh, uh, two weeks here, those are going to be quite critical. uh, and uh, right after these catalysts, we'll actually be going into banking earnings. uh, and uh, understandably, so there'll be a lot of curiosity in terms of okay, how are things getting affected through banking earnings? so we'll be paying heavy attention to making earnings, so stay tuned for that.

But this gives you a catalyst breakdown of what to expect over the next. who count them who weeks Kevin is my MF man. but your thoughts are going against the heads of entire five countries Fantastic points nonetheless. Man, these five countries can suck it.

Just kidding. No I mean look, obviously these countries are going to be big players over the next, Uh, decades. Uh I I Would not bet against China but I'm not going to bet on China either. I'm going to bet on America I'm going to bet on American PB That's what I Want I Don't want Chinese PP I Want American People I think American Pricing power is much larger.


By Stock Chat

where the coffee is hot and so is the chat

22 thoughts on “The coming stock-crash catalysts mark these dates – april 2023”
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