This stock market is getting worse everyday, and despite how bad things are getting I actually see a very interesting opportunity which I want to share with you.
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DISCLAIMER: All of Tom's trades, strategies, and news coverage are based on his own opinions alone and are only done for entertainment purposes. If you are watching Tom's videos, please Don't take any of this content as guidance for buying or selling any type of investment or security. Tom Nash is not a financial advisor and anything said on this YouTube channel should not be seen as financial advice. Tom is merely sharing his own personal opinion. Your own results in the stock market or with any type of investment may not be typical and may vary from person to person. Please keep in mind that there are a lot of risks associated with investing in the stock market so do your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
*Disclosure: I only recommend products I would use myself and all opinions expressed here are our own. This post may contain affiliate links that at no additional cost to you, I may earn a small commission.
Here is the link for the 10% coupon code for TipRanks:
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👏👏 Big shout out to our growing list of Patreons. For those of you want (and can) support our channel, here is how you can help: https://www.patreon.com/user?u=13016082
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The audio and video equipment I use to make videos:
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* Rodecaster Pro: https://amzn.to/3KWUhqf
* Shure sm7b: https://amzn.to/3GfbasL
* Light Nova p300 C: https://amzn.to/3AIZb5M
DISCLAIMER: All of Tom's trades, strategies, and news coverage are based on his own opinions alone and are only done for entertainment purposes. If you are watching Tom's videos, please Don't take any of this content as guidance for buying or selling any type of investment or security. Tom Nash is not a financial advisor and anything said on this YouTube channel should not be seen as financial advice. Tom is merely sharing his own personal opinion. Your own results in the stock market or with any type of investment may not be typical and may vary from person to person. Please keep in mind that there are a lot of risks associated with investing in the stock market so do your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Okay, so there's no need for a pity party. I mean we can talk about it all day how the market sucks. I mean four percent down on the nasdaq in a single day. Dow jones is down another two and a half percent s p 500 down another two percent.
Everything is going down: tech growth, value, mid, kevin, actually posting on twitter, that he lost two million dollars and a couple of friends again, everybody's just freaking out. There's no need for a pity party. There's no need for emotions. There's just need for clean objective analytics now.
In this video, i need three minutes of your time to explain to you exactly what's going on and how to proceed next. Of course, this is not financial advice. I'm just going to share with you my own opinion about how things are shaking up and what i'm doing next, as always, you know my opinion might be inaccurate - might be wrong, might be the ramblings of ahead man. You got to do it in research.
Talk to a professional, but if you want to hear what i'm doing next, i'm going to shock you, i'm not selling anything. In fact, i'm actually buying and i'll tell you what stay with me. It's gon na be a blast. Let's go okay! So in this video i'll show you why i'm not only not selling, why i'm in fact buying and it's not plenty or tesla those i always am buying in any market, but i'm adding one more stock to my small portfolio, which only has four stocks so far And this stock i've never covered.
I never talked about, and in this video i'll show you why. I think this specific stock is the best addition to my portfolio in this turbulent market. The macro staff are pushing the entire market down because what's happening right now is a combination of a few things that the market is. Pricing in the markets are really good at pricing in things before they happen and, as you heard over the past few weeks, everybody's talking about how the fed is going to increase the pace in which it's going to increase interest rates.
So before the consensus was we're going to have seven rate hikes in this year, meaning 1.75 interest and every time 0.25.25.25 going forward now in may 4th. We have another high coming up and based on everything, we're hearing, nomura jeremy siegel everybody's talking about 0.5 to 0.75, and if you think about it, that's literally two or three times more than what the market has already priced in. So that actually has to be priced. In not to mention the fact that the seven rate hikes that we talked about are no longer relevant right now, the consensus is shaping up around three and a half percent instead of 1.75 by the end of this year, so that has to be priced in things.
In russia and ukraine aren't looking so hot that has to be priced in further escalation: commodities, food shortages, copper prices. Basically, everything is going up, inflation numbers everything is just going to and the market is starting to price in the possibility of a recession and a high inflation, potentially maybe even high unemployment stack relation got forbid. So all these risks are now getting priced in before the may 4th announcement. Now, in this kind of red period, it's really easy to panic and just sell everything say i'm done with it. The market is just too crazy hold on a second hold on there's actually opportunities in this market, and that's why i'm going to be actually putting a new position into my own personal portfolio. In my own personal portfolio, i only have the s p: 500, google, tesla and palantir i'm going to be adding a new stock which i've never had before, and i'm going to show you in a second check this out on the screen right now. This is the stock i'm talking about. It's called fca.
This is from tip ranks. The stock is valued at 49.93 dollars by 15 ratings, which is 24 percent upside, i'm not investing because of the tip trends ranking. I just think it's very interesting to see what analysts are saying about the stock, there's a wide range of analysts that are talking about the stock. If you screen by five star analysts, some are telling that it's a sale, some selling it's a buy, there's a guy who gives it 36 37 upside.
That's somebody gives it 28 downside, so you can pick and choose whatever consensus. You want to actually get on board with, but that doesn't matter. The aggregate result is that 15 analysts are seeing in aggregate at 24 upside for the stock around 50. Now, if you actually take a look at the stock, it's a copper producer.
It's everything opposite of the excitement of the growth and the tech plays, but i believe it's a huge opportunity. This is a 61 billion dollar company. The short interest is very low under two percent: it's a dividend: company and they're in a very hot category, as i'm about to show in a second over the past six months. The stock did about three point: four percent over the past month.
It's actually down 18.6, and i believe that this cliff coming down from 50 all the way down to 40 is a huge opportunity, i'm going to show in a second. Why now before we go into the numbers, the financials, the free cash flow and all that stuff? I want to show you some assumptions which are really critical for why i'm going balls deep on this company, and this is the reason why i'm so excited about this company. I wanted to highlight some key points for you and i did it in a simple word format. So it's easy to digest.
Look at the screen electric vehicles. They need copper. We know that right batteries motors wiring. We also know that charging infrastructure not only supercharger networks but basically even home chargers, electrical grids.
They need copper as well. So, for example, internal combustion engines require 23 kilograms or 50 pounds per car of copper as standard, so even regular cars. They need copper, 23 kilograms or 50 pounds per car now for evs, that's 80 kilograms or 175 pounds per car four times more now, tesla on its own is gon na make three million evs within the next two years now by 2030, based on the most conservative Estimates, the most conservative estimates we have 25 million evs globally, riding around now, 25 million times 80 kilograms per vehicle. That's 2.2 million tons of copper. That's 10 of the current global annual supply and mind you. The global annual supply of copper, doesn't really grow. It is what it is and if you listen to some professionals from the copper industry, they'll tell you that 25 million per year - that's it, they can't get out more than that. It's very very difficult.
Now look ev charges! Also. You have to consider the fact that they also need copper, one kilogram, copper per charger, including home chargers, and if you don't have fast charges, eight kilograms - that's not even included in the 2.2 million tons, so i think it's safe to assume based on these numbers alone. Just on the eevee industry, not talking about commodities, not talking about inflation, not talking about increased demand, reopening none of this stuff, just based on the eevee industry. Copper is going to be a hot commodity in the next few years.
However, however, this company specifically is somehow still undervalued, despite quite phenomenal numbers, i'm going to show right now on the screen, and i want you to see the margins beyond the a plus here as what they are, and this is just based on current pricing of copper And as prices will, by definition, go up, it's inevitable. These margins are going to grow wider and wider. That's just how it is, and i want you to look at the valuation of this company, because the valuation is really interesting: price to sales 2.4 forward price to sales 2.15. So these are low, low multiples.
This is pretty much as low as you can get now. A company of this sort, which will give you also a dividend as you can see right here - a dividend - company 61 billion dollar market cap nobody's shorting. It look at the financials here, because this is really where it gets interesting. So, as you can see, the revenues fluctuate.
You know it's a copper company, the price of copper. Basically, you know they live and die by the price of copper. So some years you'll see 18 some years you see 21 20, then 14.6, then 14.8, then 16.. So the price fluctuations are really important for this company.
So, if you're investing in this company you're investing based on the assumption that prices of copper are going to go up because supply will remain, the same demand will go up simple 101 economics, which i believe to be true now you're already starting to see this happening. Look 14.2 in 2020, then 22.8 in 2021, 24.6 trailing 12 months. Now this 14 might be coveted induced, but they had 14 billion years before, but whatever you want to say about covet and fluctuations and reopening right now, the trailing 12 months it's the best year. They had in the past 10 years 24.6. No year comes even close to that now. Look the more interesting part here is the efficiency, because they're price dominated look at this cost of revenues really doesn't change so this year, where they made 14.2 billion cost of revenues was 10.1. Then they went to 24.6. Cost of revenues went up by what 25.
That's it. The same thing goes for sg a sg, a doesn't change from the year where they had 14.4 billion to the year when they have 24.6 billion revenues. Sgna actually went down. So, as you can see it's all about the price action, the company will make the same amount of expenses, but if the price of copper gets pushed up, they'll make a lot of money without any increase in expenses, which is the cool part, and i want you To see their ebitda right here, so they went from 2.2, 3.8, 10.5, 11.8 and same for dividend per share.
As you can see right here, the dividend per share went from 20 cents, all the way to 38 cents, and in the last 12 months it went to 45 cents. So, as the company is growing and the margins are growing because of increased demand and increased prices of copper, you participate not only in the share price, actually a nice little dividend, which is always nice to have, especially in recessionary times and looking at their cash flow. I want you to look at what i just highlighted: 5 billion dollars of net income per year. This is insane trading at 60 billion market cap, so 60 billion valuation for a company that gives you 5 billion net income.
It's a really low valuation. Now, looking at the cash flow operations look 8.3 billion per year. This is insane now look at this stuff right here. I want you to look at net change in cash 3.7 billion, so this is cash in the bank.
Company is just generating cash at the wazoo. No need to get capital no need to be sensitive to higher interest rates because they're printing money essentially and looking at their balance sheet, you can see just the strength they're sitting on the pile of cash 8.3 billion dollars in cash. Total assets are 48.8 billion. Let's see if they have any goodwill, no goodwill, so straight up 48, let's just say 49 billion in assets.
Total liabilities are 24.8, so almost not almost actually 2x uh assets versus liabilities. So a strong balance sheet with a lot of cash. Do they have debt here? Let's see if they have total debt is 9.6 billion, so straight up cash for debt they're, almost at complete balance, so they can repay the debt right now. If they wanted to, i mean i guess they'll have to as the interest rates will go up, but this is one of the healthiest companies we've seen, which is that copper is going to be in high demand because of the ev industry and the amount of cars.
The amount of infrastructure it's going to require also on the infrastructure side, not just the superchargers, also the home infrastructure, also the electrical grid. If everybody now has an ev or every third person has an ev, the electrical grids inside the cities will have to adjust. It's not going to be enough to sustain that without making massive improvements and investments in local infrastructure. That's going to require a lot of copper, as you just saw. Electric vehicles need four times more copper than internal combustion vehicle. I mean it just seems to me in a highly inflationary environment where there's massive demand for commodities and precious metals, and we have a booming ev industry to assume that the price isn't going to go up. It's a very interesting bet, which i'm not going to take. I'm going to take the opposite out of the bed, especially for a company that dropped 20 of the past five days from 50 to 40, a company that seems to be right on track to be an immune company towards all the insanity.
That's in the market now so, instead of selling off my stuff and going crying in the corner having a pity party, i'm gon na be changing my strategy and adding plays that. Traditionally, i don't have in my portfolio to protect myself and play a little bit more of a defense through copper prices. In fact, i think this might be the best way to get exposure to the electric vehicle industry without paying insane valuations like if you want to invest in electric vehicles and you're afraid to invest in tesla, for example, because of its insane valuations. I don't know why would you i mean tesla is a great investment, but this company will allow exposure to ev industry at what price to sales of 2.4.
I mean for me, it's a no-brainer, but again you got to do a research talk to professional. Make sure you cross your t's and dot your eyes or whatever make sure you know what you want to do before you actually invest? Don't just do it based on the youtube video, but this just to give you an idea to start your research. If you want more ideas like that head on over to our patreon, the link is going to be below i'll, see you there and thank you for the existing patreon members and channel members. Thank you.
So much see you tomorrow.
Market suck. But it don't matter. I have to just hold and be patient like I have been for many years.
Also opportunity for me to buy!!!!!
Nice haircut
Bravo sir 👏👏👏👏
Who the f would sell when stocks are down
…
Also, have you looked into Copper ETFs?
YOu mother lover!! I just recorded a video on this subject :"D
DCA buy the dip HODL 5-10 year life changing money
I completely agree with you here and I did a similar analysis a few years ago. I started buying LAC, and like a fool, sold it for a small profit. Had I kept it I'd have 8x now and I think the future is going to give a lot more. I'm going to take my own advice, now affirmed by this latest video, and start rebuilding my positions in both again. Cheers Tom, keep it up, it's a breath of fresh air among all the fires burning.
Now will we see a boost in price because Tom spoke about it 👀
Buy more PLTR <3
3 minutes to 13 minutes, I'm always down for a better deal
A big relief rally is coming soon. Will it have legs? I dunno, maybe.
It is best to close the laptop, don't watch stocks, index ETF automatically per month, and enjoy the summer. The stocks will continue to decline
until which point the Fed does a U turn or they double down on interest. Until that point, relax and enjoy life
I thought Kevin went to cash at 1150
Great tribulation per-shock.. get ready folks
So riding PLTR to bankruptcy?
I am not sure about going balls deep on copper miners, no matter how slammed the stock is relative to the strength of the company.
What I see going forward is not an increase in copper mining, but a massive spike in recycling to meet that copper demand.
Bad investors/ riverboat gamblers lose money on the dips.
I Love Tom. Cus he keeps it real in the toughest circumstances and doesn't get weak. Real man. Respect to you
Audio is working on my end. If you have issues restart the video plz. Maybe a youtube glitch.
Oil plays! Run to them.. energy is in
I love you Tom. You’re the best. I am a Patreon and love your videos. Honest and sincere.
Working now
No sound mate
Tom, the video has no Audio
A little too excited for this one 😂
Not working
No volume ?