Okay, so not a popular opinion right now, but i want you to hear this because i believe that this is much better than this stuff. You're gon na hear mainstream media and social media, so you're probably surrounded right now by this plethora of foot how the world is ending. The dollar is collapsing, the end of the civilization the sky is falling celsius. You know everything is red and i'm here to tell you that the reality is much more nuanced than this, but and nuanced reality is much tougher to sail as a thumbnail and that's why you're getting all this fud it's cheap and i call it recession porn.

Now. Look, i'm going to explain to you in two minutes why things are actually much better than they look. Appearance can be deceiving if you can understand nuance analysis and even though it's not easy to sell nuanced analysis on youtube, i'm going to try and do it. Although i'm not really selling it, i'm just giving it away because i don't sell nothing, so you know, don't click, nothing doesn't mean nothing, don't buy nothing as always.

So look the reason that i think things will be. Okay, quite quickly, in fact, is because of inflation. Inflation is almost um the thing that causes the storm that we're in right now, but also this same thing that would cause the stock market to rise, at least in the short to medium term and i'll, explain so, first of all, let's back up a little bit. So last, two days you've seen red now the reason is you had two weeks of a green run and, as always, whenever you have a bull run, there's always a correction.

It's natural progression of things. This is how the stock market works. Literally. Now, here's the thing every correction needs a trigger event.

In this case the trigger event was the fomc meetings. If you want to go one day before that, it was the bernard speech about the 0.5 percent and the aggressive cutting of the balance sheet right. So the correction happens so what's next and i think what's next is a green, at least in the short to medium term and here's. Why think about it? This way, right now we have a lot of people who went back to square one before those two weeks in which we had this massive massive green run, people were parked on the sideline, with a lot of money and the minute we had a nice little run.

Sustainable run everybody pulled back in and over the past two days, i want to say a lot of the same people: institution pull back their money and, let's say you're one of those people right now and you have to make a decision. What do you want to do with this money, so you got a couple of options: option number one! You can sit in cash and wait it out. So if you're gon na sit in cash and wait it out, the cost would be 10 a year at this inflation, eight percent, probably going on 10 very very soon, you're gon na be losing 10 of your money every year, you're on the sideline. So a 10 loss per year isn't good financial management right option number two: you can put it in the bond market.

Well, get two percent lose 10 percent, lose i mean by inflation right still really rotting deal. You can go to the real estate market and try and buy a real estate asset right, well, you'll be buying in a seller's market during a parabolic rise and good luck. Finding a good deal right now within something that's less than a couple of weeks. That's the best case scenario, so real estate market is complicated, not to mention the fact that it's getting a little bit more shaky right now.

So, who knows, bonds are losing deal right? Cash is now bueno. Where would you put the money? The only viable solution for you to put the money is inequities is in the stock market. There's no other way and the main reason is because of inflation. Imagine if we had a recessionary push right now, much like we had, let's say 2008 or 2000, where you had the dot-com bubble or 2008.

The real estate market that crashed those were not inflation-driven recessions, and because of that it was much much easier to pull money from the market because you were living in a low inflation environment right now. This is seems to be panning out as an inflation driven recession. So pulling money from the market right now is not a good idea, at least in the short to medium term, at least as long as the interest rates are cheap, with free money or very cheap money and high inflation. It's a bad idea to be out of the market and that's how institutions think and they drive 80 of the market now, as increase rates start to climb and i'm not talking about half a percent half eddie, i won't half not talking about a half a percent They're gon na raise right now when we really get to interesting levels of interest where they actually are not as low, then we can start talking about people pulling out money because the market is getting closer to recession and to a stock market pullback.

Now that process might take weeks months year, maybe more than a year - i think it probably in the range of 12 to 24 months and that's for a recession. The stock market is not necessarily or immediately going to follow that it's going to take more time. So people are not going to be sitting on the sideline, i'm going to say people. I mean many institutionals, basically waiting for a whole year to see what happens.

They have no other alternative than to jump back into the market because of the inflationary cost of staying out of pounds, or rather on the bench and that's why all this fear-mongering it has its place because we are headed to recession. But it creates this false narrative. As if the skies are falling and the stock market is crashing tomorrow, that's not very accurate. I want you to just relax, do not panic and just keep investing with your strategy.

Whatever strategy works for you, which you develop, keep working that don't start going doing emotional stuff without any sort of fundamentally based research and analytics the numbers tell the whole story. The numbers are basically that there's no alternative to the stock market in a high inflation environment. Remember that whether the market goes up or down, i don't know, but i will tell you that if i'm institutional investor, the market is probably the only place, i can park my money and whether it takes days or maybe weeks. I have no choice but to be back, but let's see what happens comment below.

I just want to hop on here for five to seven. Eight minutes tell you to relax, because you're gon na be hearing a lot of this fud chill. It's not the end of the world. Just go.

Watch some, you know, movies, take a walk, do something that relaxes you and everything will be fine catch you tomorrow.