I want to tell you a story about a tesla, a failed smartphone and a deadly vacation, and this is not clickbait. Now, 20 years ago, jeff bezos had the brilliant idea to come out with a smartphone by amazon. Now that smartphone was called fire now, ironically, it would get a lot of people fired and it was a dumpster fire of a phone since, literally months after its launch, they had to scrap the entire inventory and call it off. It was a colossal failure, however, despite it being a total flop of a phone, it actually birthed one of the best things about amazon today, one of the devs, while working on the fire.

What a weird name for a phone actually came up with the idea to develop a voice, recognition software to help people, you know to say the songs. They want to hear. Let the phone play it that feature later became amazon alexa, and that just goes to show you that you can never tell when a complete of an idea can blossom into a beautiful flower. Now another thing happened: 20 years ago, elon musk finally decided to take a vacation.

Now back then he was the ceo of a little known company called paypal and he decided to go on the honeymoon. Now, what happened when he went on the honeymoon was a complete storm, almost as bad as the amazon fire phone. He got, cerebral malaria almost died came back found out. He got kicked out of paypal, not the best turn of events and his famous quote.

You know if a good vacation can literally kill you now. That explains a lot about why elon musk has been kind of reluctant about taking vacations over the past 20 years, but it also has an important lesson to teach us, and that is that we as humans tend to be very arrogant. We think we know everything. The truth is, you can never know what a shitty situation really means for your life unless a 20-year period goes by and can actually understand what the hell just happened, and even though it's unfortunate that these alternative events kind of created the worst workaholicism case, we've ever Seen in our lifetime, elon musk went to work.

He took over tesla when it was a complete third and he went through multiple potential bankruptcies only to come out as probably the best fastest growing car company. That's about to take over the world - and i know i know tesla - isn't exactly a car company but they're about to take the launch of every single oem, at least in the us quite soon. Now. What i want to share with you in this video is my new target price for tesla.

But, as you know, in my videos, i don't hold you hostage, i'm not trying to keep my retention numbers high just so you watch the other video, where i'm going to tell you my target price. The bottom line always comes first, so my bottom line is that my target price is going up to 2500. Now before you fall off your seat check this out a year ago, when the share price was 400. I said that my target price is 1500 and everybody said i'm crazy now, especially wall street analysts, who are basically lagging behind, always late to the party, always unable to truly evaluate potential and growth.

They almost you know, are late by a whole year. Only now these guys are joining the party at 1200, 1300. We've been here all along now, there's a good reason. Why i'm raising my next target price? It isn't because of hype, it's because of actual fundamentals and numbers which i'm about to share with you check it out, but before we do, i do want to ask of one thing, which is: don't click? Nothing, don't smash, nothing don't buy.

Nothing. Don't do nothing! Just watch the video i'm trying to sell you jack now, when elon musk invested his entire fortune into spacex and eventually tesla, i'm sure a lot of smart people told him hey ellen you're, being an idiot. This isn't the smartest way to invest your money. This is a really dumb idea and it's going to basically bankrupt you and those same smart people who told them this out of good intentions.

I'm sure are the same type of people, not saying that they're, the identical people but they're the same type of people who are now telling you that tesla at 1500 is way too expensive. The tesla is at 2000 is imaginary. Tesla 2500 is a complete fable. Those same people who were unable to understand the vision are now saying that tesla is overvalued right now when clearly tesla.

If you look at 10 years forward, is a 5x company - i'm not even doubtful about it, but you know baby steps. Let's start with 2500, then we can talk about 5000 in a couple of years, but you know it's an easy no-brainer for me to see that path and in this video i want to share a little glimpse of it with you. So you can do the same. Trajectory as i and do your own research and find out now there will be a whole dcf, which i did on tesla to reach to my 2500 price.

It will be available to download on our patreon page. If you want to join it's five dollars per month. You can get the dcf, but you can also stay if you want. The link is going to be below in the description section and pin, as the first comment below check it out, join.

If you want take my dcf play around with it, and you know, if you think it's wrong, let me know i'm always happy to hear tesla just released the q4 delivery numbers and there are 934 000 vehicles which is very impressive and a lot higher than anticipations, Which already are quite inflated about 16 beat, which is quite insane, but this isn't the whole story. The story is that if you look at the december deliveries for china, you find out exactly where we're headed. Just in china, the company delivered 70 000 vehicles just in the month of december, and if you carve out q4 entire q4 for tesla we're talking about 309 000 vehicles just that alone, it means we're on pace as it stands right now, without any further capacity. At 1.2 million vehicles, if we just duplicate these quarters four times now, obviously capacity is increasing.

China is ramping up, austin is about to get operational. Berlin is just starting the operational, so i'm thinking that by 2023 we're probably looking at three million vehicles per year, which is quite insane, but as it stands right now, even the 934 000 that they just released. It's literally a 90 increase from last year and with the insane increase in capacity, as we mentioned, with austin with china with berlin. There's no reason not to see this ramp up happening in next two years and to see tesla delivering more and more vehicles, and you know what happens when tesla delivers more vehicles.

Obviously, eventually, the share price goes up now, that's not always immediate, and the share price tends to be volatile. For example, we just saw the fed come out and be all hawkish sending the share price 200 down, but that will happen with a stock like tesla. The question is: what happens long term over the long run? You know when in doubt, zoom out and as i mentioned before, the latest pullback we just saw was macroeconomic. So you had an opportunity to make a lot of money.

I invested about a thousand bucks, i'm sure a lot of you did the same thing, and even though this isn't financial advice and i'm not a financial advisor, i'm just a guy in it. I did this track suit on the internet. Sharing his opinions, which might be an accurate, might be wrong, might be the rams of a madman. I'm just saying that when you have a market pullback like that which is macroeconomic in most, it's an opportunity to make money.

So what i think will happen once the q4 financials come out quite soon. Well we're probably going to see anywhere from 16 to 18 billion dollars in revenues. That is insane now. The low end of estimates are talking about 16.

The high end is about 18., whether you're in the high or low end. These are insane numbers. So what i think we'll see because of this recent pullback by the fed and all this microeconomics we'll see probably tesla, go to an all-time high as far as share price, sometimes after the q4 financials. Of course, there's a lot of profit taking around q4 financials q3 financial.

So the volatility is there, but you know when the dust settles. I think that once everything relaxes we'll see an all-time high for the share price right after the q4 financials right in time. For us to make money, and if that's not enough for you think about these numbers right now, tesla holds about two-thirds of the u.s easy market, which means they own about 2.6 two and a half percent of the entire auto industry in the u.s. What happens as evs get adopted more and more? Obviously, that's exactly what's going on everywhere, especially in the united states.

You know, what's going to happen when the 2.6 of the market share in the us becomes 5. What do you think is going to happen with the share price and of course, you will hear a lot of smart people, especially wall street analysts who are known to fall asleep at the wheel and let the thing just go past them and be late to the Party tell you that this isn't possible, that you're overpaying, that this is expensive and, of course, these same people are the same people who miss the boat the first time. They don't see that this is just day one. They missed it on day, zero, we're still on day one.

This is still a 5x multibagger stock, but you don't have to do it. You do you see you tomorrow.