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Well good morning, ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls - hopefully sound - is coming through and everything's coming through. Okay, ah, it is early. It is 8, 06 am not on at 9 this morning, and that is because i wasn't online yesterday, so i figured i would come on a little earlier today. You will see there is quite a different setup.
A lot of work's been being put in, for whatever reason today's stream works perfectly yesterday it was, it was nearly impossible yeah. It was like trying to jump off the empire state building with no parachute and expect to live it's just it's just not possible. So that's how yesterday went it was uh frustrating this morning i woke up same as i typically do sat in my office and it works fine. So again i i don't know so here we are nonetheless on slightly earlier than usual to make up for yesterday's disappearance.
So cheers to that, hopefully the sound's okay, because it's kind of to the side and i'm kind of talking this way but we'll see the other thing is. I put my chat on the same screen, which means i don't have to look over as often, but i'm still used to doing that. So i'm still doing that, but that can allow me to at least drop that off. That's cool so good morning, guys looks good.
Sounds good. Let me move this over a little. I mean, i guess, that's kind of okay. There we go.
That's better. That's good, um coffee haven't had any coffee. Stocks are indeed cool. Oh yeah, i guess i forgot to uh change the title there, but it what's it even matter.
What does it matter? I could make it the most uh most popular stock of the day. Anyway? Isn't it so it's all good um. So yesterday was uh interesting day in the market. Yesterday the market got absolutely smoked a bit.
I don't even really know why it went down. I think it was because of some cpi data stuff that came out, but to be honest yesterday i was so concerned about why my internet was so crappy that i wasn't even really paying attention to the market. All that much so yesterday was more of a day of just kind of solving a bunch of problems trying to at least as opposed to really watching the market. So i didn't really get around to watching the markets too closely um until the market really was about here.
So once the market had started falling like this. At that point, i kind of put some attention on the market started, watching it and doing a little bit of trades um. So uh, let's work on the one thing at a time, yeah we'll see about that truly gifted thanks jd. I appreciate that alert worked for me too.
We back was down 13k yesterday, that's not good um. I did also talk to youtube a little bit yesterday about all the issues i've been having so they've received a video and a bunch of other things. So who knows? Maybe they're maybe they're helping this morning, so um yeah ispc lvgn, i mean those are obviously um on the move. We'll talk about those like, i said.
I really didn't watch the market yesterday, so you guys are probably gon na know more about what was moving than i do, and probably even more so today, as i was still trying to make sure things would work so um. I guess run me through the most popular ones, which obviously are ispc, one of one of which ispc lvgn but yeah, if you know of some really popular stock from last day or two or whatever send it over because, like i said, i wasn't really watching anything Yesterday, um so maybe ktta ran on news cool. You made six thousand four hundred dollars already. That is fantastic. You have a couple options. You could basically do nothing for the rest of the day and be extremely happy um. You could continue finding yourself into the market. Trying to make more money that can go, make more or lose some of what you've given back.
So just from past experience, i mean this is always a good time. Just to uh honestly go make a cup of coffee go. Take a second look around at all. The things that you currently have and all the current things you currently don't have and how six thousand four hundred dollars um, how important that is to you and then once you have done all that, then maybe come back to the market and consider if you should Try and make more money, um, so anyways, but good moves good, good job.
All right. Let me um double down the six yeah see this is. This is also what you do. You take the six thousand four hundred dollars and you buy early expiring options on the stock market and then you gamble.
Well, you try to pick the closest expiring options and then you try to get a move on the same day. Those options expire. Double that of the average true range, and typically it's always a great outcome, all right. Let me pop on over and actually look at a stock here for once so i'll start with i'm going to quickly run through i'm just going to quickly run through some just to see what they look like visually.
That has a potential for a bounce right now. Lgvn, just at a quick glance, don't take my word for it, but very well could bounce there at negative one, a bunch of other things. Um ispc ispc was from yesterday moved into after hours. Today, that's a big push.
Let me check isp or lgb or whatever it was yeah, so this guy, basically just squeezed out a bunch of short sellers, um, there's a little bit more of a bounce, um yeah i mean you can watch that it's something that tells me it's not gon na The market's not gon na, let you like, on the short side, the market's just not gon na give in that easy. So i don't expect this market just to get absolutely crushed. I feel like if they're gon na bring lgv down it's gon na, be a slower progressing thing, so we'll get to talking about that more in a bit ispc, so ispc jumped from the eights up to 21 after hours, pre-market-ish, whatever you want to call it. So up one pullback, two, don't really know what the news was here: uh 11 22 stock rallies on supply pack of human bios, something something coveted 19. yeah, okay, cool, uh, yeah internet's. Actually working, not that's rough! I can yeah, that's not fun, all right, so lgvn. Obviously, sort of interesting uh. Let me just quickly run through these here, aadi, not as loud as usual.
It could be just because i am talking in this direction and the microphones here so normally i talk at this screen and look at this screen, but now the camera is there and i could put the camera there, but if i put the camera there then you See this picture of this beautiful naked lady right next to me, it's probably not the wisest thing to have on the in doesn't matter so anyways we're just going this way. So it's possible it's a little quieter because the way or direction i'm talking, um yeah. I don't know interesting so ktta. Let me see what this guy is.
So that's up quite a bit. Let's look at ktta because i know a lot of people are watching this one. Obviously it went straight from twos up to sixes. I got ta drop this guy down, i mean i guess i could just do it all in one.
That's fine, but then i'm gon na connect yeah. So yesterday i posted a video on the nasdaq. I highly suggest you guys watch that video. It was a pretty uh, pretty cool video on basically how i um analyzed the market yesterday for its drop and so on so forth.
It's a pretty good video. Those are all far away yeah, so i mean basically the way the story goes with this one. Is you know when the momentum dies? It's gon na revert back down to about three bucks so which no that's a lie. I mean when the momentum dies on this or if it just fully drops out it can go all the way down to about three dollars and eighty cents um.
So if this is just a one day pump rip down, then you know going into the open. You might just see this get rocked back into the 380s. Arguably could happen, pre-market could happen at market. Open could happen by tomorrow, but the downside target for this market right now is about 380.
um. You know another good way of explaining this. Is you see how explosive ktta got when it went through this blue? This purple is blue in this purple. You see how it kind of just ripped through and then went stupid nuts.
It's the same thing with lg vn, slightly different right. So when you look at lg, oh and lg vn, so let me explain this one right, so the downside target for lg vn is this purple line right here again, it's when exactly it goes there, how it progresses. Those are always sort of the unknowns. So you just really track trend with it, and in this moment in time we are down up up roll on break one minute: break down down hold down snap yeah.
We are down trending right now on uh lgbn to a degree so um lg vn. It would basically be the same thing you can see where this blue and these purple lines are at um. So one minute chart that puppy uh five day, five minute chart that puppy and you will see that lgvn on the first day getting into the blues and the purple almost you will see it had a big sell-off right. That's because it's a known selling area. So then, when it came down and it held and it broke through it yesterday and obviously cleared the high, you went on a squeeze and that's because everybody that piled short off the known selling area from the other day is now getting squeezed out along with breakout Buyers along with momentum and whatever else is in the mix, so you had to move up bullishly into plus three plus four blue purple lines. First, attempt uh breakout, fail. Rejection short secondary attempt squeeze up break through now, markets put in a pretty significant lower high, so it kind of is down trending now so going below. The pre-market low is where a lot of retail environment traders would keep stop losses because they've been taught by a lot of videos that way.
Uh me being guilty of that as well. Teaching traders that your stop should be below pre-market lows, which in some instances is correct, um and in many instances, is actually wrong and the reason that i taught it that way in the past was because i was i was taught wrong too, and that was um. You know supports around pre-market lows and things like that, which in many instances can be correct and when it's correct it's when the pre-market low lines up with the statistical deviation typically and when the pre-market load does not line up with the statistical deviation. Then.
At that point, you will generally see the markets go below your pre-market level as opposed to holding a support. So a lot of retail environment. A lot of retail market participants, myself included from time to time, would stop out below that that pre-market low there on lg vn so um just for fun and which i guess it wouldn't really be fun if this thing crashed, but just for fun. Let's say that lg vn does go down and it continues down and it has a really harsh sell down today and i was shorting it which i'm not again, i'm just now getting online pretty much this week and starting to look at the market.
So if i were to be bearish this - and i was going for a full on swing - move swing short big boy move. I would be looking to revert the market back to 15 and 80 cents for right now to as low as 14s and 12s, which arguably those levels might update and actually become a little higher when the market opens. But of course, we'll know that when the market opens so uh for now, we'll see how this shakes out but, as i said before, you're in a downtrend. So until you're, not in a downtrend, it's going to be harder to be a long, biased trader, and if it goes on a full on breakdown, you will see lg v and probably go down to 18s, 20s, 15s etc somewhere around there.
Now that's an area where i would look to dip by because if i was a short seller and if i went all the way down there, then my main objective on the short has been achieved. And at that point i would start to cover my short position, which would ultimately add buying pressure back to the stock market. Um, so we'll see how this shakes out: um uptrend downtrend up 10 downtrend uh. This thing just broke out yesterday, um. So arguably we'll see if this short really gets banged out today or if it's if it gets dragged out over a couple days. Okay, back over to ktta, you will see. Ktta has gone into a downtrend. You will see here that you have broken the most identifiable base.
Action at least nearby, so market goes up, really doesn't have a higher low or any sort of like legitimate corrective pullback. Until about this area, so you go up and you have one pullback and then you kind of go up again and then you pull back again and then you try to flag out. This is a pattern right. That pattern is what most of the retail market environment recognized this morning on ktta.
It wasn't until about 7 40 into 807. Did the retail environment recognize a pattern that they've been taught in a book and on a video that has told them to take action in the market? So um, not everyone, but again most people don't see a pattern and most people are taught to trade pattern. So until a pattern forms you yourself, if a pattern trader only will not take any action until you see pattern. So if you're a pattern trader, you started to take action here on that bull flag, which then led to a sell off.
So that's where a lot of retail traders were starting to look this morning and figures just shortly after you get a breakdown right, so um we're not going to go too much more into that. You guys get the point! Think about that for a second look at where the pattern is and look at what the outcome is all right. So you will see it is in a downtrend because you have taken out a previous swing low, so market goes up. Market moves down, swing, low up, flag pattern, break shortly, lived in down under so theoretically this market, depending on the time frame, you're looking at really isn't up, trending anymore, at least on the one minute and the five minute, and probably the 10 minute, and even the 20 minute, i don't know, though, probably yeah we're just going too far now but yeah.
You can see it's broken that, so, if you were to come back up and above then you would kind of enter into an uptrend again otherwise, you're just counter trend bouncing back to retest. Your breakdown to then continue lower, at which point, if i were a short seller, i would look to go down at uh. I would look to take the short or the bearish move max into the 380s. Well, that would be the first target.
Theoretically, then, the max would be 310 um, so is it going to do that? I have no idea we'll see how it all shapes up, but i definitely wouldn't be extremely bullish unless you were getting back over 550 anything below 550. On the bull side, i would be a counter trend, long trader, which means you're just looking for a short term counter trend, bounce back, which the move will be smaller than if that of an uptrend, therefore, usually going to be uh small momentum, scalp long trading. Until you went into an uptrend again, okay, um yeah check enron, man. I think it's going up enron for sure. Yeah definitely put all your money on it. Uh lgv news was really good. Um. Now i will say not a doctor.
I haven't really read the news. I mean i did, but i didn't really comprehend it. So i'm just saying just an fyi um again, i'm trying my best to get to everything and kind of get myself up to speed on the market. So if there's something moving and i miss it and it's moving, you know there's only so much i can do and, like i said i really was not not prepared at like all to be online streaming today.
Um yeah apvo, really nice move uh squeezed off the bottom of 597, theoretically, not theoretically, but the reality of the situation is. This has been down trending. This has um, i believe i'm not. I believe i know.
So. There is a lot of room that this could go um in regards to overbought oversold, so the overbought levels on this are 38 to 47.. So if this went for a full trending move, then yeah you could see that price. I'm not even gon na remotely suggest that for right now, so let's try to figure out and be realistic with, what's probably going to happen, at least in the short term, so we're at 12.
So that means we already passed this level, which is a statistical mean, but let's add it to the chart, because it is significance. So you can see right here. Right market goes up, big cell candle down below it, then back over sell candles down back to it. Hold so try to break out first attempt fail.
Second attempt over pull back support then go um, so that's kind of interesting um. This would have probably oh also got to look at the four hours. So the four hour has the mean in the same place, gotcha. So there's a lot i mean by the time i get done with this, since the volatility is so high.
This is, when you add, a lot of levels so like right now, the volatility on this thing is just juicing to the max. So this is a situation where we would build optimism and say hey. Maybe this has the opportunity to go up higher, uh more so and or when it comes down. The volatility drop can be higher so like right now, your next target up for uh apvo is probably like 13 7..
Now sometimes putting this many levels on the chart could definitely uh confuse you, but you know um that sorry 1337 would be your next level up. That why did i say 13? Oh because i was looking at from a stretched out time frame, so you've almost hit your next target up, which was the 1320s after the 1320s you're going to look up to 15s and then after 15s you're going to look to 17. Okay, not 17.. It's actually 16.50 yeah, i mean, but here's the other deal is like if you look at this situation right. So this is the market going up to the statistical mean breaks over pulls back holds right. So now this is the market going from one statistical level to the next. So you generally expect a little bit of selling action. Maybe some struggly trading here for a second before it would clear and go through.
So this could be a situation where you just pay attention, maybe look for an up through a hold a maintain a flag off that level to then move to this one. Okay, so there's the 1337, the dotted white line to the penny. Actually i'm incorrect my level's at 1331. It went up to 1337, so it went six cents above our target there.
And then you got your red candle uh, but what i should do is show you guys the qqq from yesterday to give you guys a representation of um, something you might see with apvo um, actually, probably won't so i shouldn't even i mean i could, but it Doesn't even really matter, but i guess i will so yeah if you look at the nasdaq uh from yesterday um, which we'll get to discussing, which i guess we should just discuss now since we're already here so pretty much to put it this way, you see that Dotted white line there 401.27. You see how the market's going up. That's the max long target right now for the market and when i say max that might not even be true, but just in terms of how the market's moving. If it were to break up at the open and we were to go somewhere.
Where would we go to me? It makes most sense, so you'd look up to 401.33 for right now, objectively, if the market stays below 400, that could signal uh, exceptional weakness in the market and then it doesn't even want to go to the 401 whatever but um. My belief is that this market will just go up, take out 400 push back up to 401 30 and at 401 30. That's where the market would then try to uh go back into a bearish sell-off to continue the downtrend that it's currently in so to speak, which, arguably, if we broke over this level, that means we're no longer totally down trending right because we're going down down up. That's a swing low, so if you break that you're going to pop up to four and if you break that then you're going to pop to 420s for 120s, so anyways yesterday on the nasdaq, you see how these dotted lines are like right here.
These aren't exact, but they're close enough. So pretty much put it this way. Um. When we look at apvo right now, uh yeah, apvo geez one minute right there, so you see how oh wow! Well, you know apvo stopped right there, this weird! So that's another thing too: he really is like oh, which one's he gon na.
Stop that and this i don't know, i don't want to talk about that, but so you see how the dotted white lines here and the dotted white lines here. Okay, so this is different but similar to the sense that this is going up and this was going down. So this was going down and the first level that we could go for was this dotted white line right it broke that then it went to the second dotted white line and then it bounced that and it bounced back up to the dotted white line. You see that okay, so if the same thing happened here with qqq but on the upside, it would be mark, it goes through. Dotted line goes so this one pulls back to that one. You look for a dip long off that to continue the uptrend right. So that's that kind of concept right. So here it was mark it down.
Market bounce, go short mark it come back up, try to break out so you'll see it kind of. Does this upward wedging flag pattern? So that's a flag pattern trying to break up into a very big selling day. So you will see. Market goes up through dotted white pull back support, push back down, break down bounce back, re-test break down fail, go lower back into the downtrend right this morning or after hours.
You will see that it wedged out and snapped down which mind you. I actually gave a downside target last night on twitter max to like 390, something i don't even know, but i think my max downside target was like this red line right about there or it might have been here. I really don't remember, but i can check so. I gave a max downside overnight target to about these red lines, basically, knowing that there is a support there, so the markets could try to slide to the support before truly trying to bounce, whereas others may have bought this dip.
Then it bare flag broke down to the support, now we're doing the inverse head and shoulders formation, which is right here and trying to take this back up off this flag pattern. Okay, so um, looking at the nasdaq a little bit further um yeah. I had to delete a couple things and i'm sorry if you're asking questions and i'm not getting to it, i'm just on a roll again first day back streaming in a while. My internet is actually working the way it's supposed to so that's kind of impressive.
You know it's like when you get in your car in the morning and you turn the ignition like it's supposed to start and then you're supposed to be able to go somewhere. If you like, i mean that's kind of how your stream's supposed to work right, you come in, you click stream and you have a thousand megabytes of upload like it. It should just kind of work at that point, alrighty, so um, looking a little closer at the nasdaq. Was it the nasdaq or was it the spy? You know what i'm wrong.
There was no support here for the spy. I don't think i think it would or not the nasdaq. I think it was the spy. So let me just double check, so i could have lied to you there for a second.
I think i did yeah. I definitely lied to you guys, my apologies, so let's actually get it straight forward. It's the spy that had support there. That's why we kind of bounced. I think let me double check yeah. So you see this trend line right there that one, i'm pretty sure that's the one. We tagged uh pre-market so right there boom, that's it so the spies overnight downside target slash counter trend. Support that i identified was at 466 40..
There was nothing on the nasdaq here, but you see the nasdaq stopped here as well. So it's the fact the spy rolled down it hit its long-term statistical mean created support. It's also maybe providing some psychology into the market for the cues to stop there um, and it's really just the same thing here. Excuse me really just the same thing here.
You can see we sold down in that bottom. We're bouncing up. We kind of have that of a flag pattern. I don't see the spy going anything higher than that white line, so if it bounces up and out, we should go to that white line market should try to sell down off of it again and if they sell down, then go up then start to hold above We'll start to build a case.
Momentum could be garnering back on the upside um downside targets for the market. So, in the event, this does continue rolling out to the downside, you're going to look for the s p 500 to go down to about the price of 463.73 and then, if the nasdaq continues down, which obviously, if the spy continued down the nasdaq would most likely Continue down so it's kind of pointless to say, but here's the deal, the nasdaq probably won't go down to this target and the reason being is because for the nasdaq to go to here - and i don't want to speak too soon. But if the spy was leading the way and the spy only had three dollars down before support the likelihood that the nasdaq drops out that far just would be very surprising, because the spy has 300 points to go down before support this would have from 398. All the way down to like 393 and that's five so arguably, might not happen.
I'm probably just confusing some of you guys. So just don't even don't even worry about that right now. All you guys do is just look for a counter trend. Long bounce in the market today on the nasdaq and the s p 500 to go back to their most logical statistical support level, as defined by standard deviation from yesterday's down trending snap down move.
If that wasn't confusing enough for you, then i don't know what is remember, trading and investing it's supposed to be fun. Just buy the bull flag, okay, just buy the bull flag, buy the breakout, buy the breakout all right. Let me take a second look at look at a couple questions here. Is there any way to adjust the output level of your mic? Well, of course there is, but if, if yours doesn't sound good, that doesn't mean everybody else's, doesn't sound good, so me adjusting that.
Would also adjust the volume on everybody else's. It could arguably sound good, but if everyone comes to the agreement that i need to increase, that then sure i mean: let's do nothing, so i just turned the gain up, so hopefully that that does it hmm uh? No, a t will be coming out today to yeah. It doesn't even matter they're gon na come out here and probably just do nothing. I probably could do their job. No, i can't i don't know how to install the internet, but the the reality of the situation is i've been doing this for i've been back and forth with internet since august. You guys know as soon as i started streaming full-time. That's when i had internet issues. So i've been dealing with this the day that i tried to come to youtube and basically just give away all my trading secrets for free.
That's when i had all my issues, um, which is doesn't matter but yeah so internet's coming. Hopefully they get it fixed 2k order at 13.68 will probably push right through nice. Um s and d s. U n w looks good.
You need to write a book, um yeah i mean. If i can uh i mean yeah. I i actually have thought about it. More and more over the past couple days, considering the idea that, if uh, if i continue to have streaming issues the way i'm having and can never post these streams, what do i do then yeah? I might, i might end up writing a book.
That's, how are you going to ban that from the bookshelf? You can't um, but anyways yeah ispclvgnkta, i'm just gon na have fun today. I have really no oh look at the market. Oh so look at what's going on. Actually, i don't know if that's just one of those quick candles or if it's legit one kind of looks legit though, if it doesn't get sucked back up in two seconds, then it's that's downy magoo did news break? Oh, that's! The cues got ta.
Look at the spy: yes, it is one of those quick, stupid candles, yeah. Just oh boy, that's just not good! With pictures. G money just made a celebratory cup of coffee and watch last night's video yeah last night's video was pretty killer, so i i ended up just basically trading the cues yesterday. So that's what i did so yesterday, my trade pretty much.
The only thing i did for the day well aside from shorting fcel, which was a no-brainer to me, i mean even though seo kind of bounds. It didn't really even have a good short yesterday. I mean i'll talk about that, but i mean yeah really. The only thing i did was pretty much watch this come down to here.
Basically bought long calls bought long calls and then sold them at there. So yeah i basically bought the dip with calls and then sold them as we got close to 403.50 and then i did do a little short here um. But i really didn't barely make anything because i really didn't load up any contracts. I kind of did them kind of small volatility was juiced at the pup um, so i just didn't really do anything.
It was kind of pointless so well also because i didn't really hold that move, so i only got like a quick little volatility drop but anyways. You know it would have been nice to catch that puppy. So again, like you know, i went short at this move. You know caught a little of the down move, covered, uh and then later in the evening, of course, it's like, oh, you thought your puts were going to take it. Let me show you yes, i am so that happened all right um. So today i will probably do a little bit of following on the market, the volatilities up. So why not so probably going to watch this puppy long to start the day might build a trade idea around that fcel again um was a short i traded this bearish yesterday um, i did an overnight trade on it as well covered into this morning's gap. Down still holding a minimal position on it right now, but the concept here with fcel was pretty much in the event you actually took out nine dollars.
You would go to eight dollars and 35 cents. Well, you will see that the market sustained nine pretty well today. So i'm not going to sit here with the full-size position like a jackass trying to get a couple dollars on the way down, because well that's just stupid, so i ended up covering a little bit deleveraging the risk in the event it wants to continue down today, Then i can just re-short if it wants to pop up re-test some breakdown levels. That's fine, too! I don't really know what the hell.
This thing is going to do. I've never done this before so first day of the job. All right, let me actually look at something that looks like a pv apv. Oh my gosh ktta.
What a bag no what's funny is that i literally drew. I literally drew the pattern on the chart before it happened. That's pretty impressive! I got ta say i got ta, say that's kind of cool, it's kind of cool. It's not really that cool.
It's kind of lucky, it's just a lucky, guess, first day on the job scam, wake up. I thought you're making a joke about john wick for a second yeah see. That's the other thing too. If you write a book and you're a complete jackass.
Well, at least you kind of look smart right, so it's kind of like you're, not really scamming. Anyone. If you tell them that you're scamming them right, like you, can't actually be a scammer, if you say you're a scammer, i think that's how that works. It could be a frowned upon statement, but sounds legit to me.
Sounds legit ptpi, a good old, five, mc, banger and now down. So this is a situation where, like ptpi, is kind of down trending right, so like people could be like. Oh, we got a flag pattern going on here and the next thing you know gets slapped down right. So again you can see you went up, then you went down, then you went up and then you made a lower high and then you went down again and then you broke down again and then you can see, came back up re-test the breakdown slide lower.
So this ain't gon na mount to until it gets back over three, and so we could get more detailed on ptpi, which would just result in us going through the standard deviation system. But we don't even really need to do that because you just know the deal. It just ended up hitting a bunch of standard deviation levels and then just going down so uh ptpi though it's yeah. So i don't know, maybe i'll put that one on the back burner. You're gon na go up there, but what's the news so the pop started this morning and the news is, i don't even know so maybe sympathy to something else. That could be probably it's just a sympathy move, there's no news on it. Uh morning, thoughts on bbig yeah, you know, let's talk about bbig, we'll cover it um. I really have no idea what it looks like after the earnings.
I looked at my phone on robinhood to see what it looked like last night, but that was about it. Can you check nvidia sure um? What what were we looking at um? What was he doing? Wasn't in video man? Rough? Don't remember! I really don't whatever qlgn. This is kind of interesting, so qlgn already got overbought a bit this morning, so went into the purple so again ready. There's the plus four stop it.
There's the plus three that's on the four hour and then we switch to the daily daily plus four here. What's the news and news is, i don't know but i'll read it in a second? Well i mean it's pretty straightforward. If qlgn goes through the blues and the purples you know like i do, it gets spicy folks. So that's pretty much.
What you're gon na watch for um kind of have like this awkward inverse head and shoulders something there i mean you can do this one. Sorry um so yeah i mean this ran into overbought levels. So right now you'd be looking long and maybe back up to retest 262.. If you can break that, then you go to 319.
You can break that and you go to 360. You break down. You go to 450. um yeah, but why is this moving started? Moving yesterday? Was it earnings yeah? Maybe it has something to do with it, but i mean there's: there's six million things moving a day, it's gon na be very it's gon na be a fun day.
Um bbig all right over to bbig all right, so bbig, pretty straightforward um in that video we talked about. I mean we pretty much covered everything we were supposed to cover right. We said how to spot a bull flag early right, so this bull flag did not work and the reason being is well pretty straightforward. You never exceeded your uh.
Well, there's a couple things, but you never exceeded your plus one deviation with confirming volume. So you will see where that plus one deviation's at well the other day i drew it here so we'll just we'll go to like a five day, 15 minute right so remember we talked about um. Basically, if it's going to work, you need to see the market up and through the negative one with confirming volume. So you went up rejected and you sold down so much that you actually like broke the uptrend that it could potentially have so that at this point you should say yourself: bearish back up on earnings to retest the level did it go through with confirming volume. No back down through previous lows, so downtrend in the immediate still continuing so going forward, bbig pretty straightforward! You will not see a big breaking out bull flag reversal! Anything until you successfully get up and through the negative one deviation with confirming volume confirming volume you might be like well. What's that look like well here is qqq from yesterday, when the qqq got all the way down to this dotted line. Let's look at what happened to the volume okay, so we're going to zoom in so if you think about it like um! Well, don't worry so yeah market goes down. Bearish bearish, bearish, bearish, bearish, bearish bearish.
Take the long bounce reversal, trade on confirming volume. So down see the volume, so it was going up in bearish volume and then, as soon as you got down to your dotted lines, the bearish volume starts to go down and your buying volume goes up confirming volume you can see decreasing selling pressure into the support. Well, you know it's a potential support, so decreasing selling pressure and support increasing buying volume into it and off of it confirming volume, there's also an example of bbig in the past, but we've done that one too many times. Is this a result of not so good earnings? Honestly, i don't even know, and i don't even really care i mean.
Maybe it is okay. I do care, but no, i have no idea. Well, probably i mean the reality of the situation is going down off of earnings. The market is going to use that earnings to move the market down, even if the market wanted to go down regardless.
But if you ask me it's simply because the markets are in a downtrend right and they have been in a downtrend getting up and above the negative one with confirming volume would have been a shift into an uptrend, but it didn't so it stayed down trending right. So that's kind of the part with analysis too everyone's like oh, he calls a bull flag and he's wrong. It's like like. Not really i mean you had a bull flag set up, you just didn't get any confirming volume and the trend remained down right.
That's literally a part of the game right, so if you knew that you still would not have been buying long right, you would have waited so anyways uh yeah you're not going to get anything special unless that. Well, i can tell you, what's probably going to happen now right so now that momentum is shifted one way, oh you've already hit the target, one of them yeah you're gon na sell down to this dotted white line right here. So this is probably where the market's gon na try to do a little bounce. This morning, a little hesitation stop right now, probably um.
Well, maybe a little bit more down but yeah. This is probably where the market does a little, maybe try to bounce back. Some look at the volume right, so look at perfect example. All right look at where the white dotted line is and look at the volume right, increased selling pressure as you're nearing something that could be a support. You see people kind of started coming in and buying. So we'll see how they respect that 334. It's not like it's a big long level for me, but i imagine in this downtrend you could see a little green candle reversal pop right around there, so uh next level down though so through. That would be.
Oh, i see it yeah, so this might be a situation where they stop you out below 335 run you down to 302 ish give or take then bounce it back up to the 315.. This would be the same exact setup as the nasdaq from yesterday put it. This way, if sorry, if bbig comes to here, sells down below that then goes to this one. You look for a bounce from 308 back to 335 and that would be the exact same setup as the qqq from yesterday ready.
So you see that right there that's set up market selling down and let's take this off unlink back to bvig. Okay, one minute chart, so it would theoretically be the same setup market sell down. So this is bbig selling down gets to white, dotted line gets the white dotted line goes through the first one goes to the second hit. Second, bounces back to the upper that could possibly play out, but you're already seeing right now that the buying volume is coming in right right at that away line.
Is this a trade that i would take? No not really, but you know, there's always money to be made six million different ways in the market. Oh gosh, you said he was gon na check. Pbig completely forgot yeah. I did so, but that's bbig.
We just went over dyson on the wall yeah so that that boy you got ta have because it gets really hot in this office from time to time. So, what's the watch list for me today, the watches for me today is going to be those big guys like lgvn and ispc and apvo, and anything else that decides to move for the day alongside of the nasdaq and the spy. Those are very important to me today, nasdaq spies, because that's going to be a determining factor on how a lot of things shake out in the market. Okay, so let's take a look at our friend apvo, because it's getting mixed smacked and actually it's probably come down to a bounce level right now, um yeah yeah.
That would make sense, because that was a squeeze level. I think i think this was a squeeze. I think those are some shorts getting taken, so i'm still not optimistic enough to buy that, but i imagine there's gon na be, i think, there's gon na be a little bounce here, not because this is a previous dip level. It's because that's the long term statistical mean at 10 48.
So if the market does a quick little long reversal, scalp green candle two system up little whippy snappy magushi megishi. I wouldn't really be surprised. It's really weird that bbig is bouncing right now, just a lucky guess so yeah you should probably look for a bounce here pretty soon on apvo, i can't say it's going to amount to a whole lot. That's a very steep trend down, but you know whatever all right over to lgvn uh, so lgbn still kind of looks like uh, just just just kind of looks like there's, there's really. No, there's there's really no other way to play. Just it just kind of looks like all right, so there goes apvo back down still the selling volume. That's another thing guys like uh. Why don't i have that up there that's dumb hold on.
You would look for confirming volume here on apvo to even suggest a little mini bounce and i don't even know if it's gotten that, let's see um so far, not really. I didn't have the volume system up before so it does help yeah. So, let's see we just got to the statistical mean there. It is right there that green candle starting right like that is the well it could have updated.
But i don't think so. No, it's all really about the same kind of let's see yeah. That's a hopeful bounce i mean. There's people are looking as going.
I hope this bounces, but it's not gon na i mean if it does, i don't think it's gon na be anything like super gigantic um. Actually i mean if it bounces back right now. I would say back to 10.79 seems pretty obvious right on just a quick little candle reversal up scalp long, you know, buy scalp into 1070 close 1070., that's a potential, but either way trends still kind of still kind of shitty. Let's just see, though, let's just see if that happens for fun.
So what do we say? Quick, scalp back up into the 1070s? 1080S. 1058. 1060. 1054S.
I mean it's trying, it's not not! You did your one candle high break! There's the momentum coming in uh we'll see if you can get 10.78 1080. that wouldn't even you see that you see how it went up. It wouldn't even get there that just tells you things are weak right. When you don't even do you know a half, a smidge of a bounce to an intraday statistical level? That's just you know this week, but nonetheless you'll see that that candle tried to bounce there, so anyways a-u-p-h sure do i even let me see no, it's not there.
Right now. Auph went down yesterday, um interesting, that's a big sell-off it almost. You know based on the way it's sitting i feel like. I want to be long, but that drops also pretty scary.
What's the likelihood it just goes like that. I mean pretty unlucky. I think that the selling pressure down is quite a bit and i don't think it's going to give you um a amazing bounce. So you know, i think, there's money to be made and i counter trend long, maybe off 1920s, but the the bearish move to me seems uh kind of iffy.
So i will say this in the event: it does hold the negative one like you're seeing right now. You see how it's just sitting at neg, one um. You know this is a situation where you know if you break out like - and i don't know which one you're gon na watch but like in this situation, the four hour candle right. If you break above that, and you maintain above then you could say yeah we're gon na move up, maybe tomorrow or something like that, otherwise, your stop would just be below. So this is a situation takes out a four candle high holds above. You only have a two percent stop loss. Your first upside target would be up to 22.50. 22.25.
That's a 12 gain, so you have a potential one to three set up here in the sense that it does everything perfectly and goes back to this level. But that's still a pretty steep downtrend that just started. I haven't even read the news um, so yeah i mean that's, probably the way i would watch it though i mean i would be watching only long bias if it maintains obviously the neg 1, which it's done and maintains of probably like a 4 hour candle high, Which would be right there so up above hold 16 69. Maybe go on hmm weird, it's so funny the questions that i have funny.
Uh welcome, back internet running yeah, it's just a lucky just a lucky day, probably what's going on with baba uh, it's a yeti! Microphone green day or red deon spy um could be a good question: hmm yeah, so you're down gap up it's kind of interesting yeah. I could see a bearish move down, maybe even trying to fill that gap on the day, a bit that wouldn't be surprising. A pbo slide uh looks like what was that other one ktta okay. So in this situation you can see we had a big sell-off and then right.
So now it's on an uptrend so ready go up. I wasn't obviously watching it, but down yeah. Okay, break previous swing. High, create higher low break out then go up target.
The first intraday deviation probably a little pullback here, unless it's really strong. It will just rip through that. So this is a very strong stock for the day which, right now it's shaping up to be pretty dece. You should see a strong pop through that, so this is the first level you look for maybe a pullback off this uptrend um, but yeah that looks pretty decent so far, so you will see that short sellers hammered this all the way back down to 427, which Was not the long term trend they got close, you see how they got close to the purple.
They went to 430. The purple right now is about four, so about 30 cents off from being able to get it down there. So now this is a bunch of obviously short sellers that are in this move and they're squeezing up right now, roku i saw roku start to move a little bit yesterday, um i was debating whether or not it would amount to anything special um. Well, it ended up going up to 238, which i feel like was one of the targets, maybe not yeah.
I don't. I don't really know with roku. I mean actually you're at the negative. You popped up yesterday sold all the way back down. Are you really gon na shift down? Are you gon na shift up potentially start a flag? Roku could be worth the watch. You just said about the neg too break above previous four hour, candle high and the two thirty ones. You have a stretch, move all the way up to 238 and or higher yeah yeah. I can see it nvidia my dude yeah nvidia's, probably going up so oh, maybe not going down.
That's right. The market crashed yesterday forgot about that um yeah downtrend yeah. I probably gon na trade that bearish well, let's see, what's the spy doing, i forgot about those guys uh market still just sitting like a smelly, turd qqq sitting like a smelly turd, i mean you guys know the deal you're not confused. You guys might be the only youtube stream online that is not confused about what you're supposed to probably do right market bearish day, qqq 392 spy bearish day wait.
Oh i'm like looking at the cues, still spy man bearish day, 460. 350.. It's pretty straightforward, oh boy! So a video she gets smoked see what happens when i start at 8 o'clock, so nvidia should get absolutely um yeah i mean it's going to get smoked. It's pretty straightforward.
Let's get a deeper analysis going sq, also down huge nvda yeah. So nvidia i mean you got, i mean yesterday was the down day where everyone's, like, oh my gosh, i just lost so much money in three seconds. Today is the day where well, i have no idea, i just don't. I don't know just follow the market if the market goes down.
This is going to go down back to like 3 15., so yeah, i would probably say, will go down to 315.. It won't go to that because that doesn't make sense. So let me do it like this that one's probably already well broken down ooh wait um! This could be getting interesting. Oh yes, very nice! Actually nvidia is kind of a lower.
It just came off a really low risk level for a short off the uh. 320. 73 price, but i wasn't totally prepared for that, but i would say that nvidia is more of a bearish trader for the day. If i had to guess we will she cool cool code, cool uh, you did not get it.
You did not get a notification. Well, of course, there's no need. Why would youtube ever notify you guys when we're live? That's not youtube's job. Even after you hit the notification bell and the subscribe button, and all that good stuff.
Why would they so yeah um? Like i said, i don't know, i kind of feel like we will continue seeing bearish movement on nvidia and on um the market today. Now, how far is uh is nvidia going to go down um for right now? Well, it you can see here right. If you look overnight it gapped down to this uh positive one, then we bounced up to the half deviation. Hence why i said that was a low risk.
Bearish entry looking back down, you would assume. If this is a bearish day, then the nvidia would just go all the way back down to basically 315 that low point and or below that. If the market really stayed bearish, i got a notice josh dale, that's good at least they're doing a portion of their job correctly. That's the thing! Some people get it some people, don't it's just kind of a up in the air thing. You know ooh ktta, looking spicy my dudes, so yeah i mean that's good. You broke out, you tested the breakouts sort of you know you're on the move. So if you bought the dip awesome, if you want to chase up that high break it over 480 awesome be my guest, do whatever you, please, hmm, all right so market's still just basically sitting doing, i mean basically nothing just trading sideways still, so you know. That's cool.
I am probably a little bit tired today, because i had to take my dog to the vet er last night yeah. He ripped his toenail off for one of those things and just completely snapped it at the nub. So little guy wasn't too happy. Last night neither was i my little guy was in pain, so uh yeah, probably just gon na sit here and and just wait till the market, opens see how these things shake out.
I mean, like i said i haven't really done any trading. What is it tuesday? Is it wednesday? I don't even know it doesn't matter, but i haven't really done any trading this week, so kind of just want to get a feel for how everything shakes up today yeah. So in that sense i am not going to put you guys on standby. While i go get a coffee so cheers to that gosh there we are ktta kind of setting up yeah, keep it on watch all right, so uh really quickly.
I'm gon na run through kind of a couple of these ones again so bbig for those of you that watch the video again pretty straightforward, since you did not go through 430 with confirming volume, the market is not going up. The market's going down don't be surprised. If you even see prices of about 309 on bbig today, let's take a look at prague too, so prague um, you guys pretty much know the deal. I mean.
We've said this since last week: when and if the market not like, you couldn't, have traded it before that or did bounces here or dips there, you do whatever you want to do, but when you go to the price of this purple line and blue line, that's Where the market can actually be very parabolic, so the move that you saw lvgn make the move you saw ispc make the move that you saw d-w-a-c make the move that you saw p-h-u-n make the move that you saw. M r k make the move that you saw be no that's not right, but all the other ones, those ones yeah. All of those guys that move happens when you break plus three plus four, as defined by the blue and the purple. So, in the event you see prague next couple weeks, whatever go through that price.