Learn more about Price Action Trading Secrets: https://priceactiontradingsecrets.com/
Let me ask you…
Do you trade with the trend but somehow, you always buy just before a reversal occurs?
Or how about you buy on a pullback. But turns out, the pullback is the start of a downtrend?
In other words, you're trading with the trend but still losing money consistently.
Why is that?
Simple.
You must learn how to identify trend reversal ahead of time so you can avoid getting caught on the wrong side of the move.
And that's what you'll learn in today's video.
So go watch it now...
Learn more about Price Action Trading Secrets: https://priceactiontradingsecrets.com/

Hey hey: what's up my friends, so in today's training you will learn right how to identify the end of a trend right. This will be useful right, because if you know that a trend is about to come to an end right, you can avoid losses right. You can stop, you know, let's say, for example: market is in an uptrend. The uptrend is about to come to an end.

You will, then you know, stop to look for buying opportunities, because the uptrend is about to come to an end. So this is powerful because it can help you avoid losses. At the same time, if you know that a trend is going to reverse, you can actually hop on the start of a new trend as early as possible. Okay, so this is uh going to be a fun and interesting training for you, because once you can identify the potential end of a trend right, you will see a improvement right in your results.

Okay, so let's get started so first thing: first right: what you want to do is, you know, pay attention to this slide, because this is simply right. My secret technique right on how to identify the end of a trend. So there are four components to it: number one: the price approaches the higher time frame structure. So what i mean by this is that let's say you are trading on a four hour time frame: okay, let's say four hour time frame is in an uptrend okay and what you want is for the this market on the forward timeframe to come into a higher Time frame, price structure could be a higher time frame resistance.

Maybe this area here is a higher time frame resistance, okay, so the way to go about it is that, if you're trading on a four hour time frame, you can reference the daily time frame as your higher time frame. If you are trading, let's say on the eight hour time frame, you can reference the weekly time frame as your higher time frame. So this is just a simple guideline to use. Okay, so if you are, let's say, uh trading on a forward time frame, you can look at the daily time frame right for price structure to see whether the price is coming into any potential area of support or resistance on the higher time frame.

Next one candles of the trending move getting smaller. So what i mean by this is that, as you know, in in an uptrend, you have a series of higher highs and higher lows like this: are your highs and higher lows, so the trending move here refers to the stronger leg of a trend. So this is a stronger leg of the trend, and this is what i call the trending move. This is the trending move.

This is the trending move, and finally, this one here, trending move okay. So what you want to pay attention is that the trending move right. The candles in the trending move right, it's getting smaller and smaller, telling you that the buyers right are getting weak third thing: the candles of the retracement move is now getting larger. So this is the retracement move right.

The smaller lick of a trend right, smaller lick of a trend - this is the retracement move, and this is the retracement move. So what you'll look for is for the candles of the retracement move to be getting larger, telling you that there's potential selling pressure coming in and the size of the candle right is getting larger and larger and then, finally, what you want to look for is a Break of structure, so, for example, you know an uptrend consists of higher highs and higher lows, and at this point right, the structure is still intact, because higher highs and higher lows are still being made consistently. The break of structure only occurs when you get something that invalidates this uptrend, which is a break of structure where you get a lower high here and a lower low when the price breaks below this swing low. Okay, so this is the four things right i want.
You to pay attention right to identify potential trend reversal and, as many of these four factors come together right, the odds of a reversal is much higher. So let me have you look at a few examples right, so you can see what we are looking for. Okay, so first one here, so if you look at this chart, okay right, this might seem like you know. Oh it's a nice uptrend right, but how could you have you know foretell right that this uptrend is about to come to an end? Okay, so remember the four things number one: the price right has to come into a higher timeframe, price structure, so this is the four-hour timeframe.

So what we're looking for is to make sure that this uptrend is it coming into this higher time frame resistance. Is this a higher timeframe resistance? Is this a daily timeframe resistance so to to show you right? What i'm going to do is to split the chart up like this okay. So this is the four-hour time frame, and over here, we'll be looking at, is the daily time frame. Okay, daily timeframe is here daily time frame.

Okay, so let me just uh walk you through the charts, so you see over here on your chart this portion here. Okay, it's the daily timeframe chart - and this is the four hour timeframe chart so on the daily timeframe. If i zoom out a little bit right over here, if i zoom out a little bit, you realize that it has actually come into this area of a previous uh previous support that could become resistance right previous support support, then price break below it. Re-Test previous support become resistance, and it's back here once again, so this area here this one here is actually this point over here this point here they are the same uh area on the chart.

Okay, so number one. We have the price coming into a higher time frame resistance. Next thing we are looking for the trending move right. Does it get smaller and smaller? So, let's have a look, so we'll pay attention to this portion here right, the trending move.

Yes right, it does seem to be getting smaller, you'll notice. The range of the candles initially the trending move here is quite bullish. Big and strong here is pretty bullish, big and strong as well here as well, then, after which right over here, you got smaller and smaller over here. Okay, so let me just go back to this: chart enlarge it, so you can see better okay notice how the trending move seems to be getting weaker and weaker.
Then let's pay attention to the retracement move this one over here, the retracement move. The candles are pretty small all right. This one is small and slowly getting larger notice. This candle here getting larger this one here, pretty small as well.

Here's a pretty small then over here boom something changed right. The candles of this retracement move is getting larger and larger so over here we have a number of factors coming in number. One price has approached the higher time frame resistance, as i've showed you earlier number two, the trending move is getting weak number three, the retracement move is getting strong and finally, the last thing we're looking for is a break of structure. So when the price broke below this swing low right, you now have a lower high and lower low.

So this is what uh we call a break of structure. At this point, right to me, there is a high chance that this market is going to reverse down lower, not 100, there's nothing sure in trading, but the odds of it reversing lower. It's uh, it's, i would say greater than 50. Okay, then, in this case yep it's a cherry pick chart you did you know roll over before it.

You know rally up higher once again, okay, so this is the first example. Let's have a look at another example right. This is dollar against the norwegian chrono. Okay, so let me just find the chart for you and again, if you are enjoying this video so far, right smash the like button.

If you don't, then hit subscribe so moving on right, let's have a look at this chart and ask ourselves right: how could we have so called predicted that this downtrend is about to come to an end, and this is going to be a start of a new Uptrend, how could we have you know four see this so again. A quick recap i want you to know. Is this uh four things that we are looking for price approaching the higher time frame, structure, candles of retracement moves, getting smaller candles of retracement move? Getting larger? Sorry candles of trending move getting smaller candles of retracement move, getting larger and break off structure. So let's look at this again same thing.

I'm going to you know, show you right where you are in the big picture, so i'm going to split my chart into two kaching right, so this dollar against norwegian chrono. This is a daily timeframe: okay, so daily timeframe. You are about here here, okay, so if i zoom out a little bit right, this point on the chart here is equivalent to this section here. Okay, so just to you know, orientate you, so if you look at the daily time frame right, what's interesting is that the price has actually approached this area of support notice it.
So this area on the daily time frame has approached this previous resistance. That could become support so now number one. We have our criteria right. The prices approach a higher time frame support next, one we are looking for is the trending move, so let's pay attention now to this uh eight hour time frame, so this one here can actually be seen on a weekly time frame right.

So let me just show you again so weekly timeframes, actually, i would say easier to spot right. It's the weekly time frame, okay! So now, let's go back to the uh, the lower our trading time frame to eight hour time frame. So, on the eight hour time frame, you know that, on the higher time frame, the weekly time frame, the price has come into this area of support previous resistance. That could become support.

So now, let's look at the eight hour time frame. So, in the eight hour time frame, let's see, if you know, were there signs right that the sellers were getting tired. So first thing: first, the trending move. This is the trending move.

This is the trending move, so pay attention to the trending move, and you realize that the size of the candles they are getting smaller right over here. It's all pretty large. This is pretty large, but over here it got really small right telling you that hey there's a lack of selling pressure. Next one we're looking for the retracement move right.

Are there buyers stepping in right taking control so over here the retracement move right, pretty weak right. Nothing too significant over here right, starting to show signs of crack. You have a slight pullback and then something significant starting to show again okay, so you can see that all in all the retracement move right bias seems to be stepping in so at this point right again right over here, you cannotice that the range of the retracement Move getting larger as well, so when you see that this is the start of a new trend right, this now right, sort of invert right, the trending move now becomes the retracement move and the retracement move now will become the trending move. Okay, so again, if you look at this the start of this new trend, okay, so now you can see that this now has become the trending move, whereas previously on a downtrend, this is actually the retracement move, so their roles will change.

Okay, so again back to where we are the retracement move, you can see that buyers are starting to come in. Look at this size of this huge candle. Look at the size of this candles getting larger as well relative to the previous trending move down lower, which is smaller, okay. So, finally, what we're looking for is a break of structure.

So at this point right when the price broke above this high, you now have a series of higher high and higher low okay, and this is pretty much amongst the end of this downtrend over here. Okay, so you can see how these four factors come together. So, let's have a look at another example: right, uh s, p 500: this is the uh, the stock market, the futures market. So again, how could you have you know, sort of like foretell right that this could be near the end of this downtrend again, first thing we're looking for is for the price to approach a higher time frame price structure, so in this case we're looking for the Price to approach the higher time frame support okay.
So this is the eight hour time frame. Let's split our chart into two: let's have a look at the weekly time frame. Okay, so you can see over here the weekly time frame at this point here. Okay, the price has come into this area of support.

Okay, let me just orientate you so you see over here. This portion here is equivalent to this portion here, okay, so on the higher time frame, we have approached this area of support on the higher time frame so back to our eight hour time frame vector eight out time frame here: okay, let's zoom in the chart - and You see where they're right were there clues right there, the market tells you that it's about to reverse so over here. Look at the trending move. First, is it getting weaker? So this is the trending move.

This is the trending move, trending move down lower and you see that uh, the trending move right at this point in time, it's kind of mixed right. So again i want to point out to you that you know in the real world of trading. It may not be as textbook as you know, you might hope. So, i'm going to you know, walk you through some a bit of gray area, so you know what to expect, so you can see that this trending move right at this point in time.

It still actually shows pretty strong signs of weakness. The candle of the down move is still pretty large, pretty large, pretty pretty large, pretty large and up to here right. This way first show signs of slowing down where the range of the candles got smaller and smaller. Okay, so the trending move, we can see that slowly, it's getting weaker and weaker.

Now, what about the retracement move right? If you look at the retracement move again right now, this one is pretty large as well. I would say this is pretty large pretty large. This is kind of like large as well right, just chopping up and down, and then this over here pretty large retracement move. So you can see that the retracement move has been.

You know. Uh, the size of the candles has been pretty large right relative to the trending move earlier, so they're kind of like equal footing. Okay and finally, the last thing we're looking for is a break of structure. So, since that this is a downtrend, a break of structure would have to result in a higher high and higher low.

Okay. The price comes up here. We have a higher high and higher low okay. So at this point here is the one right where the price breaks above this swing high.
We have a higher high higher high and higher low okay. So again right, we have all almost all of these four factors coming together. That really result in the reversal of this downtrend over here. So i'm going to look at one more final example.

Right just to you know, uh make you understand this concept that i've shared with you today last one right, swiss franc against the japanese yen. So if you look at this one over here right, how could you have you know sort of like tell that hey this downtrend is about to come to an end. Again, let's go back to what i've shared with you. The first guideline is to make sure that the price come into a higher time frame price structure.

So this is a four hour time frame. Let's see right whether the daily time frame, the price is at approaching an area of support. Okay. So, let's look at the daily time frame so on the daily time frame.

You can see that this part here, okay over here, okay over here this area here right, is basically this area here on the four-hour timeframe. They are the same level just that on different time frame, so you notice on the daily time frame. We actually came into this area of support right right, where previous resistance could become support kind of similar to the norwegian chrono example. You saw there so yes, number one: our criteria is met.

The price has come into a higher timeframe, support let's go back down to the trading time frame. In this case, the forward timeframe and see you know whether were there signs or clues right that hey buyers are coming in to reverse this downtrend so number one. Let's look at the trending move. The trending move.

Is this larger part of the lake over here uh? The stronger lake of this downtrend, the trending move, trending move trending move, so you can see that trending move. Yes right, the the sellers are getting weak as the range of the candles were getting smaller and smaller. You compare the size of this candle range over here with this over here and finally, with this over here notice. How this segment here is much smaller.

So, yes, uh training move is getting smaller. What about the the uh retracement move so over here, retracement move over here, like this candle, is huge but then followed by small series of candles. This one is huge, then pretty small candle then over here. This is where we have many big bullish candles coming together.

So the retracement move is showing signs of strength as well. So that's that's what we're looking for. Finally, the last thing right: do we have a break of structure? Okay. So in this point right we have a break of structure.

In fact, multiple break of structure. At this point here you see that we have a break of structure, price pulls back, then it breaks out higher high. You have a higher low, but what happens immediately is that the price swings down lower again right, swings down lower and then finally, like stage the rarely a second time before it reverse higher. So again, you know this concept that i'm about to share with you that i've shared with you right.
I want to show you both kind of like textbook examples and not so technical examples. So when you apply this concept in trading right when you know when you want to trade reversals or when you know want to find out whether the trend is about to end or not right, hopefully this concept. So it gives you a good idea to what to look for, okay and and by the way, if you want to learn more about price action, trading trend, reversal, breakout trading and stuff like that uh, i would like you to know check out this oops. This is a book over here.

It's called price action trading secrets right. This is 140 page color trading book, where you know you'll discover price action, trading strategies that you can trade, the stock markets, fx markets and, much more so again, right this book right uh. It's a physical book i like to ship it out to you just cover the printing and shipping cost right and it'll, get it to you as soon as possible. So we can go down to the website here, pricesectiontradingsecrets.com and get your copy, and you know these are pretty much the uh things that you'll learn over here: no support resistance, candlestick patterns, reversals and much more so with that said, i have come to the end of This training hope you enjoyed it and i will talk to you soon.


By Stock Chat

where the coffee is hot and so is the chat

32 thoughts on “How to identify the end of a trend? (my secret technique)”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Ameil Tirant says:

    What higher timeframe should I be looking at it im trading the 15 minute

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Mathias sari says:

    As usual the explanation is 🚀❤️⬆️💸💯

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Shawn Vitale says:

    If you trade the 5 min chart, what is the higher time frame we should reference?

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Adib Othman says:

    U just making basic trade into powerful strategy

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Nathaniel Smith says:

    What platform do yall use that could work for US? the spreads on everything for forex are killer

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars futurenaire says:

    so what about the traders on the 5min what time frame can we use for a heads up?

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Pallab says:

    What will be the higher timeframe for 5 min charts. Intraday here.

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars man180 says:

    Identify end of a trend? I will observe once price goes near my zone. Then i can tell if trend is ending & will reverse.

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Tony Liao says:

    Just want to say thanks, thank you for the valuable lesson. I've got your book, and it gave me a good starting point into the world of trading. and going through your videos has provided a large amount of value. You're a great teacher. Now the thing i need to learn most is controlling my emotion when trading.

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Nicolas says:

    You are the #1 please always remember that

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Tim Yeung says:

    can i apply these concepts for intraday scalping or daytrades? or is it more for higher timeframes?

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Mokgwatse Sekgobela says:

    This is very valuable, thank you sir

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Milind Patil says:

    You explained in a simple way and it is logical. I have only one question that in India our technical analysts give the examples of stocks whereas most of the technical analysts outside India give the example of only Currency charts i.e. USD/JPY, EUR/USD, etc. – Why is it so ?

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Nv Shines says:

    Do you want all four of the bullet points to be fulfilled, to recognize a trend reversal, or just a few?

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Søren Højslet says:

    How do you know if it is a large candel or a small, is it a comparison with the nearest candels, or is it based on ATR, or …

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars sankha subhra chaudhuri says:

    I trade in 1min time frame wat will be my higer time frame 5 min?

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars CupCakeCup says:

    The only two superman man i know in my life, one from the movie and second is you.

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars shyam dikshit chavali says:

    Awsme Rayner. Need help with the sequence of videos / playlist i should start from. Watching your videos since a week but still lost. I keep going back and forth on multiple videos. Please help. Thanks ton man.

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Rheinnaa Tjioe says:

    not all heroes wear capes,sometime they only use shirt and talk 15 minutes to teach you

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Mayank Gupta says:

    Love the content Rayner…
    U r the best ❤️

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Anastasia B says:

    Great video! How do you know when to use the weekly (H8) or the daily (H4)?

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars An DreyTrader says:

    Im 16 and Im learning how to trade. Your videos help me understand a lot, Thank you

  23. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars prince kabuli says:

    tHANKS MAN U HELPED ME A TON, I HV LEARNT A LOT FROM YOU

  24. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Ta Thanh Kieu says:

    The painful lily extraorally recognise because single interestingly smell per a direful slave. uninterested, panicky ashtray

  25. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Vinod Nasha says:

    Your vocabulary is horrible as hell, try speaking without stammering,

  26. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Edgar Seleka says:

    hi Rayner, are your strategies developed for youtube trading?

  27. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Sam's Trading Network says:

    Thanks for this,,,Super helpful Rayner…

  28. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Richard Bianco says:

    You make me Superman, Rayner, I'm with you, got your back any time friend.

  29. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Christopher Chong says:

    you are genuinely teaching people price action. these are all base on your experience. i wonder how you come out with these theories, if you ask me i think you must have spend hell a lot of time in studying charts in order to be able to identify all these. thank you for you nice work !

  30. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Yağmur Seçkin says:

    I admire the way you teach! You have great methods, love your recaps and various examples! Thank you so much for your efforts. Greetings from Turkey, İstanbul.

  31. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars fatima chandio says:

    superb.. awsome..You are great sir. Thank you

  32. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars fraz Asghar says:

    Hope you Answer my question?
    Language can be Change Possible?

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