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Dear mr j pal, i don't want any more of this hit me baby, one more time, crap. I want hit me with your best shot. That is give it to us already. Today's the day.
Folks today is fomc day. Markets still have consensus. Pricing in from fed economists and watchers of a 50 basis point hike, which is ridiculous, because over 80 percent of the market is actually pricing in a 75 basis. Point hike, jp morgan gave us actually very interesting scenarios today in terms of what could happen based on the rate hikes, and so we're going to go through those right now.
First, they suggest that if we get a 50 basis point hike, the stock market might actually fall. This was actually somewhat the opposite of what, in the past, we've expected, because we've always wanted smaller is better, just keep it to a soft, but we have been so reamed in this market now we're just sick and tired of small. We want the big one give it to us, so we can finally feel something again right. So, that's actually very interesting that now, potentially a 50 bp hike could be negative because we finally want the fed to grow some balls and do it the right way.
Hike appropriately give us at least 75. some folks calling for a hundred one person, at least interviewed by uh bloomberg, suggested that the fed should just literally go straight to three percent. Some suggest that that would be kind of like getting paul volcker, but, let's be real. Getting paul volcker is setting interest rates at the fed higher than the rate of inflation, so getting paul volcker would be like all right.
Good luck! Everybody we're going to 10. That would probably throw us into a depression, but anyway, this this whole, like 25 50. Bp nonsense is bad, and so it's no surprise that jpm says if we get a 50, the market would probably go down, because we would think that inflation will keep going. This problem will keep getting worse, not better.
Next jp morgan believes that if we get a 75 bp hike, the market will actually really, in fact take a look at this bloomberg chart here. That suggests that after fomc meetings, markets tend to rally which is actually what happened. In march, we had a substantial two to three week, rally which was pretty cool: let's see if the fed wakes up and does some good work today and we can actually get a rally yeah, because we want a rally that way we could prepare more to build Wealth with real estate and learn more and spend more time learning more via the programs on building your wealth link down below with a coupon code expiring next week. Take advantage of that before it's gone, the price goes up again.
Oh we've got some really cool surprises. Coming this month, for course, members anyway, so what about, if we get a larger hike larger than 75 bp well jp morgan tells us that would probably be bad if we ended up getting something like a 100 basis point hike. The market would not actually see that as being priced in and potentially we would have to price that in. However, on monday - and this is the counter argument to that logic, on monday, we basically priced in a four percent terminal rate. This is very important because the previous terminal rate that we had been pricing in the fed was right around two point: seven, five to three percent. On monday, when the nasdaq fell, almost five percent - and you know it effectively - came down to what negative 33 for the year. It was believed that we had now priced in a substantially higher terminal rate, and so who cares if we get a 100 basis, point hike or one percent hike? Who cares we've already priced in that terminal rate, but then we would have higher rates for another extra. Six weeks longer - and maybe there would be a little bit of short-term red jpm - believes, though, that that would fade because the market would realize.
Ah, we kind of need it so look. My goal is to go live for the fed meeting, because i want to go through that scp summary of economic projections and what do we expect to find in that? Well, we expect the fed to actually finally be real with us. Tell us that we're on the teetering totter of a recession with gdp forecasts for the end of the year, probably close to zero percent. What are the ranges for gdp forecast? Is anyone negative on gdp forecast? What about unemployment? How much of an uptick do they think we're gon na get and when's inflation actually going to go down and if they don't actually give us real numbers that are believable, we're going to think they're lying and when the fed loses confidence? That's when they end up having to pull vulcarus, so we don't want the fed to lose.
You know even more face. We want them to actually grow up here and give us their best shot.
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Kevin you da man!!!! I dream of Kevin, StrongMan and Jermey one day all becoming best step Bros.
Kevin you da man!!!! I dream of Kevin, StrongMan and Jermey one day all becoming best step Bros.
Good luck everyone! Lord knows we all gonna need it ❤️
This is funny.. The feds will make the market do whatever they have planned
Kevin has reached level 50 Ben Mallah with how he speaks these days.
In my opinion, you are excited to gain more during the crash. Your face expression tells me that you are very well prepared and ready to deploy your capital.
Is this the real meet kevin lately or is this ben mallah rubbing off? Sometimes it's old meet kevin and sometimes its ben mallah meet kevin.
Nice plug 😂
Volcker is the only solution
100 will be nice
.50 is more likely than 1.00
Paper hand Kevin. If he's scared I may just go long. Worst trader ever
😆 😘
Meet Kevin is a great singer!
Seriously! I hope they grow a pair and just hit us with a 100 BP hike.
Hello from NYC 🗽
Hahahaha I love you Kevin
I think it's just going to be 75 BP – Powell is not crazy enough to do 100 BP
Give me that 75 basis points!!!
50 bps Kevin jpow isn’t a volcker, Biden will get mad
Geeezzzz, watch everything go down
The intro is awesome thanks Kevin!!!
2nd
Kevin come back home so things calm down in markets. This will be the most important fed meeting ever possibly.
Good. We need rugged pulled to stabilize this insane volatility.
Good morning
no we are not
First
Hit me baby one more time
Mr satan REEEEE REEEEE REEEEEEEEE monkey money
First
First
First
1st