Markets are on edge waiting for Friday's inflation figures. Investors don't want to get caught out by a surprise, so trading before the data release has been light, with U.S. stock futures, benchmark bond yields and the dollar little changed early Friday.
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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Indexes are available for the U.S. and various geographic areas. Average price data for select utility, automotive fuel, and food items are also available.
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Test test, one two: three test test: one: two: three: what's going on team, it's ricky with tech, but solutions hope that you guys are all having a great start to your friday. So uh this is going to be the cpi data release. Uh. We are waiting uh.

It should be released in about nine minutes, so i'm going to start sharing my screen, so you guys can see exactly what it is that i have going on right. How are we all doing this morning doing good? Can you guys hear me okay, so i thought the live stream was at 5 15 a.m. I know i was struggling. Getting this thing live.

I always have my like learn plan profit livestream. I apologize for being five minutes late um, but we're 10 minutes early to the live right, uh or before the report is released. So we are anticipating uh, this release, seeing where the market goes. Um markets are pretty much trading sideways as of right now, after yesterday's sell-off, uh not really doing much, as you guys can tell the entire pre-market pretty much break even up one percent, maybe for tkq, and this is after dropping eight percent on uh thursday.

So not very surprised there, but um yeah again. One of the things that we are really looking out for is just progress for the cpi report right. The feds want to see that there is actually some positive influence, at least in some areas, for inflation and hopefully that gets that gets factored in into this report. So so thanks ricky, we appreciate you.

Of course, please explain uh if we have lower or higher inflation. I think the biggest areas where i mean we can we've broken this one down before right uh. This was last month's, and i gave a couple examples yesterday in a couple of videos, so yeah i mean i i'd love to break it down too the way the cpi data is calculated. I mean we're at 8.3 percent um and it's calculated from you know the past 12 months right may to april and if you were to add them all up, it's not exactly there's a there's, an actual formula but um, it's relatively pretty close.

So this time we're going to be dropping, may and then adding the month uh the new month of may right for 2022. uh, the previous one that was factored in is 0.7. So what we're? What i would say is what i'm really looking forward to is. Hopefully, there's nothing higher than 0.7, but because we're at point or 8.3, hopefully there's nothing greater than 0.9 um, because at that point, if it's anything one point or more um.

That means that inflation has not peaked and that most likely we're going to be at 8.6. Right and the highest inflation that we've experienced recently is 8.5, and that was during uh when march reported in april. So yeah we have about six minutes, left six minutes left for the market to react. I see a couple of you guys are asking: what's the move, i don't know if you've ever seen any of my videos.

We never tell any of our traders what to trade when to trade or anything like that um. That's not what we're here to do right! We've talked about it many times at any time, the market's uncertain time right. We talked about it yesterday. My first video was like hey we're still showing signs of a resistance, um markets, anticipating the cpi data report.
It might be best to play it safe. I mean the past five months. If it's taught us anything, is that you know either staying cash and or staying light in your position might be quite useful right so and rightfully so after that eight percent sell-off. I think it was very easy to to see that all right, so let's go back to the main page.

It should be updated here uh. I have a couple other sites on my second screen that, if that, if it populates there first um, we can go ahead and break it down and i'll just pull those screens over here. So all right, so would a higher cpi be good or bad for the euro? Slash usd. Probably i don't know i don't trade 4x um, but it would be bad for the usd right, because, if inflation's going up then that means the valley per dollar is down.

So when is the cpi report? It is in four minutes. It is one hour before the market opens, which for us is in four minutes. Futures are creeping up yeah. I do see that so we have tkq up one percent during the pre-market session, not too shabby yeah.

If you want to pull up this report yourself, i mean it's bls right, so bls.gov forward, slash cpi, it's a super easy domain right. So i see someone asking for the domain or the url kevin yeah bls.gov forward, slash cpi. If you want to pull it up yourself, alrighty, so qqq falling it shouldn't be falling, it should actually be going up. Are you playing ask qqq? So i mean the market.

Reacts to this report instantly it's kind of like for those who are familiar with it, it's kind of like the natural gas report. By the time the report actually comes out and we have access to it. We're not going to be able to do much right. The market reacts instantly to it.

So what i look for is for market reaction. If i can see there to be a consistent direction, then i can choose to trade it. I didn't come on to this live stream to try to aggressively trade it. If i choose to trade it great right, if i see there to be a consistent direction, but if i see that it's choppy, if i see that it's unclear, then conditions are not in my favor and i don't have to force a trade.

I feel, like sometimes traders think that every time that they're put up to the t that they think that they have to swing - and that's definitely not the case - i mean i everyone's - been anticipating um this cpi data report. So why not just be present right be present, see what happens and then make a decision shortly after you don't have to make impulsive decisions at a moment's notice that you might end up regretting later on right. Think about it. It's been nearly six months and nothing has necessarily happened right.

You haven't really missed out on much. So why are you in such a rush to not miss out on something all right, i'm not doing any breakdowns. So if you're asking me to break down a stock, i'm not doing any of that right now, all right, so it's to be released in one minute so to be released in one minute again. Um, if you guys, are tuning in live, if it's not too much to ask, hopefully we earn your thumbs up and maybe you can consider subscribing alright.
Here we go, let's see which way the market reacts again. This is what we're here to capture here. It goes few seconds trying to see if i can refresh it here on my side as well. All right looks like we're about to release there.

It goes there, it goes and we're seeing a drop, we're seeing a drop. I don't see the numbers yet there. It goes pretty significant drop right, we're down three percent during the pre-market session, 2.5 percent, three percent: look at that instant reaction and we still don't even have access to it. But again sometimes we tend to see an overreaction, so it might sell off at first and then it quickly recovers.

Trying to pull it up. Are we at eight point six there? It goes markets, tanking, 3.8, 3.9 percent, so one percent from last month. What a useless website look at this still hasn't released. Okay, here it goes all right cpi, for all the items in may rise, one percent - let's go ahead and break it down, so we could see that we are at 8.6 overall for the last 12 months, which puts us at the highest rate of inflation that we've Been since 2000 or in 40 years right, i think it's 1980, something like that.

Let's go ahead and break it down. Do you guys want to break it down? I feel like that's. Why we're here right, wait! This isn't it they haven't updated it yet. Ah, okay, all right 8.6: let's see what we saw the biggest increase on for the month of may okay, and this is kind of what we were look at this the biggest contributor.

No question fuel oil check this out: 16.9 16.9. There, it goes mark, gets down 4.3 percent already. We saw an increase of gasoline at 4.1 and this was after april we saw a decrease of 6.1 a decrease of 5.4, and this is what's unfortunate when we see a decrease one month and then a rise once again the next month. This actually actually still puts us because we're positive here, positive here and then positive here so out of all of this, we have gasoline or fuel and oil to be the largest contributor in the triple digits when it comes down to the oh inflation we've seen in The past 12 months, what else is there anything else that stands out for you guys, there's nothing that has dropped month over month, energy 3.9.

We got energy commodities 4.5 so again from month to month. This is what we saw an increase of so based off of april. We lost 2.7, we increased 3.9. So then we gained right a difference of what 1.2 still rising um when it comes down to that on this one we rose 5.4 and then this month i so we lost 5.4 in this one.
We lost 4.5 anything else, so this one's quite a bit of an increase so piped gas services 8.0. I want to see where retail is apparel, no not much of an increase just yet, but these were seeing decreases month over month, and this was the first month. We did not see a decrease used car prices where's that one at used cars. We saw an increase from negative 0.4 to 1.8, so used car prices going up once again.

Yeah i mean. Can we say that we're surprised right if we look at any oil stocks check this out any oil stocks? We could see that you know look at us, look where we're at for the past year. Right ever since the pandemic, we are literally making new highs. Ah, lovely, lovely, lovely, lovely, oh my gosh, you guys are ridiculous.

I just saw someone's comment: tesla dropping like biden's approval all right how many hours until the cpi it was already released. We literally that's exactly what we're just breaking down here. It goes ask qqq up on the day check it out up to 54 dollars a share up 5, but the question is: will it hold, will it hold and will momentum continue even at market open? So, what's the bullet point update inflation has made new highs, inflation has not peaked, so it is worse than anticipated, so inflation is at eight point six percent. Overall, for the last 12 months, all urban consumers rose by one percent.

Gasoline was the biggest consumer contributor, uh fuel and oil, and that was from or by 16.9 points. It's you know it's the only one in the triple digits. By far the closest one is again the other fuel on gasoline areas, but they're not even halfway to what we've experienced with fuel oil, unfortunately unfortunate, but again, there's still no solution, there's still no solution for oil. I don't understand how it's such a concern.

It's it's getting factored into the cpi and our inflation report right. Yet there's nothing that is being done about it. How could there not be a solution for current? You know demand issues, so gas prices are reasonable check prices in europe. It's not gas.

Prices are not reasonable. First off now, what how can you even say that everything's everything's reasonable relative to what you compare it to right? Well, hey! I lost ten thousand dollars today right! Well, that's reasonable in comparison to maybe someone that lost one million dollars, but no we're not trying to compare it to someone. That's at the absolute bottom of the barrel right gas prices are not reasonable. There could there's multiple solutions that have been presented.

Yet nothing has been done. Kind of nonsense. Is that all right we're showing higher lows on sqq showing signs of an uptrend here? So i'm new and don't know what to do so. I mean there's, there's nothing that you have to do markets reacting to what the report said.

Inflation has not peaked. We saw an increase in the month of may. That was reported today we're at 8.6 percent, which is the highest inflation that we've experienced in the past 40 years, and obviously the markets react instantly and it gets factored in instantly. You don't have to do anything.
I mean any reaction in the market tends to be an overreaction, so um. This is why we told you in advance, there's not much. You can do now right market reacted already. If now you're saying oh man, what should i do with my long-term investments? It's ridiculous right: it's you should have done this in advance, you don't you don't prepare for something in a moment's notice, right, because you're going to be impulsive, you're going to be emotional and irrational.

So as of right now ask qqq and i'm sure all the series of inverse etfs are going up as of right now, they're not actually going up as quickly as i thought, right, they're only up four percent, but again uh, and this is a triple leveraged etf. So if we look at something like qqq, it should really only be down about 1.1. As of right now yeah, it's down 1.2 percent. It's not the end of the world.

This already got factored into the market, um yeah. So yesterday they did a really good job. Factoring this stuff in now we're up less than four percent, so it looks like we're actually beginning to pull on back. What do you expect during normal market hours here? Let me let me look at my crystal ball, real, quick and see what i expect.

I don't know market's barely reacting. This happened 10 minutes ago, there's no form of consistency. One of the biggest things that i try to look for is consistency. If we see consistent higher highs and higher lows during the pre-market session, then yeah that can transition into normal market hours, but it doesn't look that way.

It looks like we pumped up, it became overbought, it was an overreaction right and then we correct itself. What people forget is that yesterday we pushed up eight percent on sqq, we dropped 2.75 on the nasdaq market. Bad news was already factored in to the market. This was just worse than expected.

So there's a reaction. Yes, cracked me up james. I have to huh it's an inside joke that we have within learn plan profit anytime, that we get a question of like hey ricky. What do you think this stock is going to do and that's how i react so all right? What do you guys think? Would you guys like me to continue to live stream uh for a little bit longer, or should we close it out it's up to you guys.

I want to answer any questions that that we can for you. So, let's see so i'm not buying spy yeah don't buy it. I mean guys: we've been selling off for five months. Are you really surprised that we pulled back today 3.5? Are you actually surprised no like how? How can you this is the part that, like okay, we'll stay a little bit longer? I appreciate that.
Hopefully, it's not too much to ask if you guys can smash that like button, i don't even know how many likes this video has. Oh, i could see. We have 600 likes. I thought we would have actually a little bit more.

We have quite a bit of you guys here, so if we can get a thousand likes, we'll livestream a little bit longer, let's see what we're at um no, but i really do appreciate just like you know, you guys appreciate me. Waking up live streaming. Same same goes to you right, you guys could be sleeping in, but it is exciting. Regardless i mean.

Obviously things did not go according to plan um, as in we hoped that with the market didn't get worse, but um we're not surprised. I mean we're pretty conditioned for this at least our learn plan. Profit group is right, holy smokes. You guys destroyed that like button, damn one 1.1 k likes.

I appreciate that. Maybe we'll even do a giveaway. I don't know. Maybe if we get what should we do? How many likes so we can start giving away some mouse pads some flags we'll talk about it in a bit, but um yeah this this! That's the part that kind of like uh baffles me is when i see a couple of our traders um or a couple people comment, you know in the chat room that, oh, my god, i can't believe the market is like selling off.

Like really you you can't, you can't believe that you know the market can get worse. We've been selling off for five months. I see a couple people uh tuning on in right now, yep cpi data was released, uh 8.6, which means that inflation has not peaked. This is why usqq is rising um, so um fuel oil was the biggest contributor, and that was at six point.

Nine percent uh 6.9 points of an increase, so free gas giveaway at 2k likes that's hilarious, uh, but yeah. So this is actually a really good sign. This is a really good sign for the overall market. Look at this.

We have lower highs forming already, so it actually does look like we are seeing an overreaction, so this might actually be somewhat of a decent time. Um not yet right because we're still trading above the ema line, ema uh, we're still trading above the ema line, but it looks like as of right now we are forming these lower highs, which is a step in the right direction right, because if we form these Lower highs, then we'll probably retest that ema support pretty soon uh, so you are always well prepared. So now, from what age do you plan to search your daughter to get involved in stocks? Have you ever thought of that um? Not necessarily for my daughter. I i mean first off she's four months old right and just because i'm into something doesn't mean that i want her to be into it.

I don't care what she ends up wanting to do right. It doesn't have to be money driven. Does it mean that i won't show her what it is that i do no, of course i'd love to right. I think that's the whole point of parenting um, but yeah i mean if she wants to be a teacher if she wants any profession, regardless of the monetary pay because she enjoys it, then i think that's your job as a parent just to support your child, regardless Of what they want to do, i'm very thankful that you know and grateful that i i work in a field where it's not only rewarding but very rewarding in the monetary aspect but um.
I know it's not for everyone think about it. Think about all of you guys right. I think you guys are great examples like you guys are up one hour before the market opens on a friday, like you guys have to give yourself a pat in the back right, especially for those that are in the east coast. Let's be honest, i'm not very impressed, but for all of you guys are in the west coast for those that are in hawaii.

It's insane, you guys are putting in the hours you guys are committing to this, and i think that that speaks volumes in your ability. Not just to want something but to work towards it right so west coast baby. What's going on bradley, what's going on my guy tampa bay, hey i mean, if you guys are on the east coast. Yes, are just in better conditions, right, better conditions for these markets.

Thank you for the early show. Now, of course, i appreciate you guys spending some time with me. Hopefully you guys did enjoy it um all right. We didn't get the 1500 likes that we were hoping for, but um west coast is the best coast.

I like that. Now, oh, australia, i don't even know what time it is over there uh. What time is the cpi cpi was already released again? Cpi uh rose, one percent um with all items. Cpi is now at 8.6 in the last 12 months.

This is the highest cpi report or inflation report that we've seen or inflation numbers we've seen in the past 40 years, so yeah that that's that's where we're at right now: uh fuel and oil is the biggest contributor. So all right, uk here lithuania, i love it all right. 1.5 k likes like i said i was gon na - do i'll do a couple giveaways, so we do giveaways a little bit different here. Um! There's it's nothing special! I don't care where you're at i'll ship.

It out to you, you just got ta. Give me an address and you're gon na have to message me on instagram. So if you guys refresh this screen, the fourth link in the description of this video is my instagram. So before we do anything, follow me on instagram and you're gon na have to send me a message.

If you win, we do things very, very simple right, so we're gon na be giving away something. So, let's do let's start off with um, you guys want to start off with mouse, pads or flags. What do you guys want? You guys want some trading flags or some mouse pads, our new rgb? What do you guys think about these here? It goes sqq is rising, looks like it actually is, showing signs of a higher low support. I appreciate that jose.

Thank you again. So all right, how about we do i'll do three flags and two mouse pads. Is that fair, i'll give away five items up to you guys we weren't see yeah, i feel like we have to entertain you guys now that you guys are up market, doesn't open until 40 minutes uh i'm going to be live streaming with our lpp team, but That's going to be a separate, live stream. Okay, so it's very, very simple for all of you, guys that want to participate in the giveaway um, you guys can click.
I think it's the th. I don't know what link it is. It's shoptechbuds.com, whatever we're gon na do flag giveaway first right, whatever flag, you want. Let's say that you want the hustle to inspire flag.

All you have to type out in the live. Chat is hustle to inspire. If you want the graffiti duck flag just put graffiti, if you want the retro flag, just click retro. If you want the problem, duck flag problem right, there's a bunch of them! So there's the wall street bull type in wall street bull, any of them that you want again just type in the name in the live chat and keep typing it in right.

So we're going to see a bunch of people that are familiar with our items. You see they're going to start typing it out. All i'm going to do is once it really gets going. I'm going to screenshot and whoever i screenshot whoever's most in the middle will win that part of the giveaway i'm going to do three flags first and then two mouse pads so again head on over to shop, techbuds.com and or i think it's the fourth link in The description of this video so ready and i'll i'll show it, so you guys can see exactly what it is that i'm talking about all right, so i'm ready to screenshot i'm going to give you guys a 10 second head start to start typing it in 10.

Second, head start to start typing in, do not all right. That's one of our rules do not spam more than once. If i get your screenshot and it's more than just one typed in more than once, you automatically get disqualified there. It goes ready three.

So again, this is the little box you want to be in. If you want to win, you see that three two whoever's more in the middle ready, three, two one all right. So here we go. We got julia um, mer, marellas, so julia morelles said the wall street bull flag.

Send me a message on instagram, be like hey ricky. I won the giveaway um. I want the wall street bull. Just send me a message.

All right. We're gon na do two more ready, two more: let's do it three or let's do a countdown from five five. Four, three, two one all right! Well, this person didn't really understand we're doing flags right now. So all right! Let's do that one again, because that one didn't count they were asking for a mouse pad i'll.

Do it a little bit bigger whoever's in the middle ready, five, four, three, two all one day trader mousepad again, it's ryan! That's gon na win this one. So this one's the retro duck so ryan asked for the retro duck ryan feel free to message me on and show me that you're tuning on in so record it that you're watching me right now show your youtube account and then show me the flag that you Want just send me a message right now on instagram, so he selected the retro flag, which looks like this all right. Let's do one more fly giveaway. So if i'm not mistaken, this is the retro duck flag.
So, let's do one more again we're just doing flags right now. We're gon na do mouse pads shortly after all, right, ready, five, four, three, two one jj and three. I have no idea what that is, and you ruined two other people's chances here. Let's do it again, whoever's more in the middle ready three, two one dude last time: five, four, three, two one! Oh my goodness! What is this so we have dev saying one, and then we have danny? U, with a retro duck i'll, just give you guys both um flags, so just send me a message on instagram and i'll.

Just give you guys both now we're doing mouse pads. We have two mouse pads so which ones do you guys want? This is the cash only rgb mouse pad um. I think we still have some in stock. Oh nope sold out.

We actually just got these in stock yesterday and they already sold out so we're gon na have to double check. So we have the extra extra large day trader mouse pad rgb wall street rgb graffiti duck right, whichever one you want. So, whichever mouse pad you want just say the name monopoly mouse pad one million mouse pad diamond hands mouse pad whatever you want ready. We're gon na do two of these five four three two one.

So we have the day trader, rgb, mouse, mousepad and that is buckley. Just send me so you're more in the middle. So just send me a message on instagram show me. Your youtube show me that you're watching this and show me that you won so all right.

Let's do one last one: we haven't done these giveaways in a while, so we're also giving away an ipad air on the actual shop tech bud site. So if you don't win, but you still want a mouse pad then again friendly reminder anything that you buy automatically enters you for our giveaway for the ipad air giveaway. So five, four three two one all right: we got joefy young winning the day trader mouse pad joefy young and again we do these giveaways from time to time. So if you didn't win this time, please don't be salty to those that did right.

We give these things away all the time. Um so, and i mean they're they're, not. I mean they're they're, 20 to 30 dollar mouse pads and 20 to 30 dollar flags right. So if you guys liked any of the stuff that you guys saw here today, this is from shop tech, but shop techbuds.com, it's the fourth link down below and again for every one dollar you spend, you earn five automatic entries, so just just take it as as What it is so yeah other than that again just a friendly reminder: cpi data report was released 8.6 for the last 12 months.
One percent overall for the month of may and market is reacting. We have the nasdaq market down. Sqq is up 5 and it's honestly looking pretty bullish as of right now and it's testing to make new highs so um yeah, i mean that's, that's really just it. I'm gon na be uh.

I'm gon na grab and make myself a quick little milkshake uh. We have 30 minutes until my learn plan. Profit live trading session, so um, if you guys, are part of my learn - plan profit group or if it's going to be the first time that you ever get to watch me. Trade live then just make sure that you get ready for that.

That's going to be a separate, live stream, so also, if you've ever wanted to join my team friendly reminder, we are running a cell today. It should be linked. The first link in the description uh. It's 100 off our learn plan, profit, lesson library, so it's all inclusive.

You get access to the a2z video lesson, library designed for complete beginners. My daily live training session. You get access to our private group chat and also you get access to our tech. Buds trading hq, which is our office in chandler arizona.

You get access to everything, it's a one-time payment, lifetime access, um and it's all inclusive for today, 100 off, and that's that first link down below if you're ready to join other than that. I really do appreciate you guys time um. Thank you guys again for tuning in. I hope that you guys did enjoy.

It hope that we earned your thumbs up. Please consider subscribing and, like always, let's make sure that we end the year on a green. Now. Thank.


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