In this video we go over the Hertz bankruptcy and resurgence. The car rental company went bankrupt in 2020 as the pandemic destroyed their business and their stock price fell below $1. Many retail investors bought in at the lows and made a handsome profit when they came to a favorable bankruptcy settlement.
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What's up guys and welcome back to wall street millennial on this channel, we cover everything related to stocks and investing. You may have heard about the rental car company hertz and its tough journey throughout the coronavirus pandemic. The 100 year old company was hit especially hard by lockdowns, in addition to having its entire business dry up as people stopped traveling certain terms in their billions of dollars of debt, made it even more dire. A lot of their debt was collateralized by their used car fleets and when the value of used cars plummeted in the first part of the pandemic, creditors came in to seize the collateral.

Most people thought that the company had finally met its demise. One of those people was a legendary investor and billionaire hedge fund manager. Carl icahn icon had a multi-billion dollar position in hertz for a long time he had touted hertz as a great company and a strong brand, but when hertz finally announced that they were filing for bankruptcy in june of 2020, carl icahn threw in the towel and sold 55 million shares at just 72 cents, each counter-intuitively. If he just held on to those shares, he would be in a much better position today.

Hertz has since seen wall street bets, essentially save the company. New investors come in and inject capital and has been able to pay off the majority of its debt. It is now out of bankruptcy, and its brand new stock is worth a healthy 7.5 billion dollars. So what happened with hertz? Why did carl icahn dump his shares and, most importantly, how much money did he lose spoiler alert? It has 10 digits in april 2020, as coronavirus was first ravaging nations across the world and travel ground to a halt.

Hertz saw its business decline by 80. It announced that it could no longer make all of its lease payments on its fleet of rental cars. It was already in a stressed financial position with more than 17 billion dollars of long-term debt going into 2020., combined with an unprofitable income statement and fragile cash flows. Hertz could not afford to lose any business.

In 2020, their total revenue was cut in half with their losses widening to almost 2 billion. With this development, hertz was forced to seek bankruptcy protection, their stock tanked from as high as twenty dollars a share in the beginning of 2020 to less than one dollar in may of 2020 hertz formally filed for chapter 11 reorganization, it was one of the largest companies To go bankrupt during the coronavirus pandemic at the time under chapter 11, bankruptcy hertz was to negotiate with its creditors to restructure its debt. Usually chapter 11 means that stockholders end up getting wiped out, because unless creditors are paid back, the full amount owed to them. There is usually nothing left for shareholders in the case of hurts.

That looked to be especially the case since the company had so much debt around this time. Billionaire investor carl icon, owned 55.3 million shares of hurt's stock carl icon is one of the most successful activist investors alive today and is worth billions of dollars. He had been a long time, supporter of hurts and a shareholder since it went public in 2014 that year he disclosed in sec filings that he owned more than 38 million shares of herds, but with the pandemic taking hertz into bankruptcy, he declined to save the company With his own capital and sold his shares on may 26th, he sold his entire position for 72 cents per share in a statement to his own shareholders at icon enterprises. He said that he had sold his stake at quote significant losses unquote, but he also said that he continues to have faith, that the company would be able to gain new capital and become a great company.
Once again, he just did not think that the current shares would be able to survive through bankruptcy. On june 11th, hertz announced i had gained approval from a judge to raise a billion dollars of new capital by issuing new stock. There were concerns about selling stock when the company was going bankrupt. Around the same time, many people on wall street bets were talking about hurts as a potential deep value investment with shares at such depressed levels, the downside seemed quite limited compared to the upside to them.

Retail traders started buying up shares of the bankrupt company leading to a bump in the share price. Hertz wanted to take advantage of this investors sentiment by issuing more of its bankrupt stock issuing a billion dollars of stock when the stock was likely worth. Nothing was seen as potentially unethical on the part of business and management. Nevertheless, hertz disclosed explicitly that there was a chance that the stock was worthless and was given the go-ahead by a judge.

They were able to raise 29 million dollars from the public markets before getting stopped by the sec that small 29 million dollar windfall was not enough to save hertz for the rest of 2020 hertz continued to hemorrhage cash. The future did not look bright for the company, but that all changed in may of 2021, with lockdowns lifting and travel coming back with a vengeance. All sorts of travel stocks started to rebound. Even the commercial airlines started, reporting quarterly profits.

Hurt stock was given new hope when the company announced that several investment managers had agreed to make a massive investment in the company. These included nighthead capital management, certari's opportunities and apollo with the new capital hertz would be able to emerge from bankruptcy even better. The infusion of billions of new capital also meant that existing shareholders were afforded a chance at redemption. The new bankruptcy exit plan included provisions to pay a total of 239 million dollars in cash to the existing shareholders.

It also provided for existing shareholders to receive a stake in the new company after bankruptcy on the news. The old shares of herds skyrocketed eventually reaching a height of nearly 10. A share hertz also started trading new shares under the ticker symbol. Htcz.
The stock price currently implies a market value of the company of seven and a half billion dollars. Although the new delta variant of coronavirus has dampened demand for all travel stocks, leading to herz's share price to decline significantly once again, it's nowhere near the level of decimation from early 2020. So how much money did carl icon lose with his hertz investment, and how much did he miss out on by selling his position when he sold his position? He had about 55.3 million shares he built up and trimmed the state over the course of many years. So it's hard to know exactly what his average buy price was as well as a time value of the position, but before 2020 hertz's shares were trading at close to thirty dollars per share.

That means that his position was worth something like two billion dollars when he dumped all 55 million shares. The average price he got for them was just 72 cents. The proceeds from that sale would only have been 40 million dollars. That's a 99 loss, or at least 1.8 billion dollars, 1.8 billion dollars is a huge loss even by wall street's standards.

It ranks among the biggest trading losses in history in comparison, michael bury's, famous short position during the 2008 financial crisis dramatized in the film, the big short was on a significantly smaller scale. He profited about 700 million dollars, which is still a lot, but less than half of the amount that carl icahn lost on hers. The only hedge fund losses that eclipse this loss are the major disasters that ended up bankrupting the funds such as archaicos and long-term capital. It's a major blemish on the track record of carl icahn, especially since, if he had just held on to those shares, he would have made back hundreds of millions of dollars on the losses.

The story of hertz is also a major win for retail traders. Epitomized by wall street bets when hertz was in the depths of its bankruptcy wall, street ridiculed retail investors for piling into what they thought was a worthless stock. They laughed at wall street bets saying that hertz was just trolling them by issuing bankrupt stock fast forward a year, and it turns out that wall street bets was right. The same stock that amateur investors bought at the lows of one dollar or even less, is now worth close to 10 times that amount, and even one of wall, street's greatest flag bearers, missed out on hundreds of millions of dollars.

As a result, maybe wall street bets got lucky and maybe carl icahn just got unlucky, but no one can deny that in the stock market. Where anything can happen, hertz was a classic case of david beating goliath. Alright, guys that wraps it up for this video. If you enjoyed this content, make sure to hit the like button and subscribe for future uploads.
Also, let us know what you think about carl icahn's loss and the retail investor windfall that resulted from purchase bankruptcy and re-emergence in the meantime. Thank you so much for watching and we'll see in the next video wall street millennial signing out.

By Stock Chat

where the coffee is hot and so is the chat

25 thoughts on “Hertz’s retail investor comeback”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Lin Lex says:

    I actually disagree with what you said in the vid, if Carl were to held on to this position, then it is unlikely that Hertz will get any external financing, because outsiders will just think Carl has a deep pocket, and prehaps Hertz would have gone totally belly up. And the investment managers probably would have force Carl to invest with them. This is similar to Warren Buffett's airline deals. He said in the 2021 annual meeting: "Airlines do better because we sold". If He could just simply held on to these position, then Berkshire would be better off in hindsight. But if Buffett did not sold, then the government prob will force Berkshire to save the company, since they own 10% stake and with a deep pocket. Therefore, I think there is a reflexivity going on here.

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Alex Guzman says:

    I’m a bit confuse when a stock gets kick for the market and comes back as a brand new with different ticker symbol it’s worthless because it’s a brand new company right?? Even if you hold it unless they paid you cash to take over you old stock but because hertz come back it’s a different ticker symbol and not the same right??

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars DavidJMa says:

    The power of an icon brand like Hertz can never be underestimated.

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Fk Sons says:

    Maybe the whole paradigm of institutional investors is coming to an end and we will have to start viewing stocks from the retail investors angle because it seems consumers who are retail investors have gained a better understanding of market.

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars william d says:

    I can't imagine the kind of laugh Bill Ackman had when this happened.

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Tech Investing says:

    How do you come up with these ideas? They are always so clickable and so well made … good job man and good luck

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Austin H says:

    So were HTZ stocks converted to HTZZ? sounds like he would have had to sell to get anything back, if the original stock liquidated with the bankruptcy

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jacob W says:

    again, i have to ask, who are these psychotic banks who are continuously loaning money to companies past the point of sanity.

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars god mode crypto says:

    so the small retail investors saved this poor company from Liquidation. the rich hedge funds quite literally stomp companies into the dirt without care. I see. and if retail investors go broke the government does not give a shlt. but when hedge funds go bankrupt because they're doing the wrong thing the government just prints more money and gives it to them.
    am I the only person that sees something wrong with the system?

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Mitchell Alexander says:

    In at $0.98, out at $8.00. Didn’t even know anything about all of this. I was just chilling and I saw it pop up in my screener. Figured the brand was strong so I dumped a few hundred dollars in. Wish I put more in lol

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars QuantyQuant says:

    Retail investors owning cap structure arb hedge funds before GME crossed their minds 😈

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Tarek Yared says:

    Why would you sell at a 99% loss? If there even is a tiny chance at a comeback, you might as well risk the last 1%.

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Greg Harris says:

    Whatever Icahn lost in Hertz, I made it back for him, and then some, in FCX.

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars sclSolitarium says:

    Why was it okay to sell stocks to the cap management firms and not the shareholders?

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Higauge says:

    Is it within the rules to buy low and bail out the company to make the stock price go up?

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars V P says:

    I love it. The shit he pulled with herbalife was evil beyond reason

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Craig Miller says:

    Yet another awesome video – fast becoming my fav YouTube channel great work guys keep it up 🙌🙌👏👏👏👏👏

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jay Patel says:

    Great videos keep them coming , hopefully you can do a face reveal in the future.

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars anish gurung says:

    I remember this day. I followed Carl and sold my shares. The very next day it went 2x

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Zeke says:

    Tbh, Sounds dump to sell at 72 cents, if you would save only some million from original 2 Billion investment. He could have also hold his position if a total loss would be not so much worse.

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars vincbestia says:

    I'm confused HTZGQ never made it to the 10s… awesome video as always ^^

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Ralph Valencia says:

    My paper hands let go of my options when hertz went otc. Only had 3 calls, but they were at $1

  23. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Fox says:

    "what's up guys" but never waiting for a response 😔

  24. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Phil Nguyen says:

    I love seeing that this channels subscriber count keeps climbing – you produce >great< content my dude

  25. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Samson Soturian says:

    You vastly overstate the effect of retailers. Namely how the share dilution DIDN'T ultimately save the company.

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